Nunca tenha medo de recomeçar. Cada ponto de partida que parece baixo é um caminho necessário para alcançar o pico. Não se queixe do que não é satisfatório, pergunte a si mesmo: você se esforçou o suficiente?
This morning, a wave of pullback shorts successfully captured 912 points on Bitcoin, yielding 21,000 oil. Today's market trend is relatively slow, and the advice from Mubei is still to wait until the situation is clearer before deciding to enter. Friends who want to enter can wait for a pullback to enter again. In this market, if you are not cautious enough, you can easily be eliminated by the market!
The reason for the recent Bitcoin crash is actually like this!!!
The reasons for the recent Bitcoin crash are mainly as follows:
Macroeconomic factors
- Rising interest rates: Central banks like the Federal Reserve are raising interest rates, leading investors to seek safety for their funds, which makes them more inclined to invest in more stable assets, reducing the demand for high-risk assets like Bitcoin, causing its price to drop.
- Concerns about economic recession: Poor non-farm employment data in the U.S. and other factors have triggered market panic about a global economic recession, causing investors to lower their risk appetite and sell off risk assets like Bitcoin.
Market-specific factors
- Increased correlation in the crypto market: The correlation between Bitcoin and traditional financial markets has become increasingly tight, and the recent sharp decline in global capital markets has also affected Bitcoin.
- Investor sentiment and leveraged trading: The Bitcoin market is dominated by short-term speculators, making market sentiment volatile. When prices fall, forced liquidations from leveraged trading can further exacerbate the downward trend. On December 10, the significant drop in Bitcoin caused over 80,000 people to be liquidated within 24 hours.
Regulatory and security factors
- Uncertainty in regulatory policies: The regulatory attitudes and policies of various countries towards cryptocurrencies are constantly changing. Recently, there have been reports that countries like the United States will strengthen regulation, triggering panic selling in the market.
- Security vulnerability incidents: Frequent hacker attacks and security vulnerabilities in the cryptocurrency space, such as the $600 million hack on the Ethereum sidechain Ronin, have severely impacted investor confidence in cryptocurrencies, leading to shocks in the Bitcoin market.
Industry competition and technological development factors
- Stablecoin crisis: The collapse of the large stablecoin UST, whose maintaining institution sold off Bitcoin reserves to stabilize its price, increased selling pressure on Bitcoin, further dragging down its price.
- Concerns over technological breakthroughs: Google's launch of the quantum chip 'Willow' has raised market concerns that it could significantly reduce Bitcoin mining costs, leading to a decrease in Bitcoin's value and prompting investors to sell.
Last night, Bitcoin slightly explored the bottom and then continued to oscillate at a high level, and the market situation is relatively clear.
From the current stage rhythm, in the four-hour level, the overall running channel is still maintaining a clear upward contraction trend. The price of the coin did not continue the downward trend after the large bearish candle retreated to the mid-track area, but instead rose with a bullish candle! And in the early morning, it surged back above 101000 with a large bullish candle!
Currently, the bullish momentum of MACD has also increased its release strength, and the kdj three lines have shown obvious signs of a roundabout upward trend. Based on various structures, there is still a demand for further upward movement of Bitcoin in the future, and for the morning's operation, we will continue to maintain the idea of buying on dips.
Buy on dips for Bitcoin around 100500-100800, targeting 103000.
Total Ethereum Acquired: 876 points Due to image limitations, I can only share a bit. Usually, you can also see it in Mubah's Moments. This week's market can be described as volatile. After the spike, many friends couldn't manage the market. Mubah still believes in this: sometimes follow the trend, understand the direction, and persevere; we can also succeed and profit in this market! #VELODROME将上线币安 #币安LaunchpoolVANA #BTC重回关键位置后走势 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 $BTC $ETH
Bloomberg warns! The US is hoarding Bitcoin, which is the biggest scam in history
Recently, with Trump officially winning the US presidential election, the Federal Reserve's establishment of a national Bitcoin reserve has been put on the agenda, which is one of Trump's campaign promises.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell spoke a few days ago and did not deny the possibility of hoarding, only stating that Bitcoin does not compete with the US dollar, but does compete with gold. The implication is that hoarding is possible, which also seems to be a hint at the US currency peg shift, and the two can be completely connected. In fact, the Federal Reserve has already issued USTD.
