People believe only after they see, but the world sees because we believe.
New investors know nothing about the bull market, nor about the bear market. They dare not imagine the top of a bull market, nor the bottom of a bear market. They only dare to think of the top of a bull market as halfway up the mountain, or even the ankle. When a bear market reaches the shoulder, they think it has reached the bottom, but they don’t know that it will be cut in half again and again.
Only after you have experienced several rounds of bull and bear markets and constantly summarizing, reflecting and reviewing, can you understand this market and understand which ones are overvalued, which ones are undervalued, which ones are overvalued in the short term but promising in the long term, etc.
What is more important is to perceive the current stage of the market. This is the most difficult part. Just like learning a language, the most difficult thing is to cultivate a sense of language, and a sense of language is an invisible thing, but it is the most valuable thing.
Today is July 7, 2024. The bull market is still in its early stages, with market makers promoting the market and calling for the people to carry the sedan chair. To be precise, it is now the end of the bear market and the beginning of the bull market. New topics are urgently needed, and this year, concepts such as AI, RWA, layer1, layer2, meme, liquidity pledge, games, web3.0, etc. will continue to explode, and 100x or even 1,000x coins will definitely be among them.
By the middle of 25 years, most currencies will have the opportunity to break through the previous high, with an increase of more than ten or twenty times. This is the mid-term. In the mid-term of the bull market, there will be a halving, and the profits of the leeks will shrink significantly. Whether from a technical perspective or market sentiment, it looks like the beginning of a bear market. At this time, the leeks will get off the train one after another, because they feel that no matter how much they earn, they feel safe. If you think it's over at this time, it's really naive. The leeks have made money and left the market, so where can the bankers cry? At this time, there will be fluctuations for a few months, giving time for all the leeks to get off the train.
Finally, there will be another rebound at the end of the year. Some currencies will still break through the previous highs, and there will still be a 5-10 times increase from the low point. At this time, the leeks who got off the train in the early stage will definitely rush in, looking forward to the moon, and finally be trapped on the top of the mountain. What awaits them is a long bear market for several years. In the end, they chase the rise and fall in the bear market, play all their money, and then begin to despair of this market. Some will leave cursing because they have no money. They will think this is a scam, but they don’t know that it is their greed and lack of cognition that lead to the tragedy. Some will continue to rush in in the next round of bull market and repeat history again. They are a group of gamblers who never learn to reflect. Like headless flies, they pay attention to the rise and fall of currency prices every day. In the end, they are abandoned by the times and truly become a speck of dust in the torrent. New leeks will never make money in the bull market and leave this market alive.
I'm leaving the future plot here, but I believe no one can follow the rules completely.
The following is my prediction for the bull market peak in 2025. I will clear my positions within the following range, but it is not absolute. There will definitely be undervalued currencies and there will definitely be overvalued currencies. The specific adjustments will be made based on the development of the bull market. Overall, it is relatively conservative. Please do not follow the trend blindly.
Unit (US dollars)
1. BTC 80,000-140,000
2. ETH 8,000-15,000
3.bnb 2000～4000
4.sun 400-700
5.xrp 1-3
6.doge 0.5-1
7. there are 1-2
8.trx 0.5-1
9.shib 0.0001-0.0002
10.avax 100-200
11.dot 25-50
12.link 40-100
13.bch 1000-2000
14.near 20-50
15. it is 40-80
16.matic 3-6
17.ltc 300-500
18. baby 0.00005-0.0001
19.icp 50-90
20.etc 100-200
21. apt 40-80
22.hbar 0.3-0.5
23.rndr 20-50
24.atom 30-50
25.xlm 0.5-0.8
26.arb 5-10
27.in 20-40
28.stx 7-15
29.imx 6-13
30.on 5-10
SEK 31m 4000-8000
32.vet 0.1-0.2
33.grt 1-2
34.on 5-10
35.inj 50-100
36. people 500-1000
37.ldo 5-10
38.ar 100-200
39.ftm 2-4
40.wif 5-10
41.floki 0.0005-0.001
42.theta 5-10
43.not 0.05-0.1
44.jasmy 0.1-0.2
45.rune 10-20
46.bonk0.0001-0.0002
47. done 5-10
48.ghost 400-800
49. love 40-80
50. pyth 1-2
