伏波蛙的交易入门课
72,159 views
46 Discussing
Hot
Latest
See original
My friends should all have learned a little bit about Mazhe, but most people don't understand the essence of this idea of analyzing specific situations. ——This point is extremely important in trading.
For example, people often ask, can a certain coin be bought at a certain price?
You think there are only two answers, either yes or no.
But if you think about it, if you think about it carefully, this question ignores many key variables, such as the period of your position, whether you are buying a contract or a spot, how many positions you are prepared to place, what the multiple is for contracts, and even your order-making style—— How much loss can you bear and how long can you take it...
For example, the foreigner in the picture asked if he could buy ORDI from 76? Can he?
If he is a betting dog who easily pays more than ten or twenty times, there is no doubt that the answer is no, otherwise his position would have been liquidated in the afternoon.
If he just wants to allocate one-twentieth of his position to some spot, and if he wants to buy it, then he can buy it. He can choose the position or not. Who knows whether there will be further correction.
If he is an ultra-short-term player who stares at the one-minute line and the five-minute line, I don't know if he can buy it.
…
But I don’t know his specific situation, so I can only choose not to answer such a question.
#伏波蛙的交易入门课 #ORDI
For example, people often ask, can a certain coin be bought at a certain price?
You think there are only two answers, either yes or no.
But if you think about it, if you think about it carefully, this question ignores many key variables, such as the period of your position, whether you are buying a contract or a spot, how many positions you are prepared to place, what the multiple is for contracts, and even your order-making style—— How much loss can you bear and how long can you take it...
For example, the foreigner in the picture asked if he could buy ORDI from 76? Can he?
If he is a betting dog who easily pays more than ten or twenty times, there is no doubt that the answer is no, otherwise his position would have been liquidated in the afternoon.
If he just wants to allocate one-twentieth of his position to some spot, and if he wants to buy it, then he can buy it. He can choose the position or not. Who knows whether there will be further correction.
If he is an ultra-short-term player who stares at the one-minute line and the five-minute line, I don't know if he can buy it.
…
But I don’t know his specific situation, so I can only choose not to answer such a question.
#伏波蛙的交易入门课 #ORDI
See original
Regarding the relationship between news and K-line, see the figure below.
The difference between the two categories lies in fairness.
In the first category, the main institutions can obtain information in advance relative to retail investors, so they operate in advance, so they will leave clues on the K-line, which is the so-called K-line reflecting news; the second type of news is fair to both the main institutions and retail investors, and the time difference between everyone getting the news is not much, so the K-line will not reflect this type of news in advance.
#伏波蛙的交易入门课 #大盘走势
The difference between the two categories lies in fairness.
In the first category, the main institutions can obtain information in advance relative to retail investors, so they operate in advance, so they will leave clues on the K-line, which is the so-called K-line reflecting news; the second type of news is fair to both the main institutions and retail investors, and the time difference between everyone getting the news is not much, so the K-line will not reflect this type of news in advance.
#伏波蛙的交易入门课 #大盘走势
See original
In the last post, I said that if you pay too much attention to news, you should block KOLs.
Some people may not understand.
It’s not that news is useless, but it’s very limited. If you have that time, you can do something else instead of staring at these things.
For example, I started to praise Ethereum at the end of March, Sun Ge started to hoard Ethereum in April, and the SEC approved the Ethereum ETF a few days ago.
My judgment was made several days in advance. Was it because Sun Ge or the SEC leaked the information to me in advance?
Of course not, Brother Sun doesn’t know me.
What’s more important than those news is logic.
So is Sun Ge’s hoarding of Ethereum and Ethereum ETF useless to me?
Not really.
In April, Sun Ge’s hoarding of Ethereum is a proof of my judgment, which allows me to hold positions with peace of mind and not panic;
In May, the ETF was approved, and the price and exchange rate rose together, which is the source of my profit.
It’s useful, but it doesn’t play a major role.
Then why do those people keep forwarding various news every day?
Simple. Because retail investors like to watch it, and new leeks like to watch it.
If you like to eat shit that day, they will feed you anyway.
Traffic password.
