India Martorana po1e
143 Posts
India Martorana po1e
22 Following
72 Followers
0 Liked
Posts
All
Quotes
Pull me
币安广场
·
--
Binance chat room launches 'Invite Friends to Join and Build Groups' event
Successful invitation of friends to join the chat room and meet the specified conditions will allow both the inviter and the invitee to receive rewards.
Event time:
Event start and end time: 2026.02.10 - 2026.03.10 (UTC +8)
Forms can be filled out for registration during the event period.
Participants:
Inviter (you): Users who now have the permission to build groups in the Binance chat room
Invitee: Users who can build groups after passing the review
How to participate:
Inviter (you) click the 表单链接 to submit information for up to 5 invitees.
The platform will review the group-building permission of the invitee in the form; after passing the review, the assistant will notify the invitee of their qualification to build a group.
Event time:
Event start and end time: 2026.02.10 - 2026.03.10 (UTC +8)
Forms can be filled out for registration during the event period.
Participants:
Inviter (you): Users who now have the permission to build groups in the Binance chat room
Invitee: Users who can build groups after passing the review
How to participate:
Inviter (you) click the 表单链接 to submit information for up to 5 invitees.
The platform will review the group-building permission of the invitee in the form; after passing the review, the assistant will notify the invitee of their qualification to build a group.
Give the child some happiness.
Crypto麻子新
·
--
Some brothers asked whether this is a temporary bottom or a solid bottom?
In fact, my brief words from yesterday contained hints; I mentioned two levels that clearly align with one, and 7.8 as the lifeline also aligns with one.
Will this monthly candle close positively? It is the last day of the month, and it may be difficult to achieve; this needs to be acknowledged. However, at this position, if it goes up two thousand, it will form a shooting star; it just depends on whether it is willing to close.
Furthermore, after the market drops, it needs to consolidate and recover for a while, and I see a bullish trend ahead.
In fact, my brief words from yesterday contained hints; I mentioned two levels that clearly align with one, and 7.8 as the lifeline also aligns with one.
Will this monthly candle close positively? It is the last day of the month, and it may be difficult to achieve; this needs to be acknowledged. However, at this position, if it goes up two thousand, it will form a shooting star; it just depends on whether it is willing to close.
Furthermore, after the market drops, it needs to consolidate and recover for a while, and I see a bullish trend ahead.
Is it painful?
Crypto麻子新
·
--
Some brothers asked whether this is a temporary bottom or a solid bottom?
In fact, my brief words from yesterday contained hints; I mentioned two levels that clearly align with one, and 7.8 as the lifeline also aligns with one.
Will this monthly candle close positively? It is the last day of the month, and it may be difficult to achieve; this needs to be acknowledged. However, at this position, if it goes up two thousand, it will form a shooting star; it just depends on whether it is willing to close.
Furthermore, after the market drops, it needs to consolidate and recover for a while, and I see a bullish trend ahead.
In fact, my brief words from yesterday contained hints; I mentioned two levels that clearly align with one, and 7.8 as the lifeline also aligns with one.
Will this monthly candle close positively? It is the last day of the month, and it may be difficult to achieve; this needs to be acknowledged. However, at this position, if it goes up two thousand, it will form a shooting star; it just depends on whether it is willing to close.
Furthermore, after the market drops, it needs to consolidate and recover for a while, and I see a bullish trend ahead.
Good evening
Crypto麻子新
·
--
Good evening! Brothers.
I really want to follow
赚_LCat
·
--
This section has also identified some varieties, and personally, I believe there's at least a 10x potential in the future.
However, considering the global comprehensive environment, this position could still be cut in half in the medium to long term. It's not the right time to buy immediately. Even if it rises slightly in the short term, falling back later would make little sense.
So there's no rush—let's keep observing.
The crypto market has also rebounded a bit, but currently it's not noticeable.
Bitcoin faces strong resistance at 98,000–100,000.
We should continue waiting.
Capital can be accumulated gradually. The real opportunities often come only once every few years.
What's always missing isn't the options, but patience and judgment.
Thinking you have little money and constantly chasing a chance to turn things around can be extremely dangerous.
It reminds me of a quote by Buffett:
"If I only had 20 investment opportunities in my life, I'd be exceptionally cautious."
Munger also said, "If we remove their 10 greatest investments, the rest would be quite ordinary."
This clearly shows that ordinary people don't need to seize every single opportunity.
