Le délai de 4 heures montre également clairement que Bitcoin a entamé une correction à la hausse contre une nouvelle tendance à la baisse. Étant donné que les prix les plus bas proches du niveau de 40 746 $ ont été franchis, nous supposons pleinement que le mouvement à la baisse n'est pas encore terminé. Bien sûr, comme toujours, de nombreux experts sont enclins à croire que le prix du Bitcoin va à nouveau augmenter, mais rappelons que nous ne sommes pas adeptes du point de vue de la croissance éternelle du Bitcoin. À l’heure actuelle, Bitcoin a subi une correction à la hausse d’exactement 50 % de Fibonacci, il est donc tout à fait raisonnable de s’attendre à un nouveau cycle de mouvement à la baisse. Les objectifs sont inférieurs à 38 500 $. Pendant ce temps, les analystes de CryptoQuant ont déclaré que les réserves des mineurs de Bitcoin étaient tombées au plus bas de juillet 2021. Les experts ont également noté un fort afflux de pièces Bitcoin pour échanger des adresses. Ils estiment qu’une vente massive pourrait avoir lieu dans les prochains jours, ce qui entraînerait une baisse inévitable du taux de la première crypto-monnaie. Selon eux, Bitcoin pourrait tomber en dessous de 40 000 $. On constate que de nombreux mineurs tentent de se débarrasser de leurs réserves avant le « halving », qui doit intervenir fin avril et entraînera une réduction des récompenses de 50 %. Il est également rapporté que les petits commerçants et investisseurs pourraient se joindre aux ventes en raison des craintes d’une forte baisse du Bitcoin. Comme on le voit, la chute de la première cryptomonnaie, comme on dit, se prépare. Rappelons que, selon nous, Bitcoin pourrait ou pourra compter sur une croissance en 2024 basée sur trois facteurs principaux : une réduction de moitié, une réduction des taux de la Fed et l’approbation d’un ETF Bitcoin. Rappelons également que le marché essaie toujours de prévoir à l'avance un événement futur. C’est le principe de base du marché : acheter sur la base de rumeurs, vendre sur la base de faits. Si tel est le cas, alors les facteurs d’approbation de l’ETF Bitcoin et de réduction des taux de la Fed ont déjà été élaborés, car ils sont connus depuis plus d’un an. Nous pensons également que la hausse du Bitcoin de 15 000 $ à près de 50 000 $ n’était pas inattendue. Les investisseurs et les commerçants traitaient les informations dont ils disposaient.

We can assume that the attempt to gain a foothold below the Ichimoku cloud on the 24-hour time frame ended in failure. A breakout of the Senkou Span B line happened, but it turned out to be false. At this time, the cryptocurrency has worked the Kijun-sen line (as we predicted), from which it has rebounded and, accordingly, may resume its fall. We believe that the downward movement is not yet complete and are waiting for its next round. Meanwhile, the head of the Ark Invest investment fund, Cathie Wood, once again gave a bunch of compliments to digital gold. According to her, Bitcoin is growing relative to gold and is superior to it as a means of hedging risks. Ms. Wood said that Bitcoin allows you to protect your funds in conditions of economic uncertainty. She referred to the events of 2023, when Bitcoin showed sharp growth amid the bankruptcy of three large banks in the United States. In her opinion, investors trust the traditional banking system and fiat money less and less. With the approval of the Bitcoin ETF, investment volumes in the first cryptocurrency will only increase as institutional traders now have an easy and secure way to invest in cryptocurrency. It is worth noting that in the States, 2024 may be quite difficult, although everything in this world is relative. Some experts continue to expect a recession from the American economy, which will certainly lead to increased unemployment and a crisis in the banking segment. Many large companies have announced mass layoffs. Thus, the situation in 2023 may be repeated, when Bitcoin rises against the backdrop of investors fleeing traditional banking investments.At the same time, not all experts believe that Bitcoin will overtake gold. For example, one of the leading Bloomberg analysts, Mike McGlone, believes that market expectations for a Fed rate cut may not affect the value of the first cryptocurrency. It is believed that “tight” monetary policy reduces the demand for risky assets, which includes Bitcoin, but this time the situation may be different. We believe that in any case, the potential Fed rate cut has already been taken into account by the market. Bitcoin has been growing for more than a year, and all this time the Fed rates have either increased or remained at their maximum value. The factor of rate cuts has already been taken into account by the market. On the 24-hour time frame, Bitcoin rolled back slightly, but we believe that the fall will resume, since the market has already fully taken into account the approval of the Bitcoin ETF and is now taking profits on longs. Therefore, we believe that buying now is not advisable, but short positions with a target of $34,267 are yes. Only around the levels of $34,267 and $31,000 will we consider the restoration of the bullish trend.#Write2Earn #TradeNTell

