Ethereum, Base, Solana, BSC, Sui and other chains are gathering places for local dogs. You have to visit them often, screen and dig. In the local dog circle, you have to understand some professional terms: For example, Fomo, when you see others making money, you can't help but rush in. There are also Pixiu, which are tokens that can only be bought but not sold. If you buy them, they will return to zero. Usually, the project party is playing tricks; Clips are preemptive robots. They complete transactions before you by setting higher gas fees and earn your price difference.
At present, the entire market is based on Bitcoin and meme, mainly including the pepe series, pnut series, doge series and other chain narratives, such as the art series and AI series. This wave of meme narratives has been accompanied by the rise of doge, and the ceiling has been completely opened, so everyone should have imagination.
When will the meme market end? One reference is that major public chains or institutional VCs come out to make memes. At this time, the market is basically over, and you have to consider converting meme funds to the mainstream, such as BTC and BNB. This round of BNB has not risen at all, but the platform transaction volume on Binance has skyrocketed. There is no reason not to rise.
As the price of Bitcoin rises, the market has attracted more new investors, especially retail investors' demand is picking up. What is the most direct indicator of human emotions? Of course, it is the Google search index of Bitcoin and the download volume of related cryptocurrency applications. Recently, the search index of Bitcoin has risen in tandem with the price, and the download volume rankings of Coinbase and Robinhood have quickly ranked in the top three by category. When inspecting, many people feel that this indicator has become invalid. In fact, it is very accurate. Only when Bitcoin continues to rise sharply will retail investors become interested. Around me, people who have never known about cryptocurrency have begun to ask me about Bitcoin, which is the best evidence of the Bitcoin bull market. So judging from the download volume of cryptocurrency applications, American investors have become very active, and the recent upward momentum mainly comes from the US market, which has led to greater volatility in Bitcoin prices. Since Trump was successfully elected as the US President, the market's risk appetite has also clearly turned positive, and the short-term upward trend and momentum are very likely to continue for some time to come.
Crazy night, the market exploded again, CPI inflation was under control, Bitcoin broke through 93,000 and then "suddenly fell by 5,000 US dollars", and more than 250,000 long and short positions were liquidated
Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor last night (13th) showed that the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.6% year-on-year and 0.2% month-on-month in October, both in line with market expectations. In addition, the core CPI, excluding food and energy, remained unchanged at 3.3% month-on-month, and the annual growth rate was also 3.3%, both in line with market expectations. The probability of a rate cut in December rose to 82.3%
Previously, as Trump won the US election, the market expected that his economic policies after taking office might slow down the pace of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). However, after the release of the October CPI data, according to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's Fed Watch tool, the market expected the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 1 basis point in December to have risen to 82.3% from 58.7% the previous day, while the probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in the range of 4.75% to 5% has dropped to 17.7%.
Musk series, another golden dog! 20 times overnight! What other potential coins are worth paying attention to?
$pnut was called out by Musk, and the original words were that squirrels and meme coins saved America. According to this narrative, the ceiling of Peanut has been opened again, and it is not excessive for FDV to give more than 1 billion. Trump announced that Vaimy and Musk established an efficiency department named doge. No wonder doge has been flying in the past few days. After the news was announced, various doges on the chain took off, such as d.o.g.e. and so on. The market experienced a correction yesterday, but Bitcoin did not fall much, but the altcoins returned to where they were. This is the current market. $btc $doge is the protagonist, and other memes follow closely behind. Every correction can show who is stronger.
Musk becomes Minister of Government Efficiency (DOGE), will DOGE plummet in the future?
Difficult task: More than half of the US government's federal budget is made up of social security, Medicare, military spending and federal debt interest, and these projects are either Trump promised not to cut or very difficult to cut. Musk has a very difficult task to cut $2 trillion in government spending without affecting these key areas. Legal restrictions: Even if Congress does not approve spending cuts, Trump and Musk can try to use administrative means to recover spending approved by Congress, but this may be restricted by law. Musk pointed out that the reduction of government agencies requires that they must follow the content authorized by Congress, rather than everything else they are doing. It can be said that DOGE has already put a huge amount at this position, indicating that the sentiment has basically reached the extreme. If it cannot be stabilized at the 0.4 position, a plunge is estimated to be inevitable!
But in the long run, as long as Musk will continue to expose DOEG, there will be room for follow-up, and it is very likely to reach the previous high of 0.74 or even break through $1. It is just that it is not cost-effective to participate at present!
Will the approval of the first pledged Ethereum ETF detonate the price of Ethereum again?
