LIVERebbeca Tollefsen Axbf
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4000 USD ETH has been confirmed. What's next. This is the situation of kill or be killed. Everything depends on one decision and this one decision will be shape the history of crypto world our world. What a time to be alive. The world is one step away from absolute crypto adoption. Or are we too much speculative....
#ETHETFS $ETH
#ETHETFS $ETH
I just detected a head and shoulders pattern on $ETH 1 week time frame. Potentially bearish but once ETH get below $2,900 mark then that will be the confirm buy signal for me.
#headandshoulders
#headandshoulders
Any Correlation between Bitcoin Halving and Bull Runs?
There's a compelling correlation between Bitcoin halvings (reduction of block rewards for miners) and subsequent bull runs, though not always a guaranteed one. Here's a breakdown of past halvings and their corresponding market environments:
Halving 1 (Nov 2012):
Pre-Halving Price: ~$13
Sentiment: Cautious optimism after a slow 2011.
Big News: Mt. Gox hack (~$450 million) cast a shadow, but adoption through Silk Road continued.
Geopolitical: Eurozone debt crisis fueled interest in alternative currencies.
Global Narrative: Bitcoin as a nascent digital gold story emerged.
Post-Halving Bull Run: Price surged from ~$13 to ~$1,100 by November 2013 (84x increase).
Halving 2 (July 2016):
Pre-Halving Price: ~$400
Sentiment: Bearish after a 2014-2015 crash.
Big News: Ethereum launched, sparking interest in DeFi and smart contracts.
Geopolitical: Relatively stable.
Global Narrative: Focus shifted towards
blockchain technology's potential beyond Bitcoin.
Post-Halving Bull Run: Price climbed from ~$400 to ~$20,000 by December 2017 (50x increase).
Halving 3 (May 2020):
Pre-Halving Price: ~$7,000
Sentiment: Uncertain due to the COVID-19
pandemic's economic impact.
Big News: Increased institutional investor interest and support.
Geopolitical: Pandemic triggered a global economic slowdown.
Global Narrative: Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation gained traction.
Post-Halving Bull Run: Price rallied from ~$7,000 to ~$69,000 by November 2021 (10x increase).
Observations:
It takes roughly 12-18 months for the full impact of a halving to be reflected in price.
#BullorBear #bitcoinhalving #etf
There's a compelling correlation between Bitcoin halvings (reduction of block rewards for miners) and subsequent bull runs, though not always a guaranteed one. Here's a breakdown of past halvings and their corresponding market environments:
Halving 1 (Nov 2012):
Pre-Halving Price: ~$13
Sentiment: Cautious optimism after a slow 2011.
Big News: Mt. Gox hack (~$450 million) cast a shadow, but adoption through Silk Road continued.
Geopolitical: Eurozone debt crisis fueled interest in alternative currencies.
Global Narrative: Bitcoin as a nascent digital gold story emerged.
Post-Halving Bull Run: Price surged from ~$13 to ~$1,100 by November 2013 (84x increase).
Halving 2 (July 2016):
Pre-Halving Price: ~$400
Sentiment: Bearish after a 2014-2015 crash.
Big News: Ethereum launched, sparking interest in DeFi and smart contracts.
Geopolitical: Relatively stable.
Global Narrative: Focus shifted towards
blockchain technology's potential beyond Bitcoin.
Post-Halving Bull Run: Price climbed from ~$400 to ~$20,000 by December 2017 (50x increase).
Halving 3 (May 2020):
Pre-Halving Price: ~$7,000
Sentiment: Uncertain due to the COVID-19
pandemic's economic impact.
Big News: Increased institutional investor interest and support.
Geopolitical: Pandemic triggered a global economic slowdown.
Global Narrative: Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation gained traction.
Post-Halving Bull Run: Price rallied from ~$7,000 to ~$69,000 by November 2021 (10x increase).
Observations:
It takes roughly 12-18 months for the full impact of a halving to be reflected in price.