For the last seven days, Bitcoin quotes have been within a local consolidation movement with minimal trading volumes. In such a situation, a “triangle” began to form on the daily BTCUSD chart, which indicates a high probability of an impulse exit in one of the directions. Also, during the corresponding period, the volume of purchases of BTC coins increased significantly, which once again confirms the key influence of Grayscale on testing the support level of $38.5k.Despite the growing positivity in the cryptocurrency market, there is no reason to believe that the price of Bitcoin will move beyond the “triangle” in an upward direction. Moreover, the asset has not violated the global structure of the downward trend, so the likelihood of a downward movement still remains. An important factor that can directly affect the further movement of the Bitcoin price will be the speech of the Fed members regarding their vision of monetary policy. Speeches by Fed members After the meeting of the regulator and the restrained rhetoric of Jerome Powell, local pessimism reigned in the markets, provoked by uncertainty regarding the start of easing monetary policy. The Fed chief also noted that in the long term, the United States is on an unsustainable financial path, as public debt is growing much faster than the economy. Against the backdrop of such statements, investment activity, especially in the crypto market, has decreased significantly. That's why investors will be looking for glimmers of hope in speeches from other Fed members.Today at 17:00 GMT, the head of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Loretta Meister, who has voting rights on the Fed Board of Governors, will give a speech. The upcoming event puts pressure on cryptocurrency quotes, as negative sentiment continues to prevail among investors. However, if Meister declares that there is every reason to start lowering the rate, contrary to investors’ expectations, then this will provoke a BOOM of positivity in the crypto market. Investors resumed buying BTC Despite the pessimistic short-term prospects for the crypto market and Bitcoin against the backdrop of keeping the key rate high, long-term investors are resuming the accumulation of BTC coins. According to Santiment data, wallets with balances of 1,000 - 10,000 BTC have been actively buying cryptocurrency over the past two weeks. Also adding positivity was the news that Bitcoin exchange-traded funds from BlackRock and Fidelity entered the top 10 largest American ETFs in terms of asset inflows with a result of more than $4.8 billion.At the same time, The Block analysts report that transaction volumes on the Bitcoin network reached a maximum in September 2022 with a result of more than $1.21 trillion. This indicates the high popularity of BTC even during correctional movements. And the fly in the ointment was the company Genesis, which is going through bankruptcy proceedings and asked the court to allow the sale of shares in Grayscale trusts, which could negatively affect Bitcoin quotes. BTCUSD Analysis As of February 6, Bitcoin continues to consolidate near the $42.6k level. The main goal of BTC bulls remains a breakdown of the 0.5 Fibo level at $43.3k, however, after several unsuccessful attempts to do this, the price of the asset has entered a consolidation phase. The successful implementation of this idea is hampered by relatively low trading volumes: as of February 6, $18 billion. These volumes are also not enough for Bitcoin bears to continue the downward movement to $40.5k and below $40k. Over the past 24 hours, the situation around Bitcoin has not changed dramatically, which means that the asset can either go to the formation of the second shoulder of the G&P or resume its bullish rally, consolidating above $45k. The cryptocurrency managed to break the structure of the local downward trend, consolidating above $42k, but subsequently the upward movement stopped. This suggests that sellers' positions above $43k are still strong, and the likelihood of a resumption of the downward movement is significant. Results There have been no significant changes in the structure of Bitcoin price movements: the asset continues to consolidate near the $42.6k level with minimal price impulses. The main reason for BTC's weakness is another flow of liquidity into the US Dollar Index and Treasuries, as well as gold, amid geopolitical instability. In such a situation, BTC investors can only wait for the approaching halving, which will significantly increase Bitcoin’s chances of reaching a new high.#Write2Earn #TradeNTeel

