#币安HODLer空投 Another shocking news has set off waves in the cryptocurrency market: According to the authoritative data analysis platform Arkham, a wallet marked as the "German government" conducted a large-scale Bitcoin transaction on June 19, involving 6,500 Bitcoins with a total value of up to $425 million. This transaction quickly triggered widespread speculation in the market about whether the German government is selling its cryptocurrency holdings.
It is reported that the wallet has held a large number of Bitcoins since February 2024, with a total of nearly 50,000 Bitcoins, which originated from the confiscation of assets from the pirated movie website "Movie2K". The 6,500 Bitcoins in this transaction are only part of it. There are still a large number of Bitcoins left in the wallet, totaling 43,359 Bitcoins, with a total value of up to $2.83 billion.
It is worth noting that some of the transferred Bitcoins were sent to well-known cryptocurrency exchanges Kraken and Bitstamp, which further exacerbated market volatility. The market is generally concerned that the German government may be selling its "whale"-level Bitcoins on a large scale, and this move will undoubtedly have a profound impact on market prices.
However, the German government has not yet made any official statement on this incident, which has led to more speculation and concerns in the market. People are speculating whether this move by the German government means distrust of the Bitcoin market or a withdrawal of funds due to some financial needs. Regardless of the truth, this incident has undoubtedly brought great uncertainty to the cryptocurrency market.

The trading volume of one second-tier stablecoin alone is as high as 23 billion U.S. dollars. If USDT is added, the figure will be even more astonishing. The hundreds of millions invested by the German government are nothing compared to this, and are nothing more than self-intimidation. After Circle announced that its stablecoin USDC complies with European MiCA regulations, the daily trading volume of USDC and EURC increased significantly. In 2024, USDC's average weekly trading volume has reached a staggering US$23 billion, a significant increase from US$9 billion in 2023 and US$5 billion in 2022. Today, USDC’s share of the stablecoin market is close to 14% of FDUSD, reaching a record high. This data fully demonstrates USDC’s strong strength and continued growth in the digital currency market.

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Whether the Fed cuts interest rates or not will be deeply affected by several sets of data: First, inflation data is key, especially the core PCE inflation rate, which has dropped from 3.5% in October 2023 to 2.6% in May 2024. If it continues to decline, expectations for rate cuts will increase. Secondly, economic growth and employment data cannot be ignored. If they show a slowdown, the Fed may stimulate the economy by cutting interest rates. Furthermore, market expectations and the direction of interest rate futures are also attracting attention. Federal funds rate futures market expectations indicate that there may be multiple rate cuts in the future. These comprehensive data will jointly guide the direction of the Fed's decision-making. #美联储何时降息？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ Want to know more about the first-hand information and in-depth analysis of the currency circle? Click on the avatar to follow us and bring you the latest market analysis and high-quality potential currency recommendations every day.

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The current market sentiment is slightly panic. If I were a dealer, I might cooperate with some good news to push up the market and create the illusion that the bull market is coming

The hype and pull of $ETH ETF seems to be inevitable, but the premise is that there is no selling pressure of 140,000 $BTC from Mt.GOX. Therefore, the market still needs to be observed carefully. I have a hunch that the market is unlikely to fall sharply before the 15th, but the market is unpredictable and we cannot predict when those potential compensations will hit the market.

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Important news!!!

Important news!!!

Important news!!!

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that more positive economic data will boost confidence that inflation is steadily approaching the Fed's 2% target, and recent data show that price increases have become moderate. At the Senate hearing, Powell warned that if interest rate cuts are not timely or too small, they will pose a threat to the economy and the labor market. He emphasized that rising inflation is not the only risk, and policy easing too late or insufficiently may also weaken economic activity and employment, and even hinder or reverse the trend of falling inflation. Powell's remarks implied that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is less likely to cut interest rates at its end-of-month meeting. Although U.S. Treasury yields fluctuated, they were generally higher during the day, and the S&P 500 index continued to rise after Powell's testimony. The market expects the probability of the Fed's first rate cut in September to be slightly higher than 70%, and expects two 25 basis point rate cuts in 2024.

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#今日市场观点 Tonight, Fed Chairman Powell is expected to make dovish remarks. On July 9, we welcome Powell's important evening speech. I firmly believe that he will take a dovish stance tonight, based on the strong non-farm data and employment growth recently released.
The employment rate, an economic barometer, has steadily risen to 4.1%, showing that the US economy is gradually recovering from the trough. Once the employment rate breaks the warning line of 4.3%, the market will worry about the risk of recession, but at present, we are on the track of recovery. Therefore, Powell's speech tonight is very likely to point out the direction of economic policy in the second half of the year, and the market expects that the possibility of a rate cut will increase.
The rate cut is undoubtedly a big positive for the market and will inject new vitality into the market. In addition, the optimistic expectations of the CPI data to be released on Thursday this week have further strengthened the market's confidence in the rate cut. Therefore, Powell's dovish remarks tonight are the general trend, and we are looking forward to the arrival of this historic moment.
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#今日市场观点 Here are the five most watched news in the cryptocurrency circle in the past 24 hours:
1. Trump's Republican platform promised to end the suppression of cryptocurrencies, which may have a profound impact on the US market.

