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- Анализ крипторынка, Срочные новости. Наши спот-сделки с объяснением их логики. Не даем финансовых рекомендаций, DYOR!
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Bloomberg changes its forecast for approval of spot Ethereum ETF on July 8Bloomberg is changing its forecast for the approval of the spot Ethereum ETF on July 8. This is how the publication's senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas responded to the news that the SEC sent back Form S-1 to Ethereum ETF issuers for revision during the latest round of negotiations. Previously, we recall, Balciunas set for July 2.

Bloomberg changes its forecast for approval of spot Ethereum ETF on July 8

Bloomberg is changing its forecast for the approval of the spot Ethereum ETF on July 8. This is how the publication's senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas responded to the news that the SEC sent back Form S-1 to Ethereum ETF issuers for revision during the latest round of negotiations.

Previously, we recall, Balciunas set for July 2.
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Be careful - a fraudulent clone of the Phantom crypto wallet has appeared in the App Store. Issued in a search query for advertising. “Thank you” to Apple for moderating app advertising. At the same time, the history of the scammers’ application indicates that it was updated a week ago. That is, it has been hanging on the market for a long time. After installation and when used, “pseudo-Phantom” asks for the user’s SEED phrase and, of course, then steals all assets. It is easy to recognize a clone - there are no reviews, it is placed in the “Education” category instead of “Utilities”, it appears in the advertising block, and not in the main search.
Be careful - a fraudulent clone of the Phantom crypto wallet has appeared in the App Store. Issued in a search query for advertising. “Thank you” to Apple for moderating app advertising. At the same time, the history of the scammers’ application indicates that it was updated a week ago. That is, it has been hanging on the market for a long time.
After installation and when used, “pseudo-Phantom” asks for the user’s SEED phrase and, of course, then steals all assets.
It is easy to recognize a clone - there are no reviews, it is placed in the “Education” category instead of “Utilities”, it appears in the advertising block, and not in the main search.
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The tapal project TapSwap launched its YouTube channel and new activity with receiving 200,000 coins daily. Agree, it doesn’t really look like they are going to give out drops on July 1 (the stated date).  How to find and get coins? A Cinema section has appeared in the Task tab, where you need to watch the video of their YouTube channel and find the secret code in it. We have already found today's code - 739002. But you still have to press the Watch button, otherwise the code will not be accepted 😁. The#TapSwapYouTube channel is hosted by the cartoon robot Tappy and he talks about crypto news. The channel itself gained more than 700 thousand subscribers in less than an hour. These additional activities, which by the end (again, I want to believe) of farming, increase the already large emissions, are not very inspiring.
The tapal project TapSwap launched its YouTube channel and new activity with receiving 200,000 coins daily. Agree, it doesn’t really look like they are going to give out drops on July 1 (the stated date). 
How to find and get coins? A Cinema section has appeared in the Task tab, where you need to watch the video of their YouTube channel and find the secret code in it. We have already found today's code - 739002. But you still have to press the Watch button, otherwise the code will not be accepted 😁.
The#TapSwapYouTube channel is hosted by the cartoon robot Tappy and he talks about crypto news. The channel itself gained more than 700 thousand subscribers in less than an hour.
These additional activities, which by the end (again, I want to believe) of farming, increase the already large emissions, are not very inspiring.
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The Kazakhstan regulator has approved trading of TON (TONCOIN) on the country's licensed crypto exchangesThe Kazakhstan regulator has approved trading of TON (TONCOIN) on the country's licensed crypto exchanges. This is reported on his website. It is stated that the Astana International Financial Services Committee (AFSA) reviewed and approved#TONfollowing a “comprehensive review.” Earlier, the head of the Ministry of Digital Development of Kazakhstan, Zhaslan Madiev, confirmed that the founder of Telegram, Pavel Durov, had arrived in the country. 

