12.28 S&P clearing ends, repairing Bitcoin and Ethereum, four days of safety, waiting for Ethereum

Bitcoin has reached a temporary bottom, with strong rebound demand at the weekly bottom. However, the market has not provided opportunities here; the repair after Christmas has not yet occurred. Currently, the key position for Bitcoin is still around 92000. If it doesn't break down, there is still a chance for a rebound. If it breaks down, then the market risk will arise, with the target expected to stop around 86000.

Ethereum remains strong but is still being led by the overall market, and the possibility of a quick outcome is insufficient; it may need to grind for a while longer.

BTC Daily - 4-Hour Level Market Analysis
Bitcoin's larger level is still waiting near the bottom, with the market moving in a friendly manner. Bottom support is around 94500, with upper pressure around 95700 and 97500. There is an opportunity to repair market trends over the weekend, and it is recommended to mainly wait for Bitcoin.

ETH Altcoin Large and Small Level Analysis
This point for ETH weekly support has returned along with Bitcoin. I personally choose to gamble on Ethereum's upward momentum, but the overall market needs to wait. Over the weekend, Ethereum is mainly bullish; this position can now attempt to gamble, with upper pressure around 3400 and bottom support around 3320, and small level pressure around 3370. The market needs to wait and walk out, no need to rush, take it slow.

As the year-end approaches, everyone should pay attention to risks and ensure they reserve funds for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage need to pay attention to risk control capabilities. #加密ETF申请热潮涌现 #2025加密趋势预测

The position of CAT feels pretty good, there's only one pressure point above, and after going up there is quite a bit of space. The newly listed MEME definitely has some hype logic, and Ethereum is still strengthening. Let's make a move on #币安Alpha公布第5批项目 .

12.24 Weekly support rebound, continuing to consolidate at the bottom, waiting for takeoff, waiting for the wind to come, waiting for money from the crypto world to provide precise assistance.

This week, a bullish trend is highly likely, with the focus on the closing gains. Currently, Bitcoin's future expectations are not as favorable as Ethereum's, and a new wave may be about to start. Powell's influence on the market remains a source of panic and negative sentiment, while other factors are manageable, requiring digestion and patience.

At present, we are still in a consolidation phase, not panicking or rushing, primarily waiting. The previous crypto bull market has seen at least three instances of a 20% drop, and this correction has not been significant yet, which is still considered decent. Overall, we are still in a strong phase, but we also need to be prepared for potential risks ahead.

BTC Daily - 4-Hour Level Market Analysis
Bitcoin has bounced back from a significant low level, but the smaller levels remain weak, with resistance around 96,500 and support around 93,500. The overall market logic is that only the larger support levels and hourly levels have turned into a short-term rebound, but the overall bearish pressure persists, so we still expect a choppy market. Bitcoin has primarily been in a weak oscillation phase; trading long on Bitcoin is not advisable, treating it like a dog.

ETH Altcoin Large and Small Level Analysis
 At this point, ETH's weekly support has returned alongside Bitcoin, but Ethereum has strengthened. The purchasing power on the Ethereum blockchain and from institutions has increased, so there may be expectations for a trend reversal. The overall market situation is quite good, with the only risk being potential geopolitical factors and Christmas selling sentiments, as well as the impacts from Bitcoin's declines.

 Therefore, ETH remains a bullish outlook, with opportunities to turn into a rally logic at any time. Thus, short positions should be cautious, focusing on low long oscillations. The resistance is around 3,550 and recent pressure is around 3,480, with support at 3,300 and 3,150. Low long logic is encouraged, waiting for a trend reversal, and even in a choppy market, trades can be made back and forth within the range.

As the year comes to an end, everyone should pay attention to risks and ensure they reserve funds for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage require a focus on risk management capabilities. #BTC走势分析 #圣诞行情分析

12.21 Monday Package Insert
Weekly support rebound, weekend market correction, contracts still need to be cautious about spikes

Finally, the beating is over, this round can be considered completely liquidated, next up is the pressure position retracement and continuing upward, the market is relatively simple, the bottom has come out, mainly rebound and fluctuations. The difficult moments in black are over, other times are relatively friendly, holding onto chips is good enough.

On Monday, there may be another market pullback, but it’s okay, at most it will be liquidated again, with upper pressure around 3550 and 98500.

BTC Daily - 4 Hour Level Market Analysis
Bitcoin's large-scale technical aspect has bottomed out, the next two days will mainly focus on large-scale fluctuations and corrections, with upper pressure around 99500 and 98500, bottom support around 96500, in the future until tomorrow it will mainly be a fluctuating market, but Ethereum will charge forward, just be cautious on Monday, this market is not that simple, the leverage built up over the weekend will still be liquidated.

