The question arises:
What will be with
$BTC and the market? (especially with such correction)
I spent ~10 hours researching all the data: the info I found was shocking...
Here is what will happen with BTC 👇
➮ Before we dive in..
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Today, DB News confirmed that the US Government plans to liquidate 69,000 BTC ($6.5B) from the Silk Road case
The DOJ received approval from a federal judge to proceed with the sale back on Dec 30, but now it's happening
Let's figure out what will happen next:
After a years-long ownership dispute over the seized Bitcoin, Battle Born Investments lost their bid to delay the sale
Now that they have lost the case, nothing can stop the US from selling the BTC
Additionally, the DOJ openly pushes for the sale due to Bitcoin's volatility
So what will happen to the market?
Recalling the $9B sell-off from Germany and Mt. Gox, we saw Bitcoin drop from $70k to $50k
It’s safe to say that a $6.5B sell-off could significantly impact the market and trigger a 20% correction to $75k-$80k
But it’s not that simple:
The $9B sell-off by Germany and Mt. Gox couldn't cause such a drop with a $20B daily exchange volume
It’s important to understand that at that time, the decline was mainly driven by retail panic
This time, the same thing could happen
However, some factors differ from the previous situation:
Arthur Hayes buying BTC
Arthur Hayes declares that he’s ready to buy BTC, saying:
"My diamond hands are ready to buy the fucking dip. Send it to goblin town, slow Joe!!!"
He believes the sale won’t impact the market
CryptoQuant Research and Nayib Bukele
The CEO of CryptoQuant believes that the $6.5B BTC sale will be absorbed by the market within a week
Additionally, the President of El Salvador considers it simply an opportunity to buy BTC at a discounted price
Everyone is optimistic about the sale
But will it turn out that good?
A drop slightly below the predicted prices could trigger significant panic
Right now, everyone is expecting a decline to $85k-$80k, but what if the drop goes to $70k or even lower?
Don't want to spread FUD, but it's important to consider all possibilities
Right now, I would stay AFK and keep a distance from
$BTC , as the situation is very uncertain
Volatility in either direction could be extremely strong
Things will become clearer once there’s some movement
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