#BullorBear #bitcoinhalving #etf
Correlation Between Bitcoin Halving and Bull Runs: A Historical Analysis
While not a guaranteed outcome, $BTC halvings have historically preceded bull runs in the cryptocurrency market. Here's a breakdown of past halvings and their corresponding market movements:
Halving #1: November 28th, 2012
Pre-Halving Price: ~$13.50Post-Halving Sentiment: Bullish. Positive media coverage and growing investor interest fueled optimism.Big News: Mt. Gox, the leading Bitcoin exchange at the time, experienced a security breach, raising concerns but not derailing the bull run.Geopolitical Situation: Relatively stable. The Eurozone debt crisis was ongoing, but its impact on crypto was minimal.Global Crypto Narrative: Early adoption phase. Bitcoin was gaining traction as a decentralized store of value.
Price Movement:
Pre-Halving (1 Year): ~$1 (Significant increase)Post-Halving (1 Year): ~$1,100 (Massive surge)
Halving #2: July 9th, 2016
Pre-Halving Price: ~$650Post-Halving Sentiment: Mixed. Regulatory uncertainty and skepticism from traditional finance institutions lingered.Big News: Ethereum's DAO hack caused market jitters, but also highlighted the need for smart contract security.Geopolitical Situation: Tensions rose due to the Syrian Civil War and the rise of ISIS.Global Crypto Narrative: Growing adoption and experimentation with blockchain technology.
Price Movement:
Pre-Halving (1 Year): ~$250 (Moderate increase)Post-Halving (1 Year): ~$7,900 (Impressive growth
Halving #3: May 11th, 2020
Pre-Halving Price: ~$7,200Post-Halving Sentiment: Cautiously optimistic. The COVID-19 pandemic created economic uncertainty, but also highlighted the potential of digital assets.Big News: The launch of institutional-grade custody solutions by major players like Fidelity Digital Assets boosted confidence.Geopolitical Situation: Global economic slowdown due to COVID-19 lockdowns.Global Crypto Narrative: Growing institutional interest and recognition of crypto as an alternative asset class.
Price Movement:
Pre-Halving (1 Year): ~$3,600 (Volatility)Post-Halving (1 Year): ~$39,000 (Remarkable rise)
Important Notes:
Correlation doesn't equal causation. Other factors like global economic conditions and regulatory developments also play a role in bull runs.
Current Scenario (April 17, 2024):
The next Bitcoin halving is expected in couples of days. Whether it triggers a similar bull run remains to be seen. Market sentiment is currently cautious, with geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine war and Iranian- Israeli Escalating crisis) and inflation concerns adding to the uncertainty. However, continued institutional adoption and potential regulatory clarity could pave the way for another price surge.
#bitcoinhalving #BullorBear #etf #marketanalysis.
Halving #1: November 28th, 2012
Pre-Halving Price: ~$13.50Post-Halving Sentiment: Bullish. Positive media coverage and growing investor interest fueled optimism.Big News: Mt. Gox, the leading Bitcoin exchange at the time, experienced a security breach, raising concerns but not derailing the bull run.Geopolitical Situation: Relatively stable. The Eurozone debt crisis was ongoing, but its impact on crypto was minimal.Global Crypto Narrative: Early adoption phase. Bitcoin was gaining traction as a decentralized store of value.
Price Movement:
Pre-Halving (1 Year): ~$1 (Significant increase)Post-Halving (1 Year): ~$1,100 (Massive surge)
Halving #2: July 9th, 2016
Pre-Halving Price: ~$650Post-Halving Sentiment: Mixed. Regulatory uncertainty and skepticism from traditional finance institutions lingered.Big News: Ethereum's DAO hack caused market jitters, but also highlighted the need for smart contract security.Geopolitical Situation: Tensions rose due to the Syrian Civil War and the rise of ISIS.Global Crypto Narrative: Growing adoption and experimentation with blockchain technology.
Price Movement:
Pre-Halving (1 Year): ~$250 (Moderate increase)Post-Halving (1 Year): ~$7,900 (Impressive growth
Halving #3: May 11th, 2020
Pre-Halving Price: ~$7,200Post-Halving Sentiment: Cautiously optimistic. The COVID-19 pandemic created economic uncertainty, but also highlighted the potential of digital assets.Big News: The launch of institutional-grade custody solutions by major players like Fidelity Digital Assets boosted confidence.Geopolitical Situation: Global economic slowdown due to COVID-19 lockdowns.Global Crypto Narrative: Growing institutional interest and recognition of crypto as an alternative asset class.
