Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 25 basis points, why is the market in a "downturn"?
The Federal Reserve announced a reduction in the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4.25%-4.50%. This move was originally in line with market expectations and should be seen as positive. However, the market displayed a comprehensive downturn. What is the reason behind this?
Rate cut falls short of market easing expectations
Although the rate cut met expectations, Fed Chairman Powell's statements disappointed the market. He emphasized that future policy adjustments will be more "cautious" and made it clear that rate cuts must wait for further improvements in inflation. This "hawkish yet dovish" signal directly suppressed the market's hopes for a rapid easing of monetary policy.
Discrepancy between market expectations and reality
Investors generally expected more easing to boost the economy, but the Fed's statements shattered this illusion, leading to an immediate shift in market sentiment. In the short term, concerns about a stronger dollar and tightening liquidity intensified selling pressure.
Macroeconomic concerns and capital flight to safety
Fears of a global economic slowdown have intensified, and the rate cut failed to effectively boost market confidence. Instead, it led to a further influx of capital into safe-haven assets, causing stocks, bonds, and even the cryptocurrency market to decline simultaneously.
Summary of views:
The Fed's interest rate cut seems beneficial, but under the double blow of insufficient market expectations and cautious statements, the market chooses to digest negative signals. Future attention should be paid to policy direction and economic data, as short-term adjustments may build momentum for medium- to long-term opportunities.