The Bitcoin market shows signs of optimism. Monthly futures contracts are trading at a 12% premium over the spot price, indicating strong demand for leveraged long positions. Put options are trading at a 2% discount to equivalent calls, reflecting a trend from the last two weeks. Additionally, the recent rally in traditional financial markets has pushed the price of Bitcoin above $98,000. The long to short margin ratio on OKX stands at 25x in favor of long positions, suggesting bullish momentum. These indicators support optimism about Bitcoin's potential to reach $105,000 and beyond.

The ideal leverage: examples and when to use it responsibly

To trade with leverage safely, it is important to adapt it to the market situation and use it with a solid strategy. The x3, x4 and x5 levels are effective if applied correctly, but each has its specific risks and uses.

Example 1: x3 leverage (moderate)

If the price goes up by 10%, your profit will be 10 x 3 = 30% on the margin.

Ideal for lower volatility situations or when you want to trade more safely.

Example 2: x4 leverage (medium)

If the price goes up by 25%, you gain 25 x 4 = 100% on your margin.

Useful to take advantage of clearer trends or swings on a larger time frame.

Example 3: x5 leverage (maximum liability)

If the price goes up by 40%, you earn 40 x 5 = 200% on your margin.

Condition for use: Only on entries based on solid technical analysis, such as when the daily RSI is below 30 (ideally between 15 and 20), indicating a deep correction with a high probability of recovery.

Conclusion:

Use x3 for safety, x4 to take advantage of clear trends and x5 only in ideal and well-analyzed scenarios, such as strong corrections in Bitcoin or cryptos with solid technical support.

Always remember to manage risks with stop-loss and not risk more than 1-2% of your capital in a single operation.

Leverage is not luck, it is strategy.

Who wins?

A "short squeeze" occurs when the price of an asset that has been heavily shorted rises sharply. This forces short sellers to buy back their positions to limit their losses. That buying pressure can cause the price to rise even further, creating a chain effect. It usually happens when unexpected news or high demand breaks the bearish sentiment.

The latency found in XLM regarding XRP

XRP and XLM present an interesting relationship characterized by a clear latency in the movements of XLM in response to XRP. When XRP makes a significant move, such as its recent rise from 0.50 to 1.63 (a 226% increase in less than 10 days), XLM does not respond immediately. Instead of reacting in the same candles, XLM seems to wait, analyze the market, and then make its own move with greater intensity.

This was evidenced when XLM, after that rise in XRP, recorded a 600% increase, going from 0.10 to 0.63 in a similar period. This difference in percentage is partially explained by its lower initial prices, but also by its particular behavior: XLM does not automatically follow, but responds with a delayed yet forceful strength.

Conclusion:
This latency allows one to anticipate the movements of XLM by previously analyzing those of XRP. Recognizing this dynamic provides a strategic advantage to take advantage of the opportunities that arise from this intermittent synchronicity in their behaviors.

If you see my previous post from last Friday, XRP rose 45% to date due to the golden cross on the 6-hour chart. What I now find is another approach to the golden cross on the 30-minute chart for

In my case, I only leveraged myself x7 with a liquidation price of 0.51. We'll see how it goes

Take Profit 0.65

graph 6 hrs 📐👉🎗️👈 ... see you in Disney

The term "spike and dip" refers to a pattern of behavior in the prices of a financial asset, commonly in cryptocurrencies or stocks. This pattern is characterized by:

1. Spike: It occurs when the price of an asset experiences a sudden and sharp increase, creating a peak on its price chart. This movement can be due to news, market manipulation, massive purchases, or unexpected events that generate a strong upward momentum in a short period of time.

2. Dip: After the peak, the price of the asset tends to quickly correct itself with a considerable drop. This happens because investors or traders start selling after the rise, taking profits or simply because the momentum cannot be sustained.

This pattern is often used by traders looking to take advantage of high volatility to generate quick profits, since they can buy before or during the spike and sell just before or during the dip. However, it is a risky strategy if not managed well, because these sudden movements can be unpredictable.

📈 Bitcoin: Bulls vs. Bears – The Battle Continues! 🔥

Today, October 15, 2024, Bitcoin is on a battlefield. Bulls and bears are fiercely fighting for market control, but it seems that the bears have had the upper hand lately. Institutions are looking to accumulate at low prices, keeping Bitcoin under pressure. There is talk of a possible drop to $40,000, but there are also strong bets on breaking $70,000. If that happens, a brutal short squeeze could be triggered! 😱

But don't be confused, volatility is still present. Today we hear rumors like Elon Musk might be selling his bitcoins (👀 is it true or pure FUD?). What is clear is that there is fear and speculation about multi-million dollar losses. Recent liquidations reached $200 million, and small investors continue to lose while whales fatten their pockets.

The funny thing is that while Bitcoin is going up strongly, many altcoins are in the red. Don't you find it strange? The market seems to be focused only on BTC, while the other cryptos are taking a breather. 🌬️ Something is happening behind the scenes, and the feeling of manipulation is in the air.