So I often tell people:
For beginners, the most critical ability is not technical analysis, not mentality control, not information collection...
but the ability to identify goods
If you can't tell the difference between good and bad things, you will naturally buy bad things
If you can't tell the difference between good and bad KOLs, you will naturally be disturbed and frightened by them, and then develop many bad habits and learn a lot of useless methods and skills
You have worked hard for nothing
This paragraph is serious dry goods, think about it carefully.
After speaking~Remember to like~Please~Quack~
#伏波蛙的交易入门课 #BTC走势分析 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #ETH #BTC
Some people may not understand.
It’s not that news is useless, but it’s very limited. If you have that time, you can do something else instead of staring at these things.
For example, I started to praise Ethereum at the end of March, Sun Ge started to hoard Ethereum in April, and the SEC approved the Ethereum ETF a few days ago.
My judgment was made several days in advance. Was it because Sun Ge or the SEC leaked the information to me in advance?
Of course not, Brother Sun doesn’t know me.
What’s more important than those news is logic.
So is Sun Ge’s hoarding of Ethereum and Ethereum ETF useless to me?
Not really.
In April, Sun Ge’s hoarding of Ethereum is a proof of my judgment, which allows me to hold positions with peace of mind and not panic;
In May, the ETF was approved, and the price and exchange rate rose together, which is the source of my profit.
It’s useful, but it doesn’t play a major role.
Then why do those people keep forwarding various news every day?
Simple. Because retail investors like to watch it, and new leeks like to watch it.
If you like to eat shit that day, they will feed you anyway.
Traffic password.
So I often tell people:
For beginners, the most critical ability is not technical analysis, not mentality control, not information collection...
but the ability to identify goods
If you can't tell the difference between good and bad things, you will naturally buy bad things
If you can't tell the difference between good and bad KOLs, you will naturally be disturbed and frightened by them, and then develop many bad habits and learn a lot of useless methods and skills
You have worked hard for nothing
This paragraph is serious dry goods, think about it carefully.
After speaking~Remember to like~Please~Quack~
#伏波蛙的交易入门课 #BTC走势分析 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #ETH #BTC
For KOLs/UPs/bloggers who often post news, it is recommended that you block them directly.
Especially the ones in the picture below, who use news as the key basis for judgment, feel free to block them.
You will never lose money by blocking such people, and it is even more difficult to make money by following such people.
For such garbage posts, my entire Golden Finance, Golden Ten Finance, and other APPs can output 100 of them a day.
But is such content useful?
It is useless.
Similarly, there are those KOLs who are always shouting that a certain coin will surge or plummet, and that it will rise a hundred times, just block them directly.
They are nothing.
Huh~teh!
#MegadropLista #meme板块关注热点 #贝莱德IBIT比特币持有量反超灰度GBTC
Especially the ones in the picture below, who use news as the key basis for judgment, feel free to block them.
You will never lose money by blocking such people, and it is even more difficult to make money by following such people.
For such garbage posts, my entire Golden Finance, Golden Ten Finance, and other APPs can output 100 of them a day.
But is such content useful?
It is useless.
Similarly, there are those KOLs who are always shouting that a certain coin will surge or plummet, and that it will rise a hundred times, just block them directly.
They are nothing.
Huh~teh!
#MegadropLista #meme板块关注热点 #贝莱德IBIT比特币持有量反超灰度GBTC
See original
Liquidity - the key to bull-bear transitions
Friends who are eager to learn can also combine this article with the famous theory of learning from teachers that I mentioned earlier.
In one word, mobility.
According to the article, liquidity refers to the difficulty, speed and degree of damage of an asset into a medium of exchange.
Simply put, liquidity refers to whether something is easy to buy, easy to sell, and whether trading activity is active in the market. If it is easy to sell and buy, it means good liquidity.
The performance of liquidity can be divided into three dimensions: density, depth, and elasticity.
Density, simply put, is the density of orders placed by everyone. For example, for an object with a current market mid-price of 5 yuan, one exchange's quotations are 4.70, 4.80, 4.90, 5.00, 5.10, 5.20, and another exchange's quotations are 4.97, 4.98, 4.99...5.03. Obviously, the density of the latter is higher. For some, if you put a market price order in, the transaction result will deviate very little from the middle price. In addition to numbers, density is also related to the number of pending orders at each price.