Currently, the key aspect for cryptocurrency markets is the degree of institutional interest, as this will influence medium-term results. Following the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, there was a significant influx of capital. But what about the demand for crypto ETPs? Which alternative coins are still attracting interest from institutional investors? The CoinShares Weekly Report sheds light on these issues. What's with Institutional Interest in Cryptocurrencies Last week, inflows into cryptocurrency investment products amounted to $708 million. Since the start of 2024, total inflows have exceeded $1.6 billion, indicating that the market has moved beyond the negative bear market atmosphere. The total volume of assets under management of cryptocurrency funds has reached the threshold of $53 billion. This is an extremely impressive figure that illustrates the potential of the industry. Trading volumes decreased slightly last week. Weekly volume was $10.6 billion, down from last week's estimated $8.2 billion, but that's not a permanent decline. Especially considering the low average volumes of $1.5 billion in 2023, we can say that this is quite satisfactory. The largest influx of funds was recorded in the United States, where spot Bitcoin ETFs were launched. The inflow of $703 million represented 99% of the total funds flowing into all cryptocurrency funds. Despite the negative price outlook, there was an outflow of $5.3 million from funds shorting Bitcoin.Currently, the key aspect for cryptocurrency markets is the degree of institutional interest, as this will influence medium-term results. Following the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, there was a significant influx of capital. But what about the demand for crypto ETPs? Which alternative coins are still attracting interest from institutional investors? The CoinShares Weekly Report sheds light on these issues. What's with Institutional Interest in Cryptocurrencies Last week, inflows into cryptocurrency investment products amounted to $708 million. Since the start of 2024, total inflows have exceeded $1.6 billion, indicating that the market has moved beyond the negative bear market atmosphere. The total volume of assets under management of cryptocurrency funds has reached the threshold of $53 billion. This is an extremely impressive figure that illustrates the potential of the industry. Trading volumes decreased slightly last week. Weekly volume was $10.6 billion, down from last week's estimated $8.2 billion, but that's not a permanent decline. Especially considering the low average volumes of $1.5 billion in 2023, we can say that this is quite satisfactory. The largest influx of funds was recorded in the United States, where spot Bitcoin ETFs were launched. The inflow of $703 million represented 99% of the total funds flowing into all cryptocurrency funds. Despite the negative price outlook, there was an outflow of $5.3 million from funds shorting Bitcoin. The rhetoric of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is a hint at the prospects of Bitcoin. Crypto trader and analyst Ali Martinez drew attention to the statement of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. He said that the rhetoric creates the preconditions for an optimistic view of Bitcoin. Powell's assertion is based on the belief that the United States is on an unsustainable path with its debt. According to the head of the US central bank, this could lead investors to doubt the government's ability to meet its financial obligations and abandon the US dollar in favor of safer hedges, potentially increasing the shift to Bitcoin. Powell's views underscore the pressing problem of mounting US debt, which is growing faster than the economy. As Ali Martinez notes, this may cause investors to doubt the government's ability to meet its financial obligations. Consequently, there is an increasing likelihood of a massive shift from the US dollar to alternative assets, especially Bitcoin. While Powell highlights the vulnerabilities of the traditional financial system, interest is increasingly focusing on Bitcoin as a potential hedge against economic uncertainty. Investors concerned about the volatile trajectory of US debt may increasingly turn to decentralized digital currencies such as Bitcoin to preserve their wealth. Bitcoin becomes a hedge amid economic uncertainty While the US dollar has long been the world's reserve currency, Powell's warning points to a potential change in that