Ethereum bulls face challenges after surpassing the psychological barrier
Ethereum (ETH) recently reached the $3,000 level, breaking a significant psychological milestone. While this achievement indicates potential growth toward $4,000, the lack of strong bullish momentum raises questions about whether this target is achievable.
Ethereum’s Potential for Growth: Can ETH Hit $4,000?
Resistance at $3,141 slows progress
ETH is currently struggling with key resistance at $3,141. Despite briefly surpassing this level, profit-taking and weak momentum have led to consolidation below this threshold. Technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Awesome Oscillator (AO) suggest a cooling of bullish pressure.
RSI has dropped to an average level of 50, signaling a weakening upward trend.
AO shows declining histograms, reinforcing the view that bullish momentum is fading.
If these indicators fall below their respective averages, the outlook may shift in favor of the bears.
Key Support Levels and Growth Opportunities
Support at $2,780 as a critical turning point
In the event of further declines, the $2,780 level serves as a key support where investors might accumulate ETH. Increased buying pressure from this level could push Ethereum’s price back to $3,141.
A breakout above $3,141 could confirm a bullish outlook and pave the way for further growth of 10% to $3,443 or $3,500.
With heightened buying interest, ETH could surpass this barrier and target the psychological level of $4,000, representing a 43% gain from the $2,780 support.
Historical data suggests a possible rally
Ethereum saw a 46% rise between November 4 and 12, indicating that a similar move is plausible.
Risk of Correction: On-Chain Data Warning Signs
MVRV at a yearly high
According to Santiment, the 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has reached 22.57%, a yearly high. This level was last seen in March 2024 when ETH hit a local peak. If history repeats itself, Ethereum may face a short-term correction, aligning with the technical outlook discussed above.
Potential reversal of bullish outlook
If ETH falls to $2,780 but fails to attract significant buying interest, it could signal a lack of demand. Such a scenario would invalidate the bullish thesis and potentially lead to a further drop toward the $2,500 support level.
Conclusion: Can Ethereum Reach $4,000?
While technical indicators suggest potential growth, reaching $4,000 depends on sustained buying pressure and positive investor sentiment. The $2,780 support level will be pivotal in determining ETH's next move. Investors should closely monitor market signals, as a lack of demand could result in a correction toward $2,500.
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