In one word, mobility.
According to the article, liquidity refers to the difficulty, speed and degree of damage of an asset into a medium of exchange.
Simply put, liquidity refers to whether something is easy to buy, easy to sell, and whether trading activity is active in the market. If it is easy to sell and buy, it means good liquidity.
The performance of liquidity can be divided into three dimensions: density, depth, and elasticity.
Density, simply put, is the density of orders placed by everyone. For example, for an object with a current market mid-price of 5 yuan, one exchange's quotations are 4.70, 4.80, 4.90, 5.00, 5.10, 5.20, and another exchange's quotations are 4.97, 4.98, 4.99...5.03. Obviously, the density of the latter is higher. For some, if you put a market price order in, the transaction result will deviate very little from the middle price. In addition to numbers, density is also related to the number of pending orders at each price.
See original
Da Yan Zai has shared an internal video course. Friends can take a look at it. It's free.
The square limits the video to less than 10 minutes, so it can't be uploaded.
This section is the 4th section of the fund management series. The content is about stop-profit and stop-loss, involving the aspects to be considered for stop-profit and stop-loss, the principles to be followed, and some specific operation methods and techniques.
After the recent devil market, I believe that many people should need to make up for this.
Regarding this kind of knowledge, most of the books or courses that can be found on the market are either not systematic, not comprehensive, or not detailed enough - poor operability. My review combines many books I have read and the lessons learned from trading over the years, which can be used as a reference for everyone.
#伏波蛙的交易入门课 #BTC下跌分析 #TON #BTC☀
The square limits the video to less than 10 minutes, so it can't be uploaded.
This section is the 4th section of the fund management series. The content is about stop-profit and stop-loss, involving the aspects to be considered for stop-profit and stop-loss, the principles to be followed, and some specific operation methods and techniques.
After the recent devil market, I believe that many people should need to make up for this.
Regarding this kind of knowledge, most of the books or courses that can be found on the market are either not systematic, not comprehensive, or not detailed enough - poor operability. My review combines many books I have read and the lessons learned from trading over the years, which can be used as a reference for everyone.
#伏波蛙的交易入门课 #BTC下跌分析 #TON #BTC☀
See original
#伏波蛙的交易入门课
"A person who does not have a firm belief in the market cannot obtain profits brought by major fluctuations."
"Profits often come from blind loyalty to the market."
Yes, and no.
Beliefs should be placed in the right place, and blind loyalty can be divided into loyalty to Renzong or Sizong.
Otherwise, blind loyalty can be the source of huge profits or huge losses.
For example, if you have a belief in a bull market this year and believe what some people say, that if you buy a copycat stock with your eyes closed when a bull market comes, it will eventually increase by three or five times, then now you should have to pick up rags under the bridge to sew your pants yourself;
For example, in the past few years, you are full of enthusiasm, blind loyalty, believe in the national destiny, and invest in the A-share market...
Working hard for Chongzhen with all your heart and soul is a death; being sneaky and slippery, jumping around, you may still be able to live. What do you choose?
I am loyal to him.
#BTC☀
"A person who does not have a firm belief in the market cannot obtain profits brought by major fluctuations."
"Profits often come from blind loyalty to the market."
Yes, and no.
Beliefs should be placed in the right place, and blind loyalty can be divided into loyalty to Renzong or Sizong.
Otherwise, blind loyalty can be the source of huge profits or huge losses.
For example, if you have a belief in a bull market this year and believe what some people say, that if you buy a copycat stock with your eyes closed when a bull market comes, it will eventually increase by three or five times, then now you should have to pick up rags under the bridge to sew your pants yourself;
For example, in the past few years, you are full of enthusiasm, blind loyalty, believe in the national destiny, and invest in the A-share market...
Working hard for Chongzhen with all your heart and soul is a death; being sneaky and slippery, jumping around, you may still be able to live. What do you choose?
I am loyal to him.
#BTC☀
See original
By remembering three points, you can filter out 60% of the liars, idiots, and noob KOLs in the circle.
First, the nickname contains words related to money, such as "coin", "wealth", "gold"... etc.
