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Looking back on my 9 years in the crypto world, from 8,000 to over 53 million, experiencing ups and downs.
[Dare to explore and try, and there will be opportunities.] 1. In March 2016, my parents lost a lot of money in business and were pursued by creditors. I was afraid to go home and could only hide in the school library reading books. At that time, I had only one thought in my mind: I must earn a lot of money to repay the debt and regain my parents' lost dignity. Carrying that sense of financial scarcity, I flipped through many books until I saw on the back of a book by an economics author his blog. After following it, I read an article about Bitcoin. I still remember the title: 'This thing will definitely change the world.'
Everyone can see it— the rebound in the US stock market has already accounted for Binance’s rise leaderboard. Is Bitcoin being ignored?
Let me make this clear: the next step strategy! Like, follow, and bookmark it so you don’t come back later saying I’m just being a hindsight commentator.
1. Big BTC (Bitcoin) won’t start a full-blown bull run that quickly. Based on past data comparisons, around mid-August there’s usually another pullback, then a bottoming out in December—only after that does the bull run really begin.
But for this round, I don’t think it will revisit those lows so deeply. Instead, it’ll likely trade sideways and “wait out time.”
So for the next 1–3 months, Bitcoin is expected to stay in a wide-range consolidation, likely in the 53k—73k range.
2. In the US stock market, the AI downstream industry—especially semiconductors and memory—will still be the core of future AI-world productivity.
So instead of buying small-cap alts, it’s better to buy them. As mentioned before, those types typically offer a rebound of 10%+ in three common spots.
First spot: After the first top pullback of around 30%~40%, there will be a strong rebound.
Second spot: After the second rebound, when the top pulls back into the 40%~50% range, there will also be a significant “snapback.”
Third spot: After the third rebound, when the top pulls back into the 50%~60% range—this one has the highest certainty.
After that, if there’s another correction beyond 60%~80%, then in that range you should accumulate in batches and hold, waiting for the synchronized rate-cut bull market. At that point, short-term trading won’t be worth it.
Because that’s a high-probability buying range with the potential for 10x+.
In other words, other alts may feel kind of pointless. If these US-tech capacity companies drop more than 60%, I think buying those “alts” is the smart move—accumulate them!
My personal view is: after the bounce up today in the short term, on the next market open there may be further adjustments. Then wait until the timing is mature before stepping in.
To sum up the trade plan: Accumulate lots of BTC / trade in a range + wait for further dips to buy the bottom for Flash/ SanDisk, Micron, and Hynix.
Heads up early tomorrow morning!!! A big rebound is coming!
Around 2:00 a.m. tomorrow, the Fed interest rate will be announced! This is crucial. Most likely they won’t continue raising rates. Keeping it unchanged is likely, but it won’t last long—the rate cut is not far off!
1. When the bull market starts depends on when the rate cuts begin! If nothing unusual happens this year, by before the end of the year we will definitely start entering a gradual rate-cut cycle. Right now it’s 3.5%~3.75%. If rate cuts can happen once to rescue the market when U.S. stocks crash hard, bringing it to the 3.25~3.5 range, then the bull market will begin. Don’t underestimate even small changes in interest rates. The whole world is short on money—everything is so depleted.
2. Keeping the exchange rate unchanged will most likely lead to a short-term modest rebound, roughly around 10%.
#SK Semiconductor stocks that pulled back in the past have dropped more than 40%~50%, about in line with the drawdown of “big Bitcoin.” You have to know that even during the 2000 internet bubble crash, most stocks fell only about 60%, and only a very small number fell 80% or more.
So, during a massive sell-off, opportunities are being built. Most likely, when the decline reaches the 50%~60% range, that’s the time to get into the “hitting zone.” Buying in small batches and in limited quantities will likely produce good results.
Watch tomorrow morning’s interest rate decision. Some people at the Hong Kong Miss pageant bought a few SanDisk units under 1000. Wait to capture a 10%+ rebound! Set a 5% stop loss! 👌 Already placed the order and waiting to get it! #美联储何时降息?
Yesterday I reminded everyone: after the interest rate announcement, it will most likely rebound. Place separate limit orders for positions within 1000 USD of SanDisk. What you’re blocking is the rebound after the interest-rate decision is released and the market opens! So far everything looks fine—pretty good. I placed orders at three spots and captured over 20%! To summarize: although U.S. stocks can be traded 24 hours a day in the crypto market, because the overall liquidity of U.S. stock tokens in the crypto market isn’t that great, after you buy, you still need to wait until the U.S. stock market opens to actually see the price rise or fall. Don’t buy, then notice it hasn’t gone up much, and sell right away! Trade based on the price synced to the market’s opening after the U.S. stock market opens. Remember: don’t use crypto-market momentum thinking to trade!
Everyone! 2 signals indicate that the crypto market is about to move! (Like and save this to watch!)
1. Yesterday, I was still really worried. Since the stock market’s storage and semiconductor sectors have been falling so hard, I thought Bitcoin might also drop in the short term to probe the bottom.