It's enough to recognize just a few key turning points with low risk and high reward,
which can be enough to change one's life trajectory.
Looking back on my past 15 years, the four 'life-changing transactions' that truly determined the outcome were almost all rare events—occurring only once every few years. Most other periods were unremarkable.
For the rest of the time, there was really only one thing I focused on:
Avoiding pitfalls.
And these pitfalls never exist only in investing.
Real life is the same:
Family, relationships, marriage, careers,
all present invisible challenges at different stages.
However, considering the global comprehensive environment, this position could still be cut in half in the medium to long term. It's not the right time to buy immediately. Even if it rises slightly in the short term, falling back later would make little sense.
So there's no rush—let's keep observing.
The crypto market has also rebounded a bit, but currently it's not noticeable.
Bitcoin faces strong resistance at 98,000–100,000.
We should continue waiting.
Capital can be accumulated gradually. The real opportunities often come only once every few years.
What's always missing isn't the options, but patience and judgment.
Thinking you have little money and constantly chasing a chance to turn things around can be extremely dangerous.
It reminds me of a quote by Buffett:
"If I only had 20 investment opportunities in my life, I'd be exceptionally cautious."
Munger also said, "If we remove their 10 greatest investments, the rest would be quite ordinary."
This clearly shows that ordinary people don't need to seize every single opportunity.
It's enough to recognize just a few key turning points with low risk and high reward,
which can be enough to change one's life trajectory.
Looking back on my past 15 years, the four 'life-changing transactions' that truly determined the outcome were almost all rare events—occurring only once every few years. Most other periods were unremarkable.
For the rest of the time, there was really only one thing I focused on:
Avoiding pitfalls.
And these pitfalls never exist only in investing.
Real life is the same:
Family, relationships, marriage, careers,
all present invisible challenges at different stages.
😁
Crypto麻子新
·
--
Now many people have already anticipated the year 2026: following the rhythm of 2018 and 2022, there will be a rebound from February to April, a big gold dog will be produced, and starting from May, it will decline continuously, bottoming out around Q4, then waiting for a new cycle.
I have always said that next year is unlikely to be so standardized. But many people disagree, saying that in the end, it will all look the same. The problem is, if we look at it this way, 2025 did not replicate the big bull markets of 2017 and 2021 either. BTC indeed surged to over 120,000, but if it were a typical liquidity bull market, we should have seen at least 150,000 starting this year, and reality has clearly not reached that intensity.
The core reason is actually quite simple: true easing has not arrived. This year's market has been present, but more of a structural rise, which is completely different from the bull markets of 2017 and 2021 that relied on liquidity, this is inherently "different."
Of course, this does not mean that next year will be without risks. The most important variables remain the U.S. economy itself and the pace of Japanese monetary policy. However, at the same time, some positive signals have emerged, such as stopping the balance sheet reduction on December 1st, which is the first clear signal of a liquidity shift since 2022.
My overall judgment is that 2026 is unlikely to repeat the comprehensive bear market of 2022. In the absence of clear balance sheet expansion and without economic recession, the market is more likely to move in segments rather than in a one-sided manner.
These past two years have actually already provided samples:
From September 2024 to January 2025 is one segment,
From April 2025 to October 2025 is another segment.
In between, February to March 2025 was flat for two months, and now starting in November, it has entered a similar oscillation window.
When will the next segment appear? I tend to prefer around January 6th, or after mid-January, the direction will gradually become clear.
At this stage, there is no need to be anxious, just complete the holiday first.
One signal needs to be closely monitored: if the price breaks below 98 and cannot pull back in the short term, while on-chain sentiment clearly turns to panic, then vigilance must be raised.
Conversely, as long as it stabilizes above 101, combined with improving sentiment and news, there is room for continued movement in the market.
As for the present?
Just continue to grind, the essence is the market's garbage time.
I have always said that next year is unlikely to be so standardized. But many people disagree, saying that in the end, it will all look the same. The problem is, if we look at it this way, 2025 did not replicate the big bull markets of 2017 and 2021 either. BTC indeed surged to over 120,000, but if it were a typical liquidity bull market, we should have seen at least 150,000 starting this year, and reality has clearly not reached that intensity.
The core reason is actually quite simple: true easing has not arrived. This year's market has been present, but more of a structural rise, which is completely different from the bull markets of 2017 and 2021 that relied on liquidity, this is inherently "different."