Price Movement:
Pre-Halving (1 Year): ~$3,600 (Volatility)Post-Halving (1 Year): ~$39,000 (Remarkable rise)
Important Notes:
Correlation doesn't equal causation. Other factors like global economic conditions and regulatory developments also play a role in bull runs.
Current Scenario (April 17, 2024):
The next Bitcoin halving is expected in couples of days. Whether it triggers a similar bull run remains to be seen. Market sentiment is currently cautious, with geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine war and Iranian- Israeli Escalating crisis) and inflation concerns adding to the uncertainty. However, continued institutional adoption and potential regulatory clarity could pave the way for another price surge.
#bitcoinhalving #BullorBear #etf #marketanalysis.
Correlation Between Bitcoin Halving and Bull Runs: A Historical Analysis
While not a guaranteed outcome, Bitcoin halvings have historically preceded bull runs in the cryptocurrency market. Here's a breakdown of past halvings and their corresponding market movements:
Halving #1: November 28th, 2012
Pre-Halving Price: ~$13.50Post-Halving Sentiment: Bullish. Positive media coverage and growing investor interest fueled optimism.Big News: Mt. Gox, the leading Bitcoin exchange at the time, experienced a security breach, raising concerns but not derailing the bull run.Geopolitical Situation: Relatively stable. The Eurozone debt crisis was ongoing, but its impact on crypto was minimal.Global Crypto Narrative: Early adoption phase. Bitcoin was gaining traction as a decentralized store of value.
Price Movement:
Pre-Halving (1 Year): ~$1 (Significant increase)Post-Halving (1 Year): ~$1,100 (Massive surge)
Halving #2: July 9th, 2016
Pre-Halving Price: ~$650Post-Halving Sentiment: Mixed. Regulatory uncertainty and skepticism from traditional finance institutions lingered.Big News: Ethereum's DAO hack caused market jitters, but also highlighted the need for smart contract security.Geopolitical Situation: Tensions rose due to the Syrian Civil War and the rise of ISIS.Global Crypto Narrative: Growing adoption and experimentation with blockchain technology.
Price Movement:
Pre-Halving (1 Year): ~$250 (Moderate increase)Post-Halving (1 Year): ~$7,900 (Impressive growth)
Halving #3: May 11th, 2020
Pre-Halving Price: ~$7,200Post-Halving Sentiment: Cautiously optimistic. The COVID-19 pandemic created economic uncertainty, but also highlighted the potential of digital assets.Big News: The launch of institutional-grade custody solutions by major players like Fidelity Digital Assets boosted confidence.Geopolitical Situation: Global economic slowdown due to COVID-19 lockdowns.Global Crypto Narrative: Growing institutional interest and recognition of crypto as an alternative asset class.
Price Movement:
Pre-Halving (1 Year): ~$3,600 (Volatility)Post-Halving (1 Year): ~$39,000 (Remarkable rise)
But please bear in mind that correlation doesn't equal causation.
Current Scenario (April 17, 2024):
The next $BTC halving is expected in very soon of this April 2024. Whether it triggers a similar bull run remains to be seen. Market sentiment is currently cautious, with geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine war, Iran- Israeli crisis) and inflation concerns adding to the uncertainty. However, continued institutional adoption and potential regulatory clarity could pave the way for another price surge.
#BullorBear #bitcoinhalving #etf #market_analysis
Halving #1: November 28th, 2012
Pre-Halving Price: ~$13.50Post-Halving Sentiment: Bullish. Positive media coverage and growing investor interest fueled optimism.Big News: Mt. Gox, the leading Bitcoin exchange at the time, experienced a security breach, raising concerns but not derailing the bull run.Geopolitical Situation: Relatively stable. The Eurozone debt crisis was ongoing, but its impact on crypto was minimal.Global Crypto Narrative: Early adoption phase. Bitcoin was gaining traction as a decentralized store of value.