The Kazakhstan regulator has approved trading of TON (TONCOIN) on the country's licensed crypto exchanges

The Kazakhstan regulator has approved trading of TON (TONCOIN) on the country's licensed crypto exchanges. This is reported on his website.
It is stated that the Astana International Financial Services Committee (AFSA) reviewed and approved#TONfollowing a “comprehensive review.” Earlier, the head of the Ministry of Digital Development of Kazakhstan, Zhaslan Madiev, confirmed that the founder of Telegram, Pavel Durov, had arrived in the country. 
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Price indices of personal consumption expenditures in the US did not bring the expected growth in BTCPrice indices of personal consumption expenditures in the USA are within the forecasts. Inflation in the United States has slowed in line with expectations. The publication of the data itself locally caused increased BTC volatility, but in a range of less than 1%. The price almost reached the volume level of $61,231 again. At first the fall was partially redeemed, but now it has continued again.

Price indices of personal consumption expenditures in the US did not bring the expected growth in BTC

Price indices of personal consumption expenditures in the USA are within the forecasts. Inflation in the United States has slowed in line with expectations. The publication of the data itself locally caused increased BTC volatility, but in a range of less than 1%. The price almost reached the volume level of $61,231 again. At first the fall was partially redeemed, but now it has continued again.
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The main thing from the USA: Debates, a member of the Coinbase board in Biden's advisors, money from Kraken for TrumpThe main thing from the USA: A devastating debate, Biden hired a Coinbase board member as an adviser, and Trump received money from the co-founder of Kraken. Let's take a closer look at the results of the debates that took place today. First of all, Trump said nothing about the crypto industry. Concentrated on broader and “universal” themes to criticize the current president. As journalists write, “The economic part was short, and the debate barely touched on technology policy, let alone the digital asset sector.” Our expectations and the expectations of the majority at Polymarket were not met. But this does not mean that the topic will be abandoned by the Trump campaign. It’s just that in their assessment it didn’t reach the top ones.

The main thing from the USA: Debates, a member of the Coinbase board in Biden's advisors, money from Kraken for Trump

The main thing from the USA: A devastating debate, Biden hired a Coinbase board member as an adviser, and Trump received money from the co-founder of Kraken.
Let's take a closer look at the results of the debates that took place today. First of all, Trump said nothing about the crypto industry. Concentrated on broader and “universal” themes to criticize the current president. As journalists write, “The economic part was short, and the debate barely touched on technology policy, let alone the digital asset sector.” Our expectations and the expectations of the majority at Polymarket were not met. But this does not mean that the topic will be abandoned by the Trump campaign. It’s just that in their assessment it didn’t reach the top ones.
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CryptoQuant writes that miners are stopping selling BTC, bringing the rally closer. And experts are expecting a new upward movement in the#BTCprice in the third quarter of this year (July-August). Quote from the analysis for the#CryptoQuantinfographic: “The current market could be considered to be in the process of absorbing this sell-off, and fortunately, the amount of BTC that miners are sending out of their wallets has been rapidly decreasing as of late. In other words, the selling pressure from the miners is easing, and if all of their selling volume is absorbed, it could create a situation where the upward rally can continue again. Positive dynamics in the cryptocurrency market are expected in the third quarter of 2024.” $BTC
CryptoQuant writes that miners are stopping selling BTC, bringing the rally closer. And experts are expecting a new upward movement in the#BTCprice in the third quarter of this year (July-August). Quote from the analysis for the#CryptoQuantinfographic:
“The current market could be considered to be in the process of absorbing this sell-off, and fortunately, the amount of BTC that miners are sending out of their wallets has been rapidly decreasing as of late.
In other words, the selling pressure from the miners is easing, and if all of their selling volume is absorbed, it could create a situation where the upward rally can continue again.
Positive dynamics in the cryptocurrency market are expected in the third quarter of 2024.”
$BTC
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The bulls are unable to break through BTC above $62,430. The bulls are unable to break through BTC above $62,430.  Let us remember that this is the 0.382 Fibonacci level from the low on May 1 to the high on June 7. The local reversal pattern “Adam and Eve”, which was written about yesterday, has formed, but cannot break through the neck line. And this is again $62,430. At the moment, this is a key level, without a breakout of which the rebound scenario threatens to end.

The bulls are unable to break through BTC above $62,430. 

The bulls are unable to break through BTC above $62,430.  Let us remember that this is the 0.382 Fibonacci level from the low on May 1 to the high on June 7.

