TON outperformed Bitcoin throughout 2024, standing out as one of the few altcoins capable of surpassing Bitcoin's performance.

Majority of other altcoins struggled to surpass Bitcoin's returns in 2024, which highlights TON's exceptional dynamic and adoption.

This performance coincided with a significant increase in its TVL, driven by several key factors :

- Growing investor confidence in the TON ecosystem

- Increased activity in staking and liquidity pools

- Lending or derivatives services

Analyzing the past three months of Binance Funding Rates (daily period), the 0.01 level stands out as a significant marker.

Since the beginning of September, Binance Funding Rates have remained in positive territory but struggled to break above 0.01. However, following a 51-day accumulation phase, we observed a decisive breakout above the 0.01 level on November 10, 2024.

Futures Supporting Spot Market Rallies

The increasing funding rates in the futures market indicate growing confidence among

Introducing RCV: A Quantitative Risk Indicator for DCA Strategies

Bitcoin investors using Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) now have a powerful risk management tool—60D-Realized Value to Market Capitalization Variance (RCV). This metric leverages a 60-day rolling window of realized cap and market cap to assess Bitcoin’s relative valuation. By comparing the gap between these metrics, RCV provides a dynamic risk measurement that categorizes market conditions into:

Low Risk (< 0.30): Favorable accumula

Ethereum’s overall bullish trend is at risk as Funding Rates, a key indicator of derivatives market demand, show mixed signals. While rates spiked midway through the rally, their sharp decline after rejection at the $4K resistance highlights waning trader commitment.

Initially delayed, the Funding Rates’ rise indicated cautious optimism. However, their subsequent notable drop signals reduced demand, weakening Ethereum’s bullish momentum. Without renewed trader confidence, sustaining the rally b

As #BTC declines, negative headlines are increasingly visible on YouTube and news media. This indicates that market sentiment is turning bearish.

This is reflected in the short-term SOPR, which shows the market sentiment of short-term investors, at 0.987, indicating that investors holding for less than 6 months are selling #Bitcoin at a loss. Ironically, historical examples show that when short-term investors experience losses, the market has often shown an upward trend, making it a good time f

The Rolling Percentage Gains for Holding Periods metric reveals that TON needs just a 10% price increase to bring short-term investors back into profit. Let’s break down the current profit/loss status for different holding periods:

1 week: -6%

1 month: -9%

3 months: +1%

This data indicates that short-term holders are currently in a marginal loss, with the potential to flip to gains after a relatively small upward movement.

Psychological Impact

Reaching profitability is often a strong psych

Currently, TRX is trading at $0.24. By analyzing the 30-day average, we find it sits at $0.26, indicating that this level serves as a short-term pivot point. Should TRX achieve a close above this level, we might expect a renewed upward momentum.

Historically, examining the "30 Day Price High & Low" metric reveals that periods where the high and low values converge often signal low volatility and mark an accumulation phase before the next significant price movement.

Conclusion

The $0.24 level

The New Adoption Rate of the TON blockchain has gone up again, and what does this mean? More and more new users are joining the network! 📈

New Adoption Rate is a metric that shows the percentage of new addresses making their first transactions compared to the total number of active addresses on a given day. In other words, it gives us a clear view of how many newcomers are entering the network each day!

We’re seeing an increase in the number of new addresses making their first transactions, i

Since 2021, USDT on TRC-20 has consistently outperformed its ERC-20 counterpart in terms of transaction volume, demonstrating the growing activity and user adoption on the Tron blockchain. With low transaction fees, faster confirmation times, and increasing popularity among users and exchanges, Tron has emerged as a preferred platform for transferring stablecoins globally.

According to latest data, USDT on TRC-20 reached a significant milestone, with total token transfers amounting to 22 billio

Looking at Bitcoin's price action since November 2024, a classic Head & Shoulders pattern can be observed. Drawing the neckline based on the shoulders suggests that the completion of this pattern depends on whether the $91k level can hold as support. With the price increase from the neckline to the ATH ($108k) being approximately +18%, the pattern implies a potential -18% drop if completed, which would target the $76k region. If the $91k level breaks with significant trading volume, the pattern’

Since 2018, Binance has consistently led the crypto market in Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) outflow transaction counts. In 2024, this dominance remained unchallenged, with Binance recording the highest monthly BTC and ETH outflow transaction counts across all centralized exchanges.

