"Overvalued, overvalued, overvalued 😂 My newsfeed is flooded with bearish posts, saying this project and that project are being priced too high. $STRK, $ARB, $OP - layer 2 $SUI, $APT, $TIA - layer 2 All are around ~7b market cap, meaning 5-7 times the private round valuations of Tier 1 VCs. Solana also once received severe criticism from Eastern Laos and international CT. From 5u down to nearly 1u, then back up to 3u => The entire community cursed it as overvalued. The story after that, everyone has seen. $sol, $near, $ftm, $avax, $luna, and dozens of other L1, L2 tokens all went to the moon. Developers, MM, VCs of any project all want to dump. But to dump, there must be liquidity. To have liquidity, there must be marketing. And there's no better marketing method for a project than pumping. $NEO, $XLM, $XRP $ETH, $SOL, $DOT, $AVAX $TIA, $SEI, $SUI, $APT want more examples?"
"Low float - High FDV - Crazy Prices." Lately, I've read many articles criticizing tokenomics where initial token generation events (TGEs) have very low initial supplies but high total supplies. This setup results in low market caps but very high fully-diluted valuations (FDVs). Last night, I backtested over 20 altcoins from the 2017-2018 cycle to the 2020-2021 cycle to compare with the current one. Interestingly, I found that previous cycles faced similar situations. In 2017-2018, FDVs ranged from hundreds of thousands to a few million. In 2020-2021, they jumped to tens of millions to hundreds of millions. Currently, top-tier altcoins are being valued in the billions. Are they overvalued? 👉 Yes. That's the game; if you accept it, you can participate. Alternatively, you could seek coins where all tokens have already been released. (However, based on my backtest, these often underperform significantly during bull runs.) #Lcagency #Lcademy #blockchainvietnam #Crypto_Jobs🎯 #KOLcrypto
$AVAX dropped ~8% due to a sell-off of 2 million $AVAX - 54.2 million USD. According to CoinMarketCap, it takes about 1 million USD to decrease $AVAX by 2%. In reality, 54.2 million USD only reduced the price of $AVAX by about 10%. => Is there buying pressure? Case study on Liquidity. Edited: corrected due to a misreading P/S 01: 1 million USD will reduce the price by 2% on Binance only, but across all exchanges, it would require more. However, the mechanism is that if one exchange's price drops, other exchanges will have market makers selling at the same price. Continue to observe this case to see what happens.
▫️$BTC is relatively straightforward, still trading within the range of 58.9 - 73.8.
▫️The 58.9k bottom has been swept, so the next liquidity draw level could be at 74k. Therefore, I'd only look for Long positions up to 74k.
▫️Upon reaching that level, observation is crucial. If the red plan plays out, meaning $BTC creates a fake breakout and returns to range trading, then there's a high chance of $BTC dropping to 50k => making an altcoin season unlikely!
▫️Expectations remain on the green plan, with $BTC holding above the 75-80 range for a few days before further increases => Altcoin season begins.
PTKT #OTHERS 3/6/24 IN THE LAST 6 MONTHS OF THE YEAR, ALTCOINS WILL SOAR 🚀
▫️On large timeframes like the weekly chart; the daily chart still shows an upward trend with a beautiful structure. Higher highs and higher lows consistently above key EMA lines.
▫️The current phase resembles that of August 2020 - October 2020. The price is above EMA lines and gearing up for a Parabolic rise.
▫️Altcoins usually soar when the crowd has seen Bitcoin surge (Bitcoin has surged and hit ATH) while meme coins attract newcomers to the market (Memes are increasingly prevalent and surging). Combined with BTC.D reaching 57%, I believe most Altcoins are currently in accumulation and awaiting strong signals for a Pump 🚀
Currently, meme coins and older coins are experiencing stronger gains/recoveries compared to newer coins or those with solid technological foundations. Much FUD is being spread about these groups of coins. Such as significant initial distributions, developers collaborating with VCs to buy tokens at low prices to dump on holders, etc. I advise everyone to stay vigilant and not to lose their holdings.