Second point, the profile picture is of a man/woman in a suit, or other awesome photos
The third point is that there are self-proclaimed titles, such as "God", "Brother", "General", "Pharaoh", "Commander"... etc.
Once filtered, the result will be accurate, and there will never be a wrong kill.
I won’t mention names specifically.
#伏波蛙的交易入门课 #BTC
First, the nickname contains words related to money, such as "coin", "wealth", "gold"... etc.
Second point, the profile picture is of a man/woman in a suit, or other awesome photos
The third point is that there are self-proclaimed titles, such as "God", "Brother", "General", "Pharaoh", "Commander"... etc.
Once filtered, the result will be accurate, and there will never be a wrong kill.
I won’t mention names specifically.
#伏波蛙的交易入门课 #BTC
See original
Fubo Frog’s Tips for Picking Up Girls
——Distinguish between a one-night stand and a long-term relationship
When you see a girl who meets your eye, you can’t go straight to her. You have to ask yourself first and figure out one thing:
Is your goal a one-night stand or a long-term relationship?
Do you want to be a gangster or do you want to get married?
One is to pick up the pants and run away, with no end in sight; the other is to take off and put on, take off and put on, over and over again until death. Different goals require different playing methods.
Just like Huang Bo in "Beautiful Heart", he is obviously going to prostitute, but he insists on asking the girl to say "I love you" affectionately. Is it appropriate?
Not suitable. It's inappropriate for you to be emotional first of all, and it's even more inappropriate to force others to be emotional.
For example, I dated a bond two days ago. Before entering, I checked her past. In Figure 1, you can clearly see that she is full of bad things. You can’t exchange your sincerity for this kind of girl, you can only shoot and aim at her. , aim and fire.
So around 4.3, in Figure 2, we see that Bond is in good shape in all aspects. His appearance, personality, and emotions are all my favorites. So what I have to do at this time is to start the game in time, get into position, and don't waste the good time and beautiful scenery.
After a moment of raging fire and shaking of the earth, both parties have reached the climax. At this time, it is necessary to plan to pull up the pants and deny the person. There is no tenderness in a one-time love after the time is up. Keep this in mind.
So, once you find that a girl is not in a good mood, don't linger and get out immediately.
Preview for next lecture: How to judge whether a girl is suitable for a long-term relationship?
#伏波蛙的交易入门课 #Bond
——Distinguish between a one-night stand and a long-term relationship
When you see a girl who meets your eye, you can’t go straight to her. You have to ask yourself first and figure out one thing:
Is your goal a one-night stand or a long-term relationship?
Do you want to be a gangster or do you want to get married?
One is to pick up the pants and run away, with no end in sight; the other is to take off and put on, take off and put on, over and over again until death. Different goals require different playing methods.
Just like Huang Bo in "Beautiful Heart", he is obviously going to prostitute, but he insists on asking the girl to say "I love you" affectionately. Is it appropriate?
Not suitable. It's inappropriate for you to be emotional first of all, and it's even more inappropriate to force others to be emotional.
For example, I dated a bond two days ago. Before entering, I checked her past. In Figure 1, you can clearly see that she is full of bad things. You can’t exchange your sincerity for this kind of girl, you can only shoot and aim at her. , aim and fire.
So around 4.3, in Figure 2, we see that Bond is in good shape in all aspects. His appearance, personality, and emotions are all my favorites. So what I have to do at this time is to start the game in time, get into position, and don't waste the good time and beautiful scenery.
After a moment of raging fire and shaking of the earth, both parties have reached the climax. At this time, it is necessary to plan to pull up the pants and deny the person. There is no tenderness in a one-time love after the time is up. Keep this in mind.
So, once you find that a girl is not in a good mood, don't linger and get out immediately.
Preview for next lecture: How to judge whether a girl is suitable for a long-term relationship?
#伏波蛙的交易入门课 #Bond
See original
[Fubo Frog’s Tips for Picking Up Girls 2] How to judge whether a girl is suitable for a long-term relationship?
All the love giants must have the same feeling. A one-night stand is exciting, but in the end it is not as happy as having a sweet relationship with a girl.
So what kind of girl is suitable for falling in love and staying together for a long time?
Today I will list two points for your reference.
