When you stay up late at night watching the market, this message suddenly pops up. Share your joy with the world! ! Everyone around me calls you a scam, and the sadness of several years has been released! ! My heart is full of passion for fuckfuck, so I quickly increase my position to fuck. When you start enjoying wins 20% profit is gone. After 10 minutes, the chairman came to send a message saying that the account was stolen. This is false news. You can see that the K line in your hand has been broken through. You have received the liquidation message sent to you by the exchange. . You sit slumped in front of the computer, the whole world is silent, tears well up in the corners of your eyes, and they keep falling down. Maybe we can see you on the rooftop! ! ! This world is dominated by winners and losers. There is no reason to say that if you want to change your destiny, it is understandable. Everyone has the right to change their destiny. Those who don't want to change will not enter this industry. You don't need to prove yourself to anyone. People are inherently lonely, and there are only lonely brave people on the road ahead. Just like a doctor's scalpel, an athlete's arrow, and a sniper's weapon, why can they be so accurate or infinitely close to the target? Nothing is impossible in this world, it’s just that we are too ordinary, so we think it is impossible to talk about it. They have practiced day and night for ten years, and finally reached the height of our ideals. Everything in the world is subject to change. Only through continuous setbacks, practice, self-reflection, and continuous growth can we reach the stage of making a fortune. This is a place where we strive to realize our self-worth, not a place where we can get rich without thinking and opportunistically. You You can't defeat yourself, no matter where you are or in any industry. . Dear friends, let’s encourage each other! !
Next week, the United States will release the August CPI data, which may be the "last piece of the puzzle" before the Federal Reserve's September interest rate meeting.
Whether the interest rate will be cut by 50 basis points this month may depend on this. The main macro data worth paying attention to next week include:
1. Monday 22:00 US July wholesale sales monthly rate, 23:00 US August New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations;
2. Tuesday 18:00 US August NFIB Small Business Confidence Index;
3. Wednesday 20:30 US August CPI data;
4. Thursday 20:30 US initial jobless claims for the week ending September 7, US August PPI data, and 22:00 US August ISM non-manufacturing PMI;
5. Friday 22:00 US September one-year inflation rate expectations, US September University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index initial value.
The pros and cons of the SOl mechanism, how can we avoid it!
This is a FUD against $SOL. Among high-market-cap tokens, the inflation rate of $SOL is a bit overspeeding.
If Solana does not continue the MEME heat,
Due to inflation dilution, the selling pressure of $SOL spot is very obvious;
[Premise, all SOL tokens are derived from the genesis block or through the inflation of the protocol (i.e., staking rewards),
The only destruction mechanism comes from transaction fees. ]
$SOL has early selling pressure:
[Solana faced difficulties in raising capital in the early days. Its initial 5 million SOL tokens were sold through auctions, and the final liquidation price was $0.22 per token, which exceeded 12% of the current total circulation]
The most important thing is: [Due to the low difficulty of staking, Solana currently has 65% of its tokens staked, making it a public chain with an explosive staking rate. 】This leads to the fact that $SOL inflation transfers wealth from non-stakers to stakers through staking rewards, which has a dilution effect on non-stakers in the network.
Below are Solana's key inflation parameters:
> Initial inflation rate: 8% > Decreasing inflation rate year by year: 15% > Long-term inflation rate: 1.5%
[The current $SOL inflation rate is 5.07%, significantly higher than BTC's 1.7% and ETH's 0.8%]
This means that nearly $3 billion of $SOL will be produced this year. The higher staking rate makes the liquidity depth worse and the decline caused by the sell-off is more significant.
BNB and SOL have performed very well in this cycle, but BNB's destruction plan will reduce the total supply from the initial 200 million to 100 million.
Therefore, Solana needs to reduce the long-term inflation rate, increase the inflation rate, or use MEV commissions and LST to transfer inflation. #Bitcoin#ETH #SOL
Today's Coin Research by Military Advisor: Uni decentralized exchange platform coin I have talked about this coin to fans before, it is quite awesome! Decentralized exchange Uniswap platform coin. It is also a veteran coin that has experienced several rounds of bull and bear markets. In the last bull market, it was a platform coin. In this bull market, many people are optimistic about it, but it was directly trapped by the exchange. The main reason is that people do not make money by pulling the plate, but mainly make money by the exchange fee. So this bull market only pulled it to the top of 17 yuan, and then it spiraled down and fell back to the price of the bear market. This coin gives me the feeling that only when the real bull market comes, it will pull up. It has been performing quite strongly recently. I think a wave of more than 10 is easy, and don't be too big!
Military Advisor Daily Research: Sats Cong Inscription Series Sats has been performing very strongly since it bottomed at 1090 on July 5! Daily rising channel, up to 4 times the bottom in 2 months. The current performance is much stronger than ORDI. Audi bottomed at 20, and the current price is still 28. ORDI, as the leader of inscriptions, has received too much attention, and the car is too heavy, so the rise is not satisfactory. Sats is a Bitcoin ecological MeMe coin, and the current trend is still very promising in the future! Focus on the position of 2868 in the short term, and there is no worry about going long if it does not break!
