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博雅看市

Trader frequente
1.2 anos
公众号:博雅看市,围脖:Boya看市。曾任加拿大Swift Trade公司交易员,CCTV证券资讯频道《外汇市场》栏目特约嘉宾,魔鬼交易系统创始人
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$ETH 以太如预期,进入风险区域后开始回落,而且和我回复说的一样,跌到2600以下。 不过,以太总体走的不是标准的趋势背驰结构,所以,不能保证后面一定是日线一笔下,但是这里要继续盘整是肯定了,后面如果30M上面再拉升一波,甚至新高,都是短线做空的机会,直到他调整到位#ETH突破2500
$ETH 以太如预期,进入风险区域后开始回落,而且和我回复说的一样,跌到2600以下。
不过,以太总体走的不是标准的趋势背驰结构,所以,不能保证后面一定是日线一笔下,但是这里要继续盘整是肯定了,后面如果30M上面再拉升一波,甚至新高,都是短线做空的机会,直到他调整到位#ETH突破2500
Traduzir
$ETH 这个位置要注意风险了,昨晚到现在的上涨,可能演化为1750开始上涨的最后一下,日线顶今天大概率会出现。白天如果再冲高,甚至可以带止损进场做空
$ETH 这个位置要注意风险了,昨晚到现在的上涨,可能演化为1750开始上涨的最后一下,日线顶今天大概率会出现。白天如果再冲高,甚至可以带止损进场做空
Traduzir
$BTC 昨天102300是6M多头第二位置,我说这里尝试一下,看5M能否带动30M转多,结果转多成功。然后我又说30M多二位置继续操作,评论区特别说明靠近30M均线进,事实证明,这两个位置都是对的。 当然,操作ETH收益会更大,不过ETH开始大级别背驰段了,再拉容易断,BTC30M也到第三位置了,后面再拉,就可以考虑走人了
$BTC 昨天102300是6M多头第二位置,我说这里尝试一下,看5M能否带动30M转多,结果转多成功。然后我又说30M多二位置继续操作,评论区特别说明靠近30M均线进,事实证明,这两个位置都是对的。

当然,操作ETH收益会更大,不过ETH开始大级别背驰段了,再拉容易断,BTC30M也到第三位置了,后面再拉,就可以考虑走人了
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$BTC 5M多头第二位置带动30M转多即将成功,可以等待30M第二位置继续操作
$BTC 5M多头第二位置带动30M转多即将成功,可以等待30M第二位置继续操作
博雅看市
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$BTC 依托5M多头第二位置做下尝试,要么带动30M转多,要么拉升无力随30M重回下跌。5M图做止损
Traduzir
$BTC 5M多头第二位置带动30M转多即将成功,可以等待30M第二位置继续操作
$BTC 5M多头第二位置带动30M转多即将成功,可以等待30M第二位置继续操作
博雅看市
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$BTC 依托5M多头第二位置做下尝试,要么带动30M转多,要么拉升无力随30M重回下跌。5M图做止损
Traduzir
$BTC 依托5M多头第二位置做下尝试,要么带动30M转多,要么拉升无力随30M重回下跌。5M图做止损
$BTC 依托5M多头第二位置做下尝试,要么带动30M转多,要么拉升无力随30M重回下跌。5M图做止损
Traduzir
$SOL Sol日线昨天也是冲高回落,收盘没有跌破5日线,但是今天早上开盘下行,跌破了昨天低点以及5日线,可以确认的是日线顶分型成了,是否跌破5日线要等收盘。 4小时图上总是是中枢延伸,高位盘整,目前没有明确的跌破区间,也没有明确的第三类卖点可以操作。 所以,暂时还要继续等待演化,等待要么确认167的区间低点支撑有效,后面按167-180区间布局多单,要么确认167被跌破,甚至后面形成横盘转折,由多转空。目前区间内部,先不要动手。#山寨币交易
$SOL Sol日线昨天也是冲高回落,收盘没有跌破5日线,但是今天早上开盘下行,跌破了昨天低点以及5日线,可以确认的是日线顶分型成了,是否跌破5日线要等收盘。

