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Today's Picks
U.S. core PCE falls to more than three-year low
Democratic donors consider changing presidential candidate
Israeli Defense Minister: Military preparations are being made for war with Hezbollah
Saudi Arabia's oil prices to Asia may drop for the second time in a row
Japan's top foreign exchange official replaced
Central Bank: Increase financial support for the "market + guarantee" housing supply system
Seven departments: Strengthen policy support for cross-border financing of technology-based enterprises
HKEX proposes to lower the minimum trading price of stocks in certain price ranges
my country continues to implement differentiated individual tax policies for dividends of companies listed on the New Third Board
Market Review
Last Friday, the US PCE inflation report was basically in line with expectations. The US dollar index remained strong, eventually closing down 0.03% at 105.82, but still recorded a weekly increase and has risen for four consecutive weeks. US Treasury yields rose sharply in the US market, with the 10-year US Treasury yield closing at 4.402%, and the two-year US Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, closing at 4.772%.
After the PCE data was released, spot gold once rose to nearly $2,340, then gave up all the gains of the day, and finally closed down 0.04% at $2,326.69/ounce. It barely closed higher last week, but it was the first monthly decline in four months. Spot silver closed up 0.58% at $29.14/ounce.
As traders worried about weak fuel demand in the United States and withdrew some funds at the end of the quarter, both WTI and Brent crude oil fell back, but still hovered at a nine-week high since May, and both rose for three consecutive weeks. WTI crude oil closed down 0.39% at $81.44 per barrel; Brent crude oil closed down 0.61% at $84.86 per barrel.
The three major U.S. stock indexes closed down, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing down 0.1%, up about 3.8% in the first half of the year; the S&P 500 fell 0.4%, up 14% in the first half of the year; and the Nasdaq fell 0.71%, up about 18% in the first half of the year. Nike (NKE.N) had its worst day in history, closing down 20%; Nvidia (NVDA.O) fell slightly by 0.36%, and Amazon (AMZN.O) fell 2.32%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell 1.02%, NIO (NIO.N) fell 5.24%, Xpeng Motors (XPEV.N) fell 4.68%, and Li Auto (LI.O) fell 2.51%.
Most of the major European stock indices closed lower, with Germany's DAX30 index closing up 0.14%; Britain's FTSE 100 index closing down 0.19%; France's CAC40 index closing down 0.68%; and Europe's STOXX 50 index closing down 0.18%.
Hong Kong stocks closed for the first half of the year. The Hang Seng Index opened low and rose in the morning, with a maximum increase of more than 100 points. It fell slightly in the afternoon after sideways adjustment. The Hang Seng Technology Index continued to underperform and maintained underwater fluctuations in the afternoon. As of the close, the Hang Seng Index closed up 0.01% at 17718.61 points. The Hang Seng Technology Index closed down 0.96% at 3554.45 points. The Hang Seng market turnover was HK$98.887 billion (the turnover on the previous trading day was HK$104.225 billion). The Hang Seng Index has accumulated a year-to-date increase of 3.94%, while the Technology Index has accumulated a year-to-date decrease of 5.57%. On the market, strong performance of stocks with Chinese characters in their names supported the market. The three oil companies collectively strengthened, and home appliance stocks continued to weaken in the afternoon. In terms of individual stocks, PetroChina (00857.HK) closed up 4.36%, China Shenhua (01088.HK) closed up 2.28%, Laopu Gold (06181.HK) closed up 72.84% on its first day of listing, and Didi Chuxing (02559.HK) closed down 22.50% on its first day of listing.
The three major A-share indexes opened low and then rebounded in shock. The Shanghai Composite Index and the Shenzhen Component Index rose by more than 1% during the session. In the afternoon, the three major indexes rose and fell, and the ChiNext Index fell by more than 1%. As of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.73%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.01%, and the ChiNext Index fell by 1.16%. On the market, the concept of copper cable high-speed connection rose sharply, and Kaiwang Technology, Huamai Technology, Wall Nuclear Materials, and Derun Electronics hit the daily limit. The consumer electronics concept strengthened, and Kaiwang Technology, Tanaka Precision Machinery, etc. hit the daily limit. The UHV concept strengthened, and Innovation New Materials, Hualing Cable, Changgao Electric New, and Dalian Electric Ceramics hit the daily limit. In terms of decline, securities, telecommunications operations, digital currency, brewing and other sectors fell the most. More stocks rose than fell, and about 3,100 stocks in the three markets of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing were in the red.
International News
1. The U.S. core PCE price index rose 2.6% year-on-year in May, the smallest increase since March 2021. After the data was released, traders increased their bets on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.
2. Richmond Fed President Barkin: The fight against inflation has not yet been won, the U.S. economy is expected to remain resilient, and now is not the right time to issue forward guidance. San Francisco Fed President Daly: The latest inflation data shows that monetary policy is working, but it is too early to judge when it is appropriate to cut interest rates.