Price Movement:
Pre-Halving (1 Year): ~$1 (Significant increase)Post-Halving (1 Year): ~$1,100 (Massive surge)
Halving #2: July 9th, 2016
Pre-Halving Price: ~$650Post-Halving Sentiment: Mixed. Regulatory uncertainty and skepticism from traditional finance institutions lingered.Big News: Ethereum's DAO hack caused market jitters, but also highlighted the need for smart contract security.Geopolitical Situation: Tensions rose due to the Syrian Civil War and the rise of ISIS.Global Crypto Narrative: Growing adoption and experimentation with blockchain technology.
Price Movement:
Pre-Halving (1 Year): ~$250 (Moderate increase)Post-Halving (1 Year): ~$7,900 (Impressive growth)
Halving #3: May 11th, 2020
Pre-Halving Price: ~$7,200Post-Halving Sentiment: Cautiously optimistic. The COVID-19 pandemic created economic uncertainty, but also highlighted the potential of digital assets.Big News: The launch of institutional-grade custody solutions by major players like Fidelity Digital Assets boosted confidence.Geopolitical Situation: Global economic slowdown due to COVID-19 lockdowns.Global Crypto Narrative: Growing institutional interest and recognition of crypto as an alternative asset class.
Price Movement:
Pre-Halving (1 Year): ~$3,600 (Volatility)Post-Halving (1 Year): ~$39,000 (Remarkable rise)
But please bear in mind that correlation doesn't equal causation.
Current Scenario (April 17, 2024):
The next $BTC halving is expected in very soon of this April 2024. Whether it triggers a similar bull run remains to be seen. Market sentiment is currently cautious, with geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine war, Iran- Israeli crisis) and inflation concerns adding to the uncertainty. However, continued institutional adoption and potential regulatory clarity could pave the way for another price surge.
#BullorBear #bitcoinhalving #etf #market_analysis
Don't Fear the Bear: Why This Crypto Dip Might Be Your Friend
Here is the very simple logic for people who annoying with overcomplicated TA and speculations from various influencers.
While short-term price drops can be nerve-wracking for crypto investors, a measured approach can turn this bear run into an opportunity. Here's why:
Fire Sale
Bear markets can present lower entry points for quality crypto projects. According to a 2023 Fidelity Digital Assets report, 22% of institutional investors surveyed increased their crypto allocations during downturns. This dip allows you to potentially buy more coins at a discount, setting yourself up for future gains when the market rebounds.
Shakeout of Weak Hands
Bear runs tend to weed out projects with shaky fundamentals and unproven technology. This can be seen as a positive sign, as it allows long-term investors to focus on projects with a higher chance of success.
Focus on Fundamentals
Price drops can shift focus away from short-term speculation and back to the underlying technology and use cases of crypto projects. This allows investors to research and invest in projects they believe have long-term potential, regardless of current market conditions.
Remember, successful crypto investing is a marathon, not a sprint. Use this bear run as a chance to research, DCA, invest strategically, and position yourself for the next bull market.
#BullorBear #DIP
Here is the very simple logic for people who annoying with overcomplicated TA and speculations from various influencers.
While short-term price drops can be nerve-wracking for crypto investors, a measured approach can turn this bear run into an opportunity. Here's why:
Fire Sale
Bear markets can present lower entry points for quality crypto projects. According to a 2023 Fidelity Digital Assets report, 22% of institutional investors surveyed increased their crypto allocations during downturns. This dip allows you to potentially buy more coins at a discount, setting yourself up for future gains when the market rebounds.
Shakeout of Weak Hands
Bear runs tend to weed out projects with shaky fundamentals and unproven technology. This can be seen as a positive sign, as it allows long-term investors to focus on projects with a higher chance of success.
Focus on Fundamentals
Price drops can shift focus away from short-term speculation and back to the underlying technology and use cases of crypto projects. This allows investors to research and invest in projects they believe have long-term potential, regardless of current market conditions.
Remember, successful crypto investing is a marathon, not a sprint. Use this bear run as a chance to research, DCA, invest strategically, and position yourself for the next bull market.
