美国总统大选
48,966 views
32 Discussing
Hot
Latest
See original
$BTC The partners of the gambling news have good fortune!
The next two days will be the second most important news days of the year, #美国总统大选 is about to enter the vote counting stage! Are you fully invested in gambling or watching from the sidelines?
On the market, Bitcoin has shifted from a one-sided decline to a consolidation phase. Since it is an important news day, I suggest trying to find only the most critical positions for trading.
--- First, let's talk about this four-hour EMA moving average, which has not been effectively broken below. Since it is a four-hour moving average, it must be broken in four hours to be considered weak!
--- 65500 is the critical bullish structure breakdown point, and currently, the cycle still maintains a bullish structure. Don’t get confused by this week's pullback!
--- The bull-bear boundary is at 71600; once broken, it is likely to hit new highs!
--- The short-term bull-bear dividing line is at 69200; if it doesn't stand above this level, we cannot expect a stop in the decline.
👉 If Trump can be elected and does not break above 71600, I will look for a pullback; if Harris can be elected and does not break below 65500, I will look for a rebound. This is my thought process for the next two days~
The next two days will be the second most important news days of the year, #美国总统大选 is about to enter the vote counting stage! Are you fully invested in gambling or watching from the sidelines?
On the market, Bitcoin has shifted from a one-sided decline to a consolidation phase. Since it is an important news day, I suggest trying to find only the most critical positions for trading.
--- First, let's talk about this four-hour EMA moving average, which has not been effectively broken below. Since it is a four-hour moving average, it must be broken in four hours to be considered weak!
--- 65500 is the critical bullish structure breakdown point, and currently, the cycle still maintains a bullish structure. Don’t get confused by this week's pullback!
--- The bull-bear boundary is at 71600; once broken, it is likely to hit new highs!
--- The short-term bull-bear dividing line is at 69200; if it doesn't stand above this level, we cannot expect a stop in the decline.
👉 If Trump can be elected and does not break above 71600, I will look for a pullback; if Harris can be elected and does not break below 65500, I will look for a rebound. This is my thought process for the next two days~
See original
The impact of the US presidential election on the market
The impact of the US presidential election on the global financial market is mainly reflected in the following aspects:
1. Foreign exchange market:
- Exchange rate fluctuations: The policy proposals of different candidates and their likelihood of being elected will cause exchange rate fluctuations. For example, Citigroup has predicted that if Trump wins the 2024 election, the US dollar may rise by 5%. Because his policies may include new tax cuts, stimulus measures, and increased trade tariffs on other countries, these measures may attract capital inflows into the United States and push the dollar stronger. If a candidate who supports free trade and tends to maintain the existing international economic order is elected, the trend of the US dollar may be relatively stable.
1. Foreign exchange market:
- Exchange rate fluctuations: The policy proposals of different candidates and their likelihood of being elected will cause exchange rate fluctuations. For example, Citigroup has predicted that if Trump wins the 2024 election, the US dollar may rise by 5%. Because his policies may include new tax cuts, stimulus measures, and increased trade tariffs on other countries, these measures may attract capital inflows into the United States and push the dollar stronger. If a candidate who supports free trade and tends to maintain the existing international economic order is elected, the trend of the US dollar may be relatively stable.
See original
In the three previous U.S. presidential elections, Bitcoin experienced significant increases, and it is expected to be the same this time. Regardless of who is elected president, it will not change the overall upward trend of Bitcoin. However, if Trump is elected, BTC will rise even more sharply, greatly shortening the time to break through 100,000.
See original
$BTC New Week Approaches, the next five days are packed with important news. Are your bullets ready?
Let's review two major events for next week 👇
1. First, the results of this round #美国总统大选 will be announced on Wednesday during the day Beijing time, which will likely directly impact the short to medium-term trend of Bitcoin!
2. Second, the Federal Reserve will announce the latest interest rate decision on Friday, with the market generally expecting a 25 basis point rate cut, which would be a positive outcome. Moreover, there is currently no apparent sign of an economic recession!
---------------------------------------
Back to the market, Bitcoin has currently broken through the phase support-resistance exchange level of 69000, and now we need to focus on several key levels.
--- Support to watch in two areas: the first is the EMA 144/169 moving averages, around the price of 67400.
The second is the bullish structure breakdown point at 65500. Above this level, there are still rebound opportunities!
--- Two resistance points to watch: the recent key resistance at 69200 ±200. Since it has already broken down, this level can be tried for a short position, with a strict stop loss on the breakout.
Next is 71600; if we regain this level, there is a high probability of hitting a new high!
Let's review two major events for next week 👇
1. First, the results of this round #美国总统大选 will be announced on Wednesday during the day Beijing time, which will likely directly impact the short to medium-term trend of Bitcoin!