Withdrawal Guide for Notcoin to Exchanges ⭐️ Last night, Notcoin officially enabled withdrawals to Binance, 🥰 Follow the steps below to transfer NOT to the exchange:
1️⃣ Access @notcoin_bot, click Start -> Open
2️⃣ Click on the "Claim" button (Available only for Telegram Premium accounts)
3️⃣ Click the upward arrow (Next to the ➕ sign)
4️⃣ Click "Exchanges" and select the exchange where you want to withdraw $NOT
❗️ Note: Besides withdrawing to exchanges, you can also stake $NOT for 30 days to earn interest.
5️⃣ Enter the deposit wallet address and MEMO
➡️ Additionally, for those with Vouchers, you can click the "➕" sign to convert them to $NOT .
$BTC analysis on the H4 timeframe ▫️With the bullish sentiment surrounding $BTC , upcoming corrections present opportunities for us to Long $BTC and anticipate ATH. ▫️However, pay close attention to the 69k area as this could be where selling pressure kicks in strongly. This was the previous ATH and also the region that formed the downward waves recently. 👉 Hoping that $BTC will overcome this zone, and if it does, we can expect the bull run to continue for the next few months.
$BTC to cease declining and create ATH? ▪️First is the weekly candlestick chart: After 4 consecutive weeks of decline, entering the 5th week, $BTC continued to drop from 63k to 57k, making everyone anticipate 50k, but by the end of the week, $BTC staged a strong recovery and closed the week with a bullish pinbar. ▪️Moving on to the daily candlestick chart: Wednesday saw significant selling volume, but thereafter, $BTC couldn't drop further and reversed to rise, especially with a strong upward candle on the 6th day. 👉 $BTC successfully trapped the bearish camp by breaking down below the 59k level. It also swept the stop losses of the Long camp. ▫️Based on the weekly and daily charts, I believe in the coming days $BTC will seek higher levels. First is the 68k-69k region. Then comes the ATH. ▫️Opportunity for "traders from the future" lies in the rebounds of $BTC to Long and TP at higher levels.
Besides the Bitcoin halving, another significant factor influencing the crypto market cycle is the U.S. presidential election! After the election, a large amount of money is often allocated to new policies. This explains why the market usually gradually rises and experiences continuous pump and dump cycles from the period after the halving onwards! Just look at the market capitalization chart of altcoins outside the top 10, and you'll see it clearly! From now on - until altcoins enter a strong upward trend, sit tight, hold firmly, and wait! As long as the market and herd psychology exist, the cyclical factor will persist!
In recent months, we've witnessed 8 consecutive months of price increases in both BTC and altcoins. The current correction phase is necessary for the market to sustain long-term growth. Many people are wondering how long this correction will last so they can mentally prepare. In my personal opinion, we may see the bottom of this market in about 2 months from now. The following 3 months will likely be a period of slow market recovery with continuous pump and dump cycles - a rollercoaster that may lead to extreme frustration among traders, making them believe that a significant correction is imminent after such pump and dump phases. However, towards the end of the year, everything will start to fall into place. The strongest bull wave of the cycle is expected to occur during this time. #Lcademy #BlockchainJob #CryptoJob #KOLcrypto
Throughout the past period, Memes have consistently outperformed most technology projects. From layer 1;2 to DeFi, LSDFI, all have shown extremely modest growth compared to meme tokens. Image 01 - Current situation ▫️ Memes have surged strongly, and after the correction, the rebound is even stronger than other technology projects. Meme tokens have now returned to the price level before the dump. ▫️ Conversely, technology projects raising tens to hundreds of millions are struggling to find the bottom. 👉 Is it the twilight of technology Altcoins? Are Memes taking the throne? ⭐️ Actually, it's not like that. It's simply the flow of money circulating between narratives (See post 02)
Image 02 - Not long ago ▫️ $SEI up 9 times; $TIA up 10 times and a series of technology Altcoins have shown relatively impressive growth - mostly doubling or even quintupling from the bottom in October 2023. When corrections occur, technology coins often bounce back quickly (don't know if you remember). ▫️ Meanwhile, meme tokens are in a downward trend, continuously seeking the bottom without any signs of recovery. ⭐️ Conclusion: The market will constantly change "lock key," don't think that holding the key to success in the previous phase will continue to win in the next phase. ⭐️ Our market training mindset: New technology coins are the real deal => buy a lot => heavy bags => crash hard. Or another example: Old coins are heavy bags => few people buy => pump hard. 👉 Now many have been looking for old coins; memes on dex with potential xxnx and abandoning new technology projects. The market repeats itself... we're just spinning. #Lcademy #BlockchainJob #CryptoJob #KOLcrypto
