Market analysis and strategy adjustment
I. Market vigilance and short-selling opportunities
In the current market atmosphere, when the market generally expects a "bull return", we should remain sober and vigilant. Looking back at history, BCH (Bitcoin Cash) has achieved profits in many short-selling operations, which provides a reference for our current strategy. Given the current market position, combined with the Mentougou compensation incident (expected to involve BTC and BCH compensation), it once again provides a potential opportunity for shorting BCH.
II. Market liquidity and positive factors
Binance outflow $BTC : More than 5,000 BTC flowed out of the Binance platform yesterday. This trend may be regarded as a positive signal of market liquidity, indicating that the market activity has increased, which is beneficial to the overall market. Trump's BTC conference speech: Trump will deliver a speech at a BTC-related conference next week. This event will undoubtedly attract global attention, increase the exposure and discussion of the cryptocurrency market, and may bring positive fluctuations in market sentiment. Ethereum ETF expectations: The potential launch of the Ethereum ETF is another major positive factor that the market is paying attention to. The emergence of ETF products will lower the investment threshold, attract more traditional investors to enter the Ethereum market, and further promote its price increase.
III. Ethereum ETF benefits and holding recommendations
In response to the positive expectations of Ethereum ETF, we put forward the following holding recommendations:
L2 project recommendation: In the Ethereum ecosystem, L2 solutions are the key to improving transaction efficiency and reducing fees. Among them, ZK (the specific project name may vary depending on the actual situation, and it is assumed here to be a ZK Rollup project) is recommended to hold and avoid reducing positions due to its technical advantages and previous performance. Compared with other L2 projects such as OP and ARB, ZK shows stronger potential and stability. Overall position adjustment: In view of the increase in market volatility and uncertainty, it is recommended that investors reduce their overall positions to below 50%, and consider adopting a band operation strategy to flexibly respond to market changes, lock in part of the profits, and maintain a keen observation of the market.
In the current market environment, we should maintain a cautious and optimistic attitude, and we should not only see the opportunities brought by positive factors, but also be vigilant against potential risks. By flexibly adjusting the position structure and operation strategy, we strive to move forward steadily in a complex and changing market.
