#TON ETH to SOL is accelerated, exchange rate fluctuations require caution
The recent significant flow of ETH to SOL and the acceleration of position swaps indicate that the exchange rate may fluctuate within the current range. The market stock game dominates, new funds are limited, and emotion and liquidity become the key. The SOL/ETH exchange rate is driven upward by inertia. This range is a good opportunity to sell exchange rate differences and is also a good time to operate single currency spreads. The subsequent trend is expected to fluctuate downward and then rebound, then continue to fluctuate, and ultimately may usher in a new round of upward movement. Operations need to focus on the closed loop of buying and selling and respond flexibly to market changes.
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Analysis of #TON resonance point and discussion of BTC support level

Dear currency friends, today we will discuss a key concept - resonance point. In short, when the technical structure and the trend line perfectly intersect, strong support or resistance is formed. Specific to support identification, if multiple K lines are densely stacked and the market does not launch an effective impact on this area, then this area can be regarded as a preliminary effective support and can usually withstand 1-2 dips.

More importantly, if this support area happens to coincide with key points in the recent market (such as previous lows, transaction intensive areas, etc.), its support effect will be significantly enhanced. As shown in the figure for BTC, the white box area I marked is such a resonance support point. Personally, I subjectively judge that it is effective in the short term and is not easy to be directly broken.

Please note that this opinion is for communication and discussion purposes only and does not constitute specific buying and selling advice. Since the support level is close at hand, it is recommended to maintain a high level of attention and respond flexibly to market changes.
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Revealing the secrets of identifying true and false bottoms

During the long bear market, a sudden positive line often makes people mistakenly think that dawn is coming, but in fact it is mostly a trap. Those who are eager to buy the bottom are prone to "cut in half", and those who cover their positions will suffer more. So, how to identify the true bottom with wisdom and avoid the temptation of false bottoms?

1. Multiple trials show the true gold
The true bottom is not a one-day job, it needs to go through many trials. V-shaped reversals are mostly baits and lack a solid foundation. Double bottoms and triple bottoms show the true chapter. After the initial rebound, they may be suppressed again, or even set a new low. After repeated repetitions, the bottom is solid. The sudden V-reversal is mostly a trick by the main force to lure more.

2. Capital running water is quietly injected
Beside the true bottom, capital is surging undercurrents. Trading volume has awakened from extreme shrinkage, and the moderate increase in volume is accompanied by a slight increase in prices. Capital is quietly deployed, which is not achieved overnight. Continuous capital inflow is a precursor to reversal.

3. No feeling for good news, extreme pessimism turns around
On the eve of the real bottom, market sentiment fell to the freezing point. Good news fell like a stone in the sea, the market was unmoved, and even continued to fall. Bulls turned bearish, and the market was filled with despair. However, things will turn around when they reach their extremes. This extreme pessimism is the darkness before dawn, and the bottom is just around the corner.
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#TON Bulls and bears change, but the essence of the market remains the same

The market cycle, no matter what the bull or bear situation is, its essence remains unchanged. The rebound in the middle of the previous bear market was actually a bait to lure greed; the correction in the middle of the current bull market is like a torrent of still water, intended to clean up floating chips. In the meantime, although the market rhythm and adjustment strategies are different in details, they are essentially the same. Risks and returns coexist and dance together, delicately balanced, and inseparable.

When making decisions, potential returns and risks are like shadows, like twins. Investors should be well aware of this. In addition to pursuing the ultimate returns, they also need to be in awe of risks and stay alert at all times. Only in this way can we sail steadily in the waves of the market, make rational decisions, and not lose our composure.

Look at the overall situation of the market, don't stick to one corner. The situation is changing, you need to maintain your determination, understand the trend, and make strategies first, and then act.
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#TON High debt and new challenges for the circulation of US dollars

The Federal Reserve faces a dilemma: debt has soared to 35 trillion US dollars, and the interest burden is heavy, but it has not cut interest rates. The root cause lies in the fear of the great stagflation in the 1970s and the dramatic changes in the current circulation path of the US dollar. Traditionally, the US dollars released by interest rate cuts have poured into the commodity market to push up prices, but now it is hindered by the decoupling of energy countries from the US dollar and the rise of local currency settlement under the Belt and Road Initiative. The proportion of US dollars in international oil transactions has dropped sharply, from 8% to over 30%, indicating that the international status of the US dollar has weakened.