But after the interest rate was released, it matched expectations. Bitcoin didn’t really fall—it stayed firm, moving in a sideways consolidation.
This suggests there isn’t much sell pressure on Bitcoin anymore; it’s basically in the bottom range.
And funds are very likely to return to Bitcoin gradually.
2. On-chain hotspots are showing signs of emerging again!!!
Have you noticed that before every market starts up, some “shitcoin” projects on-chain—those that can pump dozens, hundreds, even thousands of times—usually appear first, sparking market sentiment, and then BTC and other mainstream coins gradually start rallying!
Recently, a brand-new chain (the launch platform) emerged—the chain with the ID #Robinhood . So far, it already appears to have 3–5 “shitcoins” that have pumped anywhere from dozens to a hundred times.
For example, something like #pons #CASHCATUSDT . Even the market caps are already over 1.5M.
These are positive signals from the market right now! Stay steady. In a bear market, follow Crypto Sis and I to ride through bull and bear together—so you can learn the latest market developments first!
Sima-style seized the realm This old man’s whole focus is unwavering goals—then to bide time, hold back, and go numb emotionally. Keep improving. When it’s not favorable for him to attack, just survive and stay alive longer, outlasting everyone else until they eventually make mistakes. Then seize the opportunity when they commit errors and counterattack decisively.
Heads up early tomorrow morning!!! A big rebound is coming!
Around 2:00 a.m. tomorrow, the Fed interest rate will be announced! This is crucial. Most likely they won’t continue raising rates. Keeping it unchanged is likely, but it won’t last long—the rate cut is not far off!
1. When the bull market starts depends on when the rate cuts begin! If nothing unusual happens this year, by before the end of the year we will definitely start entering a gradual rate-cut cycle. Right now it’s 3.5%~3.75%. If rate cuts can happen once to rescue the market when U.S. stocks crash hard, bringing it to the 3.25~3.5 range, then the bull market will begin. Don’t underestimate even small changes in interest rates. The whole world is short on money—everything is so depleted.
2. Keeping the exchange rate unchanged will most likely lead to a short-term modest rebound, roughly around 10%.
#SK Semiconductor stocks that pulled back in the past have dropped more than 40%~50%, about in line with the drawdown of “big Bitcoin.” You have to know that even during the 2000 internet bubble crash, most stocks fell only about 60%, and only a very small number fell 80% or more.
So, during a massive sell-off, opportunities are being built. Most likely, when the decline reaches the 50%~60% range, that’s the time to get into the “hitting zone.” Buying in small batches and in limited quantities will likely produce good results.
Watch tomorrow morning’s interest rate decision. Some people at the Hong Kong Miss pageant bought a few SanDisk units under 1000. Wait to capture a 10%+ rebound! Set a 5% stop loss! 👌 Already placed the order and waiting to get it! #美联储何时降息?
Did Big A's semiconductor also collapse? Sangye Technology, Dongshan Precision Last time my Hong Kong girl-friend told me she bought 10 million While shopping with me, she was also averaging down I said, don't add more first—when it rebounds, just leave [facepalm] It's still halfway up the mountain She said: I’m holding long term. It will come back …… No—wait. That line… why does it sound so familiar?
Damn, Hong Kong’s this young guy—on 50x leverage he keeps adding leverage 🤣 Buying that ETF is already leverage; he wants to add even more, and it could become a 1,000x leverage position. With just 0.1% volatility, he’s sitting on hundreds of millions in unrealized losses. #香港交易员挪用资金操作海力士
The American stock market’s “black swan” disaster There’s a robot with a strong sense of discipline that got stopped out after it was hit and closed for risk control. But we don’t know the market for sure. The only thing we can be certain of is the rules. Our robots only do things with approximate odds, and we aim to minimize losses when the probability of something happening arrives. This time, you can’t see how many people are holding on as the American stocks burst. Remember: what truly makes you lose money isn’t just the market—it’s emotional numbness. We’ll move slowly, step by step. As the saying goes in the strategic partner’s words: Accumulate from tiny steps to reach a thousand miles!
South Koreans, we're done for! Hynix has already sent its advance south and crossed within 1,000 Next should be SanDisk, right In the group, they already gave a weather forecast in advance If you take one bite, then retreat if you have to Because there will be a third wave of the southward advance Right now it's the third wave A lot of people are rushing to buy more, especially South Koreans—do they really have to prove they’re still alive? South Korean young people are really super aggressive; they just don’t want to lie down Let’s be more pragmatic. Work hard and believe that we can gradually get rich
I kept saying that the US stock market will definitely have another big crash. It feels like whenever anything goes from the stock market into the crypto space, it’s just pushing us to become bag-holders. The crypto market has already become a massive harvesting ground. 🤣🤣 This round of the US stocks will take Bitcoin down to its bottom for a bounce. That’s about it.$NVDAB
Clearly, it seems like the counterfeit dog meme <c-1/> #pepe #Floki🔥🔥 is starting to show signs of revival. In each market cycle, some memes usually start first, and then Bitcoin and other mainstream coins follow. At this point, I think things will look better over the next 1 to 3 months. Please stay tuned.