Hello, Skyrexians!
Today we are going to analyze the Ethereum price action and try to understand what we can wait in the upcoming months from the main altcoin in the market. You will know how we are seeing the future of $ETH in Skyrexio. This article is going to be useful for you if you are Ethereum holder of active trader. You can setup your crypto trading bots, grid bot or alert bots on your cryptocurrency trading platform according to this analysis if you want. Even in automated trading it's vital to have the overall understanding what is the current direction of the asset. Let's deep dive into analysis!
Ethereum global overview: is 6k real?
Let's take a look at the price chart below. We can see that the maximum value of the Awesome Oscillator corresponds to the previous bull market, it was the wave 3 on the monthly time frame. After that we have seen the zero line cross under, which means that wave 4 is finished. Now we suppose that wave 5 is in progress, which will likely, but not obligatory breaks the previous ATH. In case of success the target area for this wave is 6k in 2025, then large correction can happen.
Now the price of crypto is in the very dangerous point. It found support at the Alligator and AO is still decreasing. Our main assumption that this is wave 1 inside wave 5, but we need to see the green bar on AO first and bounce from Alligator. If not it can only the complex B wave, which could be the biggest trap ever.
As you can see on the chart in the negative scenario price can easily drop -70% from current price to the $800. This is the zone on the lower degree wave A. Wave C can retest this level. In this case we expect the same target $6000, but later in 2026-2027.
What weekly candles are telling us?
Let's go through the current bull market. The wave from $900 to $4000 is the 5 waves impulse in our opinion. Don't be confused that wave 5 is shorter than wave 3, sometimes it can happen. We have already seen the same for Bitcoin.
In our opinion it was just wave 1 inside bigger wave 5. Current dump to 2kretraced exactly to the 0.61 Fibonacci. Expecting the slow reversal from here with the total disbelief. If we are right wave 3 is going to be very impulsive. The target is between 1 and 1.61 Fibonacci extension levels. This is $5-7k price range which almost perfectly fits with the monthly timeframe. After wave 3 finish the distribution with the final expansion in the wave 5 is expected.
When this nightmare dump will be finished?
Is really this correction is finished? Our methods gave us the clear answer - yes (with 90% probability). Dump from the top is the textbook wave 2 with the zigzag shape. We have seen the wave A, wave B retraced exactly to 0.61. Then we can measure wave C target which is almost the same as wave 3. It's always impulsive which means that it shall consists of 5 waves.
This dump reached the target between 1 and 1.61 Fibonacci levels. Moreover we can see 5 waves inside. Pay attention that wave 5 is shortened again. If we are right altseason will come on ETH in the upcoming months. Waves 1 and 2 inside the new upside impulse have already been finished. Now the road to the moon is open. Just fasten your seat belts!
Conclusion
Today we considered Ethereum on three different time frames. Monthly candles are showing some indecisiveness, but looking the weekly and daily time frames we can see the most likely path which price of asset can choose. We hope you will use this article in your trading routine and it was useful for you.
Best regards,
Skyrexio team
