O presidente do Federal Reserve, Powell, declarou em uma conferência de imprensa em dezembro que o Federal Reserve não está autorizado a manter Bitcoin, o que está relacionado à natureza do Bitcoin e aos regulamentos legais existentes. Ele acredita que o Bitcoin é semelhante ao ouro e que o Federal Reserve não pode deter diretamente ativos físicos como o ouro. De acordo com a (Lei da Reserva do Ouro de 1934), o ouro é detido pelo Departamento do Tesouro e a Reserva Federal só pode deter certificados de ouro. A Reserva Federal pode incluir certificados de ouro no seu balanço como activos financeiros, mas deve cumprir os regulamentos (Lei da Reserva Federal de 1913).

图片

O ponto máximo do Bitcoin em 2024 está fixado em 108.366. Se não puder subir, não será um recuo agora, mas uma correção determinística. Não será tão alto quanto antes, há um ano. Aceite o ajuste do mercado todo mês de dezembro. é um período de ajuste. Tenho pensado em evasão. Originalmente, queria cortar as taxas de juros e aproveitar uma onda de rápida expansão.

Indeed, adjustments are needed. After all, from breaking the previous high of 73,000 to pulling up to 88,000 on November 11, and then reaching a maximum of 108,350 on December 17, a 35-day market has ended. In the short term, do not bottom out on altcoins, do not bottom out, do not bottom out. The maximum retracement for early buyers is 10%, stop-loss at that point, reduce positions by half, and take a good rest for a few days. A pullback is not scary, but a prolonged decline is scary. After a prolonged decline, there must be a spike. Don't buy unless there's a spike to reclaim chips; at least wait for a spike of three or more 4-hour candles to consider bottoming out, limited to spot buying. For those in contracts, just hold off this month, don't rush to bottom out, or switching to short is also fine.

The market looks bullish; Bitcoin's strategic reserves are held by the government, not the Federal Reserve.

So on January 20, when Trump takes office, there is still a good chance that BTC will become a national reserve. In fact, despite Bitcoin's sharp drop, if you look at the ETF, there is still a significant net inflow of funds.

What does this indicate? It shows that Wall Street views this drop as an opportunity to enter the market, rather than to exit.

图片

During this period, there may be some secondary bottoming, don't be afraid, it's all an opportunity to get in. Once the adjustment is over, the crypto market will start over!

You see: The Federal Reserve and the Japanese monetary policy meeting have all been announced, and what remains is the illiquid Christmas and New Year. Last night I mentioned that it's time to bottom out.

As for what to bottom out on, I have mentioned it before.

Looking forward to January to March next year. For stability, just buy BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB, etc. If you want to take a risk but remain conservative, then for MEME, look at ACT, PNUT, TURBO, BOME, Babydoge, etc. Actually, I also wanted to list that cat on BSC on Binance, but I haven't done thorough research yet.

For those seeking stability, you can buy some stable memes, such as DOGE, PEPE, WIF, etc.

Public chains, the old ones are SOL, XRP, etc., and the new ones are SUI, OMNI, ALT, BB, LUMIA, SEI, APT, etc.

AI, WLD, IO, etc., actually IO has a bit of an AI + Depin feel.

Of course, the above rankings are not in any particular order. By the way, the above applies to certain very specific projects, which I will elaborate on later. If your holdings are not listed, it's not a problem with the project or with you, it's my issue. I'm in a hurry to go to a dinner party; I can't go through each one on Binance, I'm lazy.

I only listed AI and MEME public chain tracks. It’s not that DEFI or GAMEFI have no opportunities, just that I prefer those three popular tracks.

As for position allocation for bottoming out, it depends on the individual. Whether to diversify or put it all in at once depends on everyone's trading habits.