The fact that the movement from the local low has had so much interaction with this Fibonacci channel, that wave C is exactly 1:1 with A, and that the movement has been primarily caused by stablecoin mints plus FOMO due to ETFs and the halving, confirms that this movement is corrective and not impulsive, and that it should be followed by a continuation of 2022. This continuation should be shorter in time, but more aggressive in terms of price/time ratio.
Currently testing a major support. 5th wave of C is missing, and the main resistance hasn't been reached yet. Also most altcoins look like they want a last high, that's why I have some exposure to alts.
Currently testing a major support. 5th wave of C is missing, and the main resistance hasn't been reached yet. Also most altcoins look like they want a last high, that's why I have some exposure to alts.
The analysis is playing out so far. BTC should reach 44k-45k first and then possibly 50k. That would trigger massive FOMO again and liquidate all the early shorts. But at the same time, that would complete the w5 of C, meaning the bear market rally is over.
On the other hand, altcoins are bouncing nicely and I expect them to keep pumping as long as BTC stays within the 40k-50k range (local top formation/distribution)