The big market is expected to start between August and September, but you need to be cautious when buying at the bottom, because the market may experience another month of volatility.
Although we look forward to the market's recovery, the bottom position is still uncertain and is expected to be around 48,000. On May 13, I posted in the tweet that the 53,000 and 48,000 positions came back and all verified one by one. Before the bull market really starts, the main force needs enough time to wash and absorb funds. So, don't rush to buy at the bottom on the left to avoid falling into risks. If you still have a position, you might as well wait until the sideways market ends before taking action, which will be more certain. Don't worry that the market will rise immediately, because the market needs time to stabilize and prepare for the next round of rise.
In short, patience is the key to investment. Before the bull market starts in August and September, we need to stay calm and wait for the best time.

Currently in the mid-term oscillation stage of the bull market, the market still has no real reversal. We need to wait until the interest rate cuts from September to November are implemented to mark the arrival of this bull market.

Sector opportunities: The MEME coin sector has the highest hype and long-term heat in each season, the emerging sectors that have emerged from the AI ​​instinctive bull market have high potential, and the local dog warm sample pool in the SOL sector season has the greatest opportunity and is the most stable in this round of bull market.

Token analysis:
PEPE: It is expected to run through the entire bull-bear market cycle of this round. High heat and high consensus
BOME: It is currently the second Binance on the frog IP, similar to the original SHIB was the second Binance on the dog IP, which is in line with the hype trend of the MEME sector and the ecology on the SOL chain!

The market plummeted and adjusted, and the intensity of the wash-out made retail investors panic. Many people hesitated and dared not enter the market easily.

This sentiment even cast a shadow of the bear market on the bull market, which should have been full of vitality, and led some people to mistakenly believe that the bull market is coming to an end and the bear market is coming.

However, I would like to remind everyone that the Bitcoin ETF has just been approved, and the large-scale entry of institutional investors has just begun.

Bitcoin has only been halved for two months, and the market interest rate cut has not yet started, and a large amount of funds have not yet poured into the market. At present, the market is mainly supported by existing funds and funds brought by ETFs.

The altcoin has not yet ushered in a large-scale outbreak, and now some people think that the bull market has ended. This view is premature.

If the bull market really ends like this, then it cannot even be regarded as a complete bull market, but can only be said to be a small fluctuation in the bull market.

I want to understand a few things when I come to the cryptocurrency circle:
First, the cryptocurrency circle has large fluctuations, short bull-bear cycles, many new things, obvious money-making effects, and many opportunities for ordinary people
Second, don't complain about the environment. I've complained a lot recently, but in fact, I just can't stand some things. There are many opportunities to make money in the cryptocurrency environment
Third, you must learn more. Bitcoin gives ordinary players fewer and fewer opportunities. So far, the obvious money-making effects of this bull market are on the chain, whether it is Bitcoin inscriptions, runes, or sol, memes on Ethereum, there is basically no bull or bear here.
As long as you study hard, go in the right direction, and adapt to the new rhythm, you will definitely make money.
You must be able to use wallet transactions. This is the biggest place for ordinary players to turn over.

There are three main types of people who are cut in the cryptocurrency circle: 1. Contract speculation and liquidation, 2. Buying altcoins and air coins, 3. Buying pyramid scheme coins. The first type is market risk. If you play for a long time, you will basically lose money. The second type is that there is really not so much innovation. Most of them are here to make money. Even projects with innovation and practical applications are seriously overestimated. How can you not lose money if you buy them? Air coins are tokens that are not supported by projects. They are simply issued. Many so-called meme coins are air coins. The dogecoin that Musk often mentions is this type. The third type is actually unknown to people in the cryptocurrency circle. It’s just that the people who buy them claim that they are speculating in coins and buying some pyramid scheme coins that people in the cryptocurrency circle have never heard of. The so-called pyramid scheme coins have upper and lower lines and commissions. Then these people lose money, and they say that speculating in coins to make money is a scam, but it does not affect people’s buying Bitcoin and Ethereum to make money. The idea of ​​new leeks entering the market is that those old coins have risen so much, I will not take over for you. I want to buy new coins and explore new opportunities for skyrocketing.

It is obviously a bull market, why do people always lose money?

In the bull market of the cryptocurrency circle, why do some people still lose money even though they are in an upward trend? This is a common question. Let's explore the possible reasons.