3. The scale of the Federal Reserve's ON-RRP returned to above US$600 billion for the first time since January.
4. Preliminary results of the first round of voting in the French National Assembly election showed that the far-right National Rally was in the lead, but the advantage was less than expected. The euro rose in early Asian trading.
5. US media: US Democratic Party donors want to force Biden to replace him, but Biden assured them that he can still win the election. A survey after the first debate between Biden and Trump showed that 67% of the audience believed that Trump won the first debate.
6. US officials said that several US military bases in Europe have entered a state of high alert in recent days.
7. Israel’s Defense Minister said that Israel is making military preparations for a conflict with Hezbollah in Lebanon.
8. The Biden administration proposed new wording for the hostage agreement between Israel and Hamas. Senior Hamas official: No progress has been made in ceasefire negotiations with Israel.
9. The Russian government extended gasoline export license until July 31 due to market saturation.
10. According to sources, Saudi Arabia may cut the price of its crude oil sold to Asia for the second consecutive month in August.
11. The Japanese Ministry of Finance appointed Jun Mimura as the new Deputy Minister of Finance in charge of international affairs, replacing Masato Kanda.
12. Canadian MPs called on Prime Minister Trudeau to step down.
13. If no candidate receives more than half of the votes, the Iranian presidential election will enter the second round of voting.
14. South Korean media: The petition to impeach President Yoon Seok-yeol on the South Korean parliamentary petition website has received 500,000 signatures.
15. Germany's arms exports in the first half of this year increased by 30% year-on-year, mainly due to the continued conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
16. World Meteorological Organization: Extreme weather and climate events have become the new normal.
17. Buffett modified his estate donation plan and announced that he would donate his estate to a charitable trust fund managed by his relatives.
18. Several Wall Street investment banks announced dividend increases and buyback plans.
Domestic News
1. The second quarter regular meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank: We must intensify the implementation of the monetary policies that have been issued and increase financial support for the "market + guarantee" housing supply system.
2. Seven departments jointly issued the "Work Plan on Doing a Solid Job in Science and Technology Finance": Strengthen the functions of stocks, the New Third Board, regional equity markets, etc. in serving technological innovation, and strengthen policy support for cross-border financing of technology-based enterprises.
3. The China Securities Regulatory Commission conducted special research on further comprehensively deepening capital market reform.
4. China Securities Association will conduct a survey on the operating conditions of securities firms’ research business in 2023.
5. 248 companies including China Forestry Group Co., Ltd. were applied for substantive merger and bankruptcy liquidation.
6. The Hong Kong Stock Exchange proposes to lower the minimum trading price levels for stocks in certain price ranges.
7. State Administration of Foreign Exchange: In the first quarter, the net inflow of securities investment into China was US$32.2 billion, a relatively high quarterly level in the past three years.
8. China Academy of Information and Communications Technology: In May, domestic mobile phone shipments reached 30.329 million units, a year-on-year increase of 16.5%.
9. Three departments issued relevant work arrangements on the protection of financial consumer rights and interests: The China Securities Regulatory Commission received and transferred complaints from the securities, futures and fund industries.
10. The two departments: Continue to implement the differentiated personal income tax policy on dividends and bonuses of companies listed on the National Equities Exchange and Quotations.
11. China's manufacturing purchasing managers' index was 49.5% in June, the same as the previous month.
12. The "Rare Earth Management Regulations" were issued and will take effect on October 1.
13. The average daily transaction volume in Guangzhou’s real estate market increased by 30% month-on-month.
14. A popular real estate project in Shenzhen Bay Super Headquarters Base achieved sales of over 10 billion yuan upon its launch.
15. Lankao, Henan: Support state-owned companies to purchase existing commercial housing, and encourage real estate developers to sell ready-made houses and nearly ready-made houses.
16. Ziyang, Sichuan: Parents and children’s provident fund can be withdrawn to buy houses and repay mortgages, promoting the simultaneous sales of parking spaces and housing.
17. Beijing: It is planned to reserve space for intelligent roadside infrastructure in the construction, reconstruction and expansion of roads.
18. Xi Jinping will attend the 24th meeting of the Council of Heads of State of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and pay state visits to Kazakhstan and Tajikistan.
19. Oriental Selection denies being accused of demanding and collecting slot fees and publicity fees.
20. Moutai Group: The basic demand for Moutai liquor has not changed. We have the confidence, strength and ability to get through this cycle.
Risk Warning
☆ 9:45, China's June Caixin Manufacturing PMI
☆ 15:50/15:55/16:00, final values of manufacturing PMI for France/Germany/Eurozone in June
☆ 16:30, UK June Manufacturing PMI
☆ 22:00, US June ISM Manufacturing PMI
☆ Due to the anniversary of the establishment of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, the China-Hong Kong Stock Exchange will be closed for one day, and southbound and northbound transactions will be closed
The article is forwarded from: Jinshi Data