However, the well-known institution Bloomberg believes that the US hoarding Bitcoin is the biggest scam in history. They argue that the US has established reserves for other countries, such as the strategic petroleum reserve, but it is of no use and does not affect oil prices at all. If a war occurs, the US is actually the world's largest oil producer, essentially meeting its own production and sales; at least in terms of energy, the US will only have an advantage.
Personally, I believe it is indeed impossible for the US to successfully hoard Bitcoin. First of all, if the US wants to hoard Bitcoin, it definitely cannot first buy it and then go through the process, as the policy obstacles are very significant.
If it goes through the process, passing various bills, and then acquires Bitcoin, Bitcoin would have skyrocketed long ago. After all, the circulating Bitcoin in the market is already limited, with most in the hands of private players.
I think a greater possibility is that Trump will propose it, and then the two houses will discuss it, followed by a surge in Bitcoin prices, and then Trump's gang will start selling off on a large scale; his cabinet members almost all own Bitcoin, and then this proposal will be rejected, leading to a collapse in Bitcoin prices.
I even suspect that after this wave of price increases, his team has already started selling off.
Morning strategy confirmed with long positions, in the afternoon Ethereum was taken for profits, and currently, all Bitcoin positions have been closed.
New students made profits on Bitcoin: 993 points, Ethereum: 69 points, gaining 58,000余油, while old students made profits on Bitcoin: 821 points, Ethereum secured 50 points, gaining 57,000余油.
So if you can't make money in this market, the problem lies with you, and I happen to be the one who helps you solve problems. When you are still losing, have you ever thought about why others are profiting while I am losing? If you still don't change your mindset at this point, then being eliminated by the market is just a matter of time! #SUI再创新高 #SUI再创新高 #AVA突破3美元 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 $BTC $ETH
The morning suggestions given in the real-time sharing successfully captured Ethereum
A new student once again secured 69 points in Ethereum, earning 38,000 extra oil, while another student earned 50 points in Ethereum, gaining 35,000 extra oil
Bitcoin is currently being held! Sometimes, as long as you understand the trend and make the right direction, profits will come to you, so just wait quietly! #比特币战略储备 #USUAL现货即将上线 #DeFi全线飙升 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 $ETH $ETH
On the daily chart, after a strong bullish rise, the market failed to maintain its momentum and fell back under pressure from the upper bound. It has now returned to the vicinity of the 10W key level and is currently in a tug-of-war. Although the trend structure still shows bullishness, there is a need for adjustment in the short term.
From the current market perspective, 102000 is the key resistance level. When this position was reached in the evening, it was quickly reclaimed by the bears. From the 4-hour perspective, the overall trend still presents a staircase-like upward rhythm, and breaking new highs is merely a matter of time. We will continue to maintain a low long strategy as the main focus, and adjustments will be made in real-time with respect to the 102000 resistance level.
Bitcoin: Long around 99000-99300, targeting 101500.
This wave of Ethereum can be said to be fully loaded; the market can be so sudden at times. One moment it's fluctuating and correcting, the next moment it could rise or fall dramatically. Therefore, we must always seize opportunities. Although the market presents itself every day, missing out is equivalent to wasting it!
New students successfully took the second order today: 744 points for Bitcoin, 60 points for Ethereum, successfully gained over 30,000 in profits. They have grasped the trend and direction, now it's just a matter of waiting. Sometimes it's not that we can't make money, but the waiting process is too long, and many people just can't hold on! #USUAL现货即将上线 #DeFi全线飙升 #加密市场反弹 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 $ETH $BTC
Expectativa de corte de juros aumenta, Bitcoin retorna acima de 100 mil dólares
O aplicativo Zhitong Finance informou que, após os mais recentes dados de inflação dos EUA apoiarem as apostas de um novo corte de juros pelo Federal Reserve, o Bitcoin voltou a ultrapassar a marca de 100 mil dólares. Na quarta-feira, o Bitcoin subiu quase 5%, a maior alta em duas semanas. No momento da publicação, o Bitcoin estava cotado a 101,3 mil dólares.
