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What happens after the #Bitcoin halving? 1-12) A mere two days away, the Bitcoin halving has sparked a self-fulfilling prophecy. Google Trends has ‘Bitcoin Halving’ at its highest ‘search scale’ ever (score 100 vs. the 2020 #Bitcoin halving search score of 60). Social media ‘analysis’ has consistently claimed that every prior halving has been bullish for the price of Bitcoin. While the price rally may not be immediate, we are focused on when, not if. 2-12) When we analyzed all the previous #Bitcoin cycles, we realized that prices do not move randomly and that Bitcoin is such a powerful invention because of the incentives structured around it. That’s why pre- and post-halving price developments are predictable, in our view. Below is what we think will most likely happen after the Bitcoin halving. 3-12) Read the full report here: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/happens-bitcoin-halving #BTC

What happens after the #Bitcoin halving?

1-12) A mere two days away, the Bitcoin halving has sparked a self-fulfilling prophecy. Google Trends has ‘Bitcoin Halving’ at its highest ‘search scale’ ever (score 100 vs. the 2020 #Bitcoin halving search score of 60). Social media ‘analysis’ has consistently claimed that every prior halving has been bullish for the price of Bitcoin. While the price rally may not be immediate, we are focused on when, not if.

2-12) When we analyzed all the previous #Bitcoin cycles, we realized that prices do not move randomly and that Bitcoin is such a powerful invention because of the incentives structured around it. That’s why pre- and post-halving price developments are predictable, in our view. Below is what we think will most likely happen after the Bitcoin halving.

3-12) Read the full report here: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/happens-bitcoin-halving

#BTC

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What This Week's Inflation Data Means for Your #Bitcoins 👇1-10) Traders expect a +/-6% move for Bitcoin by the end of this week. This is, of course, on the back of tonight’s #PPI and, more importantly, tomorrow’s #CPI US #inflation data print. However, with implied volatility priced at 52.8% vs. 50.8% for other maturities, we can hardly say that a big move in BTC on the back of these inflation prints is priced in. Implied volatility is not expensive, as realized volatility traded slightly below 50%. 👇2-10) Technically, Bitcoin is still pressing onto the 60,800 to 61,400 support level. If this is broken, we would expect lower prices. The average entry price for #Bitcoin ETF holdings is around 57,000, so any break below 60,000 will likely cause an adrenaline spike for those investors. It is no coincidence that BTC inflows slowed once Bitcoin failed to rally. 👇3-10) Read the full analysis: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/weeks-inflation-data-means-bitcoins #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #BTC #cpi
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Will #Grayscale Sue the #SEC and Flip the #Crypto Market? An Upside Catalyst for #Ethereum? 👇1-11) Two months ago, we presented our crypto market structure analysis, which indicated that consolidation was ahead, with downside pressure for Bitcoin (and other cryptocurrencies). Although many claimed that the post-halving period would be bullish, the #Bitcoin ETFs were (indefinitely) buying ten times the mining supply, and Bitcoin prices could only go up. Things are turning out differently— precisely as we expected. It’s tough to be bearish, but occasionally, this is the right call to make, and we do not shy away from these tough calls. 👇2-11)  Until the Bitcoin halving on April 20, we had seen approximately $42bn of (liquidity) inflows into crypto markets this year (see chart below). Since the halving, we have seen nearly zero growth in #stablecoin inflows, and Bitcoin futures leverage has been dramatically reduced. Contrary to the bullish tweets about a post-halving rally, crypto users have voted with their money by withdrawing or pausing inflows. 👇3-11) Read the full report here: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/will-grayscale-sue-sec-flip-crypto-market-upside-catalyst-ethereum #BTC #ETH #ENA
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#Ethereum : The Bearish Case (report from April 2 when ETH traded at $3,500 - report available on our website)- since then we have been bearish and ETH is down -20%… and published several additional bearish ETH reports .. learn where ETH is going next … https://10xresearch.co #ETH #ENA
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$1,300,000 per #Bitcoin? – Or Have we already reached this cycle’s HIGH? Read more here: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/1300000-per-bitcoin-already-reached-cycles-high #BTC
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Beware of Token Unlocks. Will Venture Capital Funds cut this Altcoin cycle short? 👇1-12) The current cryptocurrency bull market cycle might be shorter than previous ones and unlikely to culminate in a broad altcoin rally. Are the crypto venture capital funds to blame? 👇2-12) Despite the high daily trading volumes of over $100 billion and the rapid development and updates in crypto projects, significant constraints exist on the industry's growth potential. 👇3-12) Real-time on-chain analytics keep crypto traders engaged, starkly contrasting traditional stock investors who wait for quarterly earnings. However, the crypto market faces challenges that could limit the breadth and duration of the Bull Run. A rapid succession of nearly $2 billion of token unlocks during the next ten weeks could lower the market for altcoins. 👇4-12) Read the full report here: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/beware-token-unlocks-will-venture-capital-funds-cut-altcoin-cycle-short #Altcoinseason2024 #ETH #Enabullrun #SUI
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