status. The possibility that investors will abandon the dollar in favor of Bitcoin as a hedge from economic instability is becoming increasingly relevant. As the traditional financial environment falters, the decentralized nature of Bitcoin offers an alternative attractive to those seeking financial security. The impending transition from the US dollar to Bitcoin raises an important question: how will it affect the broader financial landscape? Investors who diversify their portfolios with Bitcoin can impact not only the cryptocurrency market, but also traditional financial markets. The dynamics between traditional and digital assets are evolving, and investors are developing strategies to successfully navigate this changing environment. Balancing the Economic Landscape Powell's warning could be a catalyst, reviving interest in Bitcoin. As investors overestimate their vulnerability to risk, volatility in the cryptocurrency market may increase. However, this volatility can provide an opportunity for strategic investors to benefit from market movements and position themselves favorably for economic changes. Powell's statements regarding the instability of the US economy position Bitcoin as an attractive alternative for investors seeking to avoid traditional financial uncertainty. The potential shift from the US dollar to Bitcoin highlights the changing nature of global finance. As investors navigate this economic landscape, they are keeping a close eye on the opportunities created by the intersection of traditional and digital assets. Bitcoin May Remain Sideways Since Bitcoin's price rebounded from levels below $40,000, its price has stabilized and has seen a significant decline in volume. Every time prices rise above $43,000, bearish activity increases, causing the cryptocurrency to return to its original positions. Given the current trading pattern, it appears that Bitcoin price may remain stable within a range for a long time, which could be positive for the cryptocurrency. Bitcoin price started February trading in the same range, remaining at $43,000. This has resulted in market equilibrium being maintained and determining the next possible move can be a challenge. Therefore, some analysts suggest that in the coming months the price of Bitcoin may fluctuate in the range from $49,000 to $38,000. In the near future, the price may recover to the $48,000 level after continued stabilization. In addition, it is possible that prices will sharply increase and reach a new historical high in the third or fourth quarter of 2024.#Write2Earn #TradeNTell

A new report from crypto exchange Bitfinex shows that the approval of a Bitcoin ETF by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has impacted miner reserves. Those, in turn, put pressure on the price of the main cryptocurrency. Bitcoin miners are selling their asset reserves or using them to upgrade their capacity as the influx of funds into cryptocurrency exchanges continues. They are driven by rising prices and the need to realize capital to upgrade mining equipment before the halving.A new report from crypto exchange Bitfinex shows that the approval of a Bitcoin ETF by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has impacted miner reserves. Those, in turn, put pressure on the price of the main cryptocurrency. Bitcoin miners are selling their asset reserves or using them to upgrade their capacity as the influx of funds into cryptocurrency exchanges continues. They are driven by rising prices and the need to realize capital to upgrade mining equipment before the halving. Why miners are being forced to sell Bitcoin According to the report, miner asset reserves fell to 1.826 million, the lowest since June 2021, as companies stockpiled some of the mined coins during the 2022 bear season. On January 12, the day after the ETF was approved, $1 billion worth of mined BTC was transferred to exchanges, setting a six-year high in miner outflows, according to analytics firm Glassnode. This comes as Bitcoin's price fell nearly 9% following the approval of several spot Bitcoin ETFs. While the opposite was expected, many analysts cited the huge inflow of funds in the fourth quarter of 2023 as the reason for the slight decline following approval. However, there has been a huge weekly inflow around the market leader on the institutional front. Dynamics of Bitcoin net outflow On February 1, Bitfinex experts noted that 13,500 BTC left the wallets of miners on exchanges, setting another record as the highest negative outflow. However, in the next 24 hours, inflows were around 10,000 BTC, resulting in net outflows of 3,500 BTC and 10,200 BTC since approval. The inflows recorded subsequently may be due to mining companies rebalancing their positions ahead of