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@cosmosdigitalvn
- Investment manager of crypto and digital assets
- AI research scientist
- Social Researcher specializing in Philosophy, Quantum Phys
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If Inflation Rises – The Macro Environment for Crypto Will Become Less Favorable
1️⃣. The FED and PCE Inflation Are Pressuring the Crypto Market
✅ On December 18th, during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, FED Chair Jerome Powell carried out the third interest rate cut of the year, as anticipated by the market. However, he also took a more hawkish stance on monetary policy for 2025. Due to signs of rising PCE inflation, the FED now plans to reduce interest rates only twice in 2025, instead of the four times previously expected.
✅ Financial markets immediatel
✅ On December 18th, during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, FED Chair Jerome Powell carried out the third interest rate cut of the year, as anticipated by the market. However, he also took a more hawkish stance on monetary policy for 2025. Due to signs of rising PCE inflation, the FED now plans to reduce interest rates only twice in 2025, instead of the four times previously expected.
✅ Financial markets immediatel
Bitcoin $100,000 and Investment Strategies During a Bull Market
Bitcoin has officially surpassed the $100,000 milestone, marking a historic event in the crypto market. However, many investors are currently debating whether to hold or wait for a better opportunity to enter the market, especially given the crypto market's notorious volatility, where corrections of 20%-30% are common.
Here are some popular strategies to minimize risks and capitalize on the growth season for optimal profits:
1. Investment Strategies
Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA):Investors allocat
Here are some popular strategies to minimize risks and capitalize on the growth season for optimal profits:
1. Investment Strategies
Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA):Investors allocat
ALTCOIN SEASON BEGINS
If you still doubt the arrival of an Altcoin Season, let me show you the strict cyclical nature of the Crypto market.Take a look at the total market cap chart (excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum), and you’ll notice the following astonishing similarities:
From the peak of altcoins, the market enters a downtrend lasting 12 months.From the bottom of the downtrend, the market recovers to the previous peak within 24 months.From the point of recovery to the previous peak, the market experiences 12 months
From the peak of altcoins, the market enters a downtrend lasting 12 months.From the bottom of the downtrend, the market recovers to the previous peak within 24 months.From the point of recovery to the previous peak, the market experiences 12 months
WHY WILL THERE ALWAYS BE AN ALTCOIN SEASON?
While $BTC continues to break new all-time highs (ATH) and is approaching $100,000—a historic psychological milestone for the crypto market—altcoins have been underperforming Bitcoin significantly, even looking rather lackluster.
Now, with each Bitcoin worth as much as a condominium, the Bitcoin game seems almost exclusively reserved for Wall Street giants like BlackRock and Elon Musk. As a result, most retail investors will turn to altcoins (lower market-cap tokens other than Bitcoin) to optimi
Now, with each Bitcoin worth as much as a condominium, the Bitcoin game seems almost exclusively reserved for Wall Street giants like BlackRock and Elon Musk. As a result, most retail investors will turn to altcoins (lower market-cap tokens other than Bitcoin) to optimi
Bitcoin’s Path to $210,000: A Macro Perspective
As $BTC approaches significant milestones, here’s my outlook on the current bullish trajectory:
$120,000 Target: I anticipate that Bitcoin will move towards the $120,000 range in this current growth phase. This level might serve as a temporary peak, where Bitcoin could experience a brief pause or consolidation.
$100,000 as Key Support: After reaching $120,000, Bitcoin may see a pullback, with $100,000 acting as a crucial support level. Given the psychological importance of this round figure, I b
$120,000 Target: I anticipate that Bitcoin will move towards the $120,000 range in this current growth phase. This level might serve as a temporary peak, where Bitcoin could experience a brief pause or consolidation.