Many traders are curious whether the upcoming token unlock for $SUI is something to be worried about. Personally, I believe token unlocks for developers and project funds aren't necessarily cause for concern. With a stash of tokens already in their possession, they are incentivized to actively seek ways to "sell the product!" – essentially, marketing and promotion. The best marketing approach for a reputable project like this is to let the price action speak for itself. As the price rises, liquidity increases, especially with the OTC market seeing significant development. This scenario isn't unique to $SUI ; other altcoins backed by VCs and market makers will likely follow a similar pattern. $OP serves as a prime example: after its unlock, it underwent an accumulation phase for about two months before hitting its all-time high! This might resonate most with those who have been in the industry for a while and have built numerous relationships! I've witnessed many skilled traders who excel at finding promising coins and identifying trends but still struggle to achieve substantial results with their trading approach! Then, when the market turns against them, and they start losing on subsequent trades, they have to start over from scratch! Most of the big winners in crypto tend to adopt a conservative approach, buying only a few tokens when they're cheap and selling when they're high, without overly trading! So, it's best for most of us retail traders to opt for a strategy of buying at low price levels, despite the common misconception that cryptocurrencies are scams! Think like the whales: accumulate slowly and sell slowly – avoid selling everything at once, because if you sell everything and the market continues to rise for another 3-5 months, you're likely to get back in at the top! And if you've been selling gradually, by the time you reach half to one-third of your target, you can already start taking profits and securing your initial investment!
Renzo stands out as a leading Liquid Restaking protocol in today's cryptocurrency market.
Currently, on Defilama, Renzo's TVL stands at $3.3 billion. In the midst of the current downtrend in the market, Renzo's TVL continues to grow steadily. For me, this is a positive sign.
Renzo is a Liquid Restaking protocol developed with investment support from Binance Labs. Positioned as a powerful tool in the DeFi space, this protocol optimizes the benefits of staking tokens. One unique aspect of Renzo is its flexible and rapid restaking capability. Instead of waiting for an extended period before withdrawing funds, users can restake immediately, saving time and enhancing flexibility in asset management. This protocol brings significant benefits to users by helping them maximize income from participating in DeFi activities. With Renzo, staking becomes easier and more efficient than ever, opening up opportunities for stable profits in the cryptocurrency space. Renzo has successfully completed two fundraising rounds with the participation of investment funds such as Binance Labs, IOSG Ventures, Maven11, ... #Lcademy #BlochainJob #CryptoJob #KOLcrypto
Predictions for upcoming token trends : BTC, ADA, LTC, DOT,
Zooming in on the details, When $BTC hits ATH, it undergoes a correction of about -11.66%. Meanwhile, due to the nature of the money flow lagging when Others touch resistance (without reaching ATH), Others have corrected downwards by -28.6%. This means that for every 1% drop in $BTC, Altcoins drop by 3%. Roughly speaking, Top Altcoins decrease by about -33%, while Midcap/lowcap/meme coins may drop by approximately -45% to -65%.
Specific examples. From Top 10 to Top 150 market capitalization. Top 10 market cap: ▫️ $ADA | When $BTC hits ATH and corrects by -11.66%, $ADA , not reaching Fibo .786, corrects downwards by -38.72%. It drops nearly three times as much as Bitcoin. ▫️ $LTC | Representing the POW system, it usually follows the upward trend of $BTC. $LTC also decreases by -31.33%. ▫️ $DOT | As a newer coin, with its technology narrative, it gets listed near the top 10 market cap. After a pump/dump of around +- 60%, before entering a bull run, it also undergoes a correction of -27%. 👉 Top coins correct around 3 times as much. Their upward trends are also much later compared to Bitcoin. #Lcademy #BlockchainJob #CryptoJob #KOLcrypto
Among the BTC Layer 2 solutions and BTC sidechains, Bouncebit seems to be the most successful at the moment! Partly because Babylon hasn't released its token yet! This Bouncebit deal, to be honest, I just searched and made a lucky guess, it's not really an in-depth analysis or anything! Merlin has a huge TVL, but as soon as it hits the market, the TVL drops, and the price follows suit! In terms of technology, what Merlin does is much more complex than Bouncebit - however, in terms of trend speculation, I rate Bouncebit higher. Bouncebit's model is just like what $MATIC and $BNB did in the past, catching the Ethereum trend by creating a fork chain with stability and high speed by reducing the number of validators! Generally speaking, there's nothing too special or complicated! Bouncebit also has all the elements for a speculative bet following the house's preferences! Airdrop all to insiders!Very little inflation of coins for retail investorsLarge staking reward pools to encourage newbies to lock up their coinsSupported and endorsed by Binance!