Adding positions at high positions: In a bull market, investors often add positions when the price of the currency rises because of greed, but are unwilling to stop losses when the price of the currency falls. This mentality can easily lead to being trapped and serious losses.

Chasing the rise mentality: In a bull market, investors are easily attracted by the rhythm of the dealer and blindly chase the rise. This often misses the best time to buy and eventually leads to losses.

Lack of risk management: Investors often ignore risk management in a bull market and do not do a good job of diversification and asset allocation. This can easily lead to capital losses in the short term.

Emotional influence: Market sentiment fluctuates greatly, and investors are easily affected by emotions and make irrational decisions. This may also lead to losses in a bull market.

Lack of correct investment direction: Although some investors are confident in blockchain, they cannot find the right breakthrough direction and have been spinning in place. This will also lead to failure to make money.

In short, in the bull market of the cryptocurrency circle, rational investment, risk management and the right investment mentality are all very important. If you find yourself always losing money, you might as well review your investment strategy to see if there is room for improvement.

In addition, although the price of Bitcoin continues to fluctuate, some analysts still predict that it may reach $99,000 in the future, and the bull market is only halfway. However, investors should remain calm, look at market fluctuations rationally, and formulate reasonable investment strategies and asset allocation plans.

This year is the worst in the history of cryptocurrencies
1. Most people lost money in the first half of this year, and only a few made money. Moreover, many of those who lost money were old investors in the cryptocurrency circle. There are quite a lot of people with resources and capital. This is the most hateful bull market. Many of them are impossible to be untied.
2. Fear brought by collective consensus: According to previous thinking, there will be a big bull market two or three months before and after the halving of BTC. As a result, BTC almost finished rising last year. The same is true for altcoins. When the collective consensus believes that the market is coming, it is just the end. Everyone missed the BTC collectively boarding the altcoin, and the result is that you will never rise again after boarding the altcoin
3. Altcoins will change dramatically: many altcoins will return to zero. Unlike the previous rounds of bull markets, today's consensus logic, judgment criteria, and investment logic have all changed. Moreover, altcoins are not included in them. The changes of the times have eliminated too many slow-reacting people. It is a pity that the updates and iterations of this circle are far beyond the general level. The collapse of the Shanzhai consensus, after the inside story of the Shanzhai was revealed, no one paid for it. This consensus effect began to occur rapidly, and many people were buried.
4. The collapse of the C consensus: people no longer have high respect and faith in VC.
The trust in what they say, do, and are optimistic about is extremely reduced.
5. The difficulty of starting a business for the project party has increased again: the project party needs to understand the future trend. Understand the needs of the community, understand the market, understand marketing. Understand the community. It is getting harder and harder.
So the successful projects are getting smaller and smaller, and the trust of retail investors in the project party is also decreasing, so a vicious circle is formed.
6. The crypto dividend fades: the tension of the currency circle dividend fades, everyone is thinking about quickly getting wealth and freedom here, very impatient and uneasy. Most people are worried about where they will go after this round of bull market in the crypto circle.
7. The ideology and consensus form of this round have changed a lot. Everyone needs to be more advanced and have a new understanding of the crypto circle. Don't be anxious, don't be discouraged, don't be happy too early, and don't be too conceited.
8. This round will return the accumulation of many years of many people who have not left the table. Things that you can't imagine will happen in this round. You have been happy for so many years. It's not too much to make you sad once?