2. Second, the Federal Reserve will announce the latest interest rate decision on Friday, with the market generally expecting a 25 basis point rate cut, which would be a positive outcome. Moreover, there is currently no apparent sign of an economic recession!
---------------------------------------
Back to the market, Bitcoin has currently broken through the phase support-resistance exchange level of 69000, and now we need to focus on several key levels.
--- Support to watch in two areas: the first is the EMA 144/169 moving averages, around the price of 67400.
The second is the bullish structure breakdown point at 65500. Above this level, there are still rebound opportunities!
--- Two resistance points to watch: the recent key resistance at 69200 ±200. Since it has already broken down, this level can be tried for a short position, with a strict stop loss on the breakout.
Next is 71600; if we regain this level, there is a high probability of hitting a new high!
See original
Polymarket Shines on Election Night: Is the On-Chain Prediction Market Really More Accurate and Faster Than Mainstream Media?
While you are still immersed in the heated discussions of mainstream media, anxiously awaiting the results from key swing states, an on-chain prediction market called Polymarket has quietly provided a clear answer. Before midnight Eastern Time, Polymarket had already set Trump’s chances of winning at 97%, hours ahead of any mainstream media! This raises the question, is on-chain prediction market really that amazing?
Before the election began, Polymarket's data was vastly different from mainstream predictions. While most polling models viewed the election as a 50/50 situation, Polymarket gave Trump a 62% chance of winning. Such predictions naturally raised doubts from some traditional media, who believed that Polymarket's users were mostly 'cryptocurrency enthusiasts' or 'foreign investors' lacking objectivity and a legitimate data foundation.
Before the election began, Polymarket's data was vastly different from mainstream predictions. While most polling models viewed the election as a 50/50 situation, Polymarket gave Trump a 62% chance of winning. Such predictions naturally raised doubts from some traditional media, who believed that Polymarket's users were mostly 'cryptocurrency enthusiasts' or 'foreign investors' lacking objectivity and a legitimate data foundation.
See original
Meme sector: NEIRO (ETH chain), MAGA, FIGHT, BILLY, PENG, etc. surged. MAGA and FIGHT are meme coins related to the US presidential election. The debate between the two US presidential candidates on September 10 is approaching, and the market has surpassed related concept tokens in advance. Due to its full circulation attribute, the meme sector always performs better than other sectors in the market rebound.
#meme板块关注热点 #川普概念meme幣Fight #美国大选你看好谁 #美国总统大选
#meme板块关注热点 #川普概念meme幣Fight #美国大选你看好谁 #美国总统大选
See original
🌐 Armstrong and Ripple co-founders support Harris' campaign
Recently, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen have both publicly expressed their support for Vice President Kamala Harris. This stance echoes that of several heavyweights in the U.S. business community, who value Harris's leadership potential in promoting technological development, financial innovation, and economic growth.
With the addition of Armstrong and Larsen, Harris has gained widespread support from well-known figures in different industries, including James Murdoch, former CEO of 21st Century Fox, and Aaron Levie of Box. In an open letter, these business leaders emphasized that they believe Harris can promote policies of business stability, innovation, and fair regulation.
Although the Republican Party has recently shown more support for cryptocurrencies, Democrat Harris also seems to recognize the importance of this technology.
From Harris and his team's initiatives such as creating a super political action committee (PAC), it may be a sign that they are adjusting their strategy to win more support and votes from members of the cryptocurrency community.
At the same time, Harris's promise to support small businesses and promote private sector investment has also resonated in the business community. Amid increasing economic uncertainty, the business community is also seeking a clear and predictable investment environment and policy.
As the election approaches, the political differences between Harris and Trump are widening, especially on tax policy and corporate governance issues. Trump's agenda includes tax cuts and deregulation, while Harris seeks to find a balance between corporate growth and social equity.
🤔 Viewpoint:
The support of Armstrong and Larsen not only strengthens the industry's confidence in Harris's support for cryptocurrencies in the future, but also reflects the business community's desire for a stable policy environment.
It is believed that Harris' support for cryptocurrency and blockchain technology is expected to attract more voters to pay attention to this field and inject strong growth momentum into the market, which is particularly important for technological innovation and industry progress.
💬 In your opinion, in terms of cryptocurrency and technological innovation, which of Harris and Trump's different strategies on economic policy is more beneficial to the investment market? See the comments section!
#美国总统大选 #哈里斯 #特朗普 #加密货币 #技术创新
Recently, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen have both publicly expressed their support for Vice President Kamala Harris. This stance echoes that of several heavyweights in the U.S. business community, who value Harris's leadership potential in promoting technological development, financial innovation, and economic growth.
With the addition of Armstrong and Larsen, Harris has gained widespread support from well-known figures in different industries, including James Murdoch, former CEO of 21st Century Fox, and Aaron Levie of Box. In an open letter, these business leaders emphasized that they believe Harris can promote policies of business stability, innovation, and fair regulation.
