12.21 Monday Package Insert
Weekly support rebound, weekend repair market, contracts still need to be cautious about pin bars

Finally, the beating is over, this round can be considered completely cleared, the next step is pressure position pullback and continue upward, the market is relatively simple, the bottom comes out mainly for rebound and fluctuation. The difficult moments in black are over, the other times are relatively friendly, holding chips is quite good.

Monday may continue to encounter a pullback in the market, but it’s okay, at most it will be cleared again, with upper pressure around 3550 and 98500.

BTC daily - 4-hour level market analysis
The large-scale technical aspect of Bitcoin has bottomed out, and the next two days will mainly be large-scale oscillation and repair, with upper pressure around 99500 and 98500, and bottom support around 96500. The main market condition until tomorrow will be oscillation, but Ethereum will charge forward, however, be careful on Monday, this market is not that simple, the leverage that rose over the weekend will still be cleared.

ETH Altcoin Small Level Analysis
At this point, ETH's weekly support has come back together with Bitcoin, with upper pressure around 3550 and bottom support around 3420, which is also an oscillation and repair market. It is about to reach the point where it should pay attention to the key positions like BTC. Overall, the clearing and dark moments have ended.

After two days of market repair, altcoins will return to key targets, but they are about to reach critical positions, and the market oscillation has also reached pressure, so temporarily stabilize and don’t rush.

As the year-end approaches, everyone pay attention to risks and remember to keep your own #比特币市场波动观察 #比特币战略储备

Has the decline ended? No, from a technical perspective, this is just the rebound that should have emerged during the day today. The spot market doesn't matter, but contract traders really need to be cautious. #BTC

12.20 Did the beating end? The rebound is likely to continue hitting the US stock market
The US stock market continued to be beaten last night, and for now, it seems the beating has ended today. There will be a rebound during the day, but remember it is just a rebound; the specific reversal has not yet appeared. A reversal requires time and waiting for the right opportunity.
As we approach Christmas and Friday, the chances and timing for a reversal are coming. We just need to wait. At the bottom, we can gamble on rebound trades, but we must not go long against the trend. As a qualified trader, we await the continued wash of the US stock market tonight.
BTC Daily - 4-Hour Level Market Analysis
The large-scale technical retracement of Bitcoin has already begun the complete liquidation process. The key position is around 94,000. I can't say the bull market is over, but it certainly hasn't finished liquidating. The rebound position for this large scale is around 99,500, and it might go up to around 100,800. The bottom support is temporarily the previous low; note that this is just a rebound trade, not a reversal, and a reversal requires waiting.

ETH Altcoin Small-Level Analysis
ETH has officially broken this point. The logic of the large-scale increase has ended at the overall oscillation, so there will still be increases in the future. However, now that the key position has broken, both 3,550-3,570 have turned into resistance. When the resistance rebound ends, one can go short without second thoughts.
Note that Ethereum's chips are slowly entering the market. Trend shorts are definitely not viable, but a short on a small rebound is possible, and a long on another rebound is also feasible. The resistance above is around 3,550-3,570, while the bottom support is near 3,350.
As the year comes to an end, everyone should pay attention to risk and ensure they have funds reserved for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage require attention to risk control capabilities. #FederalReserveHawkish $BTC

12.19 Durante o dia pode ser um bom momento para comprar, à noite aguarde o mercado americano reagir
À noite, enfrentamos dificuldades, o cisne negro criado por Powell, espera-se que a redução da taxa de juros de 125 pontos base para 25 pontos base no próximo ano faça com que o mercado busque ativamente a desalavancagem, enquanto o BTC também é liquidado em grandes quantidades. Nesta rodada, estamos próximos de um fundo, as posições foram quase limpas, mas aqueles mais estáveis podem esperar até a meia-noite quando o mercado americano acordar para uma nova digestão emocional.

A alavancagem é difícil, mas os contratos não devem ser muito difíceis, não há pressa, do dia 20 ao 25 pode não ser um período especialmente fácil, mas o risco está na alavancagem, a queda ainda oferece oportunidades. À tarde, o Japão pode especular sobre o aumento das taxas de juros, vamos ver se o mercado consegue suportar uma segunda grande queda, aguardando.

