An article about the mentality of cryptocurrency trading. I hope it can be a beacon for you on the road of cryptocurrency trading in 2024, so that you will never lose your way.
Haonan will share with you my experience in currency speculation today, if I hope it can give you some help
Let’s first summarize the several reasons for losing money. Only by knowing why you lose money can you know where you can make money. 1. Don’t stop losing, the short-term becomes the mid-term, and the mid-term becomes the long-term. As an investment practitioner for many years, we are often asked, "What are the most common mistakes investors make in the investment market?" My answer is not to stop losses immediately and quickly. Due to the leverage effect of long-short two-way investment, both profits and losses are magnified. The consequences of not stopping losses in time are often extremely serious. The same is true for the currency speculation market. We all know that our most valuable wealth in the currency speculation market is our investment capital. Capital is like our ammunition on the battlefield. Without ammunition, we are doomed to fail. We must always pay attention to protecting our capital and not allow losses to expand indefinitely. Many people hope, pray, and dream about finding the perfect trading method that will make them completely profitable without having to stop their losses. In a word, this perfect way to make money is impossible in any field. A successful trading method, like a successful life, is not obtained by avoiding losses, but by controlling the quality of losses.
You must know the major events in the currency circle in 2024
The three inscriptions of sats, rats, and cats will influx a large amount of Bitcoin in the short term, and together with the pie, the pie will grow further. Yes, it is not the stablecoins that are pouring in, but the pie, because all the inscription transactions on the chain are Bitcoin settlement.
1. FTX is expected to restart next year. 2. Bitcoin production will be halved at the end of April 24 3. Ethereum Cancun upgrade may be delayed until March 4. USDC parent company Circle will be listed in April 5. The Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates starting in May next year. 6. The U.S. general election will release favorable policies, Milianchu will start the money printing press, and the increase in market flow will be beneficial to the encryption market.
Another inscription is about to be among the leaders of BRC20! !
There are three reasons why I am optimistic about it: 1. The dual-asset inscription on the BRC chain uses the 69 protocol and recursive technology, and the pictures are very beautiful. People will fall in love with nft as soon as they see it, and they are all classic. 2. When the community atmosphere is good and people are united, the mountains can move. Promote online and offline together 3. The btc bull market is coming, and when Inscription Bull is about to take off, AMB has a low market value and a large imagination space for multiples. It is worth taking some position layout. The above is my personal opinion and does not serve as investment advice. I wish everyone a happy Year of the Dragon and good luck in the New Year.
Today I will share with you the self-report of a student. Let’s take a look at his investment past and what kind of person he is. He lost 500E due to liquidation while he was in school.
In 16 days, I finally experienced the ups and downs. When I was in high school, I came into contact with this market for the first time after a friend showed off his stock holdings to me several times. (Some people will probably ask him how he opened an account as a minor. I don't know, and it's not the point). When I first joined the fund, I didn’t know there was a concept of trading hours. I went home after school every day and picked up my mobile phone to study. I was still a freshman in high school. Although there was a lot of homework, I still had a lot of free time to write and copy. I have known for a few days that I don’t trade on weekends, but I thought that after buying every day, I had to wait until the next day to buy. I read other people’s comments about fund managers and randomly selected the most popular ones to buy. I don’t remember which track I was on at the time. It has improved by leaps and bounds. At least none of the games I bought have made continuous losses. After playing for a year, I still don’t understand the game and I am out of the game with a loss.
What kind of currency should you choose in the bear market?
Anyone with a little bit of financial knowledge has heard of the Kangbo cycle, which is the economic cycle. There are peaks and troughs. Some people ride the wind and waves, and the willows are hidden, and the flowers are bright. Another village, and more people can't survive the dawn and die on the beach. Therefore, before we actually enter the market, in addition to understanding the project background, future development, historical prices, etc. of various cryptocurrencies, we should first establish an investment strategy and give ourselves a clear position ratio. You must know that any project has risks: market risks, policy risks, technological ecological risks, etc. are always present. When investing, you must stick to your own circle of competence and earn profits that you can control with high probability.
#龙头 ORDI's current circulation in the market is 21 million, with a total supply of 21 million. It currently ranks 49th in the market value ranking. From the beginning, no one was optimistic about it to now detonating the entire BTC industry, which has set off a wave of excitement this year. There have been several waves. On the ORDI protocol, anyone can directly issue NFTs and tokens on the Bitcoin chain, such as the popular STAS, RATS and other inscriptions. When engraving inscriptions, miners’ transaction fee income is far away. exceeds mining revenue. From the initial website engraving to one-click engraving on the exchange, the demand for the network has been reduced, allowing more people to engrave simply and quickly. This is actually a very good trend for the Bitcoin network, which is just getting started. But it has been preliminarily verified that with the prosperity of Bitcoin production, transaction fee income will be able to exceed mining income in the future, thereby ensuring the security of the Bitcoin network. At present, the price of ORDI is stable around 55, which means that ORDI still has a promising future.