Although the Federal Reserve and the elite are trying to find a way out for excess US dollars through the AI ​​revolution and the development of new energy, these areas will find it difficult to digest huge amounts of capital in the short term and solve urgent problems. AI is limited in its ability to absorb funds due to its lack of deep integration with physical manufacturing. Therefore, the Federal Reserve hesitates in its decision to cut interest rates, worrying that the US dollar will stay in the country and reignite inflation, repeating the mistakes of history.
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Binance's 2024 listed tokens performed poorly, JUP led the way

The latest report from Coin98 Analytics, an authoritative institution in the cryptocurrency circle, revealed that among the 30 tokens listed on Binance in 2024, except for JUP tokens, the rest were deeply mired in losses, and most of them fell dramatically. Since its listing on January 31, JUP has risen 21.2% against the trend, becoming the only bright spot. On the other hand, the rest of the tokens have generally suffered a Waterloo, with more than half falling by more than 50%. Among them, Aevo's native token AEVO performed the worst, plummeting by more than 90% since its listing in March. The market is changing, and investors need to act with caution.
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#TON The true meaning of the crypto circle is only known by the giants. I have experienced the crypto industry for many years, and I have never seen anyone get rich overnight. All the real money and silver comes from holding on to potential coins in the bear market and waiting for the bull market to bloom. Six strategies for crypto gold rush: 1. Abandon the fantasy of getting rich quickly, hold the rudder of rationality, and strictly adhere to the trading system to excel. 2. The way to prevent losses, novices should be careful to touch the contract, and withdraw the profit immediately to prevent the recurrence of 519. 3. Reject high leverage, reduce the frequency of transactions, make moderate withdrawals when profitable, and do not invest again. Cherish the opportunity of the bull market, and wealth depends on luck. 4. Buy the bottom in the bull market, seize the opportunity of callback, diversify positions, and leave room for error. 5. Chase the new and do not be conservative. New assets are the eye of the bull market. Follow the rules to get rich, and small early sales will also win. 6. The leader rule, lock the leader of the track, get used to it, and avoid the trap of "dragon two and dragon three". The real leader has a high ceiling, and if you miss it, you may only be halfway up the mountain. Summary: Crypto gold mining, patience, prudence, and experience are king. Follow these six strategies to avoid pitfalls and increase your chances of success, and you can expect wealth.
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#TON US ETF approved, Russian mining legalized, Trump takes the lead in preventing China, Putin seizes the opportunity. Institutional bull turns to national bull, rebound after sharp drop, second exploration is tormenting, only patience to wait, waiting for the market to turn!
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If 789,000 ETH are sold in a concentrated manner, ETH may fall below the $1,000 mark. Currently, ETH is already showing signs of fatigue and is under heavy pressure again. SOL triggered an institutional chain liquidation price of $110. Although the sharp drop the day before was protected by institutions, once it is lost, it will trigger a total of $12 billion in liquidation risks for multiple Wall Street institutions. In the near future, leverage operations should be cautious and prudent.
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#TON The essence of speculation is briefly described as follows:

1. Do not buy based on the decline, and do not abandon good opportunities because of the increase.

2. The decline hides opportunities, and the rise brings risks.

3. Rebound and retracement are no longer considered, and the adjustment of speculation needs to cool down.

4. Do not buy if suspicious, and make decisions decisively.

5. Chasing high and bottoming out, the profit and loss ratio is the first.

6. After deep adjustment, wait for the volume to change, and then enter the market after the volume adjustment.

7. K-line and volume, analyze the main cost from multiple angles.

8. Strong and weak conversion, the iron law of the market.

9. If the wash is not deep, the cycle will continue to rise; if the wash is not long, the support will be laid.

10. See the rise in fear, find the standard K to do T.

11. The fundamentals are the main line, and the news is the supplement.

12. Grow in mistakes, the market is ruthless and I am self-reliant.

13. The flow of funds determines the strength and weakness, and go with the trend.
14. Downward rebound is not the right way, stop loss decisively without hesitation.
15. High volume and price diverge, stop profit in batches to protect income.
16. Start from the bottom in small steps, and the big positive line will follow.
17. Data builds the foundation, structure navigation, and news ignites.
18. The bull market wave is triple, and the cycle transition continues to be brilliant.
19. Low investment in the bear market, expectations need to be adjusted.
20. The plunge promotes hot spots, and stage opportunities appear.
21. The market is not short of gold, hot spots and emotions are king.
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#TON SOL leads strongly, an alternative star in the bull market, but beware of the risk of callback