Although the Republican Party has recently shown more support for cryptocurrencies, Democrat Harris also seems to recognize the importance of this technology.
From Harris and his team's initiatives such as creating a super political action committee (PAC), it may be a sign that they are adjusting their strategy to win more support and votes from members of the cryptocurrency community.
At the same time, Harris's promise to support small businesses and promote private sector investment has also resonated in the business community. Amid increasing economic uncertainty, the business community is also seeking a clear and predictable investment environment and policy.
As the election approaches, the political differences between Harris and Trump are widening, especially on tax policy and corporate governance issues. Trump's agenda includes tax cuts and deregulation, while Harris seeks to find a balance between corporate growth and social equity.
🤔 Viewpoint:
The support of Armstrong and Larsen not only strengthens the industry's confidence in Harris's support for cryptocurrencies in the future, but also reflects the business community's desire for a stable policy environment.
It is believed that Harris' support for cryptocurrency and blockchain technology is expected to attract more voters to pay attention to this field and inject strong growth momentum into the market, which is particularly important for technological innovation and industry progress.
💬 In your opinion, in terms of cryptocurrency and technological innovation, which of Harris and Trump's different strategies on economic policy is more beneficial to the investment market? See the comments section!
#美国总统大选 #哈里斯 #特朗普 #加密货币 #技术创新
See original
-Political Meme sector: The market has been hyping up the US presidential election at the end of this year. The sector has risen by 23.71% in the past 24 hours, with MAGA, FIGHT, and DMAGA rising by 3.06%, 22.13%, and 27.57% respectively
#meme板块关注热点 #美国总统大选 #特朗普概念币
#meme板块关注热点 #美国总统大选 #特朗普概念币
See original
💰 Standard Chartered Bank predicts: The outcome of the election will significantly affect the price of Bitcoin
As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, Geoff Kendrick, global head of digital assets at Standard Chartered Bank, said that the results of the U.S. presidential election may have a significant impact on the price of Bitcoin.
According to analysis by Standard Chartered Bank, if Trump returns to power, the price of Bitcoin may surge to $125,000; if Harris is elected, the price of Bitcoin may reach $75,000.
Kendrick also said that no matter who wins the election, the market generally expects that key regulatory reforms will make progress. In particular, SAB 121, the strict accounting policy implemented by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on banks’ digital asset holdings, may be repealed in 2025, which will have a positive impact on the Bitcoin market.
Although Trump is considered the more crypto-friendly candidate, the Standard Chartered report states that the Harris administration will not hinder the development of Bitcoin, although it may slow down the pace of regulatory reform.
In addition to the election results, Standard Chartered believes that changes in the U.S. Treasury market will also have a significant impact on Bitcoin prices. Currently, the steepening trend in the Treasury yield curve creates favorable conditions for Bitcoin’s long-term growth.
At the same time, Standard Chartered also expects political, regulatory and economic changes to support Bitcoin's rise in the coming months.
🗣️Opinion:
Just a few days ago, the Bernstein Report predicted that Trump's election could push Bitcoin to $90,000 by the end of the year, while Harris's election could cause the price to fall to $30,000. Now, Standard Chartered Bank has given different expectations, believing that Trump's election may push the price of Bitcoin to US$12.50,000 by the end of the year, and Harris's election may push it to US$7.50,000.
Regarding these forecasts, the view is that investors should remain calm and avoid blindly following media reports or market FOMO sentiment. Because in the investment market, having the ability to think independently is the key to profitability and long-term survival.
Therefore, for various predictions and analysis, we can refer to it, but more importantly, form our own opinions and strategies.
💬 Do you think the election results will really have such a big impact on the price of Bitcoin? Leave your opinion in the comment section!
#比特币 #美国总统大选 #渣打银行预测 #加密货币市场动态
As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, Geoff Kendrick, global head of digital assets at Standard Chartered Bank, said that the results of the U.S. presidential election may have a significant impact on the price of Bitcoin.
According to analysis by Standard Chartered Bank, if Trump returns to power, the price of Bitcoin may surge to $125,000; if Harris is elected, the price of Bitcoin may reach $75,000.
Kendrick also said that no matter who wins the election, the market generally expects that key regulatory reforms will make progress. In particular, SAB 121, the strict accounting policy implemented by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on banks’ digital asset holdings, may be repealed in 2025, which will have a positive impact on the Bitcoin market.
Although Trump is considered the more crypto-friendly candidate, the Standard Chartered report states that the Harris administration will not hinder the development of Bitcoin, although it may slow down the pace of regulatory reform.
In addition to the election results, Standard Chartered believes that changes in the U.S. Treasury market will also have a significant impact on Bitcoin prices. Currently, the steepening trend in the Treasury yield curve creates favorable conditions for Bitcoin’s long-term growth.
At the same time, Standard Chartered also expects political, regulatory and economic changes to support Bitcoin's rise in the coming months.