4小时图上总是是中枢延伸,高位盘整,目前没有明确的跌破区间,也没有明确的第三类卖点可以操作。

所以,暂时还要继续等待演化,等待要么确认167的区间低点支撑有效,后面按167-180区间布局多单,要么确认167被跌破,甚至后面形成横盘转折,由多转空。目前区间内部,先不要动手。#山寨币交易
Traduzir
$ETH ETH大的态势今天和BTC接近。日线都是在构筑顶分型,今天关注的价位,就是昨天说的2435附近。 30M图上等会儿如果再新低,要看后面双次反抽,能否站上2435是能否短线做空的分水岭。 出现这种情况,可以等反抽完,以2500作为防守点,轻仓尝试,30MACD底背驰出场,届时转回做多。#本周高光时刻
$ETH ETH大的态势今天和BTC接近。日线都是在构筑顶分型,今天关注的价位,就是昨天说的2435附近。

30M图上等会儿如果再新低,要看后面双次反抽,能否站上2435是能否短线做空的分水岭。

出现这种情况,可以等反抽完,以2500作为防守点,轻仓尝试,30MACD底背驰出场,届时转回做多。#本周高光时刻
Traduzir
$BTC BTC昨天冲高回落,走出一个宽幅震荡,收盘在5日均线下方。这个收盘,给了今天再次下探的可能性。 目前4小时图上构筑完中枢之后,昨晚到向下插针跌破了中枢,之后反抽,反抽最高103081,没有触及103283,这里如果反抽完成,就构成对4小时中枢的第三类卖点,所以,今天要先考虑短线做空,之后看力度。 等30M图上再一次反抽,102600-103000之间考虑介入,止损103800,如果破上去,第三类卖点不成立,继续高位盘整,空单就不可再做了。 稳健的今天等后面30M图再次探底之后,看MACD底背驰,可以介入多单,后面拉回到103300之上,当宽幅震荡对待,冲高出场,拉不回103300,再往下走,不管盈亏,都先离场。#BTC重返10万
$BTC BTC昨天冲高回落,走出一个宽幅震荡,收盘在5日均线下方。这个收盘,给了今天再次下探的可能性。

目前4小时图上构筑完中枢之后,昨晚到向下插针跌破了中枢,之后反抽,反抽最高103081,没有触及103283,这里如果反抽完成,就构成对4小时中枢的第三类卖点,所以,今天要先考虑短线做空,之后看力度。

等30M图上再一次反抽,102600-103000之间考虑介入,止损103800,如果破上去,第三类卖点不成立,继续高位盘整,空单就不可再做了。

稳健的今天等后面30M图再次探底之后,看MACD底背驰,可以介入多单,后面拉回到103300之上,当宽幅震荡对待,冲高出场,拉不回103300,再往下走,不管盈亏,都先离场。#BTC重返10万
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Bullish
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62031286677 Trump realmente se rendeu! Primeiro a imagem: Este "Declaração Conjunta China-EUA" todos conseguem entender? Eu acho que todo o mundo deve entender, certo? Que 145% de imposto, que 84% de imposto que Trump grita ser razoável, 54 não, 34 também não, hoje para as famílias 9,90 com frete grátis, 10%! O que acham, explosivo ou não? Após o anúncio, o mercado respondeu com uma grande alta, o Bitcoin novamente alcançou novas máximas recentes, os futuros do mercado de ações dos EUA dispararam, o índice Hang Seng subiu após o fechamento, o yuan se valorizou, enquanto o ouro, que é um ativo de segurança, recuou. Tudo voltou ao normal. Afinal, não ter Trump participando da conversa é uma boa conversa, de fato, Trump se rendeu, essa experiência de um mês o fez perceber claramente que fazer bravatas e extorquir não é o caminho, embora agora ainda esteja no período de pausa de 90 dias, a agitação do mercado neste mês já impossibilitou Trump de agir de forma desonesta ou mudar de posição de forma inconsistente. Recentemente, o último risco foi eliminado, o mercado retornou à normalidade do jogo regular, qual é a sua opinião sobre o futuro do mercado?
62031286677 Trump realmente se rendeu!

Primeiro a imagem:

Este "Declaração Conjunta China-EUA" todos conseguem entender? Eu acho que todo o mundo deve entender, certo? Que 145% de imposto, que 84% de imposto que Trump grita ser razoável, 54 não, 34 também não, hoje para as famílias 9,90 com frete grátis, 10%! O que acham, explosivo ou não?