First look at the BTC 4-hour K-line trend! Then look at the SOL 4-hour K-line trend! Finally look at the WIF 4-hour K-line trend! Have you found any problems, brothers? Recently, this hat dog has been performing extremely well! Every day, it feels like it is going up, but it is pulled back by the Bitcoin plunge. Is it going to be the dog king, or be a trap?
Contracts are gambling? Many friends often bet 10/20/50 times or even 100 times, and the money just rushed in, and the position was blown up overnight! There are two types of people who open high leverage: First: they like to bet small and win big, like to all-in, and are real gamblers! Second: There is also a kind of novice who doesn’t know how to operate and plan their positions. The contract is over before it even starts!
It is very important to manage the position of the contract to maximize the benefit of the funds and avoid your own risks. How to manage the position of the contract scientifically?
Flexible use of funds: For example, if you want to open a position of 10,000U, you can be 1,000U-10 times, or 500U-20 times. Stop loss 1%-3%, Use 10% of the funds to bet on 100% of the profit, and the loss is also under control. If you use 10,000-10 times 10,000-20 times. . A wave of market conditions will take you away. Without a margin of error and the principal for trial and error, it is easy to lose everything and become distorted!
Using high leverage to borrow funds that are several times more than your principal for speculation, it is common to get liquidated, but it is rare to make money. If you want to use contracts, you should first understand the basics, such as leverage multiples and funding rates. If you don't know anything and get liquidated, you have to blame a tool for harming others. So you must plan your positions reasonably!
Daily sharing and learning by military advisors: from Eric Millionaire
When can I go all-in on altcoins?
The most likely time for the altcoin season to come is when the altcoin index Total2 (Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC, $) reaches the oversold area at the weekly level again.
In the past 805 days, Total2 has been oversold four times on a weekly basis, the last time on September 11, 2023, and then the six-month altcoin season began. Therefore, the signal worth paying attention to is that when Total2 hits the oversold again, it may be the key time for the next altcoin season to start.
It is worth noting that Total2 reaching oversold does not necessarily mean that the market needs to fall sharply. It may also be like September 11, 2023, when the price is fluctuating and the indicator reaches oversold. I can't guarantee that this time will completely replicate the past model, but I think the market adjustment brought about by this method is relatively mild, which is a more ideal situation.
Military Advisor's Daily Market Analysis: Last night, the Fed data was released. The market plummeted directly after a false breakthrough. The Fed is used to releasing false data. The market is always right and will rush ahead. At present, the position of Bitcoin is extremely critical. It is the core support level of the three daily declines. This position is related to whether it will plummet directly in the short term or there is a possibility of rebound. In the short term, let's see whether the low point of 52,500 can be maintained. If it can be maintained, you can go long in the short term, and rebound shorts are the main ones. In the current overall situation, there is no possibility of reversal in the short term. Even if there is a violent rise, it is a short order to chase the decline, following the logic of rebound shorts. Intraday trading and small-scale trading focus on the 4/hour downward trend line. Trade with a good stop loss, don't risk your life!
In the first week of September, the market lost 2 trillion US dollars! The world is a huge makeshift team, full of conspiracy! The dark side of human society is the animal world, all for their own vested interests! September is the most difficult in history, and it is all hell-level! ! Brothers, how many levels of hell have we reached? The Fed data is expected to soft-land at 0.25%, and the market reaction is the most real. It is really possible to reduce the interest rate expectation by 0.5% this month! The economy collapsed, and the US stock market did collapse, and the bull market is over! The fake bull market we experienced in cryptocurrencies is over, and the real bull market has just started! September is the most difficult month, but it is also the best time to pick up corpses and lay out chips! The election is coming soon, and the economy, welfare, and water release are about to begin!
The Fed likes to smooth things over and avoid taking the blame. The market itself is extremely optimistic about recession. After the data came out, the unemployment rate was falling. The Fed's interest rate cut is based on the unemployment rate. If the unemployment rate falls, the economy will not be so recessionary. Expect a soft landing! ! The data has eased, so naturally it starts to be bullish! The easing is only temporary, and it will be a few days. It will still fall next week. It is not a reversal, but just a rebound. Make your own trading plan!
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This ridiculous data is starting to get out of hand again!! Don’t offend anyone!! The economy is not in recession, it’s a soft landing!!
Twitter celebrities have cleared their positions in altcoins!! Don’t have too many illusions about the future bull market of altcoins!! Only recommend buying Bitcoin!
V God said that he will not invest in any L2 or other token projects in the future. L2 slogans are loud and the sickle is sharp. The four kings of L2: OP ARB ZK STARK Don't touch it.
If the unemployment rate is 4.3% and the non-farm NFP is less than 150,000 tonight, it is not impossible to cut the interest rate by 0.50 basis points. It directly indicates that the economy is in recession, so how should the market go? If the US stock market continues to collapse, will Bitcoin also collapse? It will definitely collapse, and it will collapse quickly! It has collapsed completely, so take this opportunity to clean up a lot. It has been completely cleaned up, and it will take off soon! If there is a soft landing of 0.25%, the US stock market will rebound slightly, and Bitcoin will also rebound. It will rise for two days to clear the air force, and then fall down! ! It is slowly going up! !
The waterfall came before the hour was up. It was so strong.
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How will the market go based on tonight's data? ? My prediction is that it will fall first and then rise, sideways over the weekend, and rise in the first two days of next week. It will continue to fall after the 10th. What do you think, brothers?