🗣️Opinion:
Just a few days ago, the Bernstein Report predicted that Trump's election could push Bitcoin to $90,000 by the end of the year, while Harris's election could cause the price to fall to $30,000. Now, Standard Chartered Bank has given different expectations, believing that Trump's election may push the price of Bitcoin to US$12.50,000 by the end of the year, and Harris's election may push it to US$7.50,000.
Regarding these forecasts, the view is that investors should remain calm and avoid blindly following media reports or market FOMO sentiment. Because in the investment market, having the ability to think independently is the key to profitability and long-term survival.
Therefore, for various predictions and analysis, we can refer to it, but more importantly, form our own opinions and strategies.
💬 Do you think the election results will really have such a big impact on the price of Bitcoin? Leave your opinion in the comment section!
#比特币 #美国总统大选 #渣打银行预测 #加密货币市场动态
See original
Trending
Harris versus Trump: The first presidential debate in the United States, all the focus you need to know!
As the U.S. presidential election approaches, the cryptocurrency market is also feeling the potential political volatility. Bernstein analysts predict that if Trump wins the election at the end of the year, Bitcoin may reach a new high in November and even reach $90,000.
Source: Coindesk
On the contrary, if Harris wins, analysts predict that Bitcoin could fall to $30,000. However, this view is not universal, and many observers believe that no matter who is elected, the long-term impact on Bitcoin and cryptocurrency will be limited.
Some analysts believe that Trump's election may indeed bring a short-term surge, but it may also be accompanied by a greater risk of decline. Harris's election may mean that the cryptocurrency market will experience a more stable and slower growth period.
Source: Coindesk
On the contrary, if Harris wins, analysts predict that Bitcoin could fall to $30,000. However, this view is not universal, and many observers believe that no matter who is elected, the long-term impact on Bitcoin and cryptocurrency will be limited.
Some analysts believe that Trump's election may indeed bring a short-term surge, but it may also be accompanied by a greater risk of decline. Harris's election may mean that the cryptocurrency market will experience a more stable and slower growth period.
See original
🚨RFK Jr. withdraws from the election and ally with Trump: Is the future of the cryptocurrency market promising?
Robert Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) officially announced his withdrawal from the 2024 presidential election last Friday, and withdrew his name from the ballots in his 10 "battleground" states. Subsequently, he has officially joined Trump's campaign.
As a result, the price of Bitcoin suddenly soared last Friday night, and some people believe that this is related to RFK's withdrawal and support for Trump's campaign.
Since RFK and Trump have common positions on many issues, it is wise for RFK Jr. to choose to join Trump's campaign team and potential second government. At the same time, Trump even said that if elected, he might give RFK a cabinet position.
At the same time, RFK pays special attention to the food health of American citizens, especially children. He believes that industrialized food production has a negative impact on the growth of the next generation. Although he has withdrawn from the election, Trump's policy era is expected to be implemented according to his plan!
RFK said that one of the reasons for withdrawing from the election was that he thought his chances of being elected were very low, especially after he decided to run independently, he suffered various systematic censorship media attacks. In the United States, many media are influenced by the Democratic Party, which makes him feel hopeless to win. Therefore, he chose to withdraw, hoping to leave the opportunity to Trump.
Although he and Trump do not agree on all issues, RFK believes that Trump's position is more in line with his values in terms of the Ukrainian war, children's health and freedom of speech, so he chose to join Trump's campaign team.
After RFK announced his withdrawal from the election, Trump's winning rate in polymarket rose to 52% at one point, but then fell back to 50%, forming a balance with Harris.
However, no matter what the result of the election is, for cryptocurrency investors, we are more concerned about whether our portfolio will usher in growth.
👇 However, no matter what the result of the US presidential election is, it is expected that the upcoming cryptocurrency bull market in 2025 will not be greatly affected. Therefore, we just need to wait and see, and be a melon-eating crowd!
#RFKJr退选 #特朗普造势 #政治立场 #美国总统大选
Robert Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) officially announced his withdrawal from the 2024 presidential election last Friday, and withdrew his name from the ballots in his 10 "battleground" states. Subsequently, he has officially joined Trump's campaign.
As a result, the price of Bitcoin suddenly soared last Friday night, and some people believe that this is related to RFK's withdrawal and support for Trump's campaign.
Since RFK and Trump have common positions on many issues, it is wise for RFK Jr. to choose to join Trump's campaign team and potential second government. At the same time, Trump even said that if elected, he might give RFK a cabinet position.
At the same time, RFK pays special attention to the food health of American citizens, especially children. He believes that industrialized food production has a negative impact on the growth of the next generation. Although he has withdrawn from the election, Trump's policy era is expected to be implemented according to his plan!