So, stay tuned for the next few hours and days. History is not written, but everything indicates that there is still a lot to see in this battle of the crypto space. Bulls, don't give up! 🐂

---

What do you think? Are we facing an unstoppable rise or a simple rebound before the fall? Leave me your comment below. 💬
#Bitcoin#Cryptocurrencies#CryptoNews#BTC

Historically, Bitcoin cycles in 2017 and 2021 have shown similar patterns of corrections in October, November, and December. Here are the key moments that could repeat themselves in 2024:

1. October: Mild correction between October 15-18, of 8-10%, followed by a bullish rally towards the end of the month.

2. November: Major correction between November 8-12, of 20-30%, after reaching highs at the beginning of the month. The price could recover in the second half of November.

3. December: Final correction or consolidation between December 17-20, after reaching possible highs, similar to December 2017.

If the cycle repeats itself, these dates will be key to making strategic decisions in the Bitcoin market.

What will happen to the economy if Trump becomes president again? 🏛️💼

If Trump wins the US election again, we already know that he is unlikely to reduce the public deficit. Instead, he could increase tariffs, especially on imports from China, up to 60%. Although in theory, these measures protect local industry, in practice they could have negative effects: rising prices, slowing economic activity and higher unemployment.

And how would the Federal Reserve react? The FED would face a major dilemma. Raise interest rates to contain inflation caused by tariffs, or keep them low to combat rising unemployment. In any case, tensions between Trump and the FED are likely to increase, especially when Powell's term ends in 2025. Trump could seek to replace him with someone like-minded, putting the FED's independence at risk and creating a dangerous precedent.

But this is not just happening in the US. In Spain, we have already seen how the politicization of key institutions, such as the Central Bank, damages their independence.

So, if neither Trump nor Kamala Harris reduce the public deficit, what can we expect? Well, the logical thing is that safe haven assets such as gold and Bitcoin continue their upward trend. With debt increasing and inflation threatening, these assets become increasingly attractive options.

💡 Conclusion: Keep an eye on gold and Bitcoin. In times of uncertainty, they can be a good hedge against economic risk.


What do you think?

Choose your path to prosperity, which one will get more x?

vs.

both will win, the important thing is that you don't get carried away by the narrative of the memes and that it's just whale food.

Delphi Digital and The Tie are launching an “Institutional Accelerator” to connect innovative cryptographic protocols with financial institutions. This program seeks to help emerging projects gain visibility and credibility in the institutional market.

**1. Who are Delphi Digital and The Tie?**
- **Delphi Digital**: Research firm offering advanced analysis and studies on cryptocurrencies and blockchain.
- **The Tie**: Information services provider for digital assets, focused on corporate access events and distribution networks.

**2. What are they going to do?**
- **Institutional Accelerator**: A program that selects crypto projects (such as ZKsync, Sui, and zkVerify) to receive advanced research, access to financial institutions, and mentorship. Projects will be showcased at key events, such as The Tie’s Bridge Conference.

**3. What impact could they have on the named tokens?**
- **ZKsync, Sui, and zkVerify**: These tokens will receive exposure to large investors and access to resources that can increase their credibility and adoption. This could result in increased institutional interest and potential growth in their value.

**4. How much could they grow in a year?**
- Predicting the exact growth is complex and depends on multiple factors such as market acceptance, technological evolution, and macroeconomic conditions. However, exposure to institutional investors and validation by research firms can significantly boost the value of these tokens. The magnitude of growth could vary widely, but with the right backing, they could experience significant increases in their valuation.

The announcement about Ethereum's lower transaction fees and the introduction of decimal points on Etherscan may have mixed effects on the SUI token:


**Potential Benefits:**
1. **Reduced Costs:** Lower fees on Ethereum can reduce the cost of interacting with applications and smart contracts on the network, which could benefit tokens running on Ethereum, such as SUI, by making their transactions more accessible.
2. **Increased Network Activity:** With lower fees, there may be an increase in network activity, which could translate into more transactions and usage for tokens associated with Ethereum.


**Potential Disadvantages:**
1. **Competition from Other Networks:** If low fees are a result of reduced Ethereum usage due to competition from other networks with lower fees, tokens like SUI could face pressure if they move to alternative networks.
2. **Changes in Market Dynamics:** Lower fees may change market dynamics and competition between tokens, impacting the value of SUI depending on how it adapts to these changes.

Overall, Ethereum's fee reduction may be beneficial to SUI if the network remains its primary platform, but the exact impact will depend on market response and how SUI adapts to these changing conditions.

in the meantime.....

**Basel Committee on Banking Supervision Updates on Crypto Assets and Banking Standards**

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has published new updates on the rules for cryptoassets and the final disclosure framework. Here are the key points:

1. **Rules on Crypto Assets**:
- The new rules are less strict than previous proposals.
- Proposal to treat stablecoins and traditional digital securities on public blockchains with the same risk as cryptocurrencies was scrapped.

2. **Stablecoins**:
- Banks that only provide stablecoin custody services do not need to keep cash balances separate from other deposits.
- The EU MiCA regulation requires a high proportion of reserves to be held in banks.