$100,000 as Key Support: After reaching $120,000, Bitcoin may see a pullback, with $100,000 acting as a crucial support level. Given the psychological importance of this round figure, I b
BITCOIN at $73,000 - JUST THE BEGINNING
$BTC at $73,000 today is very different from $73,000 in March 2024. I don’t feel much excitement; perhaps the market following my forecast has taken away the element of surprise.The BTC/USDT trading pair on Binance, which has the largest volume and liquidity for Bitcoin, is what I usually analyze to gauge market dynamics.One key point to note is that the two CVD indicators, Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD Candles) and Aggregated Spot Cumulative Volume Delta (Spot CVD), still show a long-term downtr
Bitcoin will have a new ATH in a few days?
The macro technical indicators on the weekly timeframe suggest that if $BTC surpasses $70,000, it could begin a journey to explore new ATH levels.In addition, with the upcoming U.S. election on November 5, 2024, Republican candidate and former U.S. President Donald Trump is a strong supporter of crypto. If he wins, not only would it ensure a crypto-friendly regulatory environment for development in the U.S., but there’s a high probability that the bill to purchase 1 million Bitcoin as national
Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies - the Opportunity of the Century
In 2024, the price of gold has hit new record highs; U.S. stock indices have repeatedly reached new peaks; Bitcoin has set a new all-time high; and global real estate prices (except for commercial real estate and the Chinese market) are still growing at a rapid pace. Most asset classes are appreciating, but that’s only half the story.
When looking at global liquidity, the total money supply has nearly doubled in just 10 years (2014-2024), reaching a record of $106 trillion USD. In just 10 years
When looking at global liquidity, the total money supply has nearly doubled in just 10 years (2014-2024), reaching a record of $106 trillion USD. In just 10 years
The current Bitcoin price surge may not stem from the demand of Bitcoin Spot ETFs
Although Bitcoin Spot ETFs have been actively purchasing Bitcoin recently, one indicator suggests otherwise. The Coinbase Premium Indicator, which tracks the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and Bitcoin on Binance (BTC/USDT pair), has shown a negative premium. This implies that:1. Investors on Coinbase are selling Bitcoin more than the rest of the market.2. Investors on Coinbase are staying out of the current price rally.As Coinbase Pro is considered a gateway for institutional inves
100,000 Bitcoins have just been transferred to the exchange in the last 24 hours?
Due to varying approaches and perspectives on data, the determination of the total supply of Bitcoin held on exchanges differs significantly between companies and on-chain analysis tools. While we’ve often heard that the amount of Bitcoin held on exchanges has reached its lowest level in years according to prominent analysis companies like Glassnode or CryptoQuant, CoinMetrics’ analysis seems to suggest otherwise.Notably, in the past 24 hours, Coinglass data has shown that nearly 100,000 $BTC w
No surprises here, in a low-volatility market, large liquidity zones built by high-leverage orders often attract price action to sweep liquidity. The wall of large leveraged long positions has been liquidated, and perhaps the next target will be the large liquidity wall of leveraged short positions at the $62,700 - $63,000 level.
$BTC
$BTC
Hold On to Faith - A Bullrun May Occur After a Prolonged Accumulation Phase
The recent boring price action in the market has raised doubts about whether a bullrun after the halving, as seen in previous cycles, will occur this time. However, let’s take a look at the serious issues the market faced during Q2 and Q3 of 2024:
1. Mx Got returning 150,000 to 200,000 $BTC to creditors.
2. Genesis company selling $2 billion to $4 billion worth of crypto to repay creditors.
3. The German government selling 50,000 Bitcoins.
4. As usual, miners with weaker resources will have to
1. Mx Got returning 150,000 to 200,000 $BTC to creditors.
2. Genesis company selling $2 billion to $4 billion worth of crypto to repay creditors.
3. The German government selling 50,000 Bitcoins.
4. As usual, miners with weaker resources will have to
Bitcoin: A Healthy Growth Journey and Macro Support from Spot ETF
Considering the quarterly candle of $BTC , we observe that Bitcoin remains in a long-term macro uptrend. I believe this growth process is “healthy,” as after each growth period, there is a phase of re-accumulation and market rebalancing. If the price doesn’t grow too quickly, it can continue to rise higher and more sustainably.Contrary to the boredom and skepticism in the market, Bitcoin’s price action over the past two years demonstrates “maturity” and opens the potential for a shift in the gro
Who is Satoshi Nakamoto?