RFK said that one of the reasons for withdrawing from the election was that he thought his chances of being elected were very low, especially after he decided to run independently, he suffered various systematic censorship media attacks. In the United States, many media are influenced by the Democratic Party, which makes him feel hopeless to win. Therefore, he chose to withdraw, hoping to leave the opportunity to Trump.
Although he and Trump do not agree on all issues, RFK believes that Trump's position is more in line with his values in terms of the Ukrainian war, children's health and freedom of speech, so he chose to join Trump's campaign team.
After RFK announced his withdrawal from the election, Trump's winning rate in polymarket rose to 52% at one point, but then fell back to 50%, forming a balance with Harris.
However, no matter what the result of the election is, for cryptocurrency investors, we are more concerned about whether our portfolio will usher in growth.
👇 However, no matter what the result of the US presidential election is, it is expected that the upcoming cryptocurrency bull market in 2025 will not be greatly affected. Therefore, we just need to wait and see, and be a melon-eating crowd!
#RFKJr退选 #特朗普造势 #政治立场 #美国总统大选
See original
Focus Moment! U.S. Elections, news has arrived:
Focus Moment! U.S. Elections, new news has arrived!
Indiana and Kentucky were the first states to end voting in the presidential election.
1. At 6 p.m. Eastern Time on November 5 (7 a.m. Beijing time on the 6th), except for a few congressional district areas, polling stations in Indiana and Kentucky gradually closed, becoming the two states to end voting earliest in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, followed immediately by the counting of votes.
Local time on the 5th was the official voting day for the U.S. presidential election. Due to time zone differences and varying state regulations, the voting end times on that day differ from state to state. The latest state to end voting is Alaska, which will close at 1 a.m. Eastern Time on the 6th (2 p.m. Beijing time on November 6). Hawaii is the second to last state to end voting, closing at midnight Eastern Time on the 6th (1 p.m. Beijing time on November 6).
Indiana and Kentucky were the first states to end voting in the presidential election.
1. At 6 p.m. Eastern Time on November 5 (7 a.m. Beijing time on the 6th), except for a few congressional district areas, polling stations in Indiana and Kentucky gradually closed, becoming the two states to end voting earliest in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, followed immediately by the counting of votes.
Local time on the 5th was the official voting day for the U.S. presidential election. Due to time zone differences and varying state regulations, the voting end times on that day differ from state to state. The latest state to end voting is Alaska, which will close at 1 a.m. Eastern Time on the 6th (2 p.m. Beijing time on November 6). Hawaii is the second to last state to end voting, closing at midnight Eastern Time on the 6th (1 p.m. Beijing time on November 6).
See original
🔊Kamala Harris' campaign team starts accepting cryptocurrency donations
📢 Good news, Coinbase CFO Alesia Haas announced at a conference in New York that Kamala Harris' campaign team is now accepting cryptocurrency donations through Coinbase Commerce!
🤔 What does this mean? This decision may indicate that the Democratic Party's attitude towards cryptocurrency is changing. Although the Democratic Party under Biden's leadership was not very enthusiastic about cryptocurrency before, now the situation seems to have changed. Haas also mentioned that Coinbase's heavy investment in policy may help the United States gain more clarity on cryptocurrency regulation.
💼 However, there seems to be some confusion about who these cryptocurrency donations are given to. Coinbase later clarified that it was actually a collaboration between the Future Forward PAC (not directly supporting Harris) and Coinbase Commerce.
🚀 Meanwhile, Harris' campaign team has been trying to repair its strained relationship with the cryptocurrency industry. A group called "Crypto for Harris" was also established, consisting of 50 members from industry and policy sectors to support Harris' election.
🤨 However, some people are skeptical. Cryptocurrency researcher Gumshoe believes that Harris may not really support cryptocurrency, and even said that she would rather invest the funds in the Meme token pre-sale.
🆚 Harris' opponent Trump also has some support in the cryptocurrency community because he criticized the current government's anti-cryptocurrency stance. I believe that as the election approaches, cryptocurrency donations may have an impact on voters' views.
📊 The betting odds on Polymarket show that Trump currently leads with a 53% chance of winning, while Harris is at 46%, and these odds may reflect public sentiment. However, Harris' new stance on cryptocurrency may also affect the changes in these probabilities. These new trends all show that the influence of cryptocurrency in the US presidential election is increasing.
💬 What do you think about Harris's campaign team accepting cryptocurrency donations? Do you think this will have an impact on her approval rating? Leave your opinion in the comment section!
#加密货币捐赠 #卡玛拉哈里斯 #美国总统大选 #Coinbase
📢 Good news, Coinbase CFO Alesia Haas announced at a conference in New York that Kamala Harris' campaign team is now accepting cryptocurrency donations through Coinbase Commerce!