Not long ago, Nansen analysts mentioned that if Trump wins the presidential election, the Trump administration may embrace more innovations in the cryptocurrency industry, including the launch of the first pledged Ethereum ETF. Why is approval a high probability event? 1. Ethereum's spot EFT, futures ETF, options ETF, and leveraged ETF have all been approved, and the possibility of pledged ETF approval is also very high. 2. The additional 3% pledge annualized return, 3% may not sound like a lot, but for large institutions with a large amount of funds, a stable annualized return of 3% is quite attractive. Therefore, institutions like BlackRock should submit this application. 3. Trump has won the election, and Trump himself embraces cryptocurrency. At that time, the regulatory environment will be more favorable to cryptocurrency. We may even see the approval of the first pledged Ethereum ETF in the early days of this new government, which will make full use of the advantages of ETH as an asset. Once it is passed, Ethereum will most likely usher in another surge!
Genius Group states that, as decided by the Genius Board of Directors, the company will adopt a global Bitcoin-first strategy, incorporating Bitcoin into its primary reserve assets.
Genius Group is a publicly traded education company driven by artificial intelligence (AI) technology!! Now learning from MicroStrategy to hold BTC as company reserve assets!!
The company's specific strategy is as follows:
To allocate more than 90% of existing and future funds to purchase and hold Bitcoin. The initial goal is to acquire 120 million dollars worth of Bitcoin and use it as company reserve assets. To launch Web3 education to help its students accelerate their understanding of Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies, and blockchain technology. To enable Bitcoin payment functionality on the company's educational technology platform.
More and more companies are starting to enter the field!! Good news
Once regarded as a 'joke coin', Dogecoin has now jumped to become the sixth largest cryptocurrency by market value, approaching $61 billion. This change is closely tied to the recent frenzy in the market.
The Force Behind Trump's Election
Trump's victory in the US election is undoubtedly one of the key drivers of Dogecoin's price surge. With Trump's win, the overall market sentiment was ignited, Bitcoin reached new historical highs, and Dogecoin followed suit.
Musk's 'Divine Assistance'
When it comes to Dogecoin, one cannot overlook Elon Musk. The Tesla CEO is not only a fervent fan of Dogecoin but also an important supporter of Trump. Every time he speaks on social media, it can trigger significant fluctuations in Dogecoin's price.
Is the $1 Mark Within Reach?
As Dogecoin's price continues to rise, discussions in the market have begun regarding whether it will break through the $1 mark. Some analysts believe that if Trump continues to involve Musk in government affairs, Dogecoin is likely to reach $1 this month.
Long positions require patience, and short positions require timing!
Today's accelerated K-line may be the largest real line since 21 years, and the current increase is close to 10,000 US dollars! After this wave of acceleration, high-multiple shorts have been almost completely cleaned out. The next thing to be cleaned out is the low-multiple air forces. Obviously, the "fuel" is gradually running out. If you want to continue to rise, you can only hope that incremental funds from outside the circle will continue to flow in, which means that the first wave of acceleration has come to an end. According to the past market logic, the bull market is often accompanied by a "flash crash" - the reason is very simple: when there are too many longs, the market needs a wave of liquidation adjustments. Data shows that the liquidation volume of long orders accumulated above 80,000 US dollars in the past 7 days has exceeded 1 billion US dollars, and the liquidation volume above 70,000 US dollars has reached 5 billion US dollars. Liquidation seems to be imperative, and no one can foresee when it will come. Remind everyone to stay calm and respond cautiously! Wait for the next best opportunity to get on the bus, and don't let the momentary impulse disrupt your strategy!
Yesterday, Binance launched two new meme coins: $ ACT and $PNUT. Interestingly, both of these coins have relatively low market capitalizations, especially for the world's largest centralized exchange. The launch of $PNUT is somewhat understandable, but $ACT has very low trading volume and weak metrics. Although many were surprised by the listing of $ACT, some noticed that ACT had an increase of over 2000% within 24 hours, setting a record for the first-day increase of new coins on Binance recently, indicating extremely high market interest. At the same time, Binance co-founder He Yi posted on the X platform stating that the listing fees for ACT and PNUT were both 0, which indirectly indicates the importance placed on popular projects, especially memes with high community discussion and a market capitalization below 100 million dollars.
The rise is too fierce, the market has gone crazy, it's too strong, without any pullback, unlimited issuance of U to pump, all technical indicators have failed, don't be too superstitious about technology, popular posts are from friends holding short positions, the method of increasing the win rate by holding positions will be punished by a one-sided market. Even if you have good luck this time, there will always be a time when you get liquidated. Once liquidated, you have nothing left. Your method of opening positions is wrong; the final destination is liquidation. Only liquidation will change your opening habits. Those who short and those who miss out are very uncomfortable. Guessing the top in the early stage of a bull market really has no meaning, just like bottom fishing in a bull market, you will end up selling halfway up the mountain.