The first point is that it must look good and be pleasing to the eye at first glance. Ugly people tend to cause mischief. This is a wise saying from the ancients. When dealing with ugly things, things can easily happen if you keep an eye on them.
For example, take the mask in Figure 1. At first glance, she has a crooked mouth and slanted eyes, disheveled hair, and ragged clothes. We can’t put too much thought into this kind of girl. We will be disgusted by it. It's a shame to go out, and just wipe out the oil once in a while and leave is the right way;
On the other hand, look at Sol in Picture 2. She has long braids and bright eyes. She is as graceful as a dragon and graceful as a swimming dragon. She is brought out to support the show and married into a prosperous husband. Who would not be surprised to see it? ! If you meet this kind of girl and catch her, you must love her bravely, love her seriously, practice her and cherish her, otherwise there will be many people who will miss her for you.
The second point is to have a good background. If you come from a poor family and want to transcend class, the quickest, easiest and most economical way is to live with a rich woman. Once you become the emperor's son-in-law, you will have to think twice about it.
What does it mean to have a good background? It's very simple. For example, our top goddess, Big Pancake Girl, is surrounded by stars and hundreds of birds. Even if your strength is limited and you are not strong enough to get married, being a licking dog is still safe and decent.
Counting down are the daughters of various major families. Keep in touch and be courteous. If you want to find out which family's business is prosperous, you should pay more attention to them. Don't be reluctant to part with the three melons and two dates in your pocket. They give gifts and talk about love, and they are thick-skinned. Men are the best.
Another special thing is that Cinderella was matched by fate and entered the king's house. The typical one is the dog-headed lolita, picture 3. Although she was born ordinary, the crow turned into a phoenix and is now the daughter-in-law of the king and the wife and concubine of the prince. If you choose the right time to get into her bed, will you miss two good meals? !
#伏波蛙的交易入门课 #BTC #MASK #狗狗币 #DOGE
All the love giants must have the same feeling. A one-night stand is exciting, but in the end it is not as happy as having a sweet relationship with a girl.
So what kind of girl is suitable for falling in love and staying together for a long time?
Today I will list two points for your reference.
The first point is that it must look good and be pleasing to the eye at first glance. Ugly people tend to cause mischief. This is a wise saying from the ancients. When dealing with ugly things, things can easily happen if you keep an eye on them.
For example, take the mask in Figure 1. At first glance, she has a crooked mouth and slanted eyes, disheveled hair, and ragged clothes. We can’t put too much thought into this kind of girl. We will be disgusted by it. It's a shame to go out, and just wipe out the oil once in a while and leave is the right way;
On the other hand, look at Sol in Picture 2. She has long braids and bright eyes. She is as graceful as a dragon and graceful as a swimming dragon. She is brought out to support the show and married into a prosperous husband. Who would not be surprised to see it? ! If you meet this kind of girl and catch her, you must love her bravely, love her seriously, practice her and cherish her, otherwise there will be many people who will miss her for you.
The second point is to have a good background. If you come from a poor family and want to transcend class, the quickest, easiest and most economical way is to live with a rich woman. Once you become the emperor's son-in-law, you will have to think twice about it.
What does it mean to have a good background? It's very simple. For example, our top goddess, Big Pancake Girl, is surrounded by stars and hundreds of birds. Even if your strength is limited and you are not strong enough to get married, being a licking dog is still safe and decent.
Counting down are the daughters of various major families. Keep in touch and be courteous. If you want to find out which family's business is prosperous, you should pay more attention to them. Don't be reluctant to part with the three melons and two dates in your pocket. They give gifts and talk about love, and they are thick-skinned. Men are the best.
Another special thing is that Cinderella was matched by fate and entered the king's house. The typical one is the dog-headed lolita, picture 3. Although she was born ordinary, the crow turned into a phoenix and is now the daughter-in-law of the king and the wife and concubine of the prince. If you choose the right time to get into her bed, will you miss two good meals? !
#伏波蛙的交易入门课 #BTC #MASK #狗狗币 #DOGE
See original
When I selected the tag, I discovered that there were already 101 pieces of content under the topic #伏波蛙的交易入门课 .
You might think that Wawa is just talking nonsense every day, but in fact, he used to be a blogger.
Just do it and cherish it.
