Market turmoil is coming? The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September is close to 50%!

The latest CME "Fed Watch" data shows that expectations for a rate cut in September are gradually diverging. Data shows that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 51%, while the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut is close behind, at 49%. Such a close difference in probability suggests that the market's expectations for the Fed's next move are undergoing a subtle shift. This uncertainty will undoubtedly have a profound impact on the financial market, and investors need to remain highly vigilant.

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