3. **Securities Financing Transactions**:
- Short-term reverse repurchase agreements are permitted, provided they are overcollateralized with high-quality marketable securities.
- Collateral exchanges that temporarily reduce the quality of securities are prohibited.

4. **Cryptocurrency Coverage**:
- Only limited coverage is allowed for cryptocurrencies with exchange-traded and centrally cleared ETFs or ETNs.

5. **Rules for Stablecoins**:
- New rules on certifications and audits: third-party verification twice a year and annual external audit.

6. **Implementation of the Rules**:
- The implementation of the new rules has been postponed until January 2026.

These updates reflect a more flexible approach towards cryptoasset regulation, especially benefiting tokenization efforts and the use of stablecoins in the banking sector.

### Historical Trajectory of Bitcoin Halvings and Projections for 2025

#### 1. First Halving (November 28, 2012):
- **Price before halving:** $12
- **Maximum price after halving (2013):** $1,100
- **Increase:** 9000%

#### 2. Second Halving (July 9, 2016):
- **Price before halving:** $650
- **Maximum price after halving (2017):** $20,000
- **Increase:** 3000%

#### 3. Third Halving (May 11, 2020):
- **Price before halving:** $9,000
- **Maximum price after halving (2021):** $69,000
- **Increase:** 667%

#### 4. Fourth Halving (Estimated April 2024):
- **Estimated price before halving:** $30,000 (approximate value and subject to change)

### Projections for Halving 2025:

1. **Comparing with the First Halving (9000% Increase):**
- **Estimated price before halving (2024):** $30,000
- **Price projection:** $30,000 * 90 = $2,700,000

2. **Comparing with the Second Halving (3000% Increase):**
- **Estimated price before halving (2024):** $30,000
- **Price projection:** $30,000 * 30 = $900,000

3. **Comparing with the Third Halving (667% Increase):**
- **Estimated price before halving (2024):** $30,000
- **Price projection:** $30,000 * 6.67 = $200,100

4. **Conservative projection (50% of the increase from the third halving, 333.5%):**
- **Estimated price before halving (2024):** $30,000
- **Price projection:** $30,000 * 3,335 = $100,050

### Summary of Projections:
- **Highest projection (Compared to the First Halving):** $2,700,000
- **High intermediate projection (Comparing with the Second Halving):** $900,000
- **Low intermediate projection (Compared to the Third Halving):** $200,100
- **Conservative projection (50% of the Third Halving increase):** $100,050

These projections are based on historical increases from past halvings and may vary significantly due to market and economic factors.

For BTC/USDT to break the 200-period moving average, it needs to break above $58,693.50. If it does not break it, the crucial support is $53,485.93. If it falls below this level, the downtrend may continue.

I've been watching the market closely and want to share what I'm doing. Recently, Bitcoin rose as high as $62,500, and it looks like we are breaking out of that level. At the same time, I've noticed a lot of movement in Ethereum whale alerts, moving large amounts from cold wallets to Coinbase. This suggests a big move for Ethereum, almost like a salmon swimming against the current, as Bitcoin continues to want to rise.

Investigating further, I came across EtherFi, a well-known project, and have seen that its price has been dropping. This reflects the trend of whales liquidating Ethereum. Although it is not easy to make Ethereum fall due to its high capitalization, lower capitalization assets like EtherFi are more vulnerable.

For this reason, I have decided to bet short on EtherFi, waiting for the last exhausting candle to appear that will indicate the right time to enter an upward position.

The exhaustion candle is very similar to the one in the image, but it is not the one indicated if it appears 3 minutes on the chart, I wait for the same on a 15 or 30 minute chart, but to wait I close the 3' one and open it again if the fall keep going

### Sony Related Tokens

1. **Astar Network (ASTR)**: Through its investment in Startale Labs, which founded Astar Network, a Polkadot parachain.
2. **Polygon (MATIC)**: Sony Bank is planning to issue stablecoins on the Polygon blockchain.

Last year, Sony quietly acquired Amber Japan (formerly DeCurret), a local cryptocurrency exchange. Amber Japan, now S.BLOX, revealed that Sony is its owner. S.BLOX improved WhaleFin's offering and offers promotions for Nuro Mobile customers, with 3,000 yen in Bitcoin for new subscribers.

Sony invested in Startale Labs, founder of Astar Network (ASTR), and created a Sony blockchain to leverage its intellectual property in the metaverse. With Sony Pictures, Music and PlayStations, you have many brands to implement.

Sony Bank will launch the Sony Bank Connect app with NFT rewards and issue stablecoins on Polygon (MATIC). It also tested a million-dollar green financial security token. With its intellectual property, blockchain could bring together offerings from various parts of the group.

**Call to the Crypto Community**

We come to win, and we want to win. We are going to manage the market. We have to master it. We can and must defend the 62,500 USD.

Bitcoin will possibly visit that support, but when it arrives, we will reinforce with 5 USDT each. We are the majority and we can be even more so by each contributing our part. Let's dominate the trend. We will not let it fall and will hold the support with 5 USDT each.