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A situação atual do mercado ainda está aquém de um declínio de 1h. Vamos ver se pode sair suavemente amanhã. A tendência de curto prazo aqui é relativamente lenta e ainda está executando uma correção de nível de 15 minutos durante todo o dia. Em circunstâncias normais, deverá ser necessária outra recuperação de nível de 15 minutos para atingir cerca de 98.000 e depois continuar a cair por 1 hora. . Depende apenas se podemos ir mais longe aqui.

Inconscientemente, a correção do mercado de cerca de 108.000 já dura cerca de 17 dias, e o ajuste aqui deve estar chegando ao fim estruturalmente. Aguardando a conclusão da estrutura, talvez possamos inaugurar uma nova tendência em meados de meados de. final de janeiro.

BTC Medium to Long Term

Weekly:

Currently, Bitcoin is running a third weekly rise that started from 49,000. The current weekly naked K-line shows no signs of deterioration and remains within a healthy trend. Don’t jump to conclusions that there will be a massive drop just because one or two bearish candles appear on the weekly chart; the trend is healthy at the moment.

From the current trend, the third weekly rise is expected to continue into the second half or even the end of 2025, so our bullish trend will still run throughout 2025. At least at this moment, there is no need to overly worry about the market not recovering.

The current market shows a clear phenomenon where many people lack confidence in the future market; they are afraid to buy when prices drop and only feel safe to chase when prices rise. This is likely why you often find yourself trapped.

Daily:

At the daily level, the rise that started from 49,000 should not be over yet. This daily rise is the first part of the new weekly rise, expected to continue until mid to late January, targeting around 120,000.

My current subjective view is that from February to April, Bitcoin may undergo a daily pullback, potentially reaching around 84,000 or 78,000.

After May, it may see a third daily rise, targeting around 150,000 or higher.

The above is quite subjective and should not be taken as specific investment advice; it is for reference only. Currently, it is recommended to take it step by step. Let's first see if this daily rise can successfully extend to around 120,000. After that, we can consider the next market direction.

4H:

At the 4H level, the current pullback from 108,353 should not be over yet; normally, there should be one more spike. The target is around 90,000. If it spikes to 90,000 and stabilizes above that level, we can consider the 4H pullback to be nearly finished. Based on the time cycle, we expect a new 4H rise in mid to late January, targeting the 116,000 to 120,000 range.

BTC Short Term

Due to the rapid changes in the market, the article can only predict the market changes at the moment of publication. Short-term players should pay attention to the latest market changes; it is merely for reference.

1H:

At the 1H level, we should still be running within the range of the fourth 1H rebound. Let's see if it can go up a bit more, keeping an eye on the area around 98,000. As long as the price doesn't break through 100,000, we should still expect another 1H drop, targeting around 90,000 or 89,000. Once the spike is completed, we should start a new 4H rise. Breaking through 108,300 is the first step, and reaching around 120,000 is the second step, as indicated by the red arrow in the image above.

15M:

At the 15-minute level, the structural trend is relatively slow. Unfortunately, the market's activity is insufficient, resulting in a slower structural movement. Currently, we need to see the fifth 15-minute rebound to complete this 1H rebound. The fifth 15-minute rebound is focused on the area around 98,000 to 98,500. It is anticipated that once this 1H rebound is completed, the next 1H pullback may retrace to around 90,000.

ETH

For Ethereum here, it actually still falls within the 1H level oscillation range. In the short term, watch the range of 3,500 to 3,560. If it does not break through 3,570, it is still believed that Ethereum needs to undergo another oscillation drop back to around 3,100 or 3,000 to complete this 4H pullback. Therefore, the time for the 4H bottom may need to wait a bit longer.

There is some hope for the next 4H rebound to reach around 4,800.

Trend Direction

At the weekly level: the direction is upward, currently undergoing a new weekly rise, with an overall target above 150,000.

At the daily level: the direction is upward, with an expected rise to 120,000, breaking through to look for 150,000.

At the 4-hour level: the direction is downward, and the 4H pullback may not be complete yet. Continue to watch around 90,000.

At the 1-hour level: the direction is downward, and the short-term 1H rebound has already occurred. If it does not break through 100,000, there will still be a 1H pullback.

15-minute level: the direction is downward, after a short-term bounce at the 15-minute level, a normal pullback should begin.