Análise de mercado BTC no gráfico diário - 4 horas
A análise técnica de alto nível do Bitcoin recuou mais do que o esperado, a expectativa de queda em torno de 100800 foi superada, a liquidação de alavancagem foi bastante completa, neste ponto, os grandes investidores e formadores de mercado voltaram a entrar.
A resistência do Bitcoin está em torno de 102500, se não conseguir subir, continuará a liquidação para baixo, mesmo que a liquidação termine, haverá uma onda de curto prazo para comprar na baixa. O suporte na parte inferior está em torno de 100200 e 99600.

Análise de baixo nível do ETH
 O ETH já quebrou esse ponto oficialmente, a lógica de alta ainda se mantém, o suporte diário em torno de 3550 é válido, mas a tendência geral precisa ainda digerir e estabilizar, se não se estabilizar de manhã, vamos observar a possibilidade de estabilização à tarde.

 O suporte está em torno de 3600-3630, o suporte de alto nível está em torno de 3550, a tendência geral no gráfico diário ainda é de alta, por enquanto, não há necessidade de entrar em pânico, a resistência acima está em 3750 e 3830, um recuo ainda pode ser uma oportunidade de compra, observando a reação do aumento das taxas de juros no Japão e do mercado americano à noite.

Com o final do ano se aproximando, todos devem prestar atenção aos riscos e garantir que tenham fundos para o Ano Novo, tanto em contratos quanto em alavancagem, é necessário ter cuidado com a capacidade de controle de risco. #BTC

12.18 A Fundação Ethereum vende, o sentimento de queda é severo a curto prazo, posições-chave de compra e venda se tornam confusas

No dia 17, a lógica de compra e venda de Ethereum e Bitcoin foi completada, o que parece bom, e as perspectivas futuras ainda são otimistas. Assim, a posição importante do mercado está na decisão de taxa de juros desta noite. A decisão de taxa de juros provavelmente seguirá o gráfico de pontos com 100DP, 25 pontos-base não se afastaram, mas o mercado reagirá a isso com uma recuperação?

A curto prazo, a Fundação Ethereum continua a vender em pontos altos, o que se considera um indicador de venda. A possibilidade de reversão do mercado aumentou, e a divergência em níveis mais altos já se estendeu por muito tempo. Esta rodada foca se os níveis de suporte duplo de Ethereum e Bitcoin conseguirão se manter, pelo menos o Bitcoin ainda não chegou ao ponto certo. Os níveis próximos a 103000 para Bitcoin e 3770 para Ethereum estão quase no ponto certo.

Análise de mercado do BTC no gráfico diário - 4 horas
O suporte técnico de alta do Bitcoin está na faixa de 104500 e 103500, que serve como suporte de fundo. Em uma visão de longo prazo, isso pode ser considerado uma tendência de correção, mas se esse nível for quebrado, então esta correção se tornará uma tendência de queda. Se a tendência de correção de queda se iniciar, há uma alta probabilidade de que o declínio continue até sexta-feira, com a expectativa de que o mercado pare de cair em torno de 100800. No entanto, Ethereum é um pouco diferente; se o Bitcoin conseguir se manter, Ethereum pode ter uma última alta.

Análise de curto prazo do ETH
 Há um ponto bastante importante para ETH; já alcançou um suporte crucial para a atual alta. Se não cair abaixo, o mercado pode reverter a partir de níveis mais altos. Os níveis em torno de 3820 e 3770 são suportes lógicos para a alta do mercado; se não forem quebrados, será possível continuar subindo para níveis ainda mais altos. Portanto, este momento crucial é muito importante.

 O pânico devido às vendas da Fundação Ethereum está sempre presente. Neste nível, minha sugestão a curto prazo é tentar uma posição longa em Ethereum, mantendo um stop loss baixo e colocando compras em Ethereum perto de 3780. Se quebrar, então a lógica de alta desta rodada termina.

Com o fim do ano se aproximando, todos devem estar atentos ao risco e certificar-se de que têm fundos para as festividades, tanto em contratos quanto em alavancagem, é essencial estar ciente da capacidade de controle de risco.

h还好昨天思维转变的快，这个币圈真的难玩。#ETH再度冲击4K

多为主还是空为主，现在又是多空互道傻逼的时候，这个点$BTC肯定要冲新高了，但是其他山寨风险来了，如果比特币冲不上去会是怎样？
所以今晚比特币很重要，冲上去十分重要，上不去就危险。#

The bearish sentiment is a bit too much, it's time to change the mindset.