“From a long time, I have had my own answer to the greatest mystery in the crypto market: Who is Satoshi Nakamoto?
Remember, Bitcoin is not a tree that can grow naturally. Bitcoin is a digital system, which requires a codebase, a network to protect it, and electricity to keep it running. Who provided all of that in the early days and continues to maintain it until Bitcoin became secure enough to be fully decentralized?From having no value to surpassing $70,000 per BTC, with a market capitalizati
Remember, Bitcoin is not a tree that can grow naturally. Bitcoin is a digital system, which requires a codebase, a network to protect it, and electricity to keep it running. Who provided all of that in the early days and continues to maintain it until Bitcoin became secure enough to be fully decentralized?From having no value to surpassing $70,000 per BTC, with a market capitalizati
Why I Love Bitcoin and Crypto
A child, if you make them eat, sleep, and follow a routine at specific times, will eventually adopt that habit and consider it an obligation. The child does not know that they have the personal freedom to decide all of their own activities.
But it's not just children. Governments impose regulations and laws in subtle ways, leading people to mistakenly believe that following them is a responsibility and duty. However, in terms of personal freedom, many regulations strip away the rightful freedoms
But it's not just children. Governments impose regulations and laws in subtle ways, leading people to mistakenly believe that following them is a responsibility and duty. However, in terms of personal freedom, many regulations strip away the rightful freedoms
Bitcoin short positions are being closed out
Immediately after the FED cut interest rates by 50 basis points for the first time in four years, signaling a shift in monetary policy from tightening to easing, the liquidity wall of tens of billions of USD in the 70,000$-72,000$ range was partially dismantled. This suggests that large investors have adjusted their strategies, beginning to exit short positions.The thick liquidity wall at the 70,000$ - 72,000$ range could be large sell orders (short positions) or stop orders from major investors
Altcoin has completed the accumulation phase?
I believe this is the most suitable time to start accumulating Altcoins. If we recall that $BTC is a highly cyclical asset, Altcoins tend to react similarly. In both the 2020 and 2024 cycles, the total market capitalization of Altcoins (excluding the top 10) has formed a double-bottom pattern after 31 months, indicating that the accumulation phase is nearly complete.
#Altcoins👀🚀 #Altcoinseason2024
#Altcoins👀🚀 #Altcoinseason2024
Considering the macro perspective, #Bitcoin is an asset with an extremely tight and precise cyclical nature. In the last two Halving events in 2016 and 2020, we can observe an incredible correlation:
1) Since the Halving event occurs, Bitcoin reaches its peak within 18 months and bottoms out after 31 months
2) The fifth month after the Halving event is when Bitcoin begins to break out, with an increase of nearly 30% in that month.
If the 2024 Halving cycle follows the same pattern, we can anticipate the following price action for BTC:
3) Bitcoin may reach its all-time high (ATH) in October 2025 and fall to its lowest point in November 2026.
4) September will likely be the month when Bitcoin sees a 30% growth, marking the start of the main upward wave in this cycle.
$BTC #cycle #BullRun🐂
1) Since the Halving event occurs, Bitcoin reaches its peak within 18 months and bottoms out after 31 months
2) The fifth month after the Halving event is when Bitcoin begins to break out, with an increase of nearly 30% in that month.
If the 2024 Halving cycle follows the same pattern, we can anticipate the following price action for BTC:
3) Bitcoin may reach its all-time high (ATH) in October 2025 and fall to its lowest point in November 2026.
4) September will likely be the month when Bitcoin sees a 30% growth, marking the start of the main upward wave in this cycle.
$BTC #cycle #BullRun🐂
Trong 30 ngày qua, hơn 2 tỷ USDT đã chảy vào các sàn giao dịch. Chưa kể hơn 300 triệu USDC cũng đã chảy vào các sàn giao dịch. Dòng tiền vẫn đang cho thấy dấu hiệu thu mua tích cực.
$USDC #stabecoin #netflow
$USDC #stabecoin #netflow