Após o anúncio, o mercado respondeu com uma grande alta, o Bitcoin novamente alcançou novas máximas recentes, os futuros do mercado de ações dos EUA dispararam, o índice Hang Seng subiu após o fechamento, o yuan se valorizou, enquanto o ouro, que é um ativo de segurança, recuou. Tudo voltou ao normal.

Afinal, não ter Trump participando da conversa é uma boa conversa, de fato, Trump se rendeu, essa experiência de um mês o fez perceber claramente que fazer bravatas e extorquir não é o caminho, embora agora ainda esteja no período de pausa de 90 dias, a agitação do mercado neste mês já impossibilitou Trump de agir de forma desonesta ou mudar de posição de forma inconsistente.

Recentemente, o último risco foi eliminado, o mercado retornou à normalidade do jogo regular, qual é a sua opinião sobre o futuro do mercado?
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Bullish
Ver original
$SOL Sol's trend is close to BTC, not as strong as ETH. The daily chart has risen from the second position, with the MACD dual lines at a new high, but the histogram has not reached a new high, similar to BTC. This pattern depends on whether the short-term can rise again and the strength of that rise. On the 4-hour chart, there is a clear bullish trend, consolidating at the third position, with prices approaching the moving average, and the MACD also retreating towards the zero axis, indicating a higher likelihood of another short-term surge. However, after another surge on the 4-hour chart, attention should be paid to the strength. If the MACD shows that no new high can be reached, long positions can be exited in a timely manner. #山寨币交易
$SOL Sol's trend is close to BTC, not as strong as ETH. The daily chart has risen from the second position, with the MACD dual lines at a new high, but the histogram has not reached a new high, similar to BTC. This pattern depends on whether the short-term can rise again and the strength of that rise.

On the 4-hour chart, there is a clear bullish trend, consolidating at the third position, with prices approaching the moving average, and the MACD also retreating towards the zero axis, indicating a higher likelihood of another short-term surge.

However, after another surge on the 4-hour chart, attention should be paid to the strength. If the MACD shows that no new high can be reached, long positions can be exited in a timely manner. #山寨币交易
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Bullish
Traduzir
$ETH ETH上周居然大涨将近40%,比大饼和Sol强很多,姨太从来没有这么硬气过。 这么强势的上涨,周线上也到了一个阻力区,2561-2677是104周均线和26周均线所在位置,也可以说是半年线和两年线的位置。 日线上第二位置之后的起跳,力度大,持续长,目前看不到见顶迹象,4小时图上刚刚构筑要中枢,那么现在就以这个中枢为核心来短线操作了,中枢区间2270-2608,核心区域2435-2491 未来要看2435-2491能否突破并站稳,如果向上,突破2608之后,4小时MACD顶背驰,短线还要再拉回,如果回来站稳2491,那么后面大概率震荡上行进行强势盘整,如果跌破2435,盘整时间可能加长,不过,跌破2435,之后如果继续向下寻底,有可能成为一个很好的做多机会。#ETH突破2500
$ETH ETH上周居然大涨将近40%,比大饼和Sol强很多,姨太从来没有这么硬气过。

这么强势的上涨,周线上也到了一个阻力区,2561-2677是104周均线和26周均线所在位置,也可以说是半年线和两年线的位置。

日线上第二位置之后的起跳,力度大,持续长,目前看不到见顶迹象,4小时图上刚刚构筑要中枢,那么现在就以这个中枢为核心来短线操作了,中枢区间2270-2608,核心区域2435-2491

未来要看2435-2491能否突破并站稳,如果向上,突破2608之后,4小时MACD顶背驰,短线还要再拉回,如果回来站稳2491,那么后面大概率震荡上行进行强势盘整,如果跌破2435,盘整时间可能加长,不过,跌破2435,之后如果继续向下寻底,有可能成为一个很好的做多机会。#ETH突破2500
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Bullish
Ver original
$BTC BTC日线多头走势,MACD双线显示也不背驰,只不过MACD柱体没有新高,这种形态,不能预判日线见顶,但是不排除走两根小阴线或者一次短期的向下插针。 4小时图均线多头排列,MACD新高后回落,这是明确的多头第三位置调整,这种态势里面不做空,继续回落做多,只是后面如果继续新高,得注意顶背驰的可能,关注MACD指标就可以了。 简单来说,不做空,不回落也不做多,回落到4小时均线带内部,可以考虑介入多单,否则就观望。#BTC重返10万
$BTC BTC日线多头走势,MACD双线显示也不背驰,只不过MACD柱体没有新高,这种形态,不能预判日线见顶,但是不排除走两根小阴线或者一次短期的向下插针。