The local reversal pattern “Adam and Eve”, which was written about yesterday, has formed, but cannot break through the neck line. And this is again $62,430. At the moment, this is a key level, without a breakout of which the rebound scenario threatens to end.
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Important events for the crypto market on June 28 from the economic calendarImportant events for the crypto market on June 28 from the economic calendar. The key event of the day and week will occur in the USA - in the afternoon we will receive data on price indices of personal consumption expenditures in the USA. These indices are important for assessing the results of the US Federal Reserve's fight against consumer inflation. And they are one of the key metrics for assessing the success of this fight. We are expecting increased volatility in the crypto market in the near future. Plus, these data will affect forecasts for interest rate dynamics until the end of 2024.

Important events for the crypto market on June 28 from the economic calendar

Important events for the crypto market on June 28 from the economic calendar.
The key event of the day and week will occur in the USA - in the afternoon we will receive data on price indices of personal consumption expenditures in the USA.
These indices are important for assessing the results of the US Federal Reserve's fight against consumer inflation. And they are one of the key metrics for assessing the success of this fight. We are expecting increased volatility in the crypto market in the near future. Plus, these data will affect forecasts for interest rate dynamics until the end of 2024.
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Today there is a debate between Trump and Biden in the United States and this may cause increased volatility for the crypto marketToday there is a debate between Trump and Biden in the United States and this may cause increased volatility for the crypto market. Especially, of course, we are talking about such “political” meme tokens as #TRUMP, #TREMP, #BODEN. But perhaps far more than that. In the States, the debate will take place on June 27, on our continent - already on June 28, 5:00 Kyiv time/Moscow time and 7:00 Astana time.

Today there is a debate between Trump and Biden in the United States and this may cause increased volatility for the crypto market

Today there is a debate between Trump and Biden in the United States and this may cause increased volatility for the crypto market. Especially, of course, we are talking about such “political” meme tokens as #TRUMP, #TREMP, #BODEN. But perhaps far more than that.

