#TON High debt and new challenges for the circulation of US dollars

The Federal Reserve faces a dilemma: debt has soared to 35 trillion US dollars, and the interest burden is heavy, but it has not cut interest rates. The root cause lies in the fear of the great stagflation in the 1970s and the dramatic changes in the current circulation path of the US dollar. Traditionally, the US dollars released by interest rate cuts have poured into the commodity market to push up prices, but now it is hindered by the decoupling of energy countries from the US dollar and the rise of local currency settlement under the Belt and Road Initiative. The proportion of US dollars in international oil transactions has dropped sharply, from 8% to over 30%, indicating that the international status of the US dollar has weakened.

Although the Federal Reserve and the elite are trying to find a way out for excess US dollars through the AI ​​revolution and the development of new energy, these areas will find it difficult to digest huge amounts of capital in the short term and solve urgent problems. AI is limited in its ability to absorb funds due to its lack of deep integration with physical manufacturing. Therefore, the Federal Reserve hesitates in its decision to cut interest rates, worrying that the US dollar will stay in the country and reignite inflation, repeating the mistakes of history.

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