The Bitcoin halving has been completed✅, and the wind direction has changed
The wind direction has changed, and a correction is inevitable. Even if it hits 70,000 again in the short term, it is just a rebound, not a reversal. Without two or three months of consolidation, it is difficult to have a beautiful upward slope of 30 to 50 degrees. The recent period should be very torturous for retail investors. Many contract players have been liquidated, and spot players have been trapped. As far as retail investors are concerned, most of them are actually confused. I don’t know what to do. The contract has exploded and I don’t know whether to continue playing. I am stuck in the spot and I don’t know whether to cut my losses or continue holding on. Judging from the decline in the market in the past two days, I feel that I can basically judge what stage the current trend is in.
In the past week, DeepSeek has caused great panic in the US investment community.
Even Trump urgently summoned Nvidia's Huang Renxun.
However, according to the feedback from Dan Ives, a well-known investor in the US technology field, after interviewing dozens of investment institutions and industry experts,
their investment strategy for AI infrastructure has not changed.
Nvidia's chips are still far from in short supply.
Let me use the Korean War as an analogy. In the early stages of the war, the Volunteer Army defeated the US Army with strategic and tactical innovations.
However, the US military found that the Volunteer Army's ammunition and logistical supplies could only support about a week, so they adopted a tactical innovation of retreating first and then counterattacking.
Another thing is that they did not reduce the use of firepower and ammunition, and even greatly increased it.
This is the origin of the famous "Van Fleet ammunition".
The current strategic goal of artificial intelligence is to see who can take the high ground of ASI (super artificial intelligence) first, and a large number of robots that work effectively in the physical world.
If China and the United States tie in terms of algorithms,
then large-scale high-performance chip computing power will still be the winning point.
In the long run, the demand for computing power for the application of artificial intelligence in the world is far from reaching its peak.
Make an analogy with electricity and bandwidth.
In addition, DeepSeek is a breakthrough result obtained after distilling a large amount of training data from OpenAI.
"Standing on the shoulders of giants" (Liang Wenfeng's words)
Then what if there are no giants for you to stand on?
The vast majority of altcoins have been at a low since December 18. When is the next potential rise expected?
I believe it mainly depends on the timing of the next Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
In the next four months, there are three Federal Reserve meetings with expectations for rate cuts. The expectations for the meetings in May and June are slightly higher, allowing us to anticipate that the next major market movement might occur in April to May.
There is no interest rate meeting in February, so the main positive factor could be the speculation surrounding the approval of a few altcoin ETFs. This generally falls under a volatile market, and this volatility is laying the groundwork for the next surge; the longer it consolidates sideways, the higher it may rise.
March 20 Federal Reserve meeting: The market currently bets on an 84% probability of maintaining interest rates, with a 16% probability of a 25 basis point cut.
May 8 Federal Reserve meeting: The market currently bets on a 62.2% probability of maintaining interest rates, with a 33.7% probability of a 25 basis point cut.
June 19 Federal Reserve meeting: The market currently bets on a 30.6% probability of maintaining interest rates, with a 48.1% probability of a 25 basis point cut.
History is an endless cycle Revolutionaries often become a new privileged class The dragon-slaying youth eventually turns into an evil dragon seems to be humanity's fate
During the past few days of the New Year, I reviewed the remarks of this group of cabinet members from the Trump administration, and it is clear that the leadership style of this group belongs to the far-right. The Democratic Party has implemented big government policies over the years, while gradually moving towards the far-left in order to secure votes from minority groups. The far-left inevitably leads to the far-right; to restore order, we must address the root causes, and only then can long-term stability be achieved.
In the long run, both the far-left and the far-right are unsustainable, and the impact on society takes a long time to heal. The United States is fortunate to have a two-party balance mechanism, which still holds hope to bring this pendulum back to a moderate level, while many other countries are not so lucky.
This time, Trump's campaign slogan is "Eliminate the Deep State in Washington"; will the Democratic Party counter with a slogan like "Eliminate the Trump Deep State" in the next election? Perhaps.
Politics is an aphrodisiac for the body and a poison for the soul; humanity should not have a government. What we truly need is a public service department, not a power department. Power should only be in the hands of the citizens themselves. In any country where people are desperate to become officials, it essentially remains a form of slavery.
The most dangerous enemies are not those from the old world, but the "guardians" of the new world.
OpenAI claims to have discovered that the Chinese AI startup DeepSeek is using its models to train new models.
