$PEPE Blow up the shorts#$#美国6月非农数据高于预期 #德国政府转移比特币 #$

#美联储何时降息？ #德国政府转移比特币 #美国6月非农数据高于预期 MATR1X officially announced the detailed token economics plan for its platform governance token MAX. According to the announcement, the total supply of MAX tokens is set to 1 billion, of which, in order to reward and incentivize NFT holders on the MATR1X platform, such as owners of YATC and MATR1X KUKU NFT, 94 million MAX tokens will be specially airdropped. coins, accounting for 9.4% of the total. Here is an overview of the complete distribution strategy for MAX tokens:

NFT airdrop: 9.4%, directly awarded to loyal NFT holders on the platform.
Platform contribution: 27.6%, used to incentivize individuals or organizations that have made significant contributions to the development of the MATR1X platform.
Ecosystem construction: 16%, specifically used to support the continued expansion and optimization of the MATR1X ecosystem.
Early bird event participants: 5.5%, rewards those users who actively participated and supported the platform in the early stages.
Community building: 10%, used to strengthen community cohesion and promote interaction and cooperation among users.
Investors and team: 30%, ensuring that the project has sufficient financial support and team stability to promote long-term development.
Consulting team: 1.5%, used to hire and motivate industry experts to provide strategic guidance and professional opinions for the project.
The MAX token will play multiple key roles in the MATR1X ecosystem, including but not limited to:

Community governance: Give holders the power to participate in platform decision-making and jointly shape the future of MATR1X.
Ecosystem value capture: Through the circulation and application of tokens, the continuous growth and sharing of platform value can be achieved.
Staking and reward mechanism: Encourage users to participate in staking and enjoy additional rewards while enhancing network security.
Exclusive Privileges: Provides MAX holders with unique access, priority services and other exclusive benefits.

The market will continue to face multiple challenges this week, especially after the non-farm super week.
Here are the key events to watch:

Fed Chairman Powell's Congressional Testimony:
- On Tuesday and Wednesday, Powell will go to Capitol Hill to deliver his semi-annual monetary policy testimony. The market is paying close attention to his remarks because this may directly affect market expectations. Powell is likely to maintain a dovish stance, which may put pressure on the US dollar and increase its risk of a pullback.

US June CPI data release:
- The June CPI data to be released on Thursday is a key indicator to determine whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September. The market generally expects the overall CPI annual rate to fall from 3.3% in the previous month to 3.1%, and the monthly rate is expected to rise slightly to 0.1%. The core CPI annual rate and monthly rate are expected to remain at 3.4% and 0.2%, respectively.

As the price sub-indices in the ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI surveys have both declined, analysts believe that the risk of CPI data next week may be biased to the downside. If inflation slows further, market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice this year will strengthen, putting pressure on the US dollar.
#美联储何时降息？ #德国政府转移比特币 #美国6月非农数据高于预期 #币安合约锦标赛

The current market dynamics are confusing, but there is an old saying that goes, "There must be something wrong when things are out of the ordinary."

Despite the market's strong calls for rate cuts, the United States continues to implement a high interest rate policy. This high interest rate environment makes global economic participants feel on thin ice. Many US bonds and mortgages are no longer sustainable, and the challenges facing the economy are becoming increasingly severe.

In response, Japan has been quietly selling US bonds to save itself. At the same time, some commercial real estate mortgage bonds in Europe and the United States have also suffered losses. The Federal Reserve has been very cautious in this process, carefully testing the market reaction and trying to cool down the hidden dangers buried in the past. I think it is impossible for the United States to maintain high interest rates all the time, because the continuous expansion of debt will eventually force it to appropriately relax monetary policy. At present, the Federal Reserve is also considering the option of a rate cut in September.

2024 is already halfway through, and the currency circle has gradually exploded since November last year, reaching a high point in April this year. Despite this, there is still a lot of money waiting and watching, which means that the market has not yet reached a high point that fuels the flames, and the market is unlikely to end here. From historical experience, it only takes one month to pull the market up, while a crash may last for three months.

Therefore, I think that people should not panic sell in the current market trough. The market will only get better slowly. I don’t think the market is dead because capital has not retreated.
#德国政府转移比特币 #美国6月非农数据高于预期 #币安合约锦标赛 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划

Major good news! US Bitcoin spot ETF holdings hit a new high, with a total of 888,607 BTC

According to the latest monitoring data of HODL 15 Capital cited by Golden Finance, as of press time, the holdings of US Bitcoin spot ETFs have soared to 888,607 BTC. This figure not only indicates that the holdings of Bitcoin by this type of ETF have reached an unprecedented height, but also set a new historical record.

The surge in holdings further highlights the confidence and recognition of institutional investors in Bitcoin and the blockchain technology behind it. With the continuous improvement of Bitcoin's acceptance around the world and the involvement of more traditional financial institutions, Bitcoin spot ETFs, as an important bridge connecting traditional financial markets and the field of cryptocurrency, have undoubtedly become the focus of market attention. Strategy Understanding--Research Institute--972331171

The monitoring results of HODL 15 Capital not only provide investors with valuable data references, but also indicate that the Bitcoin market may usher in more development opportunities and challenges in the future. With the continuous increase in holdings, Bitcoin spot ETFs will play a more important role in promoting the mainstreaming of cryptocurrency assets and promoting market liquidity.