ETH Altcoin Small Level Analysis
 At this point, ETH's weekly support has returned along with Bitcoin, with upper pressure around 3550 and bottom support around 3420, also a fluctuating correction market, soon to be in place, we need to pay attention to key positions just like BTC, overall, the liquidation and dark moments have ended.

 After two days of correction, altcoins will return to the key targets, but we are approaching the critical positions, the market fluctuations have reached the pressure, so let's stabilize for now and not rush.

As the year comes to an end, everyone should pay attention to risks and remember to give yourself #比特币市场波动观察 #比特币战略储备

Is the decline over? No, from a technical point of view, this is just a rebound that should have come out during the day. Spot doesn’t matter, but contract brothers really need to pay attention. #BTC

12.20 Has the beating ended? The rebound is highly likely but US stocks continue to be beaten
US stocks continued to be beaten last night, and today it temporarily looks like the beating has ended, with a rebound expected during the day. Remember, this is just a rebound; a true reversal has not yet occurred. A reversal requires time and the right opportunity to wait for.
As we approach Christmas and Friday, the chances and timing for a reversal are coming. We can wait; at the bottom, one can gamble on rebound positions, but one must firmly avoid opening long positions against the trend. A qualified trader waits for US stocks to continue their wash tonight.
BTC Daily - 4 Hour Level Market Analysis
Bitcoin's large-scale technical pullback has already started the complete liquidation process, with key positions around 94,000. I can't say the bull market has ended, but the liquidation is definitely not over. The current large-scale rebound position is around 99,500, and it might go up to around 100,800. The temporary bottom support is simply the previous low; note that this is just a rebound position, not a reversal, and a reversal requires waiting.

ETH Altcoin Small Level Analysis
ETH has officially broken below this point, and the logic of large-scale gains has ended with a complete oscillation. Therefore, there will still be gains, but now it seems that the key position has broken down, making the area around 3,550-3,570 a resistance. Once the resistance rebound ends, one can go short without much thought.
It is important to note that Ethereum's chips are slowly entering the market; trend shorts definitely won't work. A small rebound can be shorted, and an additional rebound is also possible. The upper resistance is around 3,550-3,570, and the bottom support position is around 3,350.
As the year comes to an end, everyone should pay attention to risks and ensure they leave enough funds for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage require attention to risk control capabilities. #Federal Reserve Hawkish $BTC

12.19 Daytime bottom can be temporarily bought, wait for US stocks to wake up at midnight for digestion
Being beaten in the evening, Powell's manufactured black swan, expected interest rate cuts next year to go from 125 basis points to 25 basis points, resulting in the market being actively deleveraged, while BTC also faced large-scale liquidations. This round is close to bottoming out, and the chips have been cleared to a large extent, but those more stable can wait for midnight when US stocks wake up to digest emotions again.

Leverage is uncomfortable, but the contracts won't be too difficult, no need to rush. From the 20th to the 25th may not be particularly easy, but the risk lies in leverage, and the decline still provides opportunities. In the afternoon, Japan may hype the interest rate hike news, first observe if the market can withstand a second wave of major declines, waiting.

BTC Daily - 4-hour Level Market Analysis
Bitcoin's large-scale technical retracement exceeded expectations, with the expected level around 100800 being breached. The leverage liquidation has been quite thorough, and at this position, the big players and market makers have entered the market again.
Bitcoin faces resistance near 102500, if it can't rise, it will continue to liquidate downwards. Even if the liquidation ends, there will be a short-term bottom-fishing trend to escape. Support at the bottom is around 100200 and 99600.

ETH Altcoin Small Level Analysis
 ETH has officially broken this point. The large scale still follows the upward logic, with effective daily support around 3550, but the overall technical situation still needs to stabilize and digest. If it doesn't stabilize in the morning, we will look for stabilization possibilities in the afternoon.

 Support is around 3600-3630, with large scale support at around 3550. The overall market's daily large scale still looks bullish, so there's no need to panic for now. Resistance above at 3750 and 3830, and a pullback can still be a short-term buy. Specifics depend on Japan's interest rate hike and US stocks' reaction in the evening.

As the year-end approaches, everyone should pay attention to risk and ensure they have funds saved for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage must pay attention to risk control capabilities. #BTC

12.18 Ethereum Foundation selling, severe bearish sentiment in the short term, key positions for bulls and bears are at odds

On the 17th, the logic of Ethereum and Bitcoin's up and down movements was completed, and the subsequent market outlook remains positive. The important position for the market is the interest rate decision tonight, which is likely to continue according to the dot plot's 100 basis points. A 25 basis point change seems unlikely, but will the market rebound because of this?

