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Bitcoin: What If We Are Wrong ?? 👇1-12) George Soros's "two opposing theories" concept refers to his conflicting market views, allowing him to flexibly respond to changing conditions. Soros would develop a hypothesis for either market direction, jumping on the hypothesis that the market was confirming. 👇2-12) Bitcoin has followed predictable cycles, a fact that many of the most prominent crypto experts preach but seem to overlook at turning points. For instance, in November 2021, when the last bull market peaked, none of them advised cashing out. Similarly, in Q4 2022, when Bitcoin was expected to dip to 12,000, they failed to recommend buying. 👇3-12) All our analysis is based on quant analysis, and on October 28, 2022, we suggested it was time to buy and that Bitcoin could rally to 63,160 into the 2024 Bitcoin halving (+215% upside, actual halving price: 63,491). We also suggested on February 1, 2023, that Bitcoin could rally from 22,000 to 45,000 by Christmas (+100% upside, actual price on X-mas: 43,613). For 2024, we suggested Bitcoin could rally to 70,000 (+70% upside) based on the risk of diminishing cycle returns. We wanted narrative confirmation before committing to much higher Bitcoin price targets. 👇4-12) Read the full note here:https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-wrong #BTC

Bitcoin: What If We Are Wrong ??

👇1-12) George Soros's "two opposing theories" concept refers to his conflicting market views, allowing him to flexibly respond to changing conditions. Soros would develop a hypothesis for either market direction, jumping on the hypothesis that the market was confirming.

👇2-12) Bitcoin has followed predictable cycles, a fact that many of the most prominent crypto experts preach but seem to overlook at turning points. For instance, in November 2021, when the last bull market peaked, none of them advised cashing out. Similarly, in Q4 2022, when Bitcoin was expected to dip to 12,000, they failed to recommend buying.

👇3-12) All our analysis is based on quant analysis, and on October 28, 2022, we suggested it was time to buy and that Bitcoin could rally to 63,160 into the 2024 Bitcoin halving (+215% upside, actual halving price: 63,491). We also suggested on February 1, 2023, that Bitcoin could rally from 22,000 to 45,000 by Christmas (+100% upside, actual price on X-mas: 43,613). For 2024, we suggested Bitcoin could rally to 70,000 (+70% upside) based on the risk of diminishing cycle returns. We wanted narrative confirmation before committing to much higher Bitcoin price targets.

👇4-12) Read the full note here:https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-wrong

#BTC

Avertissement : comprend des opinions de tiers. Il ne s’agit pas d’un conseil financier. Consultez les CG.
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$1,300,000 per #Bitcoin? – Or Have we already reached this cycle’s HIGH? Read more here: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/1300000-per-bitcoin-already-reached-cycles-high #BTC
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Beware of Token Unlocks. Will Venture Capital Funds cut this Altcoin cycle short? 👇1-12) The current cryptocurrency bull market cycle might be shorter than previous ones and unlikely to culminate in a broad altcoin rally. Are the crypto venture capital funds to blame? 👇2-12) Despite the high daily trading volumes of over $100 billion and the rapid development and updates in crypto projects, significant constraints exist on the industry's growth potential. 👇3-12) Real-time on-chain analytics keep crypto traders engaged, starkly contrasting traditional stock investors who wait for quarterly earnings. However, the crypto market faces challenges that could limit the breadth and duration of the Bull Run. A rapid succession of nearly $2 billion of token unlocks during the next ten weeks could lower the market for altcoins. 👇4-12) Read the full report here: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/beware-token-unlocks-will-venture-capital-funds-cut-altcoin-cycle-short #Altcoinseason2024 #ETH #Enabullrun #SUI
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MORE than 90 per cent of stablecoin transaction volumes are not coming from genuine users, according to a new metric co-developed by Visa. Out of about US$2.2 trillion in total transactions in April, just US$149 billion originated from “organic payments activity”. Data provider Glassnode has estimated that the record US$3 trillion of total market circulation assigned to digital tokens at the peak of the 2021 bull market was actually closer to US$875 billion. With stablecoins, transactions can often be double-counted depending on the platform users are transferring funds to. For example, converting US$100 of Circle Internet Financial’s USDC to PayPal’s PYUSD on the decentralised exchange Uniswap would result in US$200 of total stablecoin volume being recorded on-chain. #USDC #USDTfree #UniSwap #PYTHUSDT
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What’s going on with #Ethereum? Should we even care? 👇1-14) Ethereum remains this cycle’s basket case. Surprisingly, BTC and ETH remain highly correlated, with an R-square of 95%. Ethereum’s weak fundamentals are becoming a roadblock for Bitcoin as they prevent broad fiat inflow into the crypto ecosystem. 👇2-14) During the last 2020/2021 cycle, ETH was the driver as Ethereum was supposed to replace the legacy banking system. NFT minting opened new areas of crypto adoption that could have expanded into various personalized documents on the blockchain, driving broad ‘wallet’ adoption. However, Ethereum developers did not react quickly enough. 👇3-14) Read the full note here: https://post.10xresearch.co/p/whats-going-on-with-ethereum-should #ETH
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#Bitcoin Surges Again: Traders Asking If This Bull Market Can Last? 👇1-12) During our tenure as portfolio managers at Millennium, one of the world's premier hedge funds renowned for its stellar risk-adjusted returns and stringent risk management, we often heard invaluable advice: “The market opens every day." Despite the allure of quick gains (FOMO), we remain committed to rigorous risk management and thorough analysis, ensuring opportunities are always ahead without compromising our standards. 👇2-12) Bitcoin is roughly back to the same level (64,000) when we emphasized that prices could fall back to 52,000/55,000 a week ago. In that report (on April 25), we showed how Bitcoin tends to sell off on higher inflation data BUT rallied after the FOMC meeting on March 20 – until another higher inflation data point was released. Bitcoin did decline but narrowly missed our entry buy zone by a tiny 3% margin (actual low 56,500). The decline from 68,300 when we emphasized cutting longs was -17%. 👇3-12) Identifying the right entry point is key in achieving a high-risk-adjusted return, especially in the absence of a larger bull market where prices can surge 2-5x. When the 60,000 level was breached, the nearest technical support was the 52,000/55,000 area. Interestingly, the Bitcoin rebound wasn't triggered by the FOMC meeting but by a well-timed comment from Blackrock about the (apparent) growing interest of sovereign wealth funds and pension funds in Bitcoin ETFs, which then accelerated on weaker employment data on May 3. 👇4-12) Read the full report here: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-surges-traders-asking-bull-market-can-last #BTC
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