The market has high expectations for interest rate cuts in September and November, and there are two possible trends:
1. If the ETF is passed in July or August, and the interest rate is cut in September:
1. July and August: The market may continue to fluctuate and bottom out, but there may be a small increase before the ETF is passed.
2. September: After the implementation of the interest rate cut policy, the market may first experience a fake fall, a short-term decline, and then start a new round of large-scale market in October.
Second, if the ETF is passed in July, August or September, and the interest rate is cut in November:
1. July-September: The market may rise slightly before the ETF is passed and may have a brief correction after the passage.
2. September and October: The market may enter a period of volatility, but due to the expectations of interest rate cuts and ETF fund inflows, there may be a round of small phased rallies.
3. November: After the implementation of the interest rate cut policy, the market may correct for 1 to 2 months, and then start a new round of big market in the first quarter of 2025.
suggestion:
- Pay close attention to the approval progress of ETFs and the monetary policy trends of the central bank.
- Pay attention to risk management and allocate funds rationally to cope with market uncertainties.
- Expectations of rate cuts and the passage of ETFs are likely to attract more institutional and individual investors into the market, increasing liquidity and trading volumes, thus boosting market development.
However, the actual market trend is affected by many factors, including macroeconomic conditions, policy changes, market sentiment, etc. #Bitcoin #上寨币行情 #比特币行情 #降息