According to the previous logic, unlocking is a bad thing, and only a bad thing can be good! !
On February 5, Token Unlocks data showed that tokens such as APT, GAL and HFT will receive a one-time large amount of unlocking this week, with a total released value of over US$235 million. Among them: GAL (Galxe) will unlock 2.03 million GAL tokens at 8 a.m. on February 5, worth approximately US$3.83 million, accounting for 2.26% of the circulating supply; HFT (Hashflow) will be unlocked at 8 a.m. on February 7 13.62 million tokens, worth approximately US$4.25 million, accounting for 4.02% of the circulating supply; APT (Aptos) will unlock 24.84 million APT tokens, valued at approximately US$228 million, at 8:00 pm on February 11, accounting for 4.02% of the circulating supply 7.34% of the amount.
In order to speculate in cryptocurrencies, you have put yourself in debt and your family has been separated? The height of your outlook on life determines the width of your path in the crypto world.
A lot of people have joined me in the past few days, and they are all people who have lost money in the currency circle. Some are even heavily in debt, their wives and children are separated, and I heard some of the situations they told me. I couldn't help but sigh, so I came up with the idea of writing this article. I hope that after reading this article, it will inspire you to survive in the currency circle in the future.
Without exception, these people who lose a lot of money want to get rich quickly and make a comeback. Their strategy usually goes like this: collect enough principal, buy small coins, and then expect the coins to rise hundreds or thousands of times.
Their methodologies are very complex and many, many more. I have seen all kinds of them, some use winding theory, some use technical indicators, some watch the news, some watch the position flow, and some watch the hot spots. Their methodology is full of a sense of undisclosed secrets. Not surprisingly, if there are enough people doing it, there will always be a few people who will become rich.
You bought a bunch of inscriptions and returned home in embarrassment, The village chief said you went to the wrong village. Your parents asked you to kneel in the center of the ancestral hall, I ask you to stand and don't speak when you are eating. Put the big fish and meat farthest from you, My cousin-in-law, whom I have never met, gave you a piece of ginger. Said that you are not as good as the low-income old man next door
Yesterday, the overall market did not move out of a large range. The four-hour line continued to test the middle track position of the Bollinger Bands, and the short-term continued to suppress downwards. Today, the main market continues to be high in the range, supplemented by low and long. Rebound 43000-200 kong, guard against 43500, look at 42600 If the 42600 below is not broken, you can do it.
Another hundred-fold potential coin is released: NUTS?
Today I will take you to learn about NUTS in the Solana ecosystem
After experiencing the bear market and the FTX crisis, Solana regained its position among the top five in market capitalization. Among them, FDV’s JUP surpassed UNI. Meme coins such as BONK and SILLY brought a lot of income to early investors. Now let’s focus on NUTS, which has the potential to become the next alpha in the Solana ecosystem. What is NUTS NUTS is the first token of the Tiny SPL protocol, issued through Free Mint, with a total supply of 21 million and a current valuation of $8 million. $NUTS benefits from the unique features of Tiny SPL and can implement cNFT (Deez Nuts ) and FT ($NUTS) to enhance the liquidity of NFT.
For a period of time, as the copycats pulled back and the Inscription market became deserted, Rats fell for several days in a row. Someone has said this problem because our Rats rose too fast in the short term during that period, and there was a lack of some shocks and adjustments in the middle, which led to the correction. The middle will be relatively fragile. Today I saw some people couldn't sit still. I don't know whether it's because the price has dropped and they can't sit still, and they're panicking, or they're getting anxious... There are even people above who have lost money and want to lose money in the market. I don't know what's going on in their heads. Beginning to panic and become anxious means that some people have had the abortion or have begun to be unable to bear it. Let’s see when these people can’t bear to leave. Technically, it was said last time that it fell below the key support. It would be good to reach 30 in reverse, but it finally stopped at 28. It is now down to 25. The rebound pressure means that it has to break through 25 at least to have the opportunity to say that a reversal on the right is possible. The rest of the positions are on the left, with support at 18-15. People who make money on Rat and start to slander it because of profit retracement or who say they have no chips and are short-selling can be blacklisted. Once you sell it, you can stop paying attention to it. There is no need to make such an ugly face. There is also a huge difference in mentality between holding a profit position and holding a principal position. When you make a profit, you are afraid of selling out, falling back to cost or even losing money, so you reduce your position to a position you can bear. Then there are spot and contract positions, which are completely different concepts. If you have a contract layout, please think clearly first, whether you will get rich first or be liquidated first.
