At the start of 2025, Bitcoin has shown strength, nearing the $100,000 mark once again as it celebrates its 16th anniversary. After dropping below $100,000 on December 19, 2024, the leading cryptocurrency has faced challenges in gaining significant bullish momentum.

Currently, BTC appears to be undergoing a recovery phase, with a nearly 5% increase over the last week. An esteemed crypto analyst on the social media platform X believes that the current price structure indicates that Bitcoin is at a crucial turning point.

Bitcoin Price Analysis and Future Projections

Renowned crypto expert Ali Martinez shared insights on the current state of Bitcoin’s price and its potential impact on future movements. According to Martinez, the price of the flagship cryptocurrency is currently at a “critical juncture.”

This assessment is based on Bitcoin’s interaction with the 50-day moving average (50MA) on the daily price chart, a key technical indicator used to monitor the medium-term price trend. Historical data suggests that the 50-day MA has acted as significant support and resistance levels for Bitcoin.

Recent charts indicate that Bitcoin’s price broke below the 50-day MA but has since rallied to retest the breached support. Martinez warns that a downside move could be imminent after the retest, but a sustained close above the 50MA could negate the bearish outlook and signal the end of the current price correction.

As of the latest update, Bitcoin is priced around $98,358, reflecting a 1% increase in the past 24 hours. CoinGecko data shows that the cryptocurrency has seen a nearly 5% rise over the last week.

Impact of Exchange Outflows on Bitcoin’s Momentum

In another analysis on X, Martinez highlighted a significant outflow of Bitcoin from exchanges in recent days. According to CryptoQuant data, over 48,000 BTC (worth over $4.5 billion) have been withdrawn from exchanges within the past week.

This movement of funds suggests a change in investor sentiment, with users transferring their coins to non-custodial wallets for potential long-term holding. It signifies growing confidence in the market leader’s future trajectory.

The increased movement of coins from centralized exchanges may also hint at heightened buying activity, as investors opt to store their newly acquired assets off exchange platforms. This shift in exchange outflows could serve as a positive indicator for Bitcoin’s price momentum.

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