Of course, this does not mean that next year will be without risks. The most important variables remain the U.S. economy itself and the pace of Japanese monetary policy. However, at the same time, some positive signals have emerged, such as stopping the balance sheet reduction on December 1st, which is the first clear signal of a liquidity shift since 2022.
My overall judgment is that 2026 is unlikely to repeat the comprehensive bear market of 2022. In the absence of clear balance sheet expansion and without economic recession, the market is more likely to move in segments rather than in a one-sided manner.
These past two years have actually already provided samples:
From September 2024 to January 2025 is one segment,
From April 2025 to October 2025 is another segment.
In between, February to March 2025 was flat for two months, and now starting in November, it has entered a similar oscillation window.
When will the next segment appear? I tend to prefer around January 6th, or after mid-January, the direction will gradually become clear.
At this stage, there is no need to be anxious, just complete the holiday first.
One signal needs to be closely monitored: if the price breaks below 98 and cannot pull back in the short term, while on-chain sentiment clearly turns to panic, then vigilance must be raised.
Conversely, as long as it stabilizes above 101, combined with improving sentiment and news, there is room for continued movement in the market.
As for the present?
Just continue to grind, the essence is the market's garbage time.
😁
Crypto麻子新
·
--
Seeing this kind of news, many people will have two intuitive questions:
Where does the money come from? Where do the coins come from?
Let's talk about money first.
You might think they are "constantly pulling out new money to buy," but in fact, they are more often using assets to roll assets. Institutions buy ETH, and it is rare for them to put in real cash all at once; instead, they use repurchases, collateral financing, structured products, and market-making hedges to repeatedly use the same capital. When the market is bad, it is actually easier to do this because volatility decreases, financing costs are lower, and counterparties are more stable, so it looks like "the more it falls, the more money there is."
Now let's talk about the supply of ETH.
The price not rising does not mean no one is buying; rather, the supply is continuously being released. Staking unlocks, validator rewards, historical stock chips, OTC counterparties, and market maker inventories are all turning ETH into circulating supply. What you see are buy orders, but what you don't see is that there are always people selling behind the scenes, and the buying and selling are hedged out at the price.
The real key is the rhythm.
Big funds are not in a hurry to raise prices; what they want is scale and cost. As long as the market can still absorb and the sentiment can still digest, time is the best tool. The price moving sideways essentially means that the chips are slowly changing hands, not that the direction judgment is wrong.
So the conclusion is very simple: money does not come in continuously from new sources but is repeatedly used; coins do not suddenly increase but are continuously released. The price not moving only indicates that the chips have not been completely exchanged.
Where does the money come from? Where do the coins come from?
Let's talk about money first.
You might think they are "constantly pulling out new money to buy," but in fact, they are more often using assets to roll assets. Institutions buy ETH, and it is rare for them to put in real cash all at once; instead, they use repurchases, collateral financing, structured products, and market-making hedges to repeatedly use the same capital. When the market is bad, it is actually easier to do this because volatility decreases, financing costs are lower, and counterparties are more stable, so it looks like "the more it falls, the more money there is."
Now let's talk about the supply of ETH.
The price not rising does not mean no one is buying; rather, the supply is continuously being released. Staking unlocks, validator rewards, historical stock chips, OTC counterparties, and market maker inventories are all turning ETH into circulating supply. What you see are buy orders, but what you don't see is that there are always people selling behind the scenes, and the buying and selling are hedged out at the price.
The real key is the rhythm.
Big funds are not in a hurry to raise prices; what they want is scale and cost. As long as the market can still absorb and the sentiment can still digest, time is the best tool. The price moving sideways essentially means that the chips are slowly changing hands, not that the direction judgment is wrong.
So the conclusion is very simple: money does not come in continuously from new sources but is repeatedly used; coins do not suddenly increase but are continuously released. The price not moving only indicates that the chips have not been completely exchanged.
New Brother Strong
Crypto麻子新
·
--
During this period until next week, the macro main line actually consists of these few matters.
First is Japan. The interest rate hike on December 19 has basically been priced in as a "certain event" by the market, and now some are beginning to anticipate that there may be continued rate hikes, even a space of 50 basis points. If the US-Japan interest rate differential narrows too quickly, it will definitely not be good for risk assets, and this pressure is objectively present.
Looking at the Federal Reserve, the recent statements from several officials are not very friendly. For instance, the Cleveland Fed and Kansas City Fed have been very straightforward: the pace of rate cuts may need to slow down, and inflation still needs to be monitored. Such remarks essentially serve to cool down the interest rate market, suppressing risk appetite.