#BullorBear #DIP
Asian Markets Spark Crypto Optimism, HK EFT Approved and Hashkey group partner up with TON
New signs of life are emerging from the Asian crypto market, potentially injecting fresh optimism into the global industry. Hong Kong's Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) recently greenlit the launch of spot-traded $BTC and $ETH Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), a long-awaited move that could unlock billions in investment [Source 1]. This regulatory approval is seen as a significant step towards mainstream adoption of cryptocurrencies, particularly in Asia, which boasts a large and active crypto community.
Further fueling this optimism is the news of HashKey Group, a Hong Kong-based digital asset platform, partnering with $TON (The Open Network). This collaboration will see HashKey provide Bitcoin ETF services while leveraging TON's infrastructure for on-ramping and off-ramping fiat and crypto for users in the Asia-Pacific region [Source 2]. This strategic partnership highlights the growing synergy between established crypto players and innovative blockchain solutions like TON, which aims to provide a fast and scalable platform for decentralized applications.
The combined effect of Hong Kong's ETF approval and HashKey's collaboration with TON paints a cautiously optimistic picture for the Asian crypto market. While regulatory clarity and robust infrastructure remain crucial for wider adoption, these developments signal a growing maturity and willingness to embrace the potential of cryptocurrencies in the region.
Sources:
[Source 1] "https://www.coindesk.com/podcasts/markets-daily/crypto-update-hong-kong-spot-crypto-etfs"[Source 2] "https://tonraffles.dev/ton-foundation-announces-strategic-partnership-with-hashkey-group/"#Bullish #etf #Asia #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Further fueling this optimism is the news of HashKey Group, a Hong Kong-based digital asset platform, partnering with $TON (The Open Network). This collaboration will see HashKey provide Bitcoin ETF services while leveraging TON's infrastructure for on-ramping and off-ramping fiat and crypto for users in the Asia-Pacific region [Source 2]. This strategic partnership highlights the growing synergy between established crypto players and innovative blockchain solutions like TON, which aims to provide a fast and scalable platform for decentralized applications.
The combined effect of Hong Kong's ETF approval and HashKey's collaboration with TON paints a cautiously optimistic picture for the Asian crypto market. While regulatory clarity and robust infrastructure remain crucial for wider adoption, these developments signal a growing maturity and willingness to embrace the potential of cryptocurrencies in the region.
Sources:
[Source 1] "https://www.coindesk.com/podcasts/markets-daily/crypto-update-hong-kong-spot-crypto-etfs"[Source 2] "https://tonraffles.dev/ton-foundation-announces-strategic-partnership-with-hashkey-group/"#Bullish #etf #Asia #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Technical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) (as of April 16, 2024)
Market Sentiment:
The overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market remains cautious. Recent price declines, particularly for Bitcoin, have dampened enthusiasm. Trading volumes remain subdued, reflecting investor hesitancy.
Bitcoin (BTC):
Current Price: $BTC
Trend: Short-term downtrend.
Fibonacci Levels: Using the most recent swing high of ~$70,000 and swing low of ~$50,000, key Fibonacci retracement levels sit at:
Support: ~$53,800 (38.2% retracement) & ~$46,200 (50% retracement)
Resistance (previously mentioned): ~$61,800 (23.6% retracement) & ~$67,600 (14.6% retracement)
Analysis: While $BTC has recovered slightly from its intraday lows, it's still trading below the crucial $64,000 level. A break below this level could trigger a test of the support zones mentioned above. A sustained move below $46,200 would indicate a steeper decline. Conversely, a daily close above $64,000 might suggest a short-term trend reversal.
Ethereum (ETH):
Current Price: $ETH
Trend: Similar to BTC, ETH is in a short-term downtrend.
Fibonacci Levels: Using the most recent swing high of ~$4,800 and swing low of ~$3,200, key Fibonacci retracement levels sit at:
Support: ~$3,700 (38.2% retracement) & ~$3,200 (50% retracement)
Resistance (previously mentioned): ~$4,200 (23.6% retracement) & ~$4,400 (14.6% retracement)
Analysis: ETH finds itself in a precarious position. The current price sits very close to the 50% retracement level, indicating a potential turning point. A breakdown below $3,200 could exacerbate the downtrend. Conversely, a daily close above $3,400 might signal a potential recovery towards the $3,700 support zone and eventually the previous highs.
