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Bitcoin reevaluado: seguimiento de nuestras opiniones cambiantes en los últimos meses A continuación, resumimos la evolución de nuestro pensamiento durante los últimos meses. Nuestros boletines informativos periódicos (o informes de estrategia comercial) ofrecen un análisis detallado del día a día. Aun así, este resumen se centra en ideas extraídas de varias entrevistas televisivas en las que hemos participado recientemente. Estas entrevistas han arrojado muchas lecciones importantes. Como señalamos en los informes de nuestro boletín durante las últimas semanas, Bitcoin puede estar en un momento crítico. 1-7) 19 de abril de 2024: Por qué Bitcoin puede caer a $52,000 https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-reassessed-tracking-changing-views-recent-months #BTC

Bitcoin reevaluado: seguimiento de nuestras opiniones cambiantes en los últimos meses

A continuación, resumimos la evolución de nuestro pensamiento durante los últimos meses. Nuestros boletines informativos periódicos (o informes de estrategia comercial) ofrecen un análisis detallado del día a día. Aun así, este resumen se centra en ideas extraídas de varias entrevistas televisivas en las que hemos participado recientemente. Estas entrevistas han arrojado muchas lecciones importantes.

Como señalamos en los informes de nuestro boletín durante las últimas semanas, Bitcoin puede estar en un momento crítico.

1-7) 19 de abril de 2024: Por qué Bitcoin puede caer a $52,000 https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-reassessed-tracking-changing-views-recent-months

#BTC

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Fake Dip? The MOST important #Bitcoin Chart Traders Are Watching 👇1-12) Beware of fake dips when triangles break. Bitcoin’s relative strength has retraced back to 40%, which has been associated with rally attempts on three occasions since early 2023. We are pointing out a new ‘line in the sand’ where we might change our view. The previous ‘line in the sand’ where we turned bearish was 68,300. 👇2-12) Although we had been (correctly) bearish in January 2024 (most will remember that), we turned bullish on January 26. The last sentence of our January 26 report stated, “We would use any further dip to start buying again.” Our view was also covered in CoinDesk (here). 👇3-12) We used the term new bull market as early as mid-January 2023 when lower inflation turbocharged the rebound. Hence, we focused on when a) inflation turned unexpectedly higher and b) the Fed turned less dovish. As we pointed out during the last few weeks, the situation might be very different, with severe consequences for Bitcoin - that’s why our analysis below might be of the utmost importance. 👇4-12) Read the full report here -> https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/fake-dip-important-bitcoin-chart-traders-watching #BTC
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Is This #Bitcoin Indicator Predicting A Crash??? 👇1-11) We have been expecting a severe Bitcoin correction, and many of our @10x_Research subscribers either closed out their longs at 68,300 or some even went short. The signs were all there that the Bitcoin bull market was losing momentum. Now everybody is asking how steep the fall will be. 👇2-11) The average Bitcoin ETF buyer is now underwater. Many institutional investors will struggle to justify allocating more capital to those ETFs without an immediate upside catalyst, such as the halving. Despite brand names such as @BlackRock leading the ETF field, many portfolio managers likely had an uphill battle when they asked for Bitcoin ETF risk limits. 👇3-11) The indicator below could predict much lower Bitcoin prices, we explain why in the report (hopefully this indicator is wrong...) -> https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-indicator-predicting-crash #BTC
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#Bitcoin -> As we wrote yesterday, "We expect more unwinding as the average Bitcoin ETF buyer will be underwater when Bitcoin trades below $57,300. This will likely lower prices to our target levels and cause a -25% to -29% correction from the $73,000 top - hence our price target of $52,000/$55,000 during the last three weeks. There might also be a period of consolidation instead of a snapback rally - stay tuned." -> Why we turned bearish on April 18: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/hidden-factor-send-bitcoin-plummeting-5200055000 #BTC
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Massive #Bitcoin ETF outflows last night… so far reported $-300m… almost $1bn since the halving … lots of macro tourists in Bitcoin riding the “halving wave.” As we wrote yesterday, Bitcoin is trading at levels that are associated with the average entry price for the $11bn of Bitcoin ETF buyers -> read here: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-correction-different-3-previous-ones #BTC
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Why This #Bitcoin Correction IS Very Different Than the 3 Previous Ones 👇1-14) Bitcoin has another 20% correction within a larger bull market. @10x_Research is the only crypto research team that has accurately called all three 20% corrections (August 2023, January 2024, and March/April 2024) since the 5th Bitcoin bull market started officially on June 25, 2023. At that point, Bitcoin had made a new one-year high for the first time in a year (see our report from July 2023). 👇2-14) However, this correction is very different, as institutional investors have a risk management approach that differs from most retail traders. Based on our estimates, the average entry price of the US Bitcoin ETF holders is approximately $57,300—potentially even 1-2% higher - a level that Bitcoin prices are approaching fast - as we predicted. 👇3-14) Bitcoin's new one-year high has validated our early January 2023 prediction for the start of a potential new bull market. This positive trend is further reinforced by Bitcoin's proximity to our halving price projection of $63,160 (the actual price of $63,491), which we forecasted on October 28, 2022. 👇4-14) Our 2023 Christmas year-end target of $45,000 was almost achieved (the actual price was $43,613). While we called already on November 28, 2023 (still one of our best TV interviews), for a price target of $57,000 for the post-ETF approval period, we ramped up this target to $70,000 on February 1, 2024, when Bitcoin traded just at $40,000. 👇5-14) This is Bitcoin's first correction with a lot of institutional capital at risk, and there are other factors to consider -> Read the full report here -> https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-correction-different-3-previous-ones #BTC
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