This round of market plunge is like a black swan. Fortunately, we have seen the rise of SOL as a potential alternative to ETH in advance, and have arranged for risk aversion at a low level. SOL and its ecological currency wif rebounded strongly, while ETH and Ethereum performed weakly. At present, SOL is at the top of the bullish flag rebound, around 160. Beware of the risk of reversal in this range and avoid blindly chasing the rise. Although the technical aspect is not omnipotent, it still has a warning effect at extreme positions. It is recommended to reduce positions partially and wait for the market to adjust.
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Analysis of the hard support of BTC mining cost

Under the halving effect of BTC, the mining cost has risen sharply. The average cost of US companies is about 43,000 US dollars, Xinjiang is slightly more than 50,000, and Sichuan may be higher due to high electricity prices. This cost line has become the key to the recent rebound of 49,000 US dollars. If it is approached, the mining machine will face the risk of shutdown. Rational assessment, BTC is stable above 50,000, and a new high can be expected. Although the short-term indicators are bearish, it is too early to say that it has peaked, and the subsequent monthly trend is particularly critical. The current 4-hour MACD is far away from the zero axis, and there is a need for a callback, which restricts the short-term decline. The bears are waiting for the indicator to be corrected. Follow the captain closely, and the trading signals and information are at your fingertips! If you need to analyze the copycat points, enter the exchange 𡝗👉 public ~ public / number @Square-Creator-38f0acad4
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New York market analysis and strategy:

New York is expected to open high and go low, Wall Street elites are in control, and retail investors can't escape their net. This week's performance is remarkable. Although the double single is laborious, the profit is considerable. The big positive line is out of the sheath, and the air force may be covered with bruises.

Avoid news and stabilize profits, unless the cost advantage is firm. Small news can still be controlled, but the situation will change before the big non-agricultural data. The layout before the week needs to be planned early. Extreme market conditions are common every day, and the rise and fall are unpredictable. The technical aspect often gives way to the news wave. In the news battle, the mind needs to be strong, because its trend often exceeds the technical prediction.
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Nigerian cryptocurrency advocate James Utudor has filed a lawsuit challenging the Nigerian government’s restrictions on the possession, use, and trading of digital assets such as Bitcoin and stablecoins. Utudor claims that the lawsuit, which names Nigeria’s president, finance minister, and attorney general as defendants, aims to lift the ban on cryptocurrencies and ensure that all Nigerians have unrestricted access to cryptocurrencies.
$SOL $USDC

The road to wealth advancement: shocking trading revelations in history
In the pursuit of wealth, smart trading is the key. From ice cream to Bitcoin, every transaction is a deep insight and precise grasp of value. Transforming the transient into eternal stability, from fragility to tenacity, from regional limitations to global vision, from physical form to digital form, every transformation is a leap in wealth.
Looking back at the long river of history, those great transactions not only shaped the world's economic map, but also deeply revealed the secret of wealth growth. The Dutch exchanged insignificant plastic trinkets for the heart of the New World, the Port of New York. This transaction not only demonstrated its far-reaching strategic vision, but also foreshadowed the prosperity of the next few centuries. Today, this port has become a global hub worth 2.5 trillion US dollars, witnessing 398 years of uninterrupted growth miracles, with an astonishing return rate of 1.05 billion times.
The logic behind this transaction lies in the accurate judgment and forward-looking layout of value potential. When others are still immersed in the fog of immediate interests, the wise have already seen the true value of the future. Therefore, if we want to move forward steadily on the road to wealth, we need to continue to learn from history, absorb the wisdom of our predecessors, and maintain keen insight and courageous action. Remember, every great transaction is a brave exploration and firm belief in the unknown world.
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#TON Be cautious in shorting, focus on spot and arbitrage opportunities

In the contract market, shorting needs to be cautious, and its risk is much higher than spot buying or contract long. In particular, single-position shorting is opposed, unless a BTC long position and other currency short position hedging strategy is adopted. For both novices and veterans, I do not recommend large positions to short for profit. Historical cases such as the heavy losses suffered by LUNA short sellers are a lesson for the past. When shorting junk coins, large positions are easily aggregated, and the funding rate becomes a weapon to devour funds, and the late-stage pullback often leads to liquidation. In contrast, the strategy of selling spot and waiting for the decline to cover is more secure. Although there is a risk of selling at a high price, there is no risk of liquidation.