First: The "Trump Effect", winning the election is just the first step, taking office is the second step, real-time crypto policies are the third step, and each step continues to ferment. Second: A 50 basis point rate cut in September, a 25 basis point rate cut in November, and even if there is no rate cut in December, there will still be opportunities for rate cuts in 2025. Third: The crazy buying by institutions, the influx of spot ETFs, led by BlackRock, which is also optimistic about the large A-share market. Fourth: Favorable policies, regulatory easing, Trump is the best supporter for passing the Bitcoin bill, and CCTV reports Bitcoin hitting a new high. Fifth: Changes in the financial environment, especially after Trump's victory, everything has undergone a qualitative change.
Sixth: Market sentiment is high, retail investors are crazy to follow institutions and buy in.
Since November 5th, Bitcoin has entered a mode of rapid increase. In the past week, it has continuously surged, breaking previous highs and several important thresholds, especially the new high of 80,000 USD reached yesterday. Based on today's price, Bitcoin is steady at 81,000, with no signs of a pullback for now, and it even has the potential for further increases. Accompanied by this sentiment, our next target is to break through 90,000 USD. Many friends are asking if it's a good time to enter the market now. My first response to these questions is: where have you been? I have shared the principles of investing in Bitcoin multiple times, such as buying without hesitation when below the 200-day moving average, and preferring to be stuck in a position rather than going short. Over the past few years, I have consistently called for attention from 20,000 to 80,000, urging everyone to pay attention, but many have just been watching without taking action. In fact, many people hesitate to enter during a downturn, for example, wanting to get in when Bitcoin drops to 15,000, but trying to jump on board when it rises to 80,000. This reflects the greed and fear of human nature. If you really want to get in now and have already developed a belief in Bitcoin, I would suggest you conduct a self-assessment next.
Simple investment strategy for this round of bull market cycle
Beta strategy: In the context of the United States dominating the market, it is recommended to hold $BTC and $DOGE in large positions, and pay attention to the four major public chains in the United States: SOL, NEAR, SUI and APT. Alpha strategy: Look for high-quality projects in the ecology of the above public chains, such as: AI Depin projects that SOL focuses on supporting BTC ecological related projects RWA and GameFi projects that SUI pays attention to, etc. Meme recent Buff King DOGE. This round of Eth mainstream mainstay meme PEPE. Art concept leader Ban. Linea leader FOXY. Internet celebrity concept leader MOODENG Hippo, other memes listed FLOKI WIF.
Since the recent increase in Trump's election chances, many people have been buying DOGE, which has subsequently risen sharply, driving the entire MEME sector. Currently, the first to rise are mostly old coins, such as shib, pepe, floki, etc. Among them, the NOT chain has also held on for a day or two despite the criticism, and X has seen the most significant increase, achieving a tenfold growth in just one week. With the continuous rise of old meme coins, many retail investors will be unable to resist swapping their slowly rising new meme coins for the old ones, such as exchanging bome, neiro, etc., for old meme coins. As more people make the switch, old meme coins will start to consolidate. At this point, the new meme coins will be cleared out, and then a more frantic rise will begin. Under the influence of persistent FOMO sentiment, more people are selling off other slowly rising coins and rushing into the meme sector. When this situation persists for a while, the meme sector will start to consolidate overall, and then it will retreat.
A crazy week has begun. To borrow a phrase from MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor: If you want to invest in Bitcoin, the short-term investment horizon is four years, the medium-term investment horizon is ten years, and the correct investment horizon is forever.
Over the weekend, everyone was waiting for a pullback, but the market not only didn't pull back but went crazy instead. The $TON ecosystem was the first to explode, with $x on OKX leading the entire ecosystem to dominate the exchange's gain leaderboard, with significant surges seen in tokens like $hmstr, $cati, $dogs, $not, and others.
Bitcoin breaking its historical high will definitely lead to a collective surge in altcoins. After waiting for more than half a year, the market has finally returned, so everyone should cherish it. Currently, there isn't much talk about sector rotation in the market; it is a collective surge state, but the strong ones are still meme types like doge, neiro, etc. However, DeFi-related tokens are also very strong, with a focus on $ena.
The Bitcoin ecosystem exploded today, and we can pay close attention to it going forward, such as stx, ordi, bb, etc.
After several rounds of bull and bear markets, everyone’s Bitcoin holdings have correspondingly decreased a lot. Some have sold at a loss, while others have had their coins taken away by various projects. Bitcoin is getting more expensive, and the coins in hand are getting fewer. If you ask now whether to invest in Bitcoin, my answer is 'whatever.'