🤔 What does this mean? This decision may indicate that the Democratic Party's attitude towards cryptocurrency is changing. Although the Democratic Party under Biden's leadership was not very enthusiastic about cryptocurrency before, now the situation seems to have changed. Haas also mentioned that Coinbase's heavy investment in policy may help the United States gain more clarity on cryptocurrency regulation.
💼 However, there seems to be some confusion about who these cryptocurrency donations are given to. Coinbase later clarified that it was actually a collaboration between the Future Forward PAC (not directly supporting Harris) and Coinbase Commerce.
🚀 Meanwhile, Harris' campaign team has been trying to repair its strained relationship with the cryptocurrency industry. A group called "Crypto for Harris" was also established, consisting of 50 members from industry and policy sectors to support Harris' election.
🤨 However, some people are skeptical. Cryptocurrency researcher Gumshoe believes that Harris may not really support cryptocurrency, and even said that she would rather invest the funds in the Meme token pre-sale.
🆚 Harris' opponent Trump also has some support in the cryptocurrency community because he criticized the current government's anti-cryptocurrency stance. I believe that as the election approaches, cryptocurrency donations may have an impact on voters' views.
📊 The betting odds on Polymarket show that Trump currently leads with a 53% chance of winning, while Harris is at 46%, and these odds may reflect public sentiment. However, Harris' new stance on cryptocurrency may also affect the changes in these probabilities. These new trends all show that the influence of cryptocurrency in the US presidential election is increasing.
💬 What do you think about Harris's campaign team accepting cryptocurrency donations? Do you think this will have an impact on her approval rating? Leave your opinion in the comment section!
#加密货币捐赠 #卡玛拉哈里斯 #美国总统大选 #Coinbase
See original
Trump's Major Promises for the Future of Crypto: Can He Become the 'Savior' of the Crypto World?
Imagine how excited you would be if your Bitcoin was no longer subjected to unreasonable suppression, but instead was fully protected by a heavyweight figure. That's right; this figure is former President Trump! He is making a series of significant promises to the cryptocurrency community, vowing to win the hearts of crypto supporters through a pro-crypto agenda. But the question is, can these promises really be fulfilled?
Trump's promises are not unfounded. He has made it clear that he wants to protect Bitcoin mining rights, stop the development of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), and enhance the United States' position in the global crypto industry. These statements immediately made headlines in major media, energizing those in the crypto circle.
Trump's promises are not unfounded. He has made it clear that he wants to protect Bitcoin mining rights, stop the development of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), and enhance the United States' position in the global crypto industry. These statements immediately made headlines in major media, energizing those in the crypto circle.
See original
🚀 Jim Cramer: Harris's stance on the cryptocurrency industry has changed, and policy expectations are enhanced!
TV celebrity and hedge fund manager Jim Cramer recently said on the Mad Money show that he no longer opposes Vice President Kamala Harris as his favorite US presidential candidate. Cramer believes that Harris' policies are more beneficial to large companies and multinational corporations than Biden.
Cramer said that although Biden appears to be more radical in corporate regulation, Harris is more like a centrist, and her policies may bring a business-friendly environment. For example, in times of economic turmoil, this may help stabilize the market.
He also believes that Harris' policies are seen as balancing economic growth and stability, especially investors in difficult times when companies are adapting to global markets, and concerns about economic uncertainty, inflation, geopolitical tensions and stock market volatility. And her policies may ensure competitiveness without imposing overly strict regulations on innovation.
Cramer also mentioned that unlike Biden's interventionist policies, Harris prefers a technology-based policy focus. Therefore, he believes that Harris can find a balance that can create competition without stifling major players in the technology industry.
On the other hand, for the economic combination of Trump and JD Vance, Cramer believes that their protectionism and pro-domestic policies may pose a threat to multinational companies that rely on international supply chains and bring an unstable market environment.
In summary, Cramer believes that if Harris wins the presidential election, her neutral attitude towards technology regulation may have a positive impact on the cryptocurrency industry. At the same time, Harris may create a more innovative environment for the cryptocurrency industry and promote healthy competition and development in the industry.
💬 Do you agree with Cramer's point of view? In the upcoming US presidential election, which policies do you think are most critical to the cryptocurrency market? If Harris is elected, what specific measures do you think she may take to support the cryptocurrency industry?
#加密货币 #政策影响 #美国总统大选 #哈里斯 #特朗普
TV celebrity and hedge fund manager Jim Cramer recently said on the Mad Money show that he no longer opposes Vice President Kamala Harris as his favorite US presidential candidate. Cramer believes that Harris' policies are more beneficial to large companies and multinational corporations than Biden.
Cramer said that although Biden appears to be more radical in corporate regulation, Harris is more like a centrist, and her policies may bring a business-friendly environment. For example, in times of economic turmoil, this may help stabilize the market.
He also believes that Harris' policies are seen as balancing economic growth and stability, especially investors in difficult times when companies are adapting to global markets, and concerns about economic uncertainty, inflation, geopolitical tensions and stock market volatility. And her policies may ensure competitiveness without imposing overly strict regulations on innovation.
