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Recently, many people have criticized Thirteen for the wrong decisions regarding Ethereum. Thirteen's later Ethereum entry cost was around 3200, the same as Trump's holding cost. In this round of decline, the cost has dropped to about 2500, and now it seems to barely maintain a break-even point. How will the future market trend? We shouldn't guess; if the market drops, we will continue to buy the dip, hoping that Trump's attitude can strengthen everyone's confidence. As for now, the market has risen, and everyone can take some profits at this position to maintain a reasonable and healthy cash position. A few days ago, many people told me that if Bitcoin rebounds to 2500, they would take profits and exit. Did you do it? Most people might still be waiting for Ethereum at 2800, while Thirteen continues to foolishly wait for Ethereum at 6000, which now seems like an unattainable goal. However, Thirteen's position is very healthy; if the market continues to rise, I will continue to hold. If the market drops, I will buy the dip again to lower my holding cost, and when it rebounds to 2500/2800, I will sell based on the actual situation to maintain a reasonable cash position. At 2550, Thirteen has already cleared part of the leveraged position, and now Thirteen has almost no risk of liquidation. Thirteen has been under a lot of pressure these days. After all, I also hold a significant amount of Bitcoin and Ethereum; Bitcoin has made me feel fast, while Ethereum has indeed brought me too much pain. I hope Ethereum can also rise, as there is only one month left until the upgrade, and there are ample reasons for a breakout in this month. Some say that after this favorable news from Trump, the altcoin season is coming. This is very normal; we need to be prepared for the arrival of altcoin season. But do not blindly hold a large position, as the market's direction often runs counter to resilience, and the possibility of another downward spike still exists. In the crypto world, earning more or less is not important; not losing money and staying alive is crucial.
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Last night, a giant whale opened a 50x leveraged contract before the news broke, just before a surge in Bitcoin, with a total investment amount reaching 220 million USD. Later, when the market slightly corrected, did he continue to increase his position? At that time, Shisan told everyone in the circle that there might be insider information, and later indeed Trump spoke, indicating that Bitcoin and Ethereum would be the core, with Sol, ADA, and XRP as part of the cryptocurrency strategic reserve. Then the market experienced a wave of surge. After that, the giant whale quickly took profits and exited, making a profit of 6.8 million USD in just one hour. If there was no insider information, it would be a testament to his downfall. No matter who it is, there is absolutely no possibility of opening such a high leveraged contract at this extreme position with such determination. Of course, we won't speculate on the specific details; someone knew in advance about the announcement Trump was about to make, so they set up a position beforehand. This is a typical case of insider trading; if this were in a regulated stock market, this person would probably end up in prison. Such opportunities are likely to become rare; with the advancement of cryptocurrency regulation, high leveraged contracts will definitely be included in the regulatory scope. As retail investors, we still hope that the cryptocurrency market becomes more standardized. Although in the wild era, we can gain greater wealth space, for retail investors, there is no wealth, only losses; this is determined by the fate of retail investors. This world has never been fair; some people have resources, power, and connections, allowing them to exploit the information gap to reap profits in the cryptocurrency market. Retail investors become their targets for harvesting. This is why Shisan does not recommend everyone to use extremely high leverage. Leverage is something that is only suitable for casual play; never pin your hopes for wealth on leverage. Please make sure to learn to gradually become wealthy, rather than attacking Shisan madly when the market is falling.
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Even though Shisan earnestly advises everyone to hold on, there are still people who criticize crazily. Many people, including many bloggers, believe that the bear market has arrived, especially since it has indeed touched the 200-day moving average. Shisan remains firmly bullish, telling everyone that the bull market is still on, hoping that everyone can hold on until the end. In a few months, you are likely to make money. Fortunately, most of Shisan's circle of friends have basically held on. In fact, if a retail investor sold at the lowest point, their mindset is probably shattered now. After all, it's okay to lose money together, but if you cut losses and lose money while others make money, that is the most uncomfortable feeling. Human nature is selfish; let’s put it this way, all of Shisan’s fans, except for the haters, in this world, the only ones who hope you can make money in the crypto world apart from your parents are Shisan. It’s not that Shisan is great, but Shisan hopes that this IP can stand firm and must bring some value to the fans; that’s my job. Meanwhile, everyone else hearing that you lost money will definitely be very happy, especially when they see those who have been liquidated. They may comfort you on the surface, be surprised, but deep down they will have a slight sense of pleasure. This is very normal; after all, if Shisan hears that some haters lost money, I would also be very happy because we are not on the same side. Therefore, the trend of a big bull market hasn’t changed, so hold your chips for a sufficient amount of time. When it reaches the take-profit point, Shisan will slowly exit using systematic and scientific methods. The specific strategy will be in Shisan's circle; the content in the article will only provide a rough concept. Those who can stay and make money in the bull market together with everyone are worth it, even if it’s just a few dozen bucks. Never expect Shisan to take you to wealth freedom all at once; Shisan can’t do it either. When it comes to a bear market, we will build positions at the bottom over about a year and then continue to wait for the next bull market. Making money in the crypto world is actually very simple; short-term fluctuations are just paper tigers. However, the biggest enemy of retail investors in making money is themselves; they cannot control their mindset when facing market ups and downs.