Tech stocks are also not very reassuring. After Oracle's earnings report came out, doubts about tech stocks have clearly increased, and this sentiment has not dissipated immediately. This week, tech stocks showed overall weakness, and the risk market naturally followed suit, making it hard to say that it has already completed its cycle from a timing perspective.
So the core issue for next week remains: the yen interest rate hike, and whether there will be a signal for continued rate hikes in the future. If there are no new positive hedges in the macro narrative, relying solely on "trading the yen interest rate hike," the sentiment in the risk market is likely to remain tight.
I have always emphasized that this yen interest rate hike may not have a significant substantive impact, but the problem is that the market never moves according to "rational values"; it is more about emotional overreactions. As long as people start associating terms like yen, carry trade, and liquidity, short-term volatility is inevitable, and this is something to be wary of.
Currently, the market divergence is quite simple:
Some believe that a drop means a bear market is coming;
While others feel this is a correction in a bull market, providing an opportunity for accumulation.
Which side you stand on actually depends on whether you are looking at short-term sentiment or mid-term trends.
First is Japan. The interest rate hike on December 19 has basically been priced in as a "certain event" by the market, and now some are beginning to anticipate that there may be continued rate hikes, even a space of 50 basis points. If the US-Japan interest rate differential narrows too quickly, it will definitely not be good for risk assets, and this pressure is objectively present.
Looking at the Federal Reserve, the recent statements from several officials are not very friendly. For instance, the Cleveland Fed and Kansas City Fed have been very straightforward: the pace of rate cuts may need to slow down, and inflation still needs to be monitored. Such remarks essentially serve to cool down the interest rate market, suppressing risk appetite.
Tech stocks are also not very reassuring. After Oracle's earnings report came out, doubts about tech stocks have clearly increased, and this sentiment has not dissipated immediately. This week, tech stocks showed overall weakness, and the risk market naturally followed suit, making it hard to say that it has already completed its cycle from a timing perspective.
So the core issue for next week remains: the yen interest rate hike, and whether there will be a signal for continued rate hikes in the future. If there are no new positive hedges in the macro narrative, relying solely on "trading the yen interest rate hike," the sentiment in the risk market is likely to remain tight.
I have always emphasized that this yen interest rate hike may not have a significant substantive impact, but the problem is that the market never moves according to "rational values"; it is more about emotional overreactions. As long as people start associating terms like yen, carry trade, and liquidity, short-term volatility is inevitable, and this is something to be wary of.
Currently, the market divergence is quite simple:
Some believe that a drop means a bear market is coming;
While others feel this is a correction in a bull market, providing an opportunity for accumulation.
Which side you stand on actually depends on whether you are looking at short-term sentiment or mid-term trends.
New Brother🤩
Crypto麻子新
·
--
In this round of the market, many retail crypto investors are actually experiencing the same kind of awkwardness: the bull market has arrived, the direction seems right, but their accounts just won't grow. It's not about losing money, but rather the feeling of "why am I not making a profit even though I did the right things," has basically become a common phenomenon. The vast majority of people are bullish on BTC, ETH, optimistic about mainstream public chains, and have faith in AI, L2, and DeFi. These judgments themselves are not the problem, but when BTC, SOL, and the overall market surge upwards, their own assets remain stagnant or even decrease, and the numbers in their wallets are similar to those during a bear market.
The real issue is that the ecosystem has changed. VCs, teams, market makers, quant traders, MEV bots, and yield farming studios are all ahead of retail investors; early chips, price discovery, and liquidity entry are all in the hands of institutions, and retail investors are always the last to receive information. The previous rough rhythm of "wait for the halving → chase BTC → catch altcoin season" could still work, but now it is completely outdated; the rhythm has become faster, more fragmented, and more institutionalized.
As a result, many retail investors find themselves stuck in a position where they can't move up or down: holding only BTC and ETH feels limited in gains, but they lack the time and energy to research complex strategies and algorithms, and they fear becoming bag holders if they chase VC tokens or MEME coins. It's like being trapped in a sandwich, with the efficiency of institutions pressing down from above, and the volatility of gamblers scaring them from below.
Now most retail investors only have two directions in mind: either wait for the next truly "consensus-level" asset to emerge, hoping to catch a coin similar to BTC or ETH that can transcend cycles; or simply take it easy, holding onto BTC and letting the market fluctuate, at least their minds are no longer tormented by the back-and-forth effects of wealth.