The underlying logic is simple: Bitcoin no longer offers the high returns of past years; it is more like an anti-inflation tool. Even after this bull market, it's hard to outperform tech stocks in the stock market. As an asset allocation, we can hold some Bitcoin, but gaining more Alpha from it will be much more difficult. It might be better to look for other opportunities in the industry after Bitcoin hits its ATH, as every round of altcoin season tends to appear after Bitcoin reaches new highs. Properly switching some positions may offer better cost-effectiveness.
Regarding Bitcoin, let me reiterate: it is still in the main upward wave stage, and there is no need to guess the peak. When the U.S. ETF starts on Tuesday, it will probably be another round of crazy buying. At this time, you just need to sit tight and hold on; don’t be like a rural woman worrying about every little thing, fearing a market crash. Trust in the power of cycles, believe that our industry is still a sunrise industry, and everything is just beginning!
Bitcoin soared to a historic high of $81,499 on Monday, with Forbes commenting that investors should remain cautious about Trump's involvement in pushing cryptocurrency-related legislation, as well as the uncertainty surrounding the likelihood of Congress passing these bills. The price of Bitcoin recently reached a historic high of $81,499, which seems to be linked to Trump's potential victory in the 2024 presidential election, referred to as the "Trump trade." However, Forbes warns investors to maintain a level of caution regarding Trump's engagement in promoting cryptocurrency-related legislation and the chances of Congress passing these bills, as these remain unknowns. As news of Trump's potential return to the White House broke, the Bitcoin and cryptocurrency markets began to rise, indicating optimism about the positive changes that a Trump administration might bring to the industry. It is certain that Trump's support for cryptocurrencies may exceed that of current President Biden. However, given the busy legislative agenda, the extent of Trump's commitment to advancing the industry's development and the likelihood of a law passing in Congress still holds uncertainties. Trump's return to the White House may mean a shift in the perspective towards the cryptocurrency industry. His regulatory nominees will play a crucial role in shaping government policy towards this sector. We will have to see who Trump selects to lead the SEC, CFTC, and the Treasury. While these candidates may share a positive outlook on the cryptocurrency industry like Trump, it remains unclear what priority this industry holds in their minds. The Trump administration may prioritize loosening regulations for most industries, but the cryptocurrency sector might prefer clearer regulations. The attention these regulatory bodies pay to cryptocurrencies will determine how long this process takes. However, resolving the current lawsuits at the SEC may be expedited. At the very least, these agencies will issue some favorable regulatory guidance, even if not formal rules.
Yesterday, Bitcoin successfully reached a historic high of $81,500. Congratulations to all coin friends for successfully recovering!
This strong bullish candle has broken through all doubts and completely eliminated the pride of the bears over the past seven months.
This is the power of strength; no one will remain prosperous forever, and no one will remain downcast indefinitely. After a deep bear market, there comes a bull market, and 2024 perfectly illustrates this.
This valuable experience is something everyone needs to go through personally; it can awaken the 'true self' deep within you. Regardless of whether you make a profit or a loss, you should deeply reflect on what you did right and what you did wrong over the past six months.
The market will continue as long as you haven't completely exited. The battle is far from over.
Those with empty positions need to consider the points for future entry, while those holding coins need to pay attention to when to sell.
Both of these questions need to be resolved through technical analysis.
If you don't understand technical analysis, you won't comprehend the intentions behind the market trends, and losing money will be a natural outcome.
Of course, there are many criticisms regarding technical analysis; some people believe in it immensely, while others are extremely averse to it. But it doesn't matter; different perspectives lead to different outcomes.
My consistent viewpoint is: you need to learn technical analysis; it can clearly identify bull and bear markets.
Once you understand bull and bear markets, you can at least ensure that you won't easily cut losses or even wait with empty positions.
This is very important. Recently, during this wave of price increases, many people cut losses and exited, even opening short positions when Bitcoin broke $70,000. These behaviors stem from an inability to distinguish between bulls and bears.
So, the nature of your circle and the people around you will determine your perspective, solidify your thinking, and one wrong step can lead to a series of mistakes.
From November 5th to 10th, all coins in the overall cryptocurrency market have increased by at least 30%. In this situation, whether to chase the rise or not is a big question!
Many people have already given up on spot trading and turned to contracts. It can only be said that this direction is even more terrifying; only those who have lost large amounts of money can truly understand.
The market has just surged significantly; it is not suitable to chase high prices, and even less suitable to add leverage. Missing an opportunity is better than making a mistake; it is always better than incurring a loss.