4小时图均线多头排列,MACD新高后回落,这是明确的多头第三位置调整,这种态势里面不做空,继续回落做多,只是后面如果继续新高,得注意顶背驰的可能,关注MACD指标就可以了。

简单来说,不做空,不回落也不做多,回落到4小时均线带内部,可以考虑介入多单,否则就观望。#BTC重返10万
Ver original
$BTC Absolutely favorable. However, it has already risen a lot in the early stages, and there may also be a short-term realization of the benefits. However, the medium-term fundamental situation is stable.
$BTC Absolutely favorable. However, it has already risen a lot in the early stages, and there may also be a short-term realization of the benefits. However, the medium-term fundamental situation is stable.
Ver original
$ETH The high-level China-US economic and trade meeting has started in Switzerland. This time, without Trump's interference, perhaps it will be more normal for Beisente #BTC重返10万
$ETH The high-level China-US economic and trade meeting has started in Switzerland. This time, without Trump's interference, perhaps it will be more normal for Beisente #BTC重返10万
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Bullish
Ver original
$BTC BTC目前周线依然是上涨趋势第三个中枢震荡,日线在4月下旬重新转多之后,再次走主升浪。日线MACD也不背驰,所以,大周期上,依然远没有到见顶的时候。 4小时图高位小幅整理,目前还远离均线,这里要么持续在高位小幅整理,等待均线靠拢,要么来一个快速的下蹲起,宽幅震荡一下。鉴于今天是周末了,个人觉得持续高位小幅整理的概率比较大。 目前行情其实没什么好说的,4小时以上周期,依然是多头持仓阶段,没什么新的交易机会。安心过周末。#山寨季何时到来?
$BTC BTC目前周线依然是上涨趋势第三个中枢震荡,日线在4月下旬重新转多之后,再次走主升浪。日线MACD也不背驰,所以,大周期上,依然远没有到见顶的时候。

4小时图高位小幅整理,目前还远离均线,这里要么持续在高位小幅整理,等待均线靠拢,要么来一个快速的下蹲起,宽幅震荡一下。鉴于今天是周末了,个人觉得持续高位小幅整理的概率比较大。

目前行情其实没什么好说的,4小时以上周期,依然是多头持仓阶段,没什么新的交易机会。安心过周末。#山寨季何时到来?
Ver original
Will the decline start again?Yesterday, while the cryptocurrency sector celebrated the significant rise (of course, those like me who missed the boat were not celebrating), US stocks retracted gains, the US dollar fell, and after a significant rise the previous day, the ten-year US Treasury bond rose again at the close, leading to a situation where stocks, bonds, and currencies all faced a triple whammy. Although the magnitude is not large, the synchronization of the three indicates that there must be some problems here. Firstly, the rise in the last two days is mainly due to two pieces of news: one is that the US and UK reached an agreement on tariffs, which is the first agreement reached after the US tariff war; the other is that both China and the US stated that they would hold high-level talks on tariffs in Switzerland this weekend. All of this makes the market feel that the danger of the tariff war has passed and is improving.

Will the decline start again?

Yesterday, while the cryptocurrency sector celebrated the significant rise (of course, those like me who missed the boat were not celebrating), US stocks retracted gains, the US dollar fell, and after a significant rise the previous day, the ten-year US Treasury bond rose again at the close, leading to a situation where stocks, bonds, and currencies all faced a triple whammy.

Although the magnitude is not large, the synchronization of the three indicates that there must be some problems here.
Firstly, the rise in the last two days is mainly due to two pieces of news: one is that the US and UK reached an agreement on tariffs, which is the first agreement reached after the US tariff war; the other is that both China and the US stated that they would hold high-level talks on tariffs in Switzerland this weekend. All of this makes the market feel that the danger of the tariff war has passed and is improving.
Ver original
Ethereum experiences the largest single-day increase in nearly four yearsYesterday morning until now, Ethereum has been continuously rising, with 8 consecutive bullish candles on the 4-hour chart, a daily increase of 21.9%, and since last night, the increase has reached 24.73%. The last time such a large increase occurred was in May 2021, nearly four years ago. The fundamental reason for the general price increase is definitely related to the tariff war. Last night, Trump announced that the US and the UK reached an agreement on tariffs, which is a 'premature fruit' of the tariff war. In Trump's view, this will have a demonstration effect on other countries. The market is also more bullish, risk-averse sentiment has significantly decreased, gold has retreated, and digital currencies, stock markets, and commodities have risen.