In the States, the debate will take place on June 27, on our continent - already on June 28, 5:00 Kyiv time/Moscow time and 7:00 Astana time.
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The growth leaders among altcoins in 2024 so far are meme coins, as well as RWA and AI tokens. That is, tokenization of real assets and artificial intelligence. Since January of this year, the average return of the ten largest representatives of each segment by capitalization: +1834%, +213% and +72%. This data is provided by #Biteye. Meme coins are the growth leaders and this is understandable. As of June 19, three of the top ten meme coins by market value appeared in March-April - #BOME,#DOGand #BRETT. BRETT increased by 14353.5%. But what’s interesting is that AI-themed tokens, which was another hype topic, although not for so long, are only in third place. The largest growth in 2024 was shown by#ARKM(+215.5%),#AIOZ(+192.2%),#RNDR+57.5%) and#FET(+116%). But in second place is RWA, tokenization of real assets. Without much hype in headlines and social networks, this segment absorbs capital. And, taking into account the prospects for “blockchainization” of almost all real sectors of the economy and their products, this is just the beginning. In RWA, Biteye experts highlighted#OM(+1123.8%) and#ONDO(+451.1%). They also noted that most projects are in the early stages and worth tracking. Interest in RWA has been sparked by investments from#BlackRockand other major players in the traditional market.
The growth leaders among altcoins in 2024 so far are meme coins, as well as RWA and AI tokens. That is, tokenization of real assets and artificial intelligence. Since January of this year, the average return of the ten largest representatives of each segment by capitalization: +1834%, +213% and +72%. This data is provided by #Biteye.
Meme coins are the growth leaders and this is understandable. As of June 19, three of the top ten meme coins by market value appeared in March-April - #BOME,#DOGand #BRETT. BRETT increased by 14353.5%.
But what’s interesting is that AI-themed tokens, which was another hype topic, although not for so long, are only in third place. The largest growth in 2024 was shown by#ARKM(+215.5%),#AIOZ(+192.2%),#RNDR+57.5%) and#FET(+116%).
But in second place is RWA, tokenization of real assets. Without much hype in headlines and social networks, this segment absorbs capital. And, taking into account the prospects for “blockchainization” of almost all real sectors of the economy and their products, this is just the beginning.
In RWA, Biteye experts highlighted#OM(+1123.8%) and#ONDO(+451.1%). They also noted that most projects are in the early stages and worth tracking. Interest in RWA has been sparked by investments from#BlackRockand other major players in the traditional market.
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For successful BTC purchases, it is enough to use the RSI indicator on the daily TF. At least, this is what trader and cryptanalyst Ali Martinez (65.6 thousand subscribers in X) thinks, analyzing a new infographic from #Glassnode. The blue vertical lines on the BTC price chart are the period when the daily RSI for BTC is below 30. Buying in this range in 2022-2023 could result in unleveraged profits of +60%, +63% and +198% from low to high . ​The story, of course, is not about trading, but about investing. Or about trading with a position size such that you don’t need leverage or altcoins 😁  $BTC
For successful BTC purchases, it is enough to use the RSI indicator on the daily TF. At least, this is what trader and cryptanalyst Ali Martinez (65.6 thousand subscribers in X) thinks, analyzing a new infographic from #Glassnode.
The blue vertical lines on the BTC price chart are the period when the daily RSI for BTC is below 30. Buying in this range in 2022-2023 could result in unleveraged profits of +60%, +63% and +198% from low to high .
​The story, of course, is not about trading, but about investing. Or about trading with a position size such that you don’t need leverage or altcoins 😁 
$BTC
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The US Supreme Court has limited the ability of federal agencies to attack crypto projects. FOX Business crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett reports: “The Supreme Court just ruled by a 6-3 vote that when the SEC seeks penalties for fraud, the defendant is entitled to a jury trial in federal court rather than being subject to the agency's 'internal penalties...' This move essentially undermines all federal agencies, not just the SEC, by burdening them with having to litigate their cases in federal court. The Supreme Court has ruled that the SEC's use of internal litigation to bring charges is unconstitutional." Application for Solana ETF, Coinbase's lawsuit against American regulators, now this is positive. The market reaction is still restrained, making us worry about the short-term (!) prospects of the bulls. The#BTCrate again went to the 0.236 Fibonacci level from today's review, but was unable to break through it. “Adam and Eve” was formed from analysis. The medium- and long-term picture for the crypto market according to the news seems increasingly positive. And for oversold and undervalued altcoins - first of all. But it’s better to trade not news, but charts).
The US Supreme Court has limited the ability of federal agencies to attack crypto projects. FOX Business crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett reports:
“The Supreme Court just ruled by a 6-3 vote that when the SEC seeks penalties for fraud, the defendant is entitled to a jury trial in federal court rather than being subject to the agency's 'internal penalties...'
This move essentially undermines all federal agencies, not just the SEC, by burdening them with having to litigate their cases in federal court. The Supreme Court has ruled that the SEC's use of internal litigation to bring charges is unconstitutional."
