Breaking news📣📢
At 4 pm on June 28, Bitcoin options worth $6.65 billion and Ethereum options worth $3.56 billion will expire and be delivered.
This drama can be said to be the highlight that everyone is paying attention to. First of all, the scale of Bitcoin options expiring is very large, $6.65 billion. Coin friends can imagine that it will determine the future price trend of Bitcoin. Some people may think that this is like a gamble, and the stakes are too high! But don’t forget that the options market is definitely not just gambling. It is a very important tool for institutions and big investors to hedge risks and layout strategies.

Let’s take a look at the Ethereum options. $3.56 billion is not a small amount. What impact will these expiring options have on the market?
Brother Mao will analyze it briefly with everyone. First: it is price fluctuations. The breakup of longs and shorts may cause violent price fluctuations! In particular, the prices of big cake and second cake may fluctuate greatly in the short term. Brother Mao reminds everyone to fasten their seat belts.

Second: Market sentiment. The expiration and delivery of options often affect the market sentiment. For example, if the prices of big cake and second cake are higher than the strike price at expiration, many longs will choose to exercise their rights, thereby pushing up the spot market price. On the contrary, short exercise will lower the market price.

At 10:20 this morning, Brother Mao publicly announced that 3406 is not the bottom. Are you still holding those longs? Now it has fallen to 3354. Do you believe Brother Mao?

Today's Brother Mao's strategy: Rebound to around 3410 to take the short position. It will definitely fall below 3200 this week. The stop loss is 50 points of the opening price!
Remember that the market has ups and downs. The important thing is to keep calm and analyze rationally. I am the most stable analyst. Brother Mao shares real-time strategy data for free every day. Remember to follow before leaving! #热门话题 #币安合约锦标赛 #欧洲杯开赛 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #期权到期 $ETH

🔔 Bitcoin options expiration day, can the market see a turnaround?

This Friday is a special day because a large number of Bitcoin options expire. The market has been falling this week, and everyone is guessing whether these options expiration will bring about a big reversal in the market.

📈 On September 6, about 13,500 Bitcoin options contracts expired, with a total value of up to $776 million. Although this number sounds large, compared with last week, the number of expirations today is actually not large, so the impact on the spot market may not be too great.

📊 This week's options contracts show that there are slightly more call (long) contracts than put (short) contracts, with a put/call ratio of 0.82. Data from Deribit shows that many options have strike prices set at $70,000 and $75,000, and there are many people betting that the price can rise to $90,000 or even $100,000.

📉 However, crypto derivatives provider Greeks Live said that market confidence is weakening. They saw from the options data that the main indicators were bearish, implied volatility was also rising, and market expectations were negative in the short term.

💸 However, in addition to Bitcoin, there are about 126,000 Ethereum options expiring, with a notional value of $304 million. The put/call ratio of these contracts is 0.63, showing that the market is also cautious about Ethereum.

🌐 At the same time, the stock market is also falling, with the total market value evaporating 3% in one day, a drop of nearly $2.08 trillion. Bitcoin fell to around $55,500 on Friday morning, and the price has now rebounded to around $56,000.

🤔 Arthur Hayes, former CEO of BitMEX, is also pessimistic about the market. He predicted that the price of Bitcoin may fall below $50,000 this weekend, and he has already boldly shorted it.

💭 What do you think about the expiration of Bitcoin options and the future trend of the market? Do you think the market will rebound or continue to fall? Leave your insights in the comment section!

#比特币期权 #市场动态 #加密货币市场 #期权到期

🚀 18,000 Bitcoin options and 212,000 Ethereum options expire today, with a total notional value of more than $1.7 billion!

Currently, the biggest pain point price for Bitcoin options is $62,000, while that for Ethereum is $2,450. The market is a bit weak now, with Bitcoin struggling fiercely at the key position of $60,000 and Ethereum hovering around the long-term support line of $2,350. It feels like the market may change at any time.

Although the market conditions at the beginning of the fourth quarter of this year are not very good and the options market is a bit sluggish, there are often opportunities in the downturn. For example, the implied volatility of Bitcoin options on November 8 was only 50%, which may indicate that it is a good choice to open some medium- and long-term call options now.

At the same time, the trading of bulk call options has become active this week, and there may be a wave of market conditions before and after the US election. Finally, are you ready? The cryptocurrency market may be making waves again!

💬 At what price do you think the market will have a turning point? Will you open a position at this time? How do you expect the market to react before and after the US election?