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This world is truly magical. When everyone was immersed in the fear of a market crash, the market suddenly surged. Of course, the direct reason was that Trump indicated he would consider sol, ada, and xrp as strategic reserves, causing the market to explode upwards in an instant. From above 80,000, it surged directly by 10,000 points to above 90,000. Just a day before this surge, I personally witnessed many people completely collapse in their resolve, and even many retail investors, too fearful, cut their losses below 80,000. This was clearly a sell at the bottom. Even during the past few days of decline, I have been telling everyone through articles, messages, and various channels from different angles not to be afraid, to confidently buy the dip for Bitcoin below 80,000 and Ethereum around 2000. At that time, many people commented, criticizing me, believing I was just a big scammer, misleading retail investors into taking on positions, saying the market would continue to drop, and even that Bitcoin would fall to the 50,000s. As for the future, since it hasn't happened, don't make predictions just for the sake of it; you change nothing except to increase fear for yourself and others. Many people, to prove they were right, went short after a small rebound, swearing they would hold on, not knowing if that person's position is still there now? When Bitcoin retraced below 80,000 to fill some CME gaps, strictly speaking, this gap has been filled. The 78,000 level is a strong support, below that is 74,000, and below that, I never dared to hope. I believe even a pig knows to buy the dip.
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Trump promotes Bitcoin and Ethereum as strategic reserves, and the market welcomes a surge.
This world is just so magical. When everyone is immersed in the fear of a crash, the market suddenly surges. Of course, the direct reason was that Trump announced he would treat SOL, ADA, and XRP as strategic reserves, which caused the market to surge instantly. Directly pulled from 80,000 to above 90,000. Just a day before the surge, I personally witnessed many people's spirits completely collapse, with many retail investors too afraid to cut losses below 80000. This position was indeed cut at the floor. Even during these few days of decline, I have been telling everyone through various channels like articles and messages not to be afraid, and to boldly buy Bitcoin below 80000 and Ethereum around 2000.
Retail investors in the crypto world are very pitiful. Look, before the positive news comes out, some people use their information advantage to open 50 times more. Is it Liang Jingru who gave him the courage? No, it turns out to be Trump. The world is too cruel~
Investment should always prioritize risk over profit. Many people enter the cryptocurrency world aiming for financial freedom and often can't take the time to become wealthy gradually. They all want to make quick money. This investment strategy can only lead to being harvested by the market. Regardless of what strategies are provided by various bloggers, including Thirteen, none can fully guarantee you will make money, but Thirteen's method can ensure you will profit in this bull market. The current market correction is just a paper loss. As long as you hold the cryptocurrencies recommended by Thirteen, you can sleep soundly; this bull market will not let you down. Even if a bear market does come, it simply means holding on for a couple more years. With prices around dozens for Thirteen's coins, if you expect me to lead you to financial freedom, think about whether your expectations are too high? If you pursue short-term financial freedom, then look at those charging hundreds or thousands a month. But please believe me, they are suffering even more now. Investing in cryptocurrencies tests one's mindset the most; the greatest challenge is risk. If we embrace valuable coins and hold them for a sufficiently long time, then you will be among the few who profit.
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In the past few days, many circles have collapsed. From various trading groups, they have turned into rights protection circles. I have seen too many of these situations in previous market rounds. As long as the market is good, everyone is a good brother. But once the market crashes and I lose money, then I want to protect my rights. From the very beginning, I knew that many circles would face this situation, so I do not engage in trading, do not touch the money of fans, and do not involve everyone in contracts. I only charge membership service fees to fundamentally eliminate all risks, so my circle can develop and exist in the long term; otherwise, it will definitely collapse. We do spot trading. Even if we only do spot trading, how many people in the circle have maintained more than 30% cash positions? Most people have over 80% positions. Moreover, besides a few mainstream currencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, I recommend everyone keep their positions below 5% for other currencies. Very few people can take that in. As soon as a project comes out and I recommend it, they go all in with heavy positions. Once the market adjusts, they start turning from fans to critics. My investment method is basically to provide investment plans one-on-one, strictly controlling positions and enforcing cash strategies. If you execute this method, then your mindset will definitely not collapse now. On the contrary, you will feel in control. What needs to be considered now is at which level it is appropriate to buy the dip. Instead of waiting for the market to judge.
