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Mt. Gox Creditors May Start Receiving Compensation Next Week

According to BlockBeats, a transaction report from investment firm Off the Chain Capital suggests that creditors of Mt. Gox will start receiving compensation from next week. However, they may be reluctant to give up the tokens they have held for a decade. Off the Chain Capital CEO, Brian Dixon, wrote in the report that he does not anticipate an immediate market sell-off of these assets once Mt. Gox has completed its distribution. He noted that he has not seen many creditors selling their Bitcoin immediately after receiving it, as was the case a few years ago. This is because Bitcoin has matured significantly since Mt. Gox filed for bankruptcy in 2014. Creditors must ask themselves whether they need this cash to purchase something, or if it would be better to keep Bitcoin as a long-term store of value, Dixon added. He also mentioned that Bitcoin has been the best-performing asset in 12 of the past 15 years.
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Bitcoin's Price Could Be Determined By Fractal Energy In The Coming Months

According to PANews, the price of Bitcoin in the coming months could be entirely determined by the immense fractal energy if you believe in it. As we know, Bitcoin hit a historical high of nearly $73,740 in March, which is the peak of the current cycle. This could mean the bull market has ended. The trading prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum fell by 5% today, causing almost all other currencies except stable coins to suffer losses, which certainly does not help to boost market sentiment.However, the problem with markets is that you never know when they will peak. Looking back, the historical high that Bitcoin set in December 2017 was obviously the highest point for the next three years, even though altcoins would continue to rise for a few weeks. In March 2021, when Bitcoin first broke through $61,000, it is still uncertain whether Bitcoin will plummet by 13% in November (only eight months later) after retreating nearly half.At some point, the bull market has obviously come to an end. Bears may have proposed this earlier than bulls, but in any case, the internal explosion of Terra in the next May and the subsequent cascading liquidation and bankruptcy are indeed nails. When it comes to price, all we can really do is look back. Since Bitcoin bottomed out in November 2022, 585 days (about 20 months) have passed, which we conveniently call the beginning of the current bull market.The chart depicts a comparison between bull markets. So far, everything is going well. Using this very basic definition, the previous two bull markets peaked after about 840 and 1,060 days. Therefore, if we are destined to repeat these periods—a big assumption—then we are firmly in the second half of the cycle.In the past two quarters, the price of Bitcoin has risen 6 times and 3 times respectively. Even after the recent decline, the return on Bitcoin since it bottomed out has reached 4 times so far, placing it in the recent bull market. If Bitcoin really peaked in March, then this will be the shortest bull market cycle on record, not including the first year of its price discovery.
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Bitcoin Holds Steady at $60K Amid Massive Sell-Off Fears – Is a Drop to $50K Next?

According to BlockBeats: on June 25, 10x Research tweeted that Bitcoin is currently severely oversold. Many opinion leaders are advising their followers to buy on dips while altcoins appear to be performing relatively stable. The 10x Research Greed and Fear Index is close to its historical low, a level typically associated with market bottoms. Key Points: 1. Bitcoin is Deeply Oversold: - Influencer Advice: Influencers are recommending buying the dip as Bitcoin seems deeply oversold. Meanwhile, altcoins are holding their ground relatively well. - Greed & Fear Index: The 10x Research Greed & Fear Index is nearing its lowest possible levels, often associated with market lows, indicating a potential buying opportunity. 2. Reasons for Bitcoin Sell-Off: Several factors are contributing to the ongoing Bitcoin sell-off: - Mt. Gox Distribution: Estimated $9 billion worth of Bitcoin distribution from Mt. Gox creditors starting in July. - German Government Sales: The German Government is reportedly selling $3 billion worth of confiscated Bitcoin. - Bitcoin Miners: Miners are selling approximately $2-3 billion worth of Bitcoin. - ETFs: Bitcoin ETFs are selling around $1.4 billion worth of BTC. - OG Wallets: Original Bitcoin wallets are liquidating about $1.2 billion worth of BTC. Hypothetically, this totals between $16-18 billion, comparable to the year-to-date Bitcoin ETF inflows. 3. Trading Signals and Market Predictions: - Sell Signals: Our trading signals have indicated multiple sell signals for Bitcoin.  - June 12: A new volatility signal predicted a decline when Bitcoin traded at $67,339.  - June 24: A price range signal indicated further declines when Bitcoin traded at $61,113. - Market Concerns: Despite some attributing the latest drop to Mt. Gox-related FUD and other influences, there appears to be a structural factor impacting the market. This could lead to more profound consequences and potentially deeper declines before a rebound from lower levels might occur. Additional Concerns: There's growing concern that more liquidity may exit the market, especially since the current price levels are near the break-even point for Bitcoin ETF buyers and miners.  - ETF Buyer Price: The average entry price for Bitcoin ETF buyers is around $60,000-$61,000. - Mining Costs: The average mining cost for Bitcoin miners is approximately $60,000 per Bitcoin. Both ETF buyers and miners may continue to sell despite influencers' and speculators' optimistic outlooks. Currently, Bitcoin is holding steady at $60,000, but the question remains: for how long? A potential decline to $50,000 is becoming increasingly plausible given the selling pressures. Bitcoin is at a critical juncture, deeply oversold with significant selling pressures from various sources. Influencers recommend buying the dip, but underlying concerns about liquidity and market fundamentals suggest caution. The next few weeks will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can maintain its $60,000 support or if a fall to $50,000 is imminent.
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Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash Repayments Begin for Mt. Gox Investors