We may already be at the bottom!
Reviewing this wave of washout:
Drivers of the first half of the market: Bitcoin ETF, halving and industry narrative (inscription), the three drivers have created the market of Bitcoin's independent blood-sucking. No matter what the market is, a few days before and after the good news lands, there will be a callback market, and the magnitude of the callback depends on the previous increase.
Prediction of the next wave of market (according to the staged rhythm)
Drivers of the second half of the market: Ethereum ETF (definitely passed), SOL ETF (with a certain probability of passing) interest rate cuts and industry narratives (Ethereum, SOL ecological narratives)
At present, the above major benefits have not been fulfilled, and the expectations are all there. After the good news on the capital side is fulfilled, the funds will gradually enter the market. After entering the market for a period of time, the good news of the industry narrative will land again, and the stage market will end the hype.
I think the position above 52,000 should be the bottom of this round of callback. Falling below 52 to 42 requires new major bad news. I can't see it at present. The power of the bears is gradually weakening. As the saying goes, one effort will be strong, the second will be weak, and the third will be exhausted.
There will not be a big drop in the short term, and the longer the shock here, the stronger the bottom.
However, the callback range of the cottage this time exceeded the market's expectations, because the increase was not high, but it caused a relatively high drop. It is reasonable from the logic of following the decline of Bitcoin, but it is indeed not possible to cause a sharp drop in space due to the liquidity problems of many projects and dispersed funds.
The only core answer is emotional washing. At present, the cottage represents the emotions of retail investors. At present, the retail investors holding cottages have reached the highest level in history. There are very few retail investors holding Bitcoin and Ethereum. Only the big washing of the cottage will cause panic in the bull market, and retail investors will be washed away, making the market healthier.
In short, the most difficult stage is finally over. Many major negative factors have been implemented. The liquidation data in the past few days is comparable to the FTX explosion at the end of 22 years. The characteristics of the bottom are gradually increasing. I suggest that everyone should not be too emotional and bearish. Maybe I am currently at the bottom. I will know the answer in a few months.
#BTC走势分析 #VanEck提交首个SolanaETF #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期

The biggest problem in this round is "belief"

Early BTC holders had faith, so everyone didn't have to be too afraid of Mentougou.

DeFi Summer was the faith of Ethereum cult

Doge was later brought by Musk, so for a long time BTC was strongly associated with Tesla.

And this round, it's basically all about line trading and chip games, and everyone is very smart in large-scale PVP. The only point that can show faith may be only in SOL and some memes.

So do you believe in digital gold?

The altcoin market is collapsing again, and the market is full of pessimism. This is what the dog dealer wants. The bull market is still there. Stay optimistic and the future is still promising.

Yesterday, ETH fell synchronously with BTC, which was in line with expectations. There was fundamental news that the ETF was delayed. The speculation expectation was extended again, but the macro environment had a greater impact. The positive effect of ETF is still weakened. Today, the oversold rebound is expected. Don't be blindly optimistic. Wait patiently, be defensive, and wait for stabilization signals.

The altcoin market fell synchronously with the mainstream, and most currencies had a large correction. The key target of the dog dealer's current round of wash-out is all on the altcoin market. Most users have altcoin chips that are much higher than mainstream chips, so the wash-out is serious, creating fear. Panic, forcing users to hand over their chips. Pay attention to the rebound of the altcoin today. You can consider light follow-up to gain a short-term rebound opportunity. The stop must be set well within 10%. The market has not shown a clear reversal signal, and spot trading still needs to be cautious.

RGB++ has started free casting. The recent on-chain activity has increased. RGB++ is also a very good new protocol, which has a good effect on the construction of the BTC ecosystem. Continue to pay attention to this sector. The market continues to be sluggish. Wait for the sector to review its popularity before taking action.

The rune market is still sluggish. Pay attention to high-quality rune market currencies and wait for the second wash to start.

Today's intraday altcoins are on the sidelines. For more altcoin strategies, pay attention to the latest community information

SOL

SOL and I have been very close recently. I have bought the bottom and sold the top accurately several times. This callback reached the support range of 121~124 given the day before yesterday and then rebounded 10%+ smoothly. It is considered to be a leader among mainstream coins!

Still follow the original idea. Take the initiative to stop profit in the short-term rise here. Consider the big opportunities after it stabilizes at 145. If there is a pullback, refer to the mid-line support of 124~121.5 and the short-term suppression of 137.5~140.5.#美国6月非农数据高于预期 #德国政府转移比特币 #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #BTC走势分析

Talk about 3 points

1. The general trend, the mid-term fluctuation of the bull market, the price of the big cake is normal to go back and forth between 50,000 and 70,000 dollars

2. MEME AI SOL sectors will be the three sectors with the greatest opportunities, the most and the most stable in this round of bull market

3. $PEPE will run through the entire bull and bear market of this round. Remember that $BOME is currently the second binance on the frog IP, just like SHIB was the second binance on the dog IP

If there is no technical content, I will keep adding PEPE

If you know a little bit of research and analysis, look for potential tokens in the AI ​​sector

For SOL, look at basic application types such as $JTO

PENDLE
Current price: 3.58
You can make a profit, stop loss 10 points!!
There is no serious negative news in the short term, and the recent market is oversold, so you can do some short-term trading appropriately
#ASI代币合并计划 #美国6月非农数据高于预期 #美联储何时降息？ #BTC走势分析