OpenAI asserts that it has evidence that DeepSeek used a technique called "distillation," which involves using the output of a large model to train a smaller model, thereby achieving similar results at a lower cost.
However, OpenAI did not specify what the evidence is, only mentioning that their terms of service state that their resources cannot be used for competition.
Many people have been quite successful in the past; a certain AI professional blogger had a return rate of 76% on their 'risk-free portfolio investment' in the US stock market last year.
But now the black swan DeepSeek has appeared, and we don't know if there will be a flock of black swans behind it.
In the past two years, Wall Street investors have never considered the existence of 'China' in the AI field.
All narratives and factor analyses only considered the United States.
Until... DeepSeek appeared.
Now Wall Street needs to reassess the position of Chinese tech companies in the AI race.
This means that it is necessary to reconstruct valuation models and investment strategies.
Currently, we do not know how many more DeepSeeks can be released from this 'Pandora's box' called China.
Everything has become uncertain.
Interestingly, cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin now appear to be more certain.
Whether it's the BRICS countries or China itself, it seems that there are still no plans at the moment.
Wait, the Chinese government already holds 190,000 Bitcoins, more than the US government,
And Hong Kong is already piloting various cryptocurrency deployments, stablecoins, exchanges, ETFs, and street exchange shops.
What if the Chinese government has a change of heart...
🚀 Bitcoin has rocketed past 109k, smashing ATHs! Where's it going next? Drop your prediction for this week's $BTC closing price in the comments of this post 👇 🎁The top 3 closest predictions will win 300 USDC, 150 USDC, and 50 USDC. Jump in and share your prediction now! *Campaign Period: 2025-01-20 07:30 to 2025-01-26 20:00 (UTC) ‼️Ensure you have updated your app to at least version 2.92. Also, make sure the "Also Repost" box is checked when replying to be eligible for entry. Terms and Conditions: This campaign may not be available in your region. Eligible users must be logged in to their verified Binance accounts whilst completing tasks during the campaign period eriod. Ensure the "Also Repost" box is checked when replying, or your comment won't count as a valid entry.To ensure fairness, entries closed at 2025-01-26 20:00 UTC. The campaign's outcome will be based on the BTCUSDT price at 2025-01-26 23:59:59 UTC.If users made multiple comments, only the first comment will be considered as an eligible entry. Deleted comments are not eligible for rewards.In case of same predictions by multiple users, the earliest comment will be prioritized.Winners will be announced in the comments section of this post within 14 working days after the campaign ends and notified via a push notification under Creator Center > Square Assistant. Rewards will be distributed in the form of token vouchers to eligible users within 14 working days after the Activity ends. Users will be able to log in and redeem their voucher rewards via Profile > Rewards Hub. Illegally bulk registered accounts or sub-accounts shall not be eligible to participate or receive any rewards. Binance reserves the right to disqualify any account acting against the Binance Square Community Guidelinesor Terms and Conditions.Binance reserves the right at any time in its sole and absolute discretion to determine and/or amend or vary these terms and conditions without prior notice, including but not limited to canceling, extending, terminating or suspending this activity, the eligibility terms and criteria, the selection and number of winners, and the timing of any act to be done, and all participants shall be bound by these amendments.Binance reserves the right of final interpretation of this activity.Where any discrepancy arises between the translated versions of this post and the original English version, the English version of this post shall prevail.Additional promotion terms and conditions can be accessed here.
Today, Powell said that "banks can provide services to cryptocurrency customers". Let's think about a question: If Web3 is fully popularized, stablecoins such as USDT/USDC are also popularized, and everyone has their own wallet, is there still value for today's banks? All the functions of traditional banks can be realized on the blockchain, and it is faster and more efficient. The meaning of Bitcoin is to break the old world and create a new world.
The day before yesterday, I timely reminded about China's AI model DeepSeek potentially impacting Nvidia and the US stock market, and now it has caused a huge effect. I just saw Jiang Zhuoer’s statement that "DeepSeek is beneficial to Nvidia". After checking some information, I would like to refute this: Jiang Zhuoer’s point that "DeepSeek only optimized computing costs and did not achieve any new breakthroughs" is incorrect. In fact, DeepSeek excels not only in significantly reducing the cost of training models and enhancing inference capabilities but also in the fact that traditional models (ChatGPT-4) require dozens of H100 level GPUs (over a million dollars in costs) for full deployment. DeepSeek has broken through the scale limitations of large model deployment through technological innovation, with R1 able to run smoothly on a single RTX 4090 (24GB memory), with an inference speed of 15-20 tokens/second. This is quite frightening for Nvidia. A large portion of their current profits comes from high-performance GPUs, and if everyone can do AI using ordinary gaming GPUs, that would be a big problem. In any case, the capital market has provided the answer~ it has chosen to be bearish on Nvidia. I suggest that we should still observe more at this moment and let the bullets fly for a while.