What's the biggest pitfall you've ever encountered in the cryptocurrency industry?
Speaking of the myth of getting rich, the one that happens every year besides buying lottery tickets is the currency circle. Everyone knows that the probability of buying a lottery ticket is 0.0000 in 10,000. I won’t go into it later. After all, there are only a few people who get rich through lottery tickets. Moreover, it is said that there are always Shady. But the currency circle is different. This is also its charm. Maybe at a certain moment, you follow the trend and buy a certain coin. You are busy with your work and life and forget about it. Wait until you think of it one day. Looking at the wallet, I didn't know it. I was shocked when I saw it. The coins I bought for a small amount of money are now worth several years of my salary? It immediately added icing on the cake to my life. Of course, this is not groundless nonsense. This is something that actually happens every year in the currency circle. From last year’s Dogecoin and Shitcoin to the previous Bitcoin and Ethereum, every year The rise of each currency will give birth to batches of small rich people. At that time, active groups will burst out who bought a certain currency. They forgot about it. When they looked at their wallets, they suddenly became multi-millionaires. , and there was also a previous private equity incident. It is said that a young man invested all his tens of thousands of dollars. Later, on the day he got the coins, before he could sell them, he got into a fight and was sent to the detention center. He stayed there for three months. , the currency has been ups and downs in the past three months, ups and downs, the previous group of private investors sold at the right price, and it happened to be in the third month that the currency exploded, and when young people came out , thinking of this, I quickly looked at my wallet. Good guy, the principal has increased from tens of thousands to more than 30 million. Although these examples cannot be said to be extremely rich, compared with the previous life, it can be said that N years of struggle have been saved, and I have been able to get out of the poverty area immediately. As long as the money I earn is used properly, I can live for the rest of my life. It's pretty good.
Rising Star manta has reached a maximum of 3.9u, may there be new opportunities now?
When it is above 3.5, the short-term market has broken out of the top structure; fundamentally, manta is the new star of L2, with TVL as the fundamental support below, so we only start from the market perspective and technical aspects.
Yesterday, we did a manta rebound near 2.8. Why? 2.8 formed the first buying point on the central structure of two transactions (aggressive players won the prize). Looking at it today, it has not yet formed a divergence after exiting, and encountered resistance near 3.1. There may be further shocks in the future. In terms of cargo, if 2.73 is broken, the first batch of construction can be carried out.
The more critical the moment, the more important it is to understand strategic thinking and choose the route first.
Investment is the realization of cognition, and cognition is the screening of information. Information is the management of time, and time is the best compound interest!
Money will eventually flow from those who are impatient to those who are calm, and money will flow to those who are not short of money!
Many times people cannot make money, so don’t feel sorry for yourself, ask more about whether your character and cognition can afford that kind of wealth. The currency circle is a compensation for character and cognition, rather than a reward for hard work. This sentence couldn't be more true!
And choice is greater than effort. Not all coins will be rewarded if you persist.
Good research and investment, a good circle, good logic, and good guiding ideology are essential before you make a correct choice.
Several basic cognitions: 1. Does making big money rely on technology? No, it depends on the market, or the general market, and a trading system that can set goals, maintain a mentality, and resolutely implement the rules during the ups and downs of the market. 2. The higher the level of the market, the less it has to do with technology and the greater the error tolerance for operations. All you make is money blown by the strong wind. At the same time, the higher the requirements for mentality. As long as you abstain from greed, you will earn more and less. difference. 3. The smaller the market level, the higher the technical requirements, the smaller the operational error tolerance, the higher the transaction cost, and the harder it is to make money. Concussion is the most likely period for mindless operations. 4. Choose at most two out of the three: trading profit-loss ratio, trading winning rate, and trading frequency.
5. The core of trading does not lie in how many times you have made the right transaction, but in how confident you are about this transaction. Leverage is used to amplify returns. If the market is uncertain, don’t use it if you are not sure.
As long as you open enough orders, the ratio of right to wrong is almost 1:1, which is no different from tossing a coin through a sieve. In other words, your judgment of long or short is actually not as good as tossing a coin, because tossing a coin takes no brainer.
Go take a look at the real offers and the top ones. The winning rate of most transactions is around 50%. Is that true? In trading, it doesn't make any sense whether you make a loss or a profit in a single transaction, even if you lose money in five consecutive transactions. A trading system with positive expected value will always have a series of profits and a series of losses. If your trading system is a proven trading system with positive mathematical expectations, as long as you trade enough times, you will definitely make money in the end.
When you understand the meaning of the law of large numbers, you will be very calm when faced with continuous mistakes and small losses during the trading process. Since the outcome will definitely be a profit, why should you feel sad and restless over one or two failures and cut losses?