Analyzing the GFT case on August 6, the position did not surge with the price increase, indicating that the dealer closed the long position, the funding rate was negative and the contract price rose, indicating that there was a long-short confrontation in the market. In fact, the dealer used the spot to pull up to create arbitrage opportunities. When the spot price is high and the contract price is low, sell the spot price and buy the contract price for arbitrage; otherwise, buy the spot price and short the contract price. In this case, after the position volume steadily decreases, the dealer smashes the spot price, and the short position is closed with profit, achieving a double kill of long and short positions. The dealer dares to short because the spot chips are in hand. If retail investors blindly follow the trend, they will easily become lambs to be slaughtered.

Therefore, it is recommended that investors pay attention to the spot market and arbitrage opportunities and avoid blind shorting. For more information about the currency circle, bull market potential coins and spot strategies, please click on the avatar to explore. As for the timing of the Fed's interest rate cut, it is necessary to pay close attention to market dynamics, analyze rationally, and seize investment opportunities.
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#TON Non-retail investors work alone, interest chain is the core
Behind the popularity of MEME coins, non-retail investors fight alone. Take RATS as an example. Although retail investors are enthusiastic, it is still difficult to enter the list of Binance spot. The crux lies in the distribution of interests and community structure. The concentration of chips of large investors and regional limitations are superficial. In fact, the interest chain is not solid, and the key small groups are not fully bound, so it is difficult to achieve great things. Although the grassroots leaders have limited power, they lead the community forward with sincere feelings. For example, when the WIF project first appeared, it was supported by asset management giants such as Franklin Templeton, and the process was naturally accelerated. Therefore, it is known that for MEME to break the circle, it requires the joint efforts of multiple parties to build a community of interests.
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#TON In the currency circle, investment and contract trading are like treasure hunting in the fire. Uncertainty is its essence. Therefore, a strong sense of risk control is the basis for survival. This morning's rapid rise, the situation changed suddenly within two minutes. It is this uncertainty that gives the market a unique charm and attracts countless brave people. However, after a sharp rise, it is often accompanied by several hours of sideways adjustment. Repair the disturbed indicators and wait patiently for the next wave to brew.
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Although SHIB has experienced a sharp drop, it still touches the heartstrings of the crypto community. If it returns to its peak, the million-dollar dream requires holding 11.6 billion tokens. Although it is out of reach, it leaves a trace of reverie for early investors.
The road to recovery is bumpy. SHIB has fallen from its peak and encountered a market winter and growth bottlenecks. However, there is no lack of optimistic voices from analysts, predicting that it may reach its peak again, but it will take time.
[Mastering Crypto Perspective] Invest rationally and don't be blinded by temptation. The crypto market is volatile, and historical performance is not a vane for the future. The wise move is to keep up with the news and make prudent decisions.
We help you with your investment journey:
Market perspective: track SHIB dynamics in real time and grasp the price pulse.
Risk management: teach strategies to help you move forward steadily in the storm.
Asset diversification: emphasize diversified layout, diversification of risks, and steady value-added.
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#TON AI coin sector: ready to go, with unlimited potential!

When Sora was released, AI coin soared 5 times in two weeks. Now it is sinking with the market, which is a good opportunity to layout. History repeats itself. Once OpenAI's new product is released, AI coin will surely set off a wave again. Nvidia's financial report is imminent, and the AI ​​sector will add fuel to the fire. There is plenty of time, and it is a wise choice to build a position at a low point.

Solana's new favorite, ETF Brazil approved, US ETF is looking forward to rebirth. Ethereum transaction volume surges, and the data on the Ton chain is more dazzling. The two currencies are worth paying attention to, and the future is promising!
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