In the capital market, trading contracts instead of spot is the original sin of decline, which has nothing to do with the currency itself or the community; it is purely capital manipulation. The world of Crypto is both fascinating and cruel.
History is fair; judgment may be delayed, but it will not be absent.
This time, BTC has the opportunity to initiate a long-term bull market, but it may be limited to BTC. It might also involve some SOL. The current market is experiencing wide fluctuations.
Today, the protagonist in the AI world is the domestic AI dark horse DeepSeek, which has caused Nvidia to stumble, leading to turbulence in the US stock market, and the volatility in the US stock market has also dragged down the price of Bitcoin.
DeepSeek has only optimized the cost of computing power and has not made any new breakthroughs. Whether this viewpoint is correct or not, we should treat new things with a proper attitude; existence itself is reasonable.
Regardless, the capital market will ultimately provide an answer, and currently, there is a bearish outlook on Nvidia.
My personal viewpoint is to let the bullets fly a little longer. #加密市场回调
Public chain Sol is one of the top ten public chain coins, with a strong American background and the backing of Wall Street capital. Today, favorable US policies suggest that Sol is expected to break through 800 USD. Currently, the whole world supports the development of blockchain Web3, but our Rabbit Country is still closed off with a lockdown policy and has not opened up. Opening Hong Kong 🇭🇰 is an experimental ground that helps to drive economic development! We hope Rabbit Country will soon open up exchanges for free trading. From 2025 to 2026, blockchain will improve even more, contributing to the soaring of economic development!
Asset allocation is very important in the crypto space. I prioritize BTC, followed by #BNB (staking, new investments). I will start investing in XRP and Sol. I want to maintain a maximum of 5-6 value markers, possibly Doge, Ens, or Pepe. I will analyze and decide.
BNB is a coin that can be held long-term, stable, and profitable.
The six-character mantra for making money in the crypto space: Hold, allocate, don't look.
Regarding the recent volatility in the market: I would like to share my perspective. The bull market is still ongoing, and the overall direction remains upward with fluctuations. ETF funds are continuously flowing in, but it cannot be ruled out that there may be another significant pullback before March 20. The bull market is also a process of continuously washing out chips before rising again, and it is difficult to sell at a high point unless you sell in batches, take the profit, and avoid selling too late! Maintaining a balanced mindset is very important!
The market has always been fair. If there are no dragon-slaying techniques, don’t pick up the dragon-slaying sword!
It is only a matter of time before the trend of Bitcoin goes up. Currently, the market is in a wide range of fluctuations, 100500-108000 $BTC #BSC生态活力释放
Binance Square Official
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🚀 Bitcoin has rocketed past 109k, smashing ATHs! Where's it going next? Drop your prediction for this week's $BTC closing price in the comments of this post 👇 🎁The top 3 closest predictions will win 300 USDC, 150 USDC, and 50 USDC. Jump in and share your prediction now! *Campaign Period: 2025-01-20 07:30 to 2025-01-26 20:00 (UTC) ‼️Ensure you have updated your app to at least version 2.92. Also, make sure the "Also Repost" box is checked when replying to be eligible for entry. Terms and Conditions: This campaign may not be available in your region. Eligible users must be logged in to their verified Binance accounts whilst completing tasks during the campaign period eriod. Ensure the "Also Repost" box is checked when replying, or your comment won't count as a valid entry.To ensure fairness, entries closed at 2025-01-26 20:00 UTC. The campaign's outcome will be based on the BTCUSDT price at 2025-01-26 23:59:59 UTC.If users made multiple comments, only the first comment will be considered as an eligible entry. Deleted comments are not eligible for rewards.In case of same predictions by multiple users, the earliest comment will be prioritized.Winners will be announced in the comments section of this post within 14 working days after the campaign ends and notified via a push notification under Creator Center > Square Assistant. Rewards will be distributed in the form of token vouchers to eligible users within 14 working days after the Activity ends. Users will be able to log in and redeem their voucher rewards via Profile > Rewards Hub. Illegally bulk registered accounts or sub-accounts shall not be eligible to participate or receive any rewards. Binance reserves the right to disqualify any account acting against the Binance Square Community Guidelinesor Terms and Conditions.Binance reserves the right at any time in its sole and absolute discretion to determine and/or amend or vary these terms and conditions without prior notice, including but not limited to canceling, extending, terminating or suspending this activity, the eligibility terms and criteria, the selection and number of winners, and the timing of any act to be done, and all participants shall be bound by these amendments.Binance reserves the right of final interpretation of this activity.Where any discrepancy arises between the translated versions of this post and the original English version, the English version of this post shall prevail.Additional promotion terms and conditions can be accessed here.
