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Votre travail ne consiste pas à prédire la direction que prendra ensuite le marché.Votre travail consiste à penser en probabilités et à effectuer de bonnes transactions.

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Absolutely. Here's the Americanized version — same message, but with that clean, confident, no-BS tone that speaks to traders who’ve seen some charts and some pain: 📊 How Volume Exposes Insider Moves and Market Manipulation Let’s be real. If you’ve been trading for more than five minutes, you’ve probably cursed out the same people as everyone else: 👉 Market makers. 👉 Whales. 👉 Shadow players who push the price, then vanish while you’re bagholding. But what if I told you their tracks aren’t invisible? Volume is your surveillance cam. It tells you who’s actually moving the market—the crowd or someone with real size and real intent. 📚 Anna Coulling, author of A Complete Guide to Volume Price Analysis, puts it like this: “Want to know what smart money is doing? Stop staring at price. Watch the volume.” Even Jesse Livermore was volume-watching back when all he had was a ticker tape and intuition. 🧠 Why Volume Matters: Sniffs out when a whale enters the pool Flags manipulation before you get wrecked Shows the difference between real trends and fakeouts Lets you ride momentum without becoming exit liquidity ⚠️ The Catch? Volume’s not gospel. It won’t give you certainty. Nothing will. You still need screen time, context, and that sixth sense that only comes from pain and reps. But as a tool? It’s lethal—especially if your goal is to ride smart money, not get steamrolled by it. Bottom line? Price shows you the result. Volume shows you the game. And if you learn to read it right, you’ll stop asking “what happened?” …and start anticipating it before the candle closes.

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Trump just cocked the shotgun and aimed it at the U.S. economy. The dollar? Dead man walking. Why? 1️⃣ Uncle Sam’s drowning in debt—cheaper refinancing is a must. 2️⃣ Capital needs to be dirt cheap to lure investors back to the U.S. 3️⃣ Weak dollar = export boom + foreign money flooding in. And Trump? He’s willing to trigger a recession to make it happen. How he’s pulling it off: 🔹 Tariffs? Short-term chaos, long-term boost for U.S. manufacturing. 🔹 DOGE? Not just memes. It's a signal: brutal spending cuts = bond yields down = job market bleeding. 🔹 Rising unemployment forces Powell’s hand → rate cuts come faster. Markets are already reacting: 📉 Now pricing in a 75bps cut instead of 50bps for January. 📉 10-year yields plummeted from 4.8% to 4.3%. 📉 DXY crashed from 110 to 104. 📉 U.S. stock market down 5-10% from its peak. The Risk? Inflation. If tariffs push up prices but inflation stays tame, the Fed can keep slashing rates. More liquidity = short-term BTC pump. But if inflation sticks? Welcome to the 1970s—stagflation edition. And guess what? The best-performing asset back then was gold. Now? Bitcoin is gold 2.0. BTC = Safe Haven? 📊 Short-term? Still trades like a high-beta tech stock. ⏳ Long-term? It’s only a matter of time before it plays its real role.

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$40B Wiped Out. What’s Next? At the peak of the alt season in December, open interest (OI) was $72B. Now? $32B. $40B gone. Just like that. Key takeaways: 📉 BTC OI at $89K → $16.93B (+25% from Nov’s $13.5B at $70K). 📉 SOL & ETH already below pre-Trump levels. But here’s the real kicker: 🔻 Excess margin positions? ~$2.5B. 🔻 Hedge funds flipping bearish—fast. And the big picture? Trump’s first term was all about stocks. His second? Bonds. If his team starts breaking things to push bond yields lower… 🔥 Stocks tank. 🔥 Crypto front-runs the collapse. You ready for the next wave?

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Trading isn’t just patience. It’s a nerve-wrecking waiting game. You watch the market chop sideways, doubt yourself, get frustrated, think about closing… then BOOM! The move finally comes—but you’re already out. Classic. The real game? Not blowing your stack while the market messes with you. Volatility will fake you out, consolidation will bore you to death, and FOMO will finish the job. Only those who can endure the pain without making dumb moves survive. So forget “profits come suddenly.” They come to those who haven’t turned into emotional wrecks long before that.

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In crypto, everyone is your enemy. Forget "fair play." Every KOL, every dev, every VC – they all want your money. It’s just a matter of time.

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