$TAO is also a very promising AI coin that everyone should pay attention to! TAO is building a very serious AI and blockchain network, and I'm still observing and patiently waiting to accumulate more! Currently, regarding AI coins, I only bought more $WLD because the price range of 4-4.5 is a very good valuation range! The biggest FUD about TAO may be its relatively large market cap! However, I have been monitoring the project very early on, and I started buying when $TAO was at 70u, so I can guess that the reported market cap is just the total cap on paper, the actual cap is much smaller than the stated $3 billion USD by a large margin! My speculation comes from the fact that #TAO has very low liquidity compared to a project with a market cap of billions of USD! Liquidity of 2m - is this not laughable? When $TAO was first launched, its volume on Uniswap was much higher than on other DEXs! - This proves that the actual market cap of $TAO is very small! I checked on Bittensor scan, and indeed, the circulating supply is only about 900k tokens, compared to a total supply of nearly 6.6 trillion tokens! ---> So, the actual circulating supply of $TAO is currently only about 13% of the announced figure. The actual market cap of $TAO is estimated to be around $400 billion USD! Everyone should watch for a test around the $400 mark and accumulate! It's even better if it drops to $300! I used to sell at around $300, and now I have to buy back at a higher price. #Lcademy #BlockchainJob #CryptoJob #KOLcrypto
At this point, it's best to forget about news regarding US interest rates - waiting for rate cuts to get on the train may likely result in missing it!
The likelihood is that the high-interest-rate environment will last much longer than anticipated! What does this lead to? The USD and gold will both rise, and as for the money pushing the market, of course, it will still be there! Don't assume that high US interest rates mean there's no money to drive the market! Cheap money this time will come from around the globe because many countries are unable to cope with the pressure of high interest rates! Especially, US investment funds currently hold a lot of cash and are waiting to deploy it to grab good deals! $NVDA has dropped nearly 25% from its peak, and it may continue to drop before consolidating, which will be the entry point for this money to flow in! When Nvidia stocks bounce back, I think AI coins will also get a boost!
The AI coin wave, in my opinion, will likely start in June-July when news about the new version of GPT chat is released! Keep an eye on $TAO, $WLD, and coins from the trio of AI mergers.
Bitcoin Halving Comparison Across Cycles: Halving 2016: Before the Halving event, BTC dropped by 29.36%, and post-Halving, it dropped another 28%. (Prior to that, BTC had risen by ~335%.)BTC continued sideways for about 100 days before breaking out and experiencing significant upward momentum thereafter. Halving 2020: Before the Halving event, BTC corrected by 19.5% from its recent peak.Sideways movement for nearly 3 months following the event. Therefore, after 2 Halving events, it's difficult to conclude how much BTC will "sell the news" by. The fluctuations during the Halving periods also have a high degree of randomness. The most certain conclusions drawn from the two Halving events are: 1️⃣ BTC will cool down and move sideways for a period of about 2-3 months. 2️⃣ BTC will continue its strong upward trend and reach its peak within approximately 5xx days thereafter. #Lcademy #BlockchainJob #CryptoJob #KOLcrypto
$OP is quite an altcoin this season! If calculated from the bottom, $OP has also x10 when reaching the 4.8 mark! The last 2 times the beautiful consolidation zone for $OP was when the price adjusted to the last fibo zone! In particular, they all have the same scenario: there will be a candle that breaks through the last fibo support zone and then the sideway pump dump accumulates for about 2 months before pumping strongly! There is a high possibility that scenario will repeat! Not only $OP but also all altcoins, I personally believe that in the next 1-2 months it will start to run slowly, then suddenly increase sharply to complete the strongest rising wave of a 4-cycle. year