In the short term, the Ethereum Foundation continues to sell at high points, which can be seen as an exit indicator. The possibility of a market reversal has increased, as the large-scale divergence has lasted too long. Attention is now on whether the dual support positions of Ethereum and Bitcoin can hold, as Bitcoin has not yet reached its target. The positions around 103000 for Bitcoin and around 3770 for Ethereum are close to being reached.

BTC Daily - 4 Hour Level Market Analysis
The large-scale technical level for Bitcoin has support around 104500 and 103500 as the bottom support. From a large-scale perspective, this is seen as a corrective trend. However, if these positions break down, then this round of pullback will turn into a downward correction trend. If a downward correction trend starts, it is likely to drop to around 100800 by Friday. However, Ethereum is a bit different; if Bitcoin holds, Ethereum may have one last surge.

ETH Altcoin Small Level Analysis
 ETH has a crucial point; it has reached the important support level of this round of price increase. If it does not break down, the market can directly start reversing from a large-scale position. The areas around 3820 and 3770 are both important support levels for the price increase logic. If they do not break down, it can continue to push higher. Therefore, this critical time point is very important.

 The panic from the Ethereum Foundation's sell orders has been looming overhead. My short-term suggestion at this position is to gamble on a long position for Ethereum with a low stop loss and to go long around 3780. If it breaks down, then the logic of this round of price increase will end.

As the year-end approaches, everyone should pay attention to risks and ensure they set aside funds for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage should pay attention to risk control capabilities. #BTC $BTC

It's good that the mindset changed quickly yesterday; this crypto world is really hard to play with. #ETH再度冲击4K

Whether to be bullish or bearish, now is the time for both bulls and bears to be foolish. At this point, $BTC is definitely going to hit a new high, but other altcoins are facing risks. What will happen if Bitcoin can't break through?
So tonight is very important for Bitcoin; breaking through is crucial, and failing to do so is dangerous.#

There are a lot of bearish sentiments, let's change our thinking.

12.15 The weekend truce is about to end, the calm before the storm

The weekend is approaching, and the positions of multiple armies are officially returning, but some major cryptocurrencies have temporarily increased enough during the adjustment period, mainly focusing on smaller coins while maintaining control over risks.

The total open interest in the $BTC contracts across the network is 617,600 $BTC, equivalent to approximately 6.3144 billion USD, indicating a certain demand for liquidation overall; there’s no rush, it’s still early in the month, so just wait patiently.

Since November 31, World Liberty Financial has spent 44.41 million USD to purchase five cryptocurrencies, including ETH, cbBTC, LINK, AAVE, and ENA, and is expected to buy more tokens in the future.

BTC Daily - 4-Hour Level Market Analysis
The technical aspect of Bitcoin has opened up overall space; it has just encountered a key resistance position. There’s no need to panic for now; wait for the opportunity to see if it continues to test downward. If it doesn’t break on a larger scale, then the following trend will be a consolidation trend. What happens if it breaks? Who knows.
The four-hour level is starting to shift again; there’s still demand for a large-scale upward movement, but above is the previous high, and every time it tries a short position at around a thousand points. If it breaks through, it might go to 110,000; going long is definitely not appropriate.

ETH Altcoin Small Level Analysis
 There’s one point about ETH that’s quite important; the bottom around 3890-3910 is a key position. If it can’t go up, then focus on shorts. Today’s market will temporarily wait for the evening session’s response. If the evening session isn’t good, then a small correction on Monday is likely.

 The upper pressure, as mentioned in yesterday's live broadcast, can’t go above 3940. Just short at 3920 directly; if it goes up, we’ll see how it performs. The support position at the bottom is around 3850; waiting for the market to play out before going higher is also fine.
 There’s still an opportunity to try the bottom support; I don’t believe there’s much room for it to go up from this position.

As the year comes to a close, everyone should pay attention to risks and ensure they keep some funds for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage require attention to risk control capabilities.

12.14 Weekend Truce Period, Shanzhai Recklessly Growing, Major Cryptocurrencies Lack Strength

The weekend is approaching, and the positions of many armies are officially returning. However, some major cryptocurrencies have temporarily risen enough to adjust during the turbulent period, focusing mainly on small cryptocurrencies while maintaining risk control.

The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until December is 5.3%, with a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points having a probability of 94.7%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until January next year is 4.1%, with a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points having a probability of 73.7%, and a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points having a probability of 22.3%.

