When XiaoxiaLife is arguing with others, he likes to say one sentence: "Think about it, you are so smart, why are you still so poor?" Usually when we argue with each other, the first goal is to hurt the other person, and whether the language is logical or not is not important. So here we are not targeting Xiaoxia, but simply talking about the logic behind such words.
Is intelligence related to wealth? Of course, it is, but intelligence is not a sufficient condition for wealth. As smart as Newton, the great physicist, he lost 20,000 pounds in stock trading, and his annual salary was only 2,000. If we follow the logic of the above sentence, why did Newton, who was so smart, lose everything in the end? The conclusion is that Newton may not be as smart as Xiaoxia. (But Xiaoxia is not Dalang, so I estimate that his IQ is not more than 190.)
Taleb has an interesting point of view: Let a group of monkeys sit in front of a computer and type on the keyboard. As long as there are enough monkeys, there will definitely be one monkey that can successfully type out the entire "Ramayana". This logic is correct. Every click of the monkey on the keyboard is completely random. As long as the order of magnitude is high, it is not surprising that a random copy of "Ramayana" will appear. This is the magic of probability, to put it bluntly, luck. In addition to wisdom and ability, a person's wealth is inseparable from the blessing of luck.
Do you think I'm going to say some bullshit like it's all fate or luck?
No. Luck is different from luck. If you choose macaques and golden monkeys to type the Ramayana, the results will be different. Under the same order of magnitude, macaques are more likely to type the Ramayana first, because macaques have an IQ at least twice as high as golden monkeys. If you select a group of macaques and force them to learn Sanskrit and learn to type, then the probability that this group of monkeys will type the Ramayana first is also higher.
We want to make money in trading, and the principle is the same. You can increase your chances of hitting the jackpot through some paths, such as being a macaque instead of a golden monkey; even if you are born a macaque, you should learn to type and Sanskrit instead of just being busy typing.