O apoio do presidente eleito Trump à criptomoeda impulsionou o Bitcoin a atingir a marca histórica de 103,8 mil dólares em 5 de dezembro. No entanto, devido à realização de lucros por especuladores, o Bitcoin teve dificuldade em manter-se acima de 100 mil dólares após atingir o recorde histórico.
Os dados divulgados na quarta-feira pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics dos EUA mostraram que o CPI de novembro subiu 2,7% em relação ao ano anterior, em linha com as expectativas do mercado, ligeiramente acima do 2,6% de outubro; subiu 0,3% em relação ao mês anterior, conforme esperado. Excluindo os preços voláteis de alimentos e energia, o CPI núcleo de novembro subiu 3,3% em relação ao ano anterior e 0,3% em relação ao mês anterior, ambos em linha com outubro e também atendendo às expectativas do mercado.
Após a divulgação dos dados, os traders aumentaram suas apostas sobre um corte de juros pelo Federal Reserve em dezembro. A ferramenta FedWatch mostrou que a probabilidade de um corte de juros em dezembro subiu significativamente para cerca de 90%, enquanto um dia antes, essa probabilidade era de cerca de 80%.
Henry Elder, responsável pela UTXO Management, afirmou: “O mercado gosta de ver a inflação dentro das expectativas.” Ele acrescentou que os traders estão tentando descobrir se 100 mil dólares é o teto ou o piso do preço do Bitcoin.
Trump prometeu durante a campanha estabelecer uma regulamentação amigável às criptomoedas e apoiar a criação de uma reserva estratégica de Bitcoin nos EUA, jurando transformar os EUA na “capital das criptomoedas”. Desde a vitória em 5 de novembro, o Bitcoin subiu cerca de 50%. Nesse mesmo período, o ETF de Bitcoin à vista nos EUA atraiu cerca de 11 bilhões de dólares em fluxo líquido de capital. #DeFi全线飙升 #加密市场反弹 #BTC重返10万 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 $BTC $ETH
This wave of Ethereum can be said to be fully loaded; the market can be so sudden at times. One moment it's fluctuating and correcting, the next moment it could rise or fall dramatically. Therefore, we must always seize opportunities. Although the market presents itself every day, missing out is equivalent to wasting it!
Mu Bai provided the strategy this morning, successfully capturing the big pie: 800 points, Ethereum took 101 points, successfully earning 48,000 in excess profits. The students successfully achieved a capital turnover. Let's continue to work hard, as the market is full of changes. If we do not adapt, we will ultimately be eliminated by the market. So why not change our mindset and work together towards progress!
A partir do gráfico de 4 horas, a grande vela de alta é notável, uma vez que o canal de alta é efetivamente estabelecido, a tendência de alta será difícil de impedir, e o aumento contínuo do volume de negociações será uma tendência inevitável.
Do ponto de vista da tendência, o teste de suporte da média móvel MA30 no nível diário é efetivo, a tendência de alta não foi destruída, não houve falso rompimento, a inclinação diminuiu, e os próximos dias serão um tempo potencial para escolher a direção;
Expectativa de movimento intra-dia, De acordo com o princípio de elevar gradualmente os pontos baixos em uma vantagem de alta, E múltiplos suportes anteriores por meio da conversão de topos e fundos, Portanto, no intra-dia, atenção para o suporte de conversão no ponto alto anterior de 99660, resistência acima em 102000. Atualmente, ainda não vejo um ritmo forte de um único lado, a sugestão de operação ainda é focar em comprar na correção, com vendas em alta como secundário!
Bitcoin na correção de 99600-100000, compra, alvo em 102000