Application for Solana ETF, Coinbase's lawsuit against American regulators, now this is positive. The market reaction is still restrained, making us worry about the short-term (!) prospects of the bulls.
The#BTCrate again went to the 0.236 Fibonacci level from today's review, but was unable to break through it. “Adam and Eve” was formed from analysis.
The medium- and long-term picture for the crypto market according to the news seems increasingly positive. And for oversold and undervalued altcoins - first of all. But it’s better to trade not news, but charts).
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Market maker GSR goes long on SOL, expecting it to outperform BTC. Writes#TheBlockwith reference to their statement. In it,#GSRtalks at length about the technological advantages of#Solanaover other blockchains (with a special emphasis on decentralization). And that the political landscape of the United States is changing (emphasis on Trump’s possible victory), becoming more friendly for the crypto market. Regarding the prospects for growth in the price of#SOLin competition with #BTC, of ​​course, we meant, first of all, the growth rate, and not the price: “Solana could grow by 1.4 times in a bearish flow scenario, 3.4 times in a base case scenario, and 8.9 times in a favorable scenario... Moreover, there is reason to believe that the impact could be higher than these estimates, since, in Unlike BTC, SOL is actively used for staking and in decentralized applications, and since the relationship between relative flows and relative size may not be linear." The asset is being showered with positivity today. But the price of #SOL, as we predicted, has only just reached the EMA test of the 50 day TF. This is now the main resistance for further growth with the prospect of ATH renewal. $SOL
Market maker GSR goes long on SOL, expecting it to outperform BTC. Writes#TheBlockwith reference to their statement.
In it,#GSRtalks at length about the technological advantages of#Solanaover other blockchains (with a special emphasis on decentralization). And that the political landscape of the United States is changing (emphasis on Trump’s possible victory), becoming more friendly for the crypto market.
Regarding the prospects for growth in the price of#SOLin competition with #BTC, of ​​course, we meant, first of all, the growth rate, and not the price:
“Solana could grow by 1.4 times in a bearish flow scenario, 3.4 times in a base case scenario, and 8.9 times in a favorable scenario... Moreover, there is reason to believe that the impact could be higher than these estimates, since, in Unlike BTC, SOL is actively used for staking and in decentralized applications, and since the relationship between relative flows and relative size may not be linear."
The asset is being showered with positivity today. But the price of #SOL, as we predicted, has only just reached the EMA test of the 50 day TF. This is now the main resistance for further growth with the prospect of ATH renewal.
$SOL
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Analysts are skeptical about the prospects for the Solana ETF to be approved soon. BUT at the same time they confirm that the application submitted by VanEck is an application specifically for an ETF, and not a trust. We take our words back, Matthew Siegel spoke correctly in his post.  VanEck's application confuses us (and not only us) with the word Trust in the title. But in fact, it turns out that this is not a type of financial instrument, but part of the name of an ETF fund. We read the document more deeply - the planned fund will issue shares that are expected to be placed on the Cboe BZX exchange under a certain symbol. The ETF will own SOL and price its shares on a daily basis based on an index provided by MarketVector Indexes GmbH.#BloombergETF analyst James Seyffart, commenting on Matthew Siegel's post, writes that the Solana ETF has a chance to launch no earlier than 2025 if there is a change in leadership in the SEC and the White House administration in the US. And even this is not a guarantee. FOX Business crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett, commenting on Siegel's post, writes that#SOLis not yet traded on a regulated futures market like#BTCand #ETH. So approval is still a long way off, but VanEck can say they were the first to file for the first US SOL ETF. $SOL
Analysts are skeptical about the prospects for the Solana ETF to be approved soon. BUT at the same time they confirm that the application submitted by VanEck is an application specifically for an ETF, and not a trust. We take our words back, Matthew Siegel spoke correctly in his post. 
VanEck's application confuses us (and not only us) with the word Trust in the title. But in fact, it turns out that this is not a type of financial instrument, but part of the name of an ETF fund. We read the document more deeply - the planned fund will issue shares that are expected to be placed on the Cboe BZX exchange under a certain symbol. The ETF will own SOL and price its shares on a daily basis based on an index provided by MarketVector Indexes GmbH.#BloombergETF analyst James Seyffart, commenting on Matthew Siegel's post, writes that the Solana ETF has a chance to launch no earlier than 2025 if there is a change in leadership in the SEC and the White House administration in the US. And even this is not a guarantee.
FOX Business crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett, commenting on Siegel's post, writes that#SOLis not yet traded on a regulated futures market like#BTCand #ETH. So approval is still a long way off, but VanEck can say they were the first to file for the first US SOL ETF.
$SOL
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VanEck is confident that SOL is a product, so they applied to open the VanEck Solana TrustVanEck is confident that SOL is a product, so it has applied to open the VanEck Solana Trust. This statement was made by Matthew Siegel, head of digital asset research at the investment company VanEck. True, for some reason it was written that the application was submitted for Solana ETF. He, intentionally or not, made a mistake.