#bitcoinhalving #BullorBear #Fibonacci #retracement
Market Sentiment:
The overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market remains cautious. Recent price declines, particularly for Bitcoin, have dampened enthusiasm. Trading volumes remain subdued, reflecting investor hesitancy.
Bitcoin (BTC):
Current Price: $BTC
Trend: Short-term downtrend.
Fibonacci Levels: Using the most recent swing high of ~$70,000 and swing low of ~$50,000, key Fibonacci retracement levels sit at:
Support: ~$53,800 (38.2% retracement) & ~$46,200 (50% retracement)
Resistance (previously mentioned): ~$61,800 (23.6% retracement) & ~$67,600 (14.6% retracement)
Analysis: While $BTC has recovered slightly from its intraday lows, it's still trading below the crucial $64,000 level. A break below this level could trigger a test of the support zones mentioned above. A sustained move below $46,200 would indicate a steeper decline. Conversely, a daily close above $64,000 might suggest a short-term trend reversal.
Ethereum (ETH):
Current Price: $ETH
Trend: Similar to BTC, ETH is in a short-term downtrend.
Fibonacci Levels: Using the most recent swing high of ~$4,800 and swing low of ~$3,200, key Fibonacci retracement levels sit at:
Support: ~$3,700 (38.2% retracement) & ~$3,200 (50% retracement)
Resistance (previously mentioned): ~$4,200 (23.6% retracement) & ~$4,400 (14.6% retracement)
Analysis: ETH finds itself in a precarious position. The current price sits very close to the 50% retracement level, indicating a potential turning point. A breakdown below $3,200 could exacerbate the downtrend. Conversely, a daily close above $3,400 might signal a potential recovery towards the $3,700 support zone and eventually the previous highs.
#bitcoinhalving #BullorBear #Fibonacci #retracement
Crypto Needs More Innovation, Not Speculation!
As a serious alpha hunting crypto bro, I'm constantly on the lookout for disruptive technologies. Cryptocurrency's potential for transforming finance is undeniable. But lately, the market feels more like a casino fueled by speculation and, frankly, a dash of manipulation.
Don't get me wrong, there are fantastic projects out there. But to truly reach mass adoption, we need a shift towards revolutionary innovation, not just the next "memes coin with fake hype and paid community!?".
Tokenization, the process of converting assets into digital tokens, holds immense promise. Imagine a world where real-world assets, like shares in a company or even a piece of your granny's Clay pot, are securely and transparently traded on a blockchain. This opens doors to greater financial inclusion and democratizes access to previously illiquid assets.
Here's the key: for this to happen, we need innovation in scalability, security, and regulation ( may be on chain version which cannot disturb the Manifesto of censorship resistance) . Faster transaction times, robust security protocols, and clear regulatory frameworks will foster trust and stability – will definitely pave for legit mass adoption.
$ETH $USDC #Tokenizatio #BUIDL? #RWATokens
As a serious alpha hunting crypto bro, I'm constantly on the lookout for disruptive technologies. Cryptocurrency's potential for transforming finance is undeniable. But lately, the market feels more like a casino fueled by speculation and, frankly, a dash of manipulation.
Don't get me wrong, there are fantastic projects out there. But to truly reach mass adoption, we need a shift towards revolutionary innovation, not just the next "memes coin with fake hype and paid community!?".
Tokenization, the process of converting assets into digital tokens, holds immense promise. Imagine a world where real-world assets, like shares in a company or even a piece of your granny's Clay pot, are securely and transparently traded on a blockchain. This opens doors to greater financial inclusion and democratizes access to previously illiquid assets.
Here's the key: for this to happen, we need innovation in scalability, security, and regulation ( may be on chain version which cannot disturb the Manifesto of censorship resistance) . Faster transaction times, robust security protocols, and clear regulatory frameworks will foster trust and stability – will definitely pave for legit mass adoption.
$ETH $USDC #Tokenizatio #BUIDL? #RWATokens