12.15 Weekend truce is about to end, a day before the storm arrives, silence equals death

The weekend is approaching, and the positions of various armies are officially returning, but some major cryptocurrencies have temporarily risen enough to adjust during the volatility, mainly focusing on small coins, just maintain control over risks.

The total open positions for $BTC contracts across the network are 617,600 $BTC, approximately $6.3144 billion, and there is still a certain demand for liquidation overall, no rush, it's still early in the month, just wait slowly.

Since November 31, World Liberty Financial has spent $44.41 million buying 5 types of cryptocurrencies, including ETH, cbBTC, LINK, AAVE, and ENA, and is expected to purchase more tokens in the future.

BTC Daily - 4-Hour Level Market Analysis
The overall technical aspect of Bitcoin has opened up space, and it has just encountered a key resistance level; there is no need to panic for now, just wait for the opportunity to see if it continues to test downwards. If the larger level does not break down, then the subsequent trend will be one of consolidation. If it breaks down? Who knows.
The 4-hour level is starting to change again. The larger level still has a demand to rise, but the upper side is facing previous highs, and each time it tries to short at a thousand-point increment, if it breaks through, it might go to 110,000, going long is definitely not suitable.

ETH Altcoin Small Level Analysis
 There is a point for ETH that is quite important, the bottom around 3890-3910 is a key position; if it can't go up, it will primarily be bearish. Today, we temporarily wait for the reaction of the evening market; if the evening market isn't good enough, then it is highly likely there will be a small correction on Monday.

 The upper resistance, as mentioned in yesterday's live broadcast, is 3940. If it can't go up, 3920 can directly short. If it goes up, we will see how it moves; the support position at the bottom is around 3850, and it's fine to wait for the market to show itself before going up.
 There is still a chance to try the bottom support; I don't believe there is much space for it to go up from this position.

As the year-end approaches, everyone should pay attention to risks and ensure they have funds reserved for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage need to pay attention to risk control capabilities. #BTC重回关键位置后走势 #比特币战略储备

12.14 周末休战期，山寨肆意生长开始，大币种没力

周末即将来临，多军的阵地正式回归，但是部分大币种暂时涨幅足够调整震荡期间，都是以小币为主，保持对风险的控制即可。

美联储到12月维持当前利率不变的概率为5.3%，累计降息25个基点的概率为94.7%。到明年1月维持当前利率不变的概率为4.1%，累计降息25个基点的概率为73.7%，累计降息50个基点的概率为22.3%。

技术面的反弹已经如期出现，到了技术面的压力十万零两千剩下等晚上山寨发挥看是否继续补涨。

BTC日线-4小时级别行情分析
比特币技术面整体打开了空间，现在刚好遇到一个关键的压力位置，暂时不用慌，等待机会看是否继续往下试探，如果大级别跌不破，那么后续就是震荡盘整趋势，跌破之后呢？见鬼。

四小时级别又开始转变，稳定向上的逻辑，暂时来看没涨幅结束，上方前高的压力位，底部支撑位置99500附近和101000附近。

ETH山寨小级别分析
· ETH有个点比较重要，底部3890附近是一个关键位置支撑，可以搏杀一个多单，止盈上面看3945附近，不过这个多单的逻辑来自于比特币还要涨，冲一次前高，然后以太坊继续冲锋，关键位置也快到了，不着急。

年关至，各位注意风险和注意给自己留存过年的资金，合约和杠杆都要注意风控的能力。#币安LaunchpoolVANA #BTC重回关键位置后走势

12.13 Friday, will the altcoins continue to fluctuate? Will the market reverse after the drop?

The weekend is approaching, will the bulls return to their positions? Overall, there seem to be quite a few opportunities in the market at the moment, but we still remind of the risks that may occur at any time; risk aversion is the most important thing right now.

The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until December is 5.3%, while the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 94.7%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until January next year is 4.1%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 73.7%, and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 22.3%.

The technical rebound has appeared as expected, and the current position is quite good. The bulls and bears are both acting foolishly; the significant resistance for Bitcoin is around 102,000, and the risk of not breaking through is extremely high.