Hello everyone, these past few days I’m sure everyone has been very panicked. After all, the market is falling at this speed, which indeed makes people feel extremely anxious, with the impulse to sell at any moment. If you have leverage in hand, you should indeed be quite panicked; if it's spot trading, you are not currently at any loss, and until you take profits, it’s just a string of numbers. Think from a different perspective: if the market now rises to a high point of 110,000, would you sell? Of course not, because our target profit-taking point is at 150,000, maybe after 120, we will start to take profits slowly. But now the market has dropped, triggering panic selling. What does that matter? Thirteen firmly believes in a bullish outlook; the bull market has not ended, and after the correction, a slow bull trend will emerge. I know many people are very dissatisfied with Thirteen's firm bullish outlook; clearly, the market has been like this, yet this guy is still blindly bullish every day. The bullish outlook is due to the upcoming economic cycle, the Bitcoin halving, favorable policies from Trump, the SEC being friendly towards cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin entering mainstream investment, and other reasons. It is too early to be bearish now.
Let’s talk about Ethereum, the project that has performed the worst this round, almost without exception. The 2000 defense battle has begun; even if this position is not the bottom, it is not far from it. Below, 1850 has accumulated 500,000 coins, which is also the average cost for the main force to build positions. At this level, capital involvement will be very decisive. Many people have leveraged on Ethereum; please be sure to pay attention to the forced liquidation position, set it within 1200, and be careful of spikes that could trigger liquidation. As for stop-losses, if the loss is not large, you can stop-loss now. However, Thirteen suggests to wait for a rebound before taking a stop-loss. You can take positions in batches near the resistance levels of 2500 and 2800. As for Bitcoin, Bitcoin has reached the first support at 78,000, which slightly filled the gap at 78,000; it seems the gap is not fully filled, and the possibility of continuing to drop after a rebound is very high. Strong support below is at 74,000; if you expect Bitcoin to start with a 6, Thirteen can only say to keep dreaming, it’s simply impossible. There’s no market that only drops without rising, and there won’t be a market that only rises without dropping. The market has already fallen significantly, and there could be a sharp rebound at any time; after this rebound, everyone should clear their leveraged positions. Focus on spot trading. Come on, friends in the Thirteen circle.
No matter how much good news is said now, it is useless. Because even with the good news, the market is still crashing. Some say it is due to Trump implementing tariffs on Canada and Mexico, causing panic in the investment market. Thirteen believes that the current drop in the cryptocurrency market is not much related to tariffs, but more to a chain reaction of panic selling in the market. The retail investors are fleeing in panic, and some whales are also on the brink of liquidation, having to cut losses early. According to the current trend, Thirteen still believes that this is just a bull looking down to graze, but the head is buried a bit low. Someone asked Thirteen, what if we really enter a bear market now? If we really enter a bear market, everyone holds spot positions, plus there is still a 30% cash position, which will be the investment capital for the next two years of the bear market. If this low-probability event occurs, we will start dollar-cost averaging at the bottom, where will the money come from? Of course, in real life, everyone has to work hard. If Thirteen KOL cannot continue and has no income, Thirteen will also go out to find a job, even if it means driving for Didi to earn money to keep buying Bitcoin at a low price. Persisting for two years, Thirteen's assets will definitely multiply several times, and then quit the Didi job. Everyone should not think that entering a bear market is terrifying; it is actually just like that. Of course, this is all a low-probability event, and there is no need for everyone to worry too much. Some say they can't hold on and want to cut losses; Thirteen would absolutely not operate like that; Thirteen would not cut losses for a low-probability event. I hope everyone can get used to the high volatility of the cryptocurrency circle.
Keep it up, cryptocurrency people. We will bear the pain of the crypto circle together. Follow Thirteen for daily updates. Even if we enter a bear market, Thirteen's article updates will not stop. Moreover, we are still in a bull market; why be afraid?