You might think that Wawa is just talking nonsense every day, but in fact, he used to be a blogger.
Just do it and cherish it.
See original
Answer to fans’ questions: Selling point knowledge
Yesterday I said I wanted to talk about something interesting, so I would like to invite you to ask questions. I received a few messages, but they were all relatively vague and broad, so I gave a rough answer, in order according to my mood.
Regarding selling points, it can be divided into three situations:
1. Go long the profit stop point
2. Go long stop loss point
3. Short point
Each of the three situations can be subdivided into several situations, and each situation can be further subdivided into three or five thousand words.
I made a rough mind map. as follows:
Considering that the market is bullish right now, most people are going long. Here we focus on the profit stop point for long positions.
Regarding selling points, it can be divided into three situations:
1. Go long the profit stop point
2. Go long stop loss point
3. Short point
Each of the three situations can be subdivided into several situations, and each situation can be further subdivided into three or five thousand words.
I made a rough mind map. as follows:
Considering that the market is bullish right now, most people are going long. Here we focus on the profit stop point for long positions.
See original
Let me tell you a very practical knowledge point [Efforts without results]
Just like when we are in love, you bought a cake and sent flowers, she accepted the gift but didn't let you kiss her, and asked you to hold hands, which counted - maybe your relationship has just started, but if she didn't even say thank you and turned around and left, then we know that she is not interested in us, and efforts have no results, it's time to stop loss.
For example, you are about to take an exam and you are memorizing formulas at the last minute, but the teacher tells you that you won't get points just for writing formulas, so do you still want to continue studying? It's useless to learn, and efforts without results are better than playing games.
It is reflected in technical analysis:
Efforts correspond to trading volume
Results correspond to the amplitude of price changes
On the K-line, you see many people buying, and the trading volume is huge, but the price does not rise. What does this mean?
It means that the main force is shipping, which is a dangerous signal in the rise. Figure 1.
On the contrary, in the decline, you see huge trading volume, but the price can't fall. Why is this?
It means that retail investors are selling in panic, and the main force is taking the opportunity to stock up, so this is a signal to stop the decline. Figure 2.
(It is said that liking can help to urge updates)
#山寨币热点 #伏波蛙的交易入门课 #cream #link
Just like when we are in love, you bought a cake and sent flowers, she accepted the gift but didn't let you kiss her, and asked you to hold hands, which counted - maybe your relationship has just started, but if she didn't even say thank you and turned around and left, then we know that she is not interested in us, and efforts have no results, it's time to stop loss.
For example, you are about to take an exam and you are memorizing formulas at the last minute, but the teacher tells you that you won't get points just for writing formulas, so do you still want to continue studying? It's useless to learn, and efforts without results are better than playing games.
It is reflected in technical analysis:
Efforts correspond to trading volume
Results correspond to the amplitude of price changes
On the K-line, you see many people buying, and the trading volume is huge, but the price does not rise. What does this mean?
It means that the main force is shipping, which is a dangerous signal in the rise. Figure 1.
On the contrary, in the decline, you see huge trading volume, but the price can't fall. Why is this?
It means that retail investors are selling in panic, and the main force is taking the opportunity to stock up, so this is a signal to stop the decline. Figure 2.
(It is said that liking can help to urge updates)
#山寨币热点 #伏波蛙的交易入门课 #cream #link
See original
#伏波蛙的交易入门课
Generally speaking, the stop loss we make
may be wrong 5 out of 10 times
That is to say, in half of the cases,
the price will return to the cost price soon after you stop loss.
So why do we need to strictly stop loss?
My answer is
Although it is disgusting to stop loss wrong,
but the one time when stop loss is correct,
it may save your life.
Compared with the effectiveness of this correct one,
the loss caused by the half error is insignificant.
#山寨季何时到来？
Generally speaking, the stop loss we make
may be wrong 5 out of 10 times
That is to say, in half of the cases,
the price will return to the cost price soon after you stop loss.
So why do we need to strictly stop loss?
My answer is
Although it is disgusting to stop loss wrong,
but the one time when stop loss is correct,
it may save your life.
Compared with the effectiveness of this correct one,
the loss caused by the half error is insignificant.
#山寨季何时到来？
Login to explore more contents