The real issue is that the ecosystem has changed. VCs, teams, market makers, quant traders, MEV bots, and yield farming studios are all ahead of retail investors; early chips, price discovery, and liquidity entry are all in the hands of institutions, and retail investors are always the last to receive information. The previous rough rhythm of "wait for the halving → chase BTC → catch altcoin season" could still work, but now it is completely outdated; the rhythm has become faster, more fragmented, and more institutionalized.
As a result, many retail investors find themselves stuck in a position where they can't move up or down: holding only BTC and ETH feels limited in gains, but they lack the time and energy to research complex strategies and algorithms, and they fear becoming bag holders if they chase VC tokens or MEME coins. It's like being trapped in a sandwich, with the efficiency of institutions pressing down from above, and the volatility of gamblers scaring them from below.
Now most retail investors only have two directions in mind: either wait for the next truly "consensus-level" asset to emerge, hoping to catch a coin similar to BTC or ETH that can transcend cycles; or simply take it easy, holding onto BTC and letting the market fluctuate, at least their minds are no longer tormented by the back-and-forth effects of wealth.
1
Crypto麻子新
·
--
It's late at night, sending a red envelope
Finally left the job! The last two days were too scary to watch.
GGGboy001
·
--
BullishA few thoughts on airdrops
In October, there were about 46 airdrops, and there are still many TEGs
The scores are mostly around 220 points
The airdrops in early November were fine, and then it started to decline, and there were no more TEGs. Many groups have already gone silent, and with Timi being squeezed, many people have also left their jobs
The number of airdrops in November is only 31, which is a big difference from the 46 in October
It's normal for losses to fluctuate now; the bad airdrop army around me has already taken profits and run away. I also collected my airdrop and secured profits the day before yesterday
I hope you all do your best 🙃
In October, there were about 46 airdrops, and there are still many TEGs
The scores are mostly around 220 points
The airdrops in early November were fine, and then it started to decline, and there were no more TEGs. Many groups have already gone silent, and with Timi being squeezed, many people have also left their jobs
The number of airdrops in November is only 31, which is a big difference from the 46 in October
It's normal for losses to fluctuate now; the bad airdrop army around me has already taken profits and run away. I also collected my airdrop and secured profits the day before yesterday
I hope you all do your best 🙃
Don't spray me, new brother
Crypto麻子新
·
--
This kind of person belongs to those who want you to watch their every move, just like following them around and telling them when to buy and sell. They must be treated like a baby, and then if they make money, it’s because they made a wise purchase. If they make even more money, it’s because their diamond hands are really impressive. If they lose money with their diamond hands, then they will look for someone else to blame for their foolishness!
Buy
Crypto麻子新
·
--
The concentration in this fun venue is quite high. This method of concentration can increase the ambush win rate, but it is not a 100% win rate. In other words, there is no 100% win rate in this circle. I see that the concentration in this factory, there may be a surge in the next few weeks as $FUN will need to find a way to offload their goods.
ok
老王Victor
·
--
🧧 Eating meat now, 802's BNB, stay away from the market during FOMO, be bold during panic #美股2026预测 $BNB
good
老王Victor
·
--
Bounced back, brothers $BNB #山寨币市场回暖
Alright, it's exploded
校长小助理
·
--
$BTC Oh my, I almost got liquidated just now...
mmm
KZG Crypto 口罩哥
·
--
gm #加密市场回调
😂😂😂
币安Binance华语
·
--
Please prepare to receive the Binance Alpha airdrop today at 16:00 (UTC+8)!
Users holding at least 240 Binance Alpha points can claim the token airdrop. First come, first served. Until the airdrop pool is exhausted or the event ends. Specific details will be announced separately.
Please follow Binance's official channels for the specific airdrop tokens and stay updated on the latest event news.
Users holding at least 240 Binance Alpha points can claim the token airdrop. First come, first served. Until the airdrop pool is exhausted or the event ends. Specific details will be announced separately.
Please follow Binance's official channels for the specific airdrop tokens and stay updated on the latest event news.
bnb
老王Victor
·
--
🧧$BNB What price are you all stuck at? Enter in batches for some short-term trades#美国结束政府停摆
I'm still saying that she reminded me of what the situation is with the risk account that cannot be claimed.
币安Binance华语
·
--
The token airdrop has been postponed again. Please pay attention to future official announcements for the specific collection time. Thank you for your continued patience and understanding.
Log in to explore more content