Analysis of BTC and ETH market on July 6:
Today’s highlights
BTC: 1-hour and 4-hour levels have entered the oversold range, and the daily level has entered the oversold range. The impact of the macro environment is still there, and the fundamental negatives are still there. In addition, the hawkish negative market continues to be sluggish. The market has not reversed, and the decline has stopped in the short term. The market is repairing. The upper resistance of the day is 57000-58000, and the lower support is 55500-55800. Today’s oversold rebound is more likely. You can consider short-term gambling and wait for a certain signal
ETH: 1 hour, 4 The small average level has entered the oversold range, the daily level has entered the oversold range, the macro impact is still there, the chain is also sluggish, and the hawkish bearish market continues to be sluggish. The market has not reversed, and the short-term stop has a restorative market. The upper resistance of the day is 3050-3100, and the lower support of the day is 2900-2930. Today's oversold rebound is more likely. You can consider short-term gambling and wait for a deterministic signal.
#美国6月非农数据高于预期 #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息？ #ASI代币合并计划

History will not repeat itself, but it may be surprisingly similar!
I don’t know how many people have experienced the bull market from 20 to 21. That round of bull market:
● The market started to pull in mid-October 20, due to a large amount of capital inflow from the United States;
● At the end of April 21, the weekly line of Bitcoin had a dead cross, and it pulled for half a year;
● After the dead cross, it experienced a 519 plunge, and Bitcoin adjusted for more than 2 months, and started to pull the market for the second time around July 20;
● Bitcoin pulled to November 24 and began to plummet. With the expectation of US interest rate hikes, it completely entered a bear market
And this round of Bitcoin bull market from 23 to 24 has very striking similarities:
● The market started to pull in mid-October 23, due to a large amount of capital inflow from the United States;
● At the end of April 24, the weekly line of Bitcoin had a dead cross, and it pulled for half a year;
● After the dead cross, it experienced multiple single-day plunges, and Bitcoin adjusted for more than 2 months, and then...
If you believe that there will be a second chance to rush higher in the future, then there will be a good opportunity to lay out the bottom chips!

If you want to quickly get rid of the leeks in the currency circle and become the sickle in the currency circle market, you need to do the following seven things:

1. Adjust your mentality first: treat currency speculation as a game, and it doesn't matter whether you win or lose. Only in this way can you easily speculate in the currency market.

2. Use spare money to speculate: The funds for currency speculation must be spare money that will not affect your life. Only by using spare money to speculate in currency can you take it and put it down.

3. Seize the time to learn: If you want to speculate well, you should figure out the practical technical indicators and tactics as soon as possible, practice more, and summarize more.

4. Be cautious in the first battle: The funds of leeks are originally small, and you must pay attention to effectiveness. Especially for the first time, you must prepare carefully and strive to win the first battle. Before operating, you should use the simulation system more, practice, and gain some experience before taking action. Otherwise, once you enter the market, your funds will be trapped or cut, which will be a great blow to your confidence.

5. Keep the principal: Using the money you earn to speculate in currency will make you feel relaxed and make your operation more comfortable.

6. Summarize your own set of methods: If you want to change from a leek to a sickle, you must put an end to the mentality of chasing the rise and full warehouse, and always remember that as long as you don't chase the high, the leek will become a sickle. You must be good at learning, and through actual operations, you can summarize a set of operating skills that suit you. This is the fundamental to change into a sickle.

7. Only trade strong dragon coins and concentrate funds: You must trade the leader when trading coins. The dispersion of funds not only increases the transaction cost, but also makes you lose sight of the big picture, and you cannot accurately analyze and grasp the market characteristics of each coin.

Let's see how long the bull market starts after the halving!!!
In the 2015-2017 cycle, Bitcoin reached its price peak on the 518th day after the halving;
In the 2019-2021 cycle, Bitcoin reached its price peak on the 546th day after the halving.
If history repeats itself, the price peak of the next bull market will appear on the 518th-546th day after the halving, which means that Bitcoin may reach a new round of price peak in mid-September or mid-October 2025.
Previously, Bitcoin accelerated to 260 days in this cycle. However, due to the recent consolidation phase of more than 3 months, its acceleration rate has dropped sharply and is now about 150 days. Generally speaking, the longer Bitcoin stays in a consolidation state after the halving, the better the effect of resynchronizing with the traditional halving cycle will be.