#加密货币 #期权到期 #市场动态 #投资机会

🔔With $1.3 billion in Bitcoin options expiring this Friday, can market sentiment be reversed?

This Friday, we will see the expiry of a large number of Bitcoin options contracts with a notional value of up to $1.3 billion. This data is double the expiration volume last week and may have an impact on the spot market. greater impact.

The put/call ratio for this option expiration is 0.87, meaning there are slightly more calls than puts expiring. At the same time, Deribit data shows that the value of open contracts with execution prices of $70,000 and $75,000 has reached $702 million and $700 million respectively.

Additionally, open interest with strike prices of $90,000 and $100,000 is worth approximately $750 million and $928 million, respectively. This shows that the market has certain expectations for the future price of Bitcoin.

Despite the release of macro data such as the US presidential debate and CPI this week, the options market did not experience significant fluctuations. The Fed's interest rate cut expectations next week are gradually converging, with a 61% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut and a 39% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut.

Options data shows that the implied volatility of major options has declined, market volatility has not reached expectations, and market theme fluctuations in September continue.

In addition to Bitcoin options, there are approximately 126,700 Ethereum options expiring, with a notional value of approximately $299 million. These derivatives contracts have a put/call ratio of 0.73, similar to options expiring last week.

Currently, the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index remains at the “fear” level, and market sentiment is gloomy. Bitcoin price has fluctuated between $57,300 and $58,400 over the past 24 hours, while Ethereum has been trading between $2,320 and $2,360.

💬 Finally, do you think this week’s options expiration will change market sentiment? Share your thoughts in the comments section!

#比特币期权 #市场情绪 #加密货币市场动态 #期权到期

🔔Nearly $8 billion in cryptocurrency options are about to expire, and the Bitcoin and Ethereum markets may see huge fluctuations!

The cryptocurrency market is about to enter a busy period, as more than $5.8 billion worth of Bitcoin and more than $1.8 billion worth of Ethereum options contracts are about to expire on September 27 (this Friday).

According to the Deribit exchange report, there are currently $5.836 billion worth of BTC options and $1.883 billion worth of ETH options to be settled, of which about 20% are in-the-money options.

Now there are a large number of Bitcoin and Ethereum options about to expire, of which 20% of these Bitcoin options are "in-the-money" options, and the same is true for Ethereum options. This means that there may be more option references who will choose to close their positions at this critical time node, causing a wave of market fluctuations.

Deribit CEO Luuk Strijers mentioned that market volatility may increase as traders prepare to close or roll over their positions. Rollover is a strategy in which traders extend the holding period by closing expiring contracts and opening new ones.

On the other hand, the positive attitude of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) towards options linked to the BlackRock Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) may attract more institutional investors to the market.

Pricing and market sentiment for options in the coming months show that investors are bullish on Bitcoin and Ethereum, with a negative bearish-call skew, indicating that call options are more popular than put options.

🧐 What do you think about the impact of the upcoming options expiration this Friday on the market? What strategy will you adopt under the current market sentiment?

#期权到期 #加密货币市场 #期权

📊 Analysis of BTC and ETH option expiration

📈 Future trend prediction:
1. Short-term stability:
• Market volatility may temporarily decrease after option expiration
• BTC may consolidate around $59,500
• ETH may find support around $2,650

2. Medium-term upside potential:
• Put Call Ratio is below 1, indicating a slight advantage in bullish sentiment
• BTC and ETH may slowly rise after stabilizing near the current price

3. Long-term trend is stable:
• The term structure is stable, indicating that the market is relatively optimistic about the long-term outlook
• The holdings in August, September, and December are close, indicating that market expectations are stable

🔑 Key data:
• BTC options: 24,000, Put Call Ratio 0.83, maximum pain point $59,500
• ETH options: 184,000, Put Call Ratio 0.80, maximum pain point $2,650
• Options expiring this week account for about 10% of the total holdings

💡 Key points of analysis:
• Put Call Ratio is less than 1, indicating that the market is generally optimistic
• Option expiration may bring short-term fluctuations, but the impact is limited
• The term distribution is even, indicating that the market's expectations for the future are relatively stable
• The recent options market's expectations for future fluctuations have gradually decreased

⚠️ Risk warning:
• Option expiration may trigger short-term price fluctuations
• External factors (such as regulatory policies and macroeconomics) may affect market trends
• Investors should pay close attention to market trends and reasonably control risks
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