VanEck is confident that SOL is a product, so they applied to open the VanEck Solana Trust

VanEck is confident that SOL is a product, so it has applied to open the VanEck Solana Trust. This statement was made by Matthew Siegel, head of digital asset research at the investment company VanEck. True, for some reason it was written that the application was submitted for Solana ETF.

He, intentionally or not, made a mistake.
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BTC optimists are teasing the alarmists with the theme of the “great June fall.” For better effect, showing it on a logarithmic graph. Indeed, how little was needed to return fear to the market, without really lowering the price of#BTCbelow even $60,000. Just three months range in a wide range. $BTC
BTC optimists are teasing the alarmists with the theme of the “great June fall.” For better effect, showing it on a logarithmic graph.
Indeed, how little was needed to return fear to the market, without really lowering the price of#BTCbelow even $60,000. Just three months range in a wide range.
$BTC
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VanEck applied to form the VanEck Solana Trust. A notice of this appeared on the US SEC website. The price of#SOLon the news showed an increase of almost 7%, breaking through the volume level of 146.08%. And an upward trend since the end of January 2024. Goes to the EMA test of the 50 day TF, from where we wait for the reaction of sellers. Institutions' visit to SOL is in progress 👏.#VanEckare taking an important step along this path.
VanEck applied to form the VanEck Solana Trust. A notice of this appeared on the US SEC website.
The price of#SOLon the news showed an increase of almost 7%, breaking through the volume level of 146.08%. And an upward trend since the end of January 2024. Goes to the EMA test of the 50 day TF, from where we wait for the reaction of sellers.
Institutions' visit to SOL is in progress 👏.#VanEckare taking an important step along this path.
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JPMorgan believes that payments from MtGox can satisfy the pressure of BTC sellers only at the start, in July. And that in August the crypto market will already recover. Writes #TheBlock. Also,#JPMorgananalysts believe that the consequences of a possible dump in July due to sales of#MtGoxclients will be compensated... by#FTXcreditors. After all, they will receive their payments in fiat, and not in crypto assets. And some of them can return money to the market with new purchases in the next few months.  Let us remind you that after the final plan is approved, the amount of compensation to#FTXclients, according to analysts, will be about $14-15 billion. And Mt․Gox customers will receive 142,000 BTC (about $8.6 billion) between July and October this year. Although the maturity date is set for October, JPMorgan analysts believe most of the payments will occur in July. Be that as it may, let us add from ourselves that risks for the market that are announced in advance and with specific dates are often not risks at all, but simply FUD. $BTC
JPMorgan believes that payments from MtGox can satisfy the pressure of BTC sellers only at the start, in July. And that in August the crypto market will already recover. Writes #TheBlock.
Also,#JPMorgananalysts believe that the consequences of a possible dump in July due to sales of#MtGoxclients will be compensated... by#FTXcreditors. After all, they will receive their payments in fiat, and not in crypto assets. And some of them can return money to the market with new purchases in the next few months. 
Let us remind you that after the final plan is approved, the amount of compensation to#FTXclients, according to analysts, will be about $14-15 billion. And Mt․Gox customers will receive 142,000 BTC (about $8.6 billion) between July and October this year.
Although the maturity date is set for October, JPMorgan analysts believe most of the payments will occur in July.
Be that as it may, let us add from ourselves that risks for the market that are announced in advance and with specific dates are often not risks at all, but simply FUD.
$BTC
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A screen of the X-account “TapSwap Network” with the supposed future rate of the TAPS token is being distributed onlineA screen of the X-account “TapSwap Network” with the supposed future rate of the TAPS token is being distributed online. Or rather, with the exchange rate of game tokens for $. And it looks incredibly generous: «1.2 million of tapswap= 30$  2.5 million of tapswap= 60$  5 million of tapswap= $120  10 million of tapswap= $240  20 million of tapswap= $480  30 million of tapswap= $720» If you look at what the TapSwap Network account is, even the description says that it is not the official account of the project. And it contains news about #TapSwap, and about #HamsterCombat, and about#Blumand other taps.

A screen of the X-account “TapSwap Network” with the supposed future rate of the TAPS token is being distributed online

A screen of the X-account “TapSwap Network” with the supposed future rate of the TAPS token is being distributed online. Or rather, with the exchange rate of game tokens for $. And it looks incredibly generous:
«1.2 million of tapswap= 30$ 
2.5 million of tapswap= 60$ 
5 million of tapswap= $120 
10 million of tapswap= $240 
20 million of tapswap= $480 
30 million of tapswap= $720»


If you look at what the TapSwap Network account is, even the description says that it is not the official account of the project. And it contains news about #TapSwap, and about #HamsterCombat, and about#Blumand other taps.
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