đ„đ„đ„ Gold vs. $BTC - Important to read đ„đ„đ„
đ” Remember back on October 15, we were expecting BTC to rise above $70,000. Despite widespread pessimism, we compared BTC's chart with a similar period on goldâs chart from 2008, and we were right in our prediction (as shown in that post).
đ When BTC fell just short of a new all-time high, I revisited its chart looking for âcluesâ since BlackRock is now positioning BTC as âdigital goldâ (and they correlate quite well).
đł Back then, gold also surged, nearly reaching a new all-time high (falling just 2% short) and then entered a higher-level consolidation before experiencing a strong, true upward movement.
đ I believe we could see a similar consolidation in BTC though likely shorter, with a final movement even sharper than goldâs. Why? Hereâs some data:
Gold ETFs have attracted $130 billion, while BTC ETFs have pulled in only $70 billion (53.85% of the inflow into Gold ETFs).
âș However, thereâs a twist: Gold ETFs launched 20 years ago, while BTC ETFs have been on the market for less than a year. Demand is astonishing, and the âbullish flagâ structure shows much weaker buying pressure in gold than on BTCâs chart (BTC has a capped supply, making it a deflationary asset, while goldâs supply isnât capped, making it inflationaryâhence, BTCâs price reacts more sharply to purchases).
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So, my conclusion is: either BTC breaks its all-time high soon amid a âshock demandâ scenario, defying any correlation to this part of goldâs chart; or if BTCâs previous all-time high ($73,777) isnât surpassed shortly, history will repeat, with a consolidation phase ahead. The optimal price during this consolidation would likely be between $64,800-$63,200 per BTC, before a global price surge (this remains our area of interest), assuming, of course, that the market offers such an opportunity in the future.
I hope you found this interestingâI wanted to share my thoughts and observations with you! â€ïž