key events. Analysts point to operating liquidity, strategic adjustments and rising prices in 2023 as reasons for net capital outflows. During the bear cycle, mining companies suffered huge losses, leading to outright sales of equipment and the use of reserves to stay afloat. Halving influences miners' decisions However, the entry of institutional investors recorded in 2023 triggered a price movement in favor of miners, offsetting losses as they sought expansion. “This significant transfer of BTC from miners to exchanges reflects companies’ response to market conditions and perhaps their need to liquidate assets to cover operational costs of risk management.” The flow of Bitcoin miners' reserves to exchanges is important because it shows the amount of BTC accumulated by miners over a certain period. It also reflects the current market situation as outflows to exchanges usually represent intention to sell. The upcoming Bitcoin halving is a factor in the recent unloading of assets onto exchanges, with miners raising capital to expand their capacity and equipment. As a result of the halving, rewards will be reduced by 50%, which will encourage Bitcoin miners to look for more efficient rigs. Negative investor sentiment could be a harbinger of a bullish run At the moment, although there is a general lull in the cryptocurrency market, popular online data platform Santiment said that downward negative sentiment has prevailed in the market and among investors over the past week and this week. Santiment cited the market's inability to effectively exhibit the bullish pattern that traders have become accustomed to since the bull cycle that began last October as one of the reasons for the prevalence of negative sentiment. Stating that the negative sentiment here has become even stronger regarding the largest cryptocurrencies, Santiment emphasized that negative sentiment has appeared for the first time in more than six months. Finally, Santiment noted that there is a bullish signal behind the growing negativity towards BTC, ETH, XRP, BNB, ADA and SOL. Investors exhibiting anxiety, fear, or uncertainty regarding more than one major cryptocurrency indicate a high likelihood of a short-term surge. “There is a noticeable bearish sentiment permeating the cryptocurrency discourse this week as cryptocurrency market prices remain volatile and traders are unable to exhibit the usual bullish pattern they have become accustomed to since the start of the bull cycle in October. When investors start to worry and show Comfort dissatisfaction with a few large assets is a sign that market values are more likely to see an upcoming rebound. “Markets have historically moved in directions that people least expected, resulting in rallies that caught many short investors by surprise.”#TradeNTell #Write2Earn

Après avoir chuté de 10 000$, la cryptomonnaie Bitcoin a décidé de se corriger légèrement. Nous pouvons supposer que la tentative de prendre pied sous le nuage Ichimoku sur une période de 24 heures s’est soldée par un échec. Une percée de la ligne Senkou Span B s'est produite, mais elle s'est avérée fausse. À l’heure actuelle, la crypto-monnaie a travaillé sur la ligne Kijun-sen (comme nous l’avions prédit), à partir de laquelle elle a rebondi et, par conséquent, pourrait reprendre sa chute. Nous pensons que le mouvement baissier n’est pas encore terminé et attendons son prochain cycle. Pendant ce temps, Fred Thiel, PDG de Marathon Digital, a déclaré dans une interview que Bitcoin atteindrait 125 000 $ d'ici la fin de 2025 et que sa volatilité diminuerait considérablement. Selon Thiel, Bitcoin poursuit son développement et deviendra plus stable chaque année. Thiel considère également Bitcoin comme le meilleur véhicule d'investissement car il présente un avantage que l'argent ou les actions n'ont pas. Cet avantage est l’offre limitée de pièces. L’offre de Bitcoin sur le marché diminuera chaque année, ce qui soutiendra sa croissance future. Chaque « réduction de moitié » ultérieure signifiera une réduction de moitié de la récompense pour les mineurs. Par conséquent, ils exploiteront moins de blocs et de pièces, et l’offre sur le marché est vouée à diminuer. Thiel estime également que l’approbation d’un ETF Bitcoin au comptant entraînera une augmentation des investissements de la part des institutions et des grands investisseurs. Dans le même temps, M. Thiel estime qu’investir dans Bitcoin comporte également des risques élevés. En particulier, il a noté que des facteurs tels que la géopolitique mondiale, le dollar américain, la politique monétaire de la Fed, l’inflation et d’autres continuent d’avoir un impact sur la volatilité du Bitcoin. En raison de sa volatilité accrue, de nombreux investisseurs potentiels refusent de l’acheter.