🚀 Bitcoin has rocketed past 109k, smashing ATHs! Where's it going next? Drop your prediction for this week's $BTC closing price in the comments of this post 👇 🎁The top 3 closest predictions will win 300 USDC, 150 USDC, and 50 USDC. Jump in and share your prediction now! *Campaign Period: 2025-01-20 07:30 to 2025-01-26 20:00 (UTC) ‼️Ensure you have updated your app to at least version 2.92. Also, make sure the "Also Repost" box is checked when replying to be eligible for entry. Terms and Conditions: This campaign may not be available in your region. Eligible users must be logged in to their verified Binance accounts whilst completing tasks during the campaign period eriod. Ensure the "Also Repost" box is checked when replying, or your comment won't count as a valid entry.To ensure fairness, entries closed at 2025-01-26 20:00 UTC. The campaign's outcome will be based on the BTCUSDT price at 2025-01-26 23:59:59 UTC.If users made multiple comments, only the first comment will be considered as an eligible entry. Deleted comments are not eligible for rewards.In case of same predictions by multiple users, the earliest comment will be prioritized.Winners will be announced in the comments section of this post within 14 working days after the campaign ends and notified via a push notification under Creator Center > Square Assistant. Rewards will be distributed in the form of token vouchers to eligible users within 14 working days after the Activity ends. Users will be able to log in and redeem their voucher rewards via Profile > Rewards Hub. Illegally bulk registered accounts or sub-accounts shall not be eligible to participate or receive any rewards. Binance reserves the right to disqualify any account acting against the Binance Square Community Guidelinesor Terms and Conditions.Binance reserves the right at any time in its sole and absolute discretion to determine and/or amend or vary these terms and conditions without prior notice, including but not limited to canceling, extending, terminating or suspending this activity, the eligibility terms and criteria, the selection and number of winners, and the timing of any act to be done, and all participants shall be bound by these amendments.Binance reserves the right of final interpretation of this activity.Where any discrepancy arises between the translated versions of this post and the original English version, the English version of this post shall prevail.Additional promotion terms and conditions can be accessed here.
4 SOL spot ETFs face first decision day today, results may be announced next week
BlockBeats news, on January 25, according to Bloomberg Terminal data, the first deadline for the Solana spot ETFs launched by four institutions including VanEck, 21Shares, Canary, and Bitwise is today (January 25). This week, results may not be announced before Friday due to the busy transition of new and old SEC leaders and members, and the SEC typically does not announce such decisions on weekends. Therefore, the SEC may announce the specific results next week.
The short-term fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market are large, but holding onto quality value assets and focusing on the medium to long term can lead to ideal returns for anyone. In this hellish market, there are often moments of joy and excitement, as well as occasional frustrations and disappointments. From initially being anxious and unable to sleep due to daily fluctuations of a few hundred USD in my account, to now having daily fluctuations of three to five thousand yet feeling as steady as a rock, I have become indifferent to any distracting noise. It is time that has smoothed out the edges of a person.
The market is always the only touchstone for verification. If you hold on, it will ultimately reward every investor who has endured the bear-bull transition of 2022-2023 with relatively ideal returns.
Looking back at 2022, when the market plummeted from 55,000 to below 20,000 throughout the year, I firmly believed that the bull market in 2025 would see BTC break 100,000. Recently, it just broke 100,000 and stabilized, looking ahead, 200,000 is within reach.
In a person's life, there are three downs and six ups, with six opportunities for prosperity; you only need to seize one. However, if you choose to just observe each time without delving deeper and believing, it will be very difficult to turn your fate around. We are all mere mortals, born into this world; everything is possible, and we shall meet again at the peak!