Ethereum experiences the largest single-day increase in nearly four years

Yesterday morning until now, Ethereum has been continuously rising, with 8 consecutive bullish candles on the 4-hour chart, a daily increase of 21.9%, and since last night, the increase has reached 24.73%. The last time such a large increase occurred was in May 2021, nearly four years ago.
The fundamental reason for the general price increase is definitely related to the tariff war. Last night, Trump announced that the US and the UK reached an agreement on tariffs, which is a 'premature fruit' of the tariff war. In Trump's view, this will have a demonstration effect on other countries. The market is also more bullish, risk-averse sentiment has significantly decreased, gold has retreated, and digital currencies, stock markets, and commodities have risen.
Ver original
$BTC A sensação de estar totalmente alocado e ao mesmo tempo fora do mercado é realmente desagradável, dá uma certa apreensão. No entanto, para mim, depois da decisão de taxa de juros anteontem, não consegui acompanhar a tempo e depois não houve mais oportunidades de entrada, apenas o processo de manutenção de posições. Além disso, ainda bem que desta vez, devido à posição de alta em grande escala, a possibilidade de um topo é muito pequena, então só usei uma conta de testes e não mexi na conta principal. Agora, só posso continuar assistindo, esperando pela evolução a seguir.
$BTC A sensação de estar totalmente alocado e ao mesmo tempo fora do mercado é realmente desagradável, dá uma certa apreensão. No entanto, para mim, depois da decisão de taxa de juros anteontem, não consegui acompanhar a tempo e depois não houve mais oportunidades de entrada, apenas o processo de manutenção de posições. Além disso, ainda bem que desta vez, devido à posição de alta em grande escala, a possibilidade de um topo é muito pequena, então só usei uma conta de testes e não mexi na conta principal.

Agora, só posso continuar assistindo, esperando pela evolução a seguir.
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Bearish
Ver original
$BTC post at noon, finally told the radicals the way to intervene at the top: Today's trend is also a face-saving, completely consistent with what was said above: When I said at noon, the price reached 6, I said that it cannot be done at that moment. If it has to be done, first, the price should reach a new high again, second, the level positioning can only be at the 1-hour level guessing the top, third, wait for the 1-hour chart to close with a long upper shadow bearish candle to intervene. At 7 PM, when the 1-hour closes with a bearish candle with an upper shadow, you can try to intervene. I want to clarify that this is not my main trading account, it's just for testing purposes. I said I don't operate at this level; the main account hasn't moved, just testing with a small account, the stop loss is above today's high, with a stop loss of over 100 points, to see if it can reach 97865 this time or if it will continue to seek a larger level top after a small pullback. However, trying to prove that if your positioning is to guess the top at the 1-hour level, this is feasible, but if you expect it to be the top of the 4-hour or daily level now, that is indeed thinking a bit too much, a bit too early. #最近的一笔交易
$BTC post at noon, finally told the radicals the way to intervene at the top:

Today's trend is also a face-saving, completely consistent with what was said above:

When I said at noon, the price reached 6, I said that it cannot be done at that moment. If it has to be done, first, the price should reach a new high again, second, the level positioning can only be at the 1-hour level guessing the top, third, wait for the 1-hour chart to close with a long upper shadow bearish candle to intervene. At 7 PM, when the 1-hour closes with a bearish candle with an upper shadow, you can try to intervene.

I want to clarify that this is not my main trading account, it's just for testing purposes. I said I don't operate at this level; the main account hasn't moved, just testing with a small account, the stop loss is above today's high, with a stop loss of over 100 points, to see if it can reach 97865 this time or if it will continue to seek a larger level top after a small pullback.

However, trying to prove that if your positioning is to guess the top at the 1-hour level, this is feasible, but if you expect it to be the top of the 4-hour or daily level now, that is indeed thinking a bit too much, a bit too early. #最近的一笔交易
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