BTC Daily - 4 Hour Level Market Analysis
The overall technical space for Bitcoin has opened up. The significant support level is around 98,500, and the pressure above is around 102,000. The overall market is mainly bullish on a larger scale, but the risk of not being able to rise continuously is still brewing. Paying attention to the key large-scale support and resistance is the most important thing right now.

The four-hour level has started to turn bearish, with resistance now at around 101,000. The overall market is about to become clear, but with the weekend approaching, it is expected that altcoins will have more room to grow than Bitcoin.

ETH Altcoin Small Level Analysis
- Last night the short position did not exit, the overall market still presents a small-level opportunity for Ethereum, with target support levels around 3,880 and the most critical support at 3,780, while resistance above is around 3,940; the small level is slightly bearish.

- Bitcoin is temporarily not being observed, following the same trend as ETH; both are facing significant downward pressure, but the sentiment in the altcoin market is very ample, extremely ample, and short-term positioning this weekend may be quite promising.

As the year-end approaches, everyone should pay attention to risks and ensure they set aside funds for the New Year; contracts and leverage should also be mindful of risk control capabilities. #BTC重回关键位置后走势 #加密市场反弹

12.10 如期大跌，一切都按剧本，反弹也快了
如预期大跌之后必然会出现反弹，这个很合理，同时行情也按照发展的走势进行，微软今天晚上会出利好来投票进行比特币的购买计划，这就是一个消息面的刺激和利好。

短期内会出现想要的反弹，包括CPI数据也快出现了，整体行情两天内会有消息面的缓慢刺激。

BTC日线-4小时级别行情分析
比特币技术面整体打开了空间，之后开始往下冲锋，94000附近和9万是一个巨大的关口如果没问题的话小牛市还是继续，如果跌破，危险回调看85000附近。

大级别暂时来看压力在98500附近和99000附近，高位接近时候可选择空单入场，底部支撑就是94000附近。

BTC+ETH山寨小级别分析
以太已经到了目标的4000附近之后连续提示两天的空单开始获利。现在可能出先消息面的利好，那么本轮行情或许反弹力度较大，暂时在等待资金和消息面刺激。

本轮跌幅短线级别到位，以太坊的支撑位置3700附近，上方压力3750附近，还是强势下跌趋势，空间不大，支撑位置3650附近可以尝试多单，止损带好，上去依旧是回踩反弹高空为主。

比特币同理，回踩反弹高空为主，目标近期前敌测试，但是如果晚上出现利好，那么没必要赌空单了，因为支撑出现反弹到99500附近也是合理。

年关至，各位注意风险和注意给自己留存过年的资金，合约和杠杆都要注意风控的能力。#加密市场回调 #市场回调抄底还是观望？

12.08 Weekend is about to end, will MEME continue to rotate funds?

Crypto good news continues to emerge, and in the short term, funds may come to MEME.
Whales on-chain used 2.262 million USDC to buy 91.36 billion PEPE in one transaction at a price of 0.00002476 USD. Will the funds reappear in the secondary market and the heat start to rotate again?

Currently, the market risk is relatively high, but MEME funds have never decreased. Therefore, the market may not be as bad as imagined, but it's also not that good. Overall, altcoins are showing outflows, but funds are flowing back into MEME. My suggestion is to control risk and seek profit.

BTC Daily - 4-Hour Level Market Analysis
Bitcoin's technical aspect has opened up space, so for the time being, funds still choose Bitcoin's support to rise. The major resistance is around 102,000, and the support at the bottom is around 97,500. There will be back-and-forth friction over the weekend. The overall weekly level increase hasn't stopped yet, but the space has opened up. Focus on the two major levels of support and resistance. The remaining bullish side should watch the smaller level of MEME, while Ethereum has reached expectations.

ETH Altcoin Small Level Analysis
Ethereum has reached around the target of 4,000, even exceeding the expected 4,000 to around 4,100. Now the market needs to correct the level of increase. This round's weekly level pressure has arrived, with a pullback target support around 3,890 and resistance above around 4,025.

 This round of short-level increase has been achieved, but subsequent pressure is relatively high. Overall, look at support around 3,900 and 3,950, and the pressure above around 4,030-4,010 can continue to attempt to stop-loss short.

As the year-end approaches, everyone should pay attention to risks and ensure to reserve funds for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage need to pay attention to risk control capability. #Meme齐涨 #美财政部称BTC“数字黄金” #加密沙皇 $BTC

Ainda é cedo para o final do mês