In general, the record high holdings of US Bitcoin spot ETFs are not only a strong endorsement of current market confidence, but also inject new vitality and momentum into the development of the entire cryptocurrency industry.

The first rate cut by the Federal Reserve is likely to be in September

1. The economic rhythm of the United States is based on a month, which is not suitable for a rate cut at the end of July.

2. The resilience of the US economy is indeed relatively strong.

3. The first rate cut by the Federal Reserve was postponed from July to September. The United States has basically not increased the extent of economic sacrifice, so the lower limit of the decline in US stocks is basically unchanged - 36,580 points.

4. According to the economic rhythm of the United States in a month, mid-to-late August will be the beginning of the last time the United States will do economic work before the first rate cut in September by the Federal Reserve (an economic cycle based on a month).

5. In mid-to-late August, the supply of US debt will push up the interest rate of US debt, and the interest rate of US debt is likely to approach the high point of 2023 again.

6. In mid-to-late August, the interest rate of US debt will rise, and the United States may do some shameless things again, fanning the flames everywhere. At that time, there may be some turbulence in the South China Sea, but it will not be a big deal.

7. After the end of the Olympics on August 11, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine may have a small climax and escalate slightly. The short-term climax of the Middle East situation will only occur in July, and the oil price peaked at $86.6 (US oil) in mid-to-early July.

8. A-shares are likely to bottom out at the end of August, and US stocks may bottom out in mid-August.

9. In early September, the United States may have a small explosion, and US stocks may bottom out again.

10. The big positive news between China and the United States may have to wait until October.

11. In the short term, the US unemployment rate will exceed 4.3 and reach 4.4 before the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. The US unemployment rate was 4.1% in June. According to the trend of the US economy and unemployment rate, it is expected to reach 4.4 in September. Therefore, the Fed's first cut was in September.
#美联储何时降息？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #币安合约锦标赛 #美国6月非农数据高于预期

Why Technical Analysis is Unreliable

Technical analysis is a useful tool for traders, but we must consider its limitations. Technical analysis is basically based on assumptions about past market statistics and data without considering other external factors. Therefore, traders should not rely 100% on technical analysis, but use it together with other analysis methods.

Some of its limitations include:

1. It is based on assumptions about past market trends obtained from past market price and volume data;

2. It is a lagging tool and is affected by the interpretation of different traders;

3. Technical analysis does not provide the full details of the market, i.e. taking economic and global events into account,

Therefore traders should consider all these factors before using technical analysis to make investment decisions. #美联储何时降息？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国6月非农数据高于预期 #技术分析参考

Yesterday, the Bitcoin market ushered in a significant increase of more than two percentage points. However, the overall market pattern showed a relatively obvious differentiation trend. Bitcoin has continued to maintain a steady upward trend since its iconic low of $15,443. After an initial rapid rise and subsequent solid consolidation for more than 100 days, this trend has once again gained momentum and achieved an increase of approximately 200%. After a stunning increase, it entered a new consolidation stage.

Currently, the market generally expects that Bitcoin may build its short-term support level around $53,329. Whether it is an absolute low or a relative secondary low, this area is regarded as an extremely attractive batch building range, especially Near $530, it is regarded as a buying opportunity with a high margin of safety.

For investors who already hold long positions in Bitcoin, whether to choose to close part of their positions should be a flexible decision based on personal risk tolerance (the "c position" here is assumed to be a simplified expression of risk tolerance). If the position is heavy, it is wise to reduce the position appropriately to diversify the risk; conversely, if the position is relatively light, it is recommended to remain patient and avoid leaving the market prematurely, in order to profit from the possible subsequent rising market, or during the market correction. Capture more buying opportunities.

In addition, Bitcoin currently appears to be in a potential triangle consolidation pattern, and investors should pay close attention to the dynamics of the key range of $530 to $545. If a new low is confirmed within this range, this will be a valuable opportunity to increase investment again and capture the rebound. In short, staying vigilant and responding flexibly are indispensable investment strategies in the current market environment. #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #德国政府转移比特币 #币安7周年 #BTC下跌分析 #美国6月非农数据高于预期

The second round of voting in the French parliamentary elections ended, and the market was hit by an unexpected shock, but not the kind of surprise that was expected a week ago. The results showed that the left-wing coalition won the majority of seats, the centrists came in second, and the far right came in third, which was really unexpected for the market, and the market is still digesting this result and its impact. The far left promotes policies such as raising wages, which is seen as inflationary. In the past week or two, the market has not paid attention to them, but has focused all its attention on the far right. Therefore, the market sentiment has changed after the European trading session opened today. The euro depreciated slightly during the Asian session this morning. I think one of the effects of the far left winning is that it will pose a challenge to the European Central Bank to continue to cut interest rates, because if France wants to stimulate the economy, this is contrary to cutting interest rates. When the French bond market opened, the spread between German and French bonds widened, which will also cause trouble for the European Central Bank. In terms of the impact of this on gold and cryptocurrencies, we traded a small short position on the day last night based on the signals of the model, and there were other reasons besides the French election. After the European session opened today, the market sentiment changed rapidly, and we also opened a long position based on the model signals.

#美国6月非农数据高于预期 #德国政府转移比特币 #美联储何时降息？
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