📊The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release non-farm payrolls data for June, and economists predict:

1️⃣ 190,000 new non-farm jobs, down from 272,000 in May;

2️⃣ The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4%;

3️⃣ The year-on-year growth in average hourly wages is expected to drop from 4.1% to 3.9%;

4️⃣ The employment participation rate increased slightly to 62.6%;

5️⃣ The number of manufacturing jobs increased by 6,000, down from 8,000 in May.

🔍Despite high inflation, the Fed's interest rate hikes, the impact of the epidemic and geopolitical uncertainty, the U.S. labor market remains stable. Economists emphasize that as long as job growth gradually cools, the economy is in good shape. But if the cooling rate increases sharply, it will send a warning signal.

💡It is worth noting that immigrants play an important role in the labor market, and it is expected that by 2024, immigrants will account for 43% of the growth of the U.S. labor force. The influx of immigrants not only provides labor, but also drives job growth.

📉However, the results of the business survey and household survey in May tell a different story: businesses added jobs strongly, but the household survey showed a decline in employment. The decline in job openings, the decline in hiring, and the increase in layoffs are worthy of attention.

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