Share the estimation method of the black swan price:

1. The 312 and FTX events, the price fell back to 2 times Vegas of the 10-day line. The current Vegas is 2w5

2. The middle axis of the oscillation box before 312 was 9000, and the 312 pin reached 3900, which exploded the 2x leverage. The current large box middle axis is about 62000, and if you want to explode the 2x leverage, it is exactly 3w

So you can use 2w5~3w as the stop loss and 15w as the stop profit to evaluate whether the long-term profit and loss ratio is cost-effective

This black swan price must be triggered by an external black swan event. For example, there is a global economic crisis after the election. There is no such sign yet

Of course, if you think 4w or 5w must be the iron bottom, you can also use 4w or 5w as the stop loss to calculate the profit and loss ratio of each price, so as to estimate whether the left-side purchase is cost-effective