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📉 EXITING BITCOIN hyperinflation or reducing inflation? Friends, many do not understand how the current, excessive positivity in the markets will end; why the AI bubble and tech stocks are inflating; when it will be possible to start exiting Bitcoin, and so on. 🔤 Let's start from afar and take a look at the US macro-economy and the Fed's monetary policy actions. After all, macroeconomics is the first step in the hierarchy that determines the global direction of trends in the markets. The Fed's restrained policy cycle has been going on for more than two years. But, at the same time, the necessary inflation targets of 2%-2.1% have not yet been achieved. 💵 After all, in 2020-21, a record amount of money was printed and injected into the economy. And more and more money has to be printed. Inflation, against this backdrop, is getting harder and harder to contain. Therefore, the Fed and those responsible for the stability of the dollar have to resort to unconventional solutions. And right now, they're trying to get out of that trap. If they start lowering the key rate, injecting money into the economy without easing inflation, they will get hyperinflation of 10-15% in the next cycle, as it was 50 years ago. That is a smooth depreciation of the USD. 🔎 Why all these complicated words? It's very simple. Let me give you a simple example. You have $100,000... and instead of buying a new car, you, seeing a great opportunity to earn money, carry this money into #BTC.😉 Naturally, you buy it at prices 50% more expensive than you could have done it half a year ago. And, you wait... Meanwhile, Powell is jubilant, because your money is no longer in the economy, but in a bubble... (the load on the economy is reduced). And obviously, in a situation where it's time to pump new money into the economy to keep key industries from dying, you won't be allowed to get your money out with BTC at, say, $200,000. Why? So that you don't go and trigger the already double demand for autos. That's why they're putting you in there. !The topic of the post is not a simple one. #Write2Earn‬

📉 EXITING BITCOIN

hyperinflation or reducing inflation?

Friends, many do not understand how the current, excessive positivity in the markets will end; why the AI bubble and tech stocks are inflating; when it will be possible to start exiting Bitcoin, and so on.

🔤 Let's start from afar and take a look at the US macro-economy and the Fed's monetary policy actions. After all, macroeconomics is the first step in the hierarchy that determines the global direction of trends in the markets.

The Fed's restrained policy cycle has been going on for more than two years. But, at the same time, the necessary inflation targets of 2%-2.1% have not yet been achieved.

💵 After all, in 2020-21, a record amount of money was printed and injected into the economy. And more and more money has to be printed. Inflation, against this backdrop, is getting harder and harder to contain. Therefore, the Fed and those responsible for the stability of the dollar have to resort to unconventional solutions. And right now, they're trying to get out of that trap.

If they start lowering the key rate, injecting money into the economy without easing inflation, they will get hyperinflation of 10-15% in the next cycle, as it was 50 years ago. That is a smooth depreciation of the USD.

🔎 Why all these complicated words?

It's very simple. Let me give you a simple example. You have $100,000... and instead of buying a new car, you, seeing a great opportunity to earn money, carry this money into #BTC.😉 Naturally, you buy it at prices 50% more expensive than you could have done it half a year ago. And, you wait... Meanwhile, Powell is jubilant, because your money is no longer in the economy, but in a bubble... (the load on the economy is reduced).

And obviously, in a situation where it's time to pump new money into the economy to keep key industries from dying, you won't be allowed to get your money out with BTC at, say, $200,000. Why? So that you don't go and trigger the already double demand for autos. That's why they're putting you in there.

!The topic of the post is not a simple one. #Write2Earn‬

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As Bitcoin consolidates on the verge of making a new all time high it all seems somewhat inevitable in hindsight. Now ETF’s are approved and institutions are onboard where does the next Bitcoin narrative come from? Where does it go from here? Traditionally, Bitcoin has been viewed as a high risk, high reward investment, often behaving like a tech stock. However, a closer examination of its evolving relationship with traditional markets suggests a potential shift in its role as a financial instrument. This newsletter explores the trajectory of Bitcoin transforming from a risk-on to a risk-off asset over a multi-decade period. I expect many investors currently look at Bitcoin as a bet on a broader market recovery and fed pivot. Early Signs of Decoupling We’ve started to see subtle changes on lower time frames where Bitcoin's correlation with traditional markets has parted. There are instances where Bitcoin's price movements have deviated from the patterns of tech stocks, suggesting a potential decoupling. This emerging trend, though still far from confirmed, hints at Bitcoin's capacity to act independently of the traditional financial ecosystem. If Bitcoin continues on a path towards decorrelation, it stands to become a valuable tool for portfolio diversification. As an independent asset class, it would offer investors a flight to safety that doesn't mirror the ups and downs of conventional markets. This unique position could redefine Bitcoin's role in investment strategies, shifting eventually from a high-risk option to a stabilizing force in diversified portfolios. This absence of counterparty risk presents Bitcoin as a potentially safe haven during financial turbulence, offering a level of security that is difficult to find in traditional finance. This combined with the lack of counterparty risk, offers a form of financial security that is could be highly valued in the future, especially in times of crisis. #BTC #Write2Earn‬
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