The technical rebound has appeared as expected, and now it has reached a critical pressure position. There is no need to panic for the time being; wait for opportunities to see if it will continue to test downward. If the larger level does not break down, then the subsequent trend will be a consolidation trend. What if it breaks down? Who knows.

BTC Daily - 4 Hour Level Market Analysis
Bitcoin's technical aspect has overall opened up space, and it has just encountered a critical pressure position. There is no need to panic for now; wait for opportunities to see if it will continue to test downward. If the large level does not break down, then the subsequent trend will be one of consolidation. If it breaks down, then who knows.

The four-hour level has begun to change again, with a stable upward logic. For the time being, it seems there is no end to the rise. The pressure point of the previous high above, with bottom support positions around 99500 and 101000.

ETH Shanzhai Small Level Analysis
· ETH has a particularly important point; the bottom around 3890 is a key support position. One could take a long position here, targeting a profit around 3945. However, the logic for this long position comes from Bitcoin needing to rise further, hitting a previous high, and then Ethereum continuing to push forward. The key position is approaching, so there's no need to rush.

As the year-end approaches, everyone should pay attention to risks and ensure they have funds set aside for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage require attention to risk control capabilities.

12.13 Friday, will altcoins continue to fluctuate? Will the market reverse after a decline?

The weekend is approaching, will the positions of many troops return? Overall, there are still many opportunities in the market, but it still warns of risks that may occur at any time; risk aversion is the most important thing right now.

The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate until December is 5.3%, while the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 94.7%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate until January next year is 4.1%, while the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 73.7%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 22.3%.

The technical rebound has occurred as expected, and the current position is quite good. Both bulls and bears are debating foolishly; the major resistance level for Bitcoin is around 100,200, and the risk is extremely high if it cannot break through.

BTC Daily - 4-hour Level Market Analysis
The technical aspect of Bitcoin has overall opened up space, with major support around 98,500 and resistance above around 10,200. The overall market is primarily bullish on a larger scale, but the risk of not being able to continue rising is brewing, and paying attention to key major support and resistance levels is the most important thing right now.

The 4-hour level has started to turn bearish, with resistance now coming in around 101,000. The overall market is about to become clear, but the weekend is approaching, and it is expected that altcoins will have more space than Bitcoin.

ETH Altcoin Minor Level Analysis
 Last night's short position profit-taking did not occur, and the overall market is still a minor level Ethereum with another short opportunity, targeting support around 3,880 and the strongest support at 3,780, with resistance above around 3,940, leaning bearish on a minor level.

 Bitcoin does not want to look at it for now; it is following the market trend of ETH, both encountering significant downward pressure with enough space. However, the sentiment in altcoins is currently very rich, quite abundant, and the weekend may provide a good short-term opportunity.

As the year-end approaches, everyone should pay attention to risks and ensure they reserve funds for the New Year. Careful attention should be paid to risk control capabilities with contracts and leverage. #BTC重回关键位置后走势 #加密市场反弹

12.10 As expected, there was a significant drop, everything went according to the script, and the rebound was quick.
As anticipated, after a significant drop, a rebound is bound to occur, which is very reasonable. Meanwhile, the market is developing according to its trends. Microsoft will release favorable news tonight regarding a vote on a Bitcoin purchasing plan, which is a stimulus from the news front.

In the short term, a desired rebound will occur, including the upcoming CPI data, and there will be gradual stimulation from news in the overall market within two days.

BTC Daily - 4 Hour Level Market Analysis
The technical aspect of Bitcoin has opened up overall space, after which it started to push down. Approximately around 94,000 and 90,000 is a significant threshold; if there are no issues, a small bull market may continue. If it breaks, a dangerous pullback is expected around 85,000.

From a larger perspective, the pressure is temporarily around 98,500 and 99,000. When nearing high positions, one can choose to enter short positions. The bottom support is approximately around 94,000.

BTC + ETH Altcoin Small Level Analysis
Ethereum has reached the target near 4,000, and after two days of continuous short position alerts, profits are now being realized. There may be favorable news emerging, so this round of market may have a considerable rebound strength; we are temporarily waiting for capital and news stimulation.

 The current drop in short-term levels has reached its target, with Ethereum's support position around 3,700 and resistance around 3,750. The strong downward trend continues, and the space is limited. The support position around 3,650 can be a try for long positions, but be cautious with stop-losses; any rise should still prioritize high short positions after a pullback.

 Bitcoin is similar, prioritizing high short positions after a pullback. The goal is to test previous resistance soon, but if favorable news appears tonight, there’s no need to bet on short positions, as a rebound up to around 99,500 is also reasonable.

As the year-end approaches, everyone should pay attention to risks and ensure they have sufficient funds for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage require careful risk control capabilities.