Cramer also mentioned that unlike Biden's interventionist policies, Harris prefers a technology-based policy focus. Therefore, he believes that Harris can find a balance that can create competition without stifling major players in the technology industry.
On the other hand, for the economic combination of Trump and JD Vance, Cramer believes that their protectionism and pro-domestic policies may pose a threat to multinational companies that rely on international supply chains and bring an unstable market environment.
In summary, Cramer believes that if Harris wins the presidential election, her neutral attitude towards technology regulation may have a positive impact on the cryptocurrency industry. At the same time, Harris may create a more innovative environment for the cryptocurrency industry and promote healthy competition and development in the industry.
💬 Do you agree with Cramer's point of view? In the upcoming US presidential election, which policies do you think are most critical to the cryptocurrency market? If Harris is elected, what specific measures do you think she may take to support the cryptocurrency industry?
#加密货币 #政策影响 #美国总统大选 #哈里斯 #特朗普
See original
🌪️ The US Presidential Election is approaching, and Bitcoin's volatility is increasing!
As the US presidential election nears, the Bitcoin (BTC) market is set to experience a period of significant volatility. Analysts at Bitfinex mentioned in their latest weekly report that the uncertainty of the election, the 'Trump trade' narrative, and the seasonal performance of Bitcoin in the fourth quarter will together create a 'perfect storm' for the BTC market.
Currently, the crypto community generally believes that if Trump is elected, it will be good news for Bitcoin, as he is a supporter of cryptocurrency and has promised to provide favorable policies for the industry. Although Kamala Harris from the Democratic Party was previously not very enthusiastic about cryptocurrency, she has recently begun to show interest in digital assets.
The market widely expects that regardless of the election outcome, the premium and volatility of US stocks and BTC options will rise in the first week of November. In particular, the correlation between the probability of Trump being elected and the upward trajectory of Bitcoin is continuously strengthening, suggesting that BTC may experience greater volatility than other risk assets.
Recently, Bitcoin has begun to experience wild fluctuations, with the asset rapidly dropping by 6.2% last week before recovering somewhat, and currently, the price has reached around $72,400. Additionally, options activity is surging, especially for options with exercise prices above $100,000, which are expected to reach a volatility of 87.55% by November 8.
💬 Finally, what do you think about Bitcoin's volatility during the US presidential election? How do you think the election results will impact the Bitcoin market price?
#比特币波动 #美国总统大选 #加密货币行情 #期权波动率
As the US presidential election nears, the Bitcoin (BTC) market is set to experience a period of significant volatility. Analysts at Bitfinex mentioned in their latest weekly report that the uncertainty of the election, the 'Trump trade' narrative, and the seasonal performance of Bitcoin in the fourth quarter will together create a 'perfect storm' for the BTC market.
Currently, the crypto community generally believes that if Trump is elected, it will be good news for Bitcoin, as he is a supporter of cryptocurrency and has promised to provide favorable policies for the industry. Although Kamala Harris from the Democratic Party was previously not very enthusiastic about cryptocurrency, she has recently begun to show interest in digital assets.
The market widely expects that regardless of the election outcome, the premium and volatility of US stocks and BTC options will rise in the first week of November. In particular, the correlation between the probability of Trump being elected and the upward trajectory of Bitcoin is continuously strengthening, suggesting that BTC may experience greater volatility than other risk assets.
Recently, Bitcoin has begun to experience wild fluctuations, with the asset rapidly dropping by 6.2% last week before recovering somewhat, and currently, the price has reached around $72,400. Additionally, options activity is surging, especially for options with exercise prices above $100,000, which are expected to reach a volatility of 87.55% by November 8.
💬 Finally, what do you think about Bitcoin's volatility during the US presidential election? How do you think the election results will impact the Bitcoin market price?
#比特币波动 #美国总统大选 #加密货币行情 #期权波动率
See original
Behind the Polymarket explosion: How deep is the wash trading? Are your predictions still reliable?
Imagine that you are excitedly betting on the 2024 US election on Polymarket, looking forward to making a fortune through prediction markets. However, when you dig deeper, you find that one-third of the trading volume on this platform may be fake transactions! Will your heartbeat speed up instantly? Will your trust collapse instantly?
Yes, this is the scandal that Polymarket recently broke out! Although the platform claimed that Trump had a 67% chance of winning and attracted a large number of users to participate in betting, analysts from two crypto research companies found that there was rampant wash trading on Polymarket. Wash trading sounds like an elaborate scam that creates the illusion of prosperous trading by repeatedly buying and selling stocks, making people mistakenly believe that the market is active, but in fact it is hidden.