2. Dubai's blockchain platform launched a new smart city project to achieve paperless operation by improving process efficiency and transparency, while strengthening transaction security and regulatory mechanisms.

3. Paxful co-founder faces legal sanctions for failing to implement an effective anti-money laundering program. He is suspected of operating a money transfer business without permission and may face up to five years in prison.

4. Hackers' attack on CeFi platform caused losses of up to $1.4 billion, highlighting the severe security challenges of centralized platforms.

5. Australia's ASX approved the second spot Bitcoin ETF launched by DigitalX, providing investors with a more direct and transparent investment channel.

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#今日市场观点 So far, in just one day, Germany has sold 12,366 bitcoins, close to 32% of the remaining total, which is a crazy data. Fortunately, the bitcoin remains above the support. Currently, there are 27,460 bitcoins left, and more than half of them have been sold successfully. The German incident is getting closer and closer to the end. Continue to wait for the next selling pressure.
4h naked K has stabilized above 56,000, and the short volume has narrowed, showing a slightly upward trend. Today's panic index is 27, and the market continues to maintain fear.
Multiple institutions have submitted S-1 documents, and ETH and ETH ecology have the opportunity to usher in a turnaround. #德国政府转移比特币 $BTC If you are a pure novice, you are excited to rush into the currency circle when you see BTC hit a record high before, then I suggest you follow me first, click the avatar to read more pinned articles to help you, and learn the knowledge of the currency circle with me to make up for your basic skills.
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Shockingly, the German government has once again taken puzzling actions against the public. Just five hours ago, they suddenly withdrew up to 2,350 Bitcoins (BTC) from well-known digital currency exchanges such as Bitstp, Krkn, and CB. This behavior has caused widespread speculation and confusion, as the public has no idea about the true intentions of the German government.
Some speculate that this may be an attempt by the German government to create panic in the digital currency market to observe the market's reaction or achieve a specific purpose. Another theory is that some traders may have failed to successfully receive orders for some reason and can only choose to buy and sell through over-the-counter (OTC) transactions. Some even speculated whether the German government mistakenly sent BTC to the wrong exchange and had to take emergency measures to withdraw these BTC.
These speculations undoubtedly add a bit of mystery to the German government's behavior. Some people jokingly called the German government's operation "low-end operation played a high-end game". Indeed, this incident caused quite a stir in the field of digital currency, and also raised more questions about the German government's motives and strategies.
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The strong rebound of Ethereum and Bitcoin led to the liquidation of more than one billion funds, which shows the intensity of short-seller liquidation! In the subsequent market, the 2820 position serves as a significant support, and the price is expected to climb towards the second pressure level of 3116 to 3170. During this period, there may be a wide range of shocks. It is recommended to wait for the shock area to become clear before performing high-altitude, low-long operations.
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$ETH

Big news!!!

Big news!!!

Big news!!!

Binance will delist BOND, DOCK, MDX, and POLS on July 22. Friends who hold these currencies should pay attention and take timely countermeasures

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Currently, the appearance of Ethereum ETF is attracting wide attention. According to reliable sources, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has given the green light to certain Ethereum ETF proposals, and the market predicts that at least one ETF is expected to enter the trading market on July 15. Although the exact launch date has not yet been announced, the industry generally expects that the Ethereum ETF will start trading around mid-July.
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io.net adopts a decentralized model, cleverly integrating the GPU resources of independent data centers, crypto miners and individual participants into a large distributed cluster network. This innovative strategy enables users to select computing resources on demand and flexibly assign tasks to different nodes for processing. This not only greatly improves resource utilization efficiency, but also reduces dependence on a single data center, thereby enhancing the stability and resilience of the system.
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6 key market indicators show that Bitcoin bulls may still have the upper hand

Despite BTC price volatility and a five-month low, several key indicators show that bulls may still have the upper hand, including:

1. The market pullback is mainly due to concerns about market sell-offs due to Mt.Gox's continued repayment of more than 140,000 BTC to its customers and the German government's BTC liquidation. Although prices continue to fall, selling pressure is weakening. In technical analysis, this situation usually indicates that the current downward trend may reverse or slow down;

2. Two classic technical indicators support the bullish reversal scenario, the hammer line is bullish, and the oversold RSI. Bitcoin BTC formed a bullish hammer line pattern on July 5. In addition, the daily RSI reading hovers around the oversold threshold of 30, which usually indicates a consolidation or recovery period;

3. Wall Street is betting on an increased probability of a rate cut in September. According to CME data, as of July 7, Wall Street traders believed that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve was 72%. A month ago, the probability was 46.60%;

4. Bitcoin ETF investors returned after falling in July, and after two consecutive days of capital outflows, the capital inflow of US spot Bitcoin ETFs resumed. ;

5. The US money supply expanded again;

6. Bitcoin miners' capitulation suggests that BTC prices have bottomed out.

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