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All along, we have adhered to the principle of not shorting during a bull market. This is historical experience, and it seems to be ineffective in this round so far; shorting has been very profitable. To what position can the market fall? For Bitcoin, the next small support is at 78,000, and below that is the extreme position at 74,000. Can it reach there? No one knows. The entire market knows that there is a gap in the CME futures at the 77,000~78,000 position, and due to the high probability of the market filling gaps, which is as high as 95%. Therefore, everyone believes that the market will return to this position to fill the gap; we mentioned this in previous articles. Currently, it seems to have basically returned to this position, and just a little lower can fill the gap. Will it return to this position as hoped? Thirteen believes that the market will not move according to everyone's expectations. It is very likely that there will be some fluctuations at this position before starting a rebound. Of course, returning to this position would be a good entry opportunity. Many people are very fearful now, believing that the market will directly enter a bear market, but Thirteen does not think the bull market has ended. Everyone should have their own judgment on cycles. If you believe that in this round Bitcoin will reach 150,000, then our take-profit position is at 150,000. As for the violent ups and downs in between, it doesn't have much to do with us; it’s just a change in a string of numbers. Since Thirteen wrote the first article, it has always emphasized respecting risks. Always maintain a reasonable cash position; a cash position can save lives, especially for those who have leveraged. A rebound in the market should not be far off, so everyone should take the time to reduce their leveraged positions. Spot + value coins are the key to being able to sleep peacefully at night these days.
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It has dropped again. As an old investor, I now feel a deep fear, not to mention many newcomers who have recently entered the market. At the beginning of the decline, everyone still had the energy to curse, but now there is not even the strength to curse. Almost all investors' assets have shrunk by nearly half, which is extremely brutal, even more so than the drop during 3.12; that was a one-time plunge, while now it truly feels like boiling a frog in water. This has left many investors in a prolonged state of fear. Many people have completely collapsed. In fact, in the market experiences over the past thirteen periods, many have experienced such a degree of decline, and following Bitcoin's halving, especially with the overall policy and economic environment seemingly moving in a good direction, such a pullback has never occurred in Bitcoin's history. This time, the thirteenth period has also gained insight. Ethereum has even returned to the average price of a bear market, and so has a certain altcoin; the entire market only sees Bitcoin performing well. However, it is now leading the drop, and the entire market has to look at its face; yesterday the market thought Bitcoin was just faking it, so altcoins did not follow the drop, and many were resisting. Today, Bitcoin broke 8, and these stubborn individuals could finally no longer hold on. Most of those frantically selling in the market are retail investors; do not think that the outflow of ETFs means institutions are selling; these ETFs consist of retail investors who are feeling panic, so they continue to sell. Institutions are frantically buying, even imitating MicroStrategy by issuing bonds to buy Bitcoin. So I hope everyone can hold on a little longer; at this position, those who cannot hold have mostly exited. This round of washing the market, the thirteenth period did not expect to wash out so thoroughly, completely uprooting the retail investors' chips, especially those leveraged investors who went long; this wave has been a bloodbath.
The bull market is still here, a rebound is imminent, and even if we enter a bear market, so what? Two years later, we will all be better off.
It's fallen again. As an old retail investor, I now feel deep fear, not to mention many newbies who have been in the market for just a short while. At the beginning of the decline, everyone still had the strength to curse, but now there isn't even the strength to curse anymore. Almost all investors' assets have shrunk by nearly half. This is very tragic, even more so than the 312 event, which was a one-step hit, while now it truly feels like boiling a frog in warm water. Keeping investors in a state of fear for a long time. Many people have completely collapsed. In fact, in the markets Thirteen has experienced, this level of decline has been experienced by many, and after Bitcoin's halving, especially with the entire policy and economic environment moving in a good direction, such a correction has never occurred in Bitcoin's history.
Retail investors are selling frantically, while institutions are buying frantically. Don't pay attention to the ETF outflows, because the ETFs are also being sold off by retail investors.
Current price, miners are about to shut down. Previously, miners invested heavily, now they are also on the brink of life and death. What are we retail investors afraid of? A rebound is just around the corner!
Someone asked if Shisan is anxious? To be honest, after dropping to this position, Shisan has mentioned in previous articles that such situations occur in every market cycle. If I said I'm not anxious, that would be impossible; right now, Shisan is still a bit anxious. However, friends in the Shisan circle, you shouldn't be anxious. Shisan's anxiety comes from the leveraged positions, as an experienced investor, it's impossible not to use leverage. So what I'm anxious about is that. As for the spot market, it can now be said that there are no worries.