#Bitcoin on the edge of consolidation and rotation to Ethereum & Altseason is the play?I'm always trying to allocate as much as possible towards segments that I find interesting. At this point, the strength in Ethereum starts to pick up. Why is that a good bet? Let's discuss👇First, the markets have been going through a tremendous run as Bitcoin has accelerated from $25,000 to $53,000 in three months. In the meantime, other ecosystems have also been showing a ton of momentum, with the biggest winners being Solana, Injective Protocol, and Render Protocol.1⃣ - Bitcoin's strength topping out -> Rotation?A few things should be considered when we're discussing this topic. Strength topping out isn't a sign of a top bull market; it's just that, in short, the valuation of Bitcoin is overpriced and needs to come back to reality, according to the markets. For instance, right now, the markets have been rushing up by 100% in one go, which usually isn't a trigger for a large group of investors to step into the markets, and they'd instead be waiting for a correction to happen.The question is, how are you defining investors? Well, in this case, it is not by the number of investors but by liquidity being interested in entering the markets. On the other hand, Bitcoin's inflow is positive for the markets as the ETF inflow shows additional interest from institutional parties to get into the markets. That's good. However, they are not the only ones in the markets, and they are not pushing the valuation of Bitcoin on their own.They are a significant variable, but not the only one. As a matter of fact, it's more likely that we'll be seeing organic corrections taking place and a longer cycle due to it. Rotations happen based on macroeconomic events rather than crypto-native events, so things like CPI, FOMC, GDP, and liquidity will be market-movers rather than FVG's. Additionally, the halving event is going to have its impact. Usually, there's a short-term peak before the halving, resulting in the standard 20-40% correction before the continuation of the market. Close to that correction, that's where the sweet spot lies for rotation towards altcoins, and it seems we're seeing the first signals. 2⃣ - #Ethereum's strength -> Dencun upgrade & Potential Spot ETFEthereum is getting underestimated by a mile. Because the price hasn't been performing as it should in the past few years, it means that it will be doing the same in the coming period. Works in all markets. Compare it with the price action of Bitcoin. I bet you that most people have been anticipating further declines when Bitcoin was at $15K, while all the heavy news events were already priced in. The sentiment was different as emotions were taking an enormous toll.The same is corresponding with Ethereum. The Dencun upgrade is around the corner, which will lower the transaction costs for Layer 2's by 90%, making it accessible to be the settlement layer that we all wish it was. That's triggering a lot of momentum towards the Ethereum network and combined with the potential Spot ETF approval, this can only bring fireworks. The valuation of Ethereum as a whole needs to catch up as it should be at $3,800-4,200 if it's at the same stage as Bitcoin's price currently. Bitcoin will consolidate, and money will rotate towards Ethereum. 3⃣ - Altseason -> What's the definition of this?It's a loud and clear message. Altseason. The term originates from 2017, when literally everything was going through the roof in a few months' time, and a rotation game happens through the markets where Bitcoin moves first, then Ethereum, then the rest.However, that is still the case, but things are more complex. Why is that? Well, it's relatively simple. If you've invested in the Solana ecosystem the past few months, you would have been in an alt season yourself. However, when investing in the Ethereum ecosystem, you would have needed to catch up as most have been underperforming. Therefore, the definition of alt season is relatively skewed and should be framed as something correlated to an ecosystem. In this aspect, we're facing an 'Ethereum Altseason'. 4⃣ - #Bitcoin Dominance peaks pre-halvingHistory repeating itself, it seems very likely. In every cycle, the dominance of Bitcoin has peaked prior to the halving. Very understandable, as investors are rotating their profits from holding Bitcoin towards other assets to generate a higher ROI as there's no event that's going to push confidence within Bitcoin at all.On the other hand, projects are delaying their upgrades to after the Bitcoin halving due to the same reasoning. And finally, investors need confidence to jump into the markets and Bitcoin is the biggest asset for that. Once that one has finalized its run, that will be the moment where the rotation towards other ecosystems takes place. In that aspect, we're on the edge of the same at this stage. We're going to be topping out with Bitcoin relatively soon. A peak to $54-58K pre-halving and a harsh correction to $45-48K. That correction is going to be painful, but altcoins are going to feel less pain from that actual event as they are stronger in their BTC pairs -> money rotating towards altcoins is basically that confirmation you're looking for.Recently, Ethereum has shown more strength than Bitcoin, and the entire ecosystem is on the edge of a breakout.My gameplan is to take profits from Bitcoin and rotate towards Ethereum, but also ensure that I cover my position by increasing my USDT stack for a potential correction.If that correction happens, maximize the allocation towards the Ethereum ecosystem and some more. Will be updating that in the coming days/weeks. Hit like if you enjoy these long reads!
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