Yes, this is the scandal that Polymarket recently broke out! Although the platform claimed that Trump had a 67% chance of winning and attracted a large number of users to participate in betting, analysts from two crypto research companies found that there was rampant wash trading on Polymarket. Wash trading sounds like an elaborate scam that creates the illusion of prosperous trading by repeatedly buying and selling stocks, making people mistakenly believe that the market is active, but in fact it is hidden.
See original
🔥 Trump Regains Lead on Polymarket, Harris’ Odds Fall!
🔍 Recently, political bettors on the betting market Polymarket have begun leaning back toward Trump. Harris was ahead of Trump until mid-August, but Trump’s odds have started to rise since the two tied on August 26.
📊 Trump’s odds of winning the election peaked at 71% in July. But when Biden announced he would not run, paving the way for Harris, Trump’s odds fell to 44% in August. Harris’ odds climbed to over 55% in early to mid-August, but in recent weeks, her support among Polymarket traders has fallen, while Trump’s support has steadily risen back to over 50% (currently 52% to 47%).
👍 Trump’s recent support for cryptocurrencies is in stark contrast to his 2021 stance that called cryptocurrencies a “scam.” In July, he gave a speech at the Nashville Bitcoin Conference, promising to support the BTC mining industry. Recently, Trump also released a new set of NFTs with words such as "Crypto President" printed on them, which further attracted cryptocurrency investors.
📈 A recent FDU poll showed that Trump led Harris by 12 percentage points among potential voters who own cryptocurrencies or related assets. This shows Trump's effective appeal to this group. Dan Cassino, a professor at Fairleigh Dickinson University, said that Trump has been reaching out to the cryptocurrency community and it seems to be working.
🤔 Viewpoint:
Trump's lead on Polymarket shows the success of his strategy. By supporting cryptocurrencies, he has shaped his image as an advocate of technological innovation and attracted young and technological voters.
Although the impact of this strategy on the election results is unclear, Trump's strategy among cryptocurrency voters is effective to a certain extent and may inspire other candidates to adopt similar strategies to attract this specific group of voters.
💬What do you think about Trump's retaking the lead on Polymarket and his appeal among cryptocurrency voters? Do you think this will affect the results of the upcoming election?See you in the comments section!
#特朗普 #哈里斯 #加密货币 #美国总统大选
🔍 Recently, political bettors on the betting market Polymarket have begun leaning back toward Trump. Harris was ahead of Trump until mid-August, but Trump’s odds have started to rise since the two tied on August 26.
📊 Trump’s odds of winning the election peaked at 71% in July. But when Biden announced he would not run, paving the way for Harris, Trump’s odds fell to 44% in August. Harris’ odds climbed to over 55% in early to mid-August, but in recent weeks, her support among Polymarket traders has fallen, while Trump’s support has steadily risen back to over 50% (currently 52% to 47%).
👍 Trump’s recent support for cryptocurrencies is in stark contrast to his 2021 stance that called cryptocurrencies a “scam.” In July, he gave a speech at the Nashville Bitcoin Conference, promising to support the BTC mining industry. Recently, Trump also released a new set of NFTs with words such as "Crypto President" printed on them, which further attracted cryptocurrency investors.
📈 A recent FDU poll showed that Trump led Harris by 12 percentage points among potential voters who own cryptocurrencies or related assets. This shows Trump's effective appeal to this group. Dan Cassino, a professor at Fairleigh Dickinson University, said that Trump has been reaching out to the cryptocurrency community and it seems to be working.
🤔 Viewpoint:
Trump's lead on Polymarket shows the success of his strategy. By supporting cryptocurrencies, he has shaped his image as an advocate of technological innovation and attracted young and technological voters.
Although the impact of this strategy on the election results is unclear, Trump's strategy among cryptocurrency voters is effective to a certain extent and may inspire other candidates to adopt similar strategies to attract this specific group of voters.
💬What do you think about Trump's retaking the lead on Polymarket and his appeal among cryptocurrency voters? Do you think this will affect the results of the upcoming election?See you in the comments section!
#特朗普 #哈里斯 #加密货币 #美国总统大选
See original
See original
Trump Supports Bitcoin, Claims to End the Crypto War? Election Results May Ignite a Storm in the Crypto Community!
If a former U.S. president suddenly stands up to declare an end to the crypto war on the 16th anniversary of the Bitcoin white paper, what would your reaction be? Would you feel surprised and excited? That's right, this scene just played out recently!
Former U.S. President and Republican candidate Trump posted on November 1 to congratulate the 16th anniversary of the Bitcoin white paper, boldly claiming he would end the 'crypto war' instigated by current Vice President and Democratic candidate Harris. This news instantly ignited discussions and speculations in the crypto community.
Former U.S. President and Republican candidate Trump posted on November 1 to congratulate the 16th anniversary of the Bitcoin white paper, boldly claiming he would end the 'crypto war' instigated by current Vice President and Democratic candidate Harris. This news instantly ignited discussions and speculations in the crypto community.