Most notably, in the last month of 2024, Binance processed nearly 2 million BTC and ETH outflow transactions, setting a new benchmark for exchange activity. This reflects Binance’s unmatched liquidity, robust infr

Bitcoin’s recent price decline has shifted market sentiment toward a more negative outlook. This downturn is driven by uncertainties about the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts, cautious investor sentiment ahead of President Trump’s inauguration, and the resurfacing news about state-held Bitcoin sales, which often appear during correction periods, adding to the bearish sentiment.

To assess the potential for further corrections, I analyzed several on-chain data points in comparison to historical patte

We observe that Bitcoin's price has surged above 100k, causing miners' Bitcoins to gain substantial value. As a result of this appreciation, miners have increased their sales activity.

Following a sharp pullback in Bitcoin's price, it entered a correction phase and rose again to the 102k levels, only to trigger another wave of heavy selling. As Bitcoin climbed to 102k, miner positions, which were in a "fairly paid" state, transitioned to an "extremely underpaid" state as selling pressure intens

Analysis of the MVRV 100 day-moving average metric in past cycles shows that it is an optimized indicator for detecting market tops and bottoms. As seen in the chart, the MVRV metric reached the value of 3 at the market tops in the past two cycles, whereas it currently stands at 2.14. Based on this, it can be said that Bitcoin is preparing to move towards the top price of this cycle, which is likely to occur in the coming months.

Written by CryptoOnchain

Let’s analyze the Bitcoin futures market using 4 critical metrics:

Funding Rates (0.007)

The funding rate at this level indicates that the futures market is moving toward stabilization, suggesting a reduction in extreme volatility.

Taker Buy/Sell Ratio

This ratio reveals that the market is relatively balanced, though buyers (long positions) maintain a slight dominance over sellers.

Open Interest

Open interest surged rapidly following Trump-related news but has declined by 3.58% in the past

We are currently witnessing a reversal in stablecoin flow dynamics on Binance.

This type of trend reversal was last observed in May 2024, right before Bitcoin’s sharp price decline during the summer.

After Binance recorded a staggering inflow value of $13 billion on December 5, significantly surpassing the volumes of all other exchanges, we are now seeing stablecoin outflows dominating, wich is suggesting that investors may be securing their capital or locking in profits.

As a result, Binance

On December 21, around 79 thousand BTC were dumped over a week by institutional investors, marking a local top that ended up generating a 15% correction later.

However, large players took advantage of the consolidation to open TWAP positions, patiently accumulating just below US$ 95K.

In the last 30 days, more than 34 thousand BTCs were accumulated by institutional investors, providing buying pressure for the current recovery in Bitcoin.

Note that although we have seen periods of rebalancing

The sustainability of any market price surge often relies on rising Funding Rates, which reflect robust demand in the derivatives market. Without this increase, upward trends may falter. Notably, this rise does not need to occur immediately, but its absence during a rally raises concerns about the market's strength.

In the recent Bitcoin rally, Funding Rates showed a sharp increase midway through the upward trend, suggesting a delayed influx of demand. However, after Bitcoin faced rejection at

We see funding rates coming down. We saw a sharp rise as people took short positions. This price action is manipulation.

We saw strong buying on the Coinbase premium index indicator, but we saw selling from our resistance zone. The 'O' zone is very important. We need to stay above the '0' zone for a strong rally. In the last price action, the 0 zone worked as resistance.

To examine the relationship of the open interest indicator to price, I look at the open interest line as a moving average. N

Binance, being one of the exchanges with the highest trading volumes, provides valuable insights into overall market sentiment through the analysis of buying and selling pressure.

The hourly Net Taker Volume on Binance turned sharply negative today, signaling a significant increase in selling pressure.

It reached a peak of -$325M, the highest value in 2025, during the release of the ISM PMI and JOLTs Job Openings data, which revealed unfavorable results for risky assets.

Monitoring this indic