According to U.Today, Mt. Gox trustees have initiated the repayment process of Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash to investors. This move marks a significant step in the redistribution of BTC and BCH that have been locked since the notorious 2011 hack. The Mt. Gox exchange, once the largest Bitcoin exchange globally, had to shut down after losing over 700,000 BTC in the hack. Since then, the process of repaying investors has been hindered by numerous legal and administrative challenges. The commencement of repayments is a crucial turning point in this ongoing issue. The redistribution of Mt. Gox funds could potentially have a significant impact on the market. The release of these funds might lead to substantial selling pressure for Bitcoin, which is currently struggling to maintain its price above key levels. The return of Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash to investors is now in the final stages, as stated by Mt. Gox trustee Nobuaki Kobayashi. The repayment schedule is set to begin in early July 2024. According to the Rehabilitation Plan, repayments will be made in Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash. The repayments will be carried out in collaboration with multiple cryptocurrency exchanges, ensuring the completion of essential data exchange and verification before the funds are released. Kobayashi emphasized that the team has put in a lot of effort to ensure the repayments are reliable and secure. This includes implementing technological solutions for safe transactions that comply with financial laws in each country and collaborating with cryptocurrency exchanges to set up repayment terms.
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Crypto Community Anticipates Significant Bitcoin Appreciation Over Next Decade, Poll Reveals

According to U.Today, a recent poll initiated by MicroStrategy chairman and cofounder Michael Saylor has revealed a strong bullish sentiment within the crypto community. The poll asked participants about their expectations for Bitcoin's annual appreciation in USD over the next ten years. The results suggest that a significant price boom for Bitcoin could be on the horizon. Nearly half of the respondents expressed extreme optimism about Bitcoin's future, anticipating substantial annual appreciation that could propel the cryptocurrency to unprecedented levels. The poll results showed that 22.4% of participants expect a steady rise of 10% to 19% annually. Meanwhile, 18% are even more bullish, predicting an annual surge of 20% to 29%. A hopeful 10.8% of respondents anticipate a 30% to 39% increase each year. However, the majority, a whopping 48.8%, envision a staggering 40% annual appreciation for over a decade. This optimistic sentiment comes at a time when Bitcoin is experiencing a significant downturn, having extended its drop near $60,000. Bitcoin recently extended its decline to lows of $60,581 in the early trading session today, marking a more than one-month low and a roughly 6% drop. This decline reflects lower demand for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds and monetary policy concerns, particularly about the Federal Reserve's ability to quickly reduce interest rates from a two-decade high. Despite reaching an all-time high of $73,798 in mid-March, Bitcoin has lagged behind traditional investments like equities, bonds, and gold this quarter. However, as the crypto community keeps a close watch on Bitcoin's price movement in the short term, Saylor's poll reflects expectations for Bitcoin's growth over the next decade.
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Fundstrat's Tom Lee Discusses Factors Influencing Bitcoin Price Predictions

According to U.Today, Tom Lee of Fundstrat recently appeared on the 'Odds Lots' podcast to discuss his Bitcoin predictions. Lee highlighted the unique nature of Bitcoin as an asset class, emphasizing its cooperative value. He explained that those who contribute to the Bitcoin network benefit from it, a characteristic that sets it apart from other asset classes. Lee's firm first wrote about Bitcoin in 2017 when it was valued at around $1,000. Fundstrat published a white paper at the time, identifying two main variables that determine Bitcoin's price: the number of active wallets and the activity per wallet. Lee stated, 'At that time, we made a simple projection. We said that in five years, by 2022, if the number of wallets went up by 70%, and activity per wallet went up by 40%, Bitcoin would be $25,000 by 2022.' Lee also praised Bitcoin as an 'incredible technology,' noting its security and the fact that it has never been hacked in its 14-year existence. He added that 'Not a single entry on the Bitcoin ledger is fraudulent.' However, he also acknowledged that over 80% of Bitcoin price moves are still explained by activity per wallet. Fidelity's Jurian Timmer has suggested that the underwhelming growth of the Bitcoin network could be the reason why the cryptocurrency failed to record record highs in recent months. On Monday, Bitcoin slipped below the $60,000 level for the first time in more than a month, touching an intraday low of $59,863, according to CoinGecko data. Despite this, Lee remains optimistic about